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College football F/+ picks: Week 7

New, 6 comments

Picks and projections for Week 7 of the college football season.

USA TODAY Sports

Week 6 was a victory for the New Method of picks. Actually, it wasn't a victory for anything, really. It was a 50 percent experience no matter how you slice it.

  • Week 1
    New: 37-38 (49%)
    Old: 30-15 (67%)
  • Week 2
    New: 41-32-2 (56%)
    Old: 16-25 (39%)
  • Week 3
    New: 28-30-2 (48%)
    Old: 20-23-2 (47%)
  • Week 4
    New: 25-33-1 (43%)
    Old: 23-20-1 (53%)
  • Week 5
    New: 22-24-2 (48%)
    Old: 27-19-2 (58%)
  • Week 6
    New: 29-26 (53%)
    Old: 27-28 (49%)
  • TOTAL
    New: 182-183-7 (50%)
    Old: 143-130-5 (52%)

And the HYBRID results...

  • Picks In Which The Two Methods Agree
    Week 1: 14-8 (64%)
    Week 2: 14-11 (56%)
    Week 3: 16-8 (67%)
    Week 4: 17-15-1 (53%)
    Week 5: 18-15-1 (54%)
    Week 6: 20-19 (51%)
    TOTAL: 99-76-2 (56%)

Regression? Yeah, regression.

NEW METHOD

Day Time (ET) TV Game Spread Prediction Chance of winning Pick
Thu 7:30 PM ESPN Rutgers at Louisville -19 Louisville by 22.0 (32.8 - 10.8) 94.6% Louisville
Thu 9:00 PM CBSSN San Diego State at Air Force 4 San Diego State by 5.7 (29.3 - 23.6) 67.5% San Diego State
Thu 10:30 PM FS1 Arizona at USC -6 Arizona by 2.1 (20.2 - 18.1) 59.5% Arizona
Fri 8:30 PM ESPN Temple at Cincinnati -21 Cincinnati by 14.2 (30.6 - 16.4) 83.5% Temple
Sat 12:00 PM CBSSN Eastern Michigan at Army -7.5 Army by 12.1 (39.5 - 27.4) 80.1% Army
Sat 12:00 PM ESPN2 Indiana at Michigan State -10 Michigan State by 11.2 (25.4 - 14.2) 78.5% Michigan State
Sat 12:00 PM FS1 Iowa State at Texas Tech -14.5 Texas Tech by 11.4 (35.8 - 24.4) 78.7% Iowa State
Sat 12:00 PM FS1 Kansas at TCU -25 TCU by 20.2 (30.3 - 10.1) 92.4% Kansas
Sat 12:00 PM ESPN News Memphis at Houston -10 Houston by 4.9 (27.4 - 22.6) 65.7% Memphis
Sat 12:00 PM ESPN Missouri at Georgia -8 Georgia by 3.7 (30.6 - 26.9) 63.1% Missouri
Sat 12:00 PM BTN Nebraska at Purdue 14 Nebraska by 11.7 (39.7 - 28.0) 79.3% Purdue
Sat 12:00 PM ABC Oklahoma at Texas 14 Oklahoma by 15.1 (39.9 - 24.7) 85.1% Oklahoma
Sat 12:00 PM ESPNU Pittsburgh at Virginia Tech -9 Virginia Tech by 10.6 (24.2 - 13.6) 77.4% Virginia Tech
Sat 12:00 PM ESPN3 South Florida at Connecticut -4.5 Connecticut by 5.7 (23.9 - 18.1) 67.5% Connecticut
Sat 12:21 PM SEC Network South Carolina at Arkansas 6 Arkansas by 0.6 (25.9 - 25.3) 55.7% Arkansas
Sat 12:30 PM ESPN3 Navy at Duke -3 Duke by 2.1 (29.4 - 27.2) 59.4% Navy
Sat 2:00 PM ESPN3 Buffalo at Western Michigan 10.5 Buffalo by 8.2 (30.4 - 22.2) 72.6% Western Michigan
Sat 2:00 PM ESPN3 Central Michigan at Ohio -17 Ohio by 17.4 (38.6 - 21.3) 88.5% Ohio
Sat 2:00 PM ESPN3 Western Carolina at Auburn -43 Auburn by 22.0 (34.3 - 12.3) 94.5% Western Carolina
Sat 3:00 PM ESPN3 Kent State at Ball State -14 Ball State by 18.8 (42.6 - 23.9) 90.4% Ball State
Sat 3:00 PM ESPN3 Miami-OH at Massachusetts -3.5 Massachusetts by 2.9 (22.9 - 20.0) 61.3% Miami-OH
Sat 3:30 PM Fox Baylor at Kansas State 17 Baylor by 15.9 (49.6 - 33.7) 86.3% Kansas State
Sat 3:30 PM ABC/ESPN2 Boston College at Clemson -24.5 Clemson by 18.8 (42.9 - 24.0) 90.5% Boston College
Sat 3:30 PM East Carolina at Tulane 10 East Carolina by 5.3 (26.8 - 21.5) 66.6% Tulane
Sat 3:30 PM CBS Florida at LSU -7 Florida by 1.0 (19.6 - 18.6) 56.8% Florida
Sat 3:30 PM New Mexico at Wyoming -15.5 Wyoming by 10.3 (37.2 - 26.9) 76.7% New Mexico
Sat 3:30 PM ABC/ESPN2 Northwestern at Wisconsin -10 Wisconsin by 9.2 (33.2 - 24.1) 74.6% Northwestern
Sat 3:30 PM CBSSN San Jose State at Colorado State -4 Colorado State by 7.2 (32.0 - 24.8) 70.6% Colorado State
Sat 3:30 PM ESPN3 Syracuse at NC State -7 NC State by 4.9 (33.9 - 29.0) 65.8% Syracuse
Sat 3:30 PM ESPN3 Troy at Georgia State 17.5 Troy by 3.8 (31.1 - 27.3) 63.3% Georgia State
Sat 3:30 PM ESPNU Virginia at Maryland -7 Maryland by 9.8 (22.9 - 13.1) 75.8% Maryland
Sat 4:00 PM FS1 Oregon at Washington 13.5 Oregon by 1.9 (34.7 - 32.8) 58.8% Washington
Sat 4:00 PM Rice at UTSA -2.5 Rice by 1.3 (26.7 - 25.4) 57.5% Rice
Sat 5:00 PM ESPN3 Akron at Northern Illinois -23 Northern Illinois by 19.9 (42.9 - 23.0) 91.9% Akron
Sat 5:00 PM Marshall at Florida Atlantic 13 Marshall by 0.5 (27.4 - 27.0) 55.4% Florida Atlantic
Sat 5:00 PM ESPN Michigan at Penn State 3 Michigan by 3.7 (24.8 - 21.1) 63.1% Michigan
Sat 6:00 PM Pac-12 Stanford at Utah 9 Stanford by 3.7 (29.0 - 25.3) 63.1% Utah
Sat 7:00 PM ESPN2 Alabama at Kentucky 27.5 Alabama by 15.2 (38.9 - 23.7) 85.1% Kentucky
Sat 7:00 PM ESPNU Georgia Tech at BYU -7 BYU by 13.1 (34.6 - 21.5) 81.8% BYU
Sat 7:00 PM ESPN3 Idaho at Arkansas State -24.5 Arkansas State by 12.9 (36.2 - 23.3) 81.4% Idaho
Sat 7:00 PM Middle Tennessee at North Texas -7 North Texas by 9.3 (33.3 - 24.1) 74.8% North Texas
Sat 7:00 PM LHN UL-Monroe at Texas State -7 Texas State by 9.8 (28.2 - 18.4) 75.8% Texas State
Sat 7:30 PM ESPN3 Bowling Green at Mississippi State -10.5 Mississippi State by 6.1 (34.1 - 28.0) 68.3% Bowling Green
Sat 7:30 PM UAB at Florida International 7 UAB by 5.1 (30.3 - 25.2) 66.2% Florida International
Sat 8:00 PM CBSSN Boise State at Utah State 7 Utah State by 6.3 (34.1 - 27.8) 68.8% Utah State
Sat 8:00 PM Hawaii at UNLV -10 Hawaii by 1.4 (22.1 - 20.7) 57.7% Hawaii
Sat 8:00 PM FS1 Tulsa at UTEP 10 Tulsa by 5.9 (32.1 - 26.2) 67.9% UTEP
Sat 8:30 PM ESPN Texas A&M at Ole Miss 6.5 Texas A&M by 2.7 (41.3 - 38.5) 60.9% Ole Miss
Sat 10:00 PM Pac-12 Colorado at Arizona State -25 Arizona State by 17.5 (39.7 - 22.2) 88.7% Colorado
Sat 10:30 PM ESPN2 California at UCLA -25 UCLA by 25.3 (36.7 - 11.4) 98.1% UCLA
Sat 10:30 PM ESPNU Oregon State at Washington State -1 Washington State by 1.0 (33.8 - 32.9) 56.7% Oregon State

OLD METHOD

Day Time (ET) Game Spread Prediction Pick Different?
Thu 7:30 PM Rutgers at Louisville -19 Louisville by 36.1 Louisville
Thu 9:00 PM San Diego State at Air Force 4 San Diego State by 11.1 San Diego State
Thu 10:30 PM Arizona at USC -6 Arizona by 5.5 Arizona
Fri 8:30 PM Temple at Cincinnati -21 Cincinnati by 22.7 Cincinnati XXX
Sat 12:00 PM Eastern Michigan at Army -7.5 Army by 17.9 Army
Sat 12:00 PM Indiana at Michigan State -10 Michigan State by 15.2 Michigan State
Sat 12:00 PM Iowa State at Texas Tech -14.5 Texas Tech by 15.9 Texas Tech XXX
Sat 12:00 PM Kansas at TCU -25 TCU by 30.2 TCU XXX
Sat 12:00 PM Memphis at Houston -10 Houston by 5.5 Memphis
Sat 12:00 PM Missouri at Georgia -8 Georgia by 4.0 Missouri
Sat 12:00 PM Nebraska at Purdue 14 Nebraska by 20.3 Nebraska XXX
Sat 12:00 PM Oklahoma at Texas 14 Oklahoma by 21.7 Oklahoma
Sat 12:00 PM Pittsburgh at Virginia Tech -9 Virginia Tech by 15.3 Virginia Tech
Sat 12:00 PM South Florida at Connecticut -4.5 Connecticut by 7.5 Connecticut
Sat 12:21 PM South Carolina at Arkansas 6 South Carolina by 1.2 Arkansas
Sat 12:30 PM Navy at Duke -3 Duke by 1.3 Navy
Sat 2:00 PM Buffalo at Western Michigan 10.5 Buffalo by 15.0 Buffalo XXX
Sat 2:00 PM Central Michigan at Ohio -17 Ohio by 26.3 Ohio
Sat 3:00 PM Kent State at Ball State -14 Ball State by 27.1 Ball State
Sat 3:00 PM Miami-OH at Massachusetts -3.5 Massachusetts by 2.8 Miami-OH
Sat 3:30 PM Baylor at Kansas State 17 Baylor by 26.9 Baylor XXX
Sat 3:30 PM Boston College at Clemson -24.5 Clemson by 27.2 Clemson XXX
Sat 3:30 PM East Carolina at Tulane 10 East Carolina by 11.1 East Carolina XXX
Sat 3:30 PM Florida at LSU -7 Florida by 3.9 Florida
Sat 3:30 PM New Mexico at Wyoming -15.5 Wyoming by 14.9 New Mexico
Sat 3:30 PM Northwestern at Wisconsin -10 Wisconsin by 12.6 Wisconsin XXX
Sat 3:30 PM San Jose State at Colorado State -4 Colorado State by 10.4 Colorado State
Sat 3:30 PM Syracuse at NC State -7 NC State by 5.0 Syracuse
Sat 3:30 PM Troy at Georgia State 17.5 Troy by 8.0 Georgia State
Sat 3:30 PM Virginia at Maryland -7 Maryland by 14.2 Maryland
Sat 4:00 PM Oregon at Washington 13.5 Oregon by 5.0 Washington
Sat 4:00 PM Rice at UTSA -2.5 Rice by 4.2 Rice
Sat 5:00 PM Akron at Northern Illinois -23 Northern Illinois by 28.3 Northern Illinois XXX
Sat 5:00 PM Marshall at Florida Atlantic 13 Marshall by 2.9 Florida Atlantic
Sat 5:00 PM Michigan at Penn State 3 Michigan by 8.2 Michigan
Sat 6:00 PM Stanford at Utah 9 Stanford by 8.5 Utah
Sat 7:00 PM Alabama at Kentucky 27.5 Alabama by 28.9 Alabama XXX
Sat 7:00 PM Georgia Tech at BYU -7 BYU by 17.8 BYU
Sat 7:00 PM Idaho at Arkansas State -24.5 Arkansas State by 19.3 Idaho
Sat 7:00 PM Middle Tennessee at North Texas -7 North Texas by 13.1 North Texas
Sat 7:00 PM UL-Monroe at Texas State -7 Texas State by 14.2 Texas State
Sat 7:30 PM Bowling Green at Mississippi State -10.5 Mississippi State by 8.3 Bowling Green
Sat 7:30 PM UAB at Florida International 7 UAB by 10.3 UAB XXX
Sat 8:00 PM Boise State at Utah State 7 Utah State by 8.5 Utah State
Sat 8:00 PM Hawaii at UNLV -10 Hawaii by 4.5 Hawaii
Sat 8:00 PM Tulsa at UTEP 10 Tulsa by 11.0 Tulsa XXX
Sat 8:30 PM Texas A&M at Ole Miss 6.5 Texas A&M by 6.5 Ole Miss
Sat 10:00 PM Colorado at Arizona State -25 Arizona State by 25.4 Arizona State XXX
Sat 10:30 PM California at UCLA -25 UCLA by 37.9 UCLA
Sat 10:30 PM Oregon State at Washington State -1 Oregon State by 0.6 Oregon State