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Study Hall: Florida State 48, Boston College 34

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Jim Rogash

Confused? Visit the Advanced Stats glossary here. Or just skip to the words. I won't be offended. (Okay, I'll only be a little offended.)

Florida State 48, Boston College 34

FSU BC FSU BC
Close % 94.9% STANDARD DOWNS
Field Position % 44.4% 46.6% Success Rate 61.9% 46.2%
Leverage % 66.7% 59.1% PPP 0.72 0.50
S&P 1.342 0.965
TOTAL
EqPts 47.3 38.2 PASSING DOWNS
Close Success Rate 54.0% 39.4% Success Rate 38.1% 29.6%
Close PPP 0.75 0.47 PPP 0.81 0.41
Close S&P 1.291 0.861 S&P 1.189 0.711
RUSHING TURNOVERS
EqPts 18.8 20.0 Number 1 1
Close Success Rate 59.4% 39.5% Turnover Pts 2.5 2.9
Close PPP 0.59 0.38 Turnover Pts Margin +0.4 -0.4
Close S&P 1.181 0.780
Line Yards/carry 3.86 2.92 Q1 S&P 0.744 1.212
Q2 S&P 2.043 0.676
PASSING Q3 S&P 1.473 0.808
EqPts 28.5 18.2 Q4 S&P 0.536 0.966
Close Success Rate 48.4% 39.3%
Close PPP 0.92 0.58 1st Down S&P 1.385 0.837
Close S&P 1.404 0.972 2nd Down S&P 1.113 1.131
SD/PD Sack Rate 8.3% / 6.3% 5.9% / 21.4% 3rd Down S&P 1.364 0.583
Projected Pt. Margin: Florida State +9.5 | Actual Pt. Margin: Florida State +14

Prototypical jetlag game, right? Home team jumps on visiting favorite early (BC gained 160 to FSU's 52 early in the game and went up 17-3), visiting favorite rebounds (FSU outgains BC, 437-217, the rest of the way and coasts). Early success aside, BC couldn't stay ahead of schedule very well at all and fell into too many passing downs. And you're just not going to beat FSU if you're constantly in second- or third-and-long.