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- Week 1: 22-19 (53.7%)
Week 2: 22-23 (48.9%) - TOTAL: 44-42 (51.2%)
It says a lot about my expectations that I was thrilled with a 22-23 week last week. But if these picks are still at or around .500 at the end of September, good things should start to happen. As I say every time, when you phase out the projections, phase in opponent adjustments, and use a little bit of raw, early data, you're going to have some potentially iffy picks. Last week, the picks held steady. This week? We'll see. I actually like these picks quite a bit more than last week (though I think UNLV's sorry enough that Wazzu should cover), but ... that means next to nothing.
| Day | Time (ET) |
TV | Away | Home | Winner | Spread (Home) |
Pick |
| Thursday | 7:30pm | ESPN | Rutgers | South Florida | USF by 8.8 | -7.5 | USF |
| Day | Time (ET) |
TV | Away | Home | Winner | Spread (Home) |
Pick |
| Friday | 9:00pm | ESPN | Washington St. | UNLV | Wazzu by 4.9 | 8.5 | UNLV |
| Day | Time (ET) |
TV | Away | Home | Winner | Spread (Home) |
Pick |
| Saturday | 12:00pm | ESPN | Wake Forest | Florida St. | FSU by 28.4 | -28.0 | FSU |
| Saturday | 12:00pm | BTN | W. Michigan | Minnesota | Minnesota by 0.2 | -2.5 | WMU |
| Saturday | 12:00pm | ESPN2 | Arkansas St. | Nebraska | Nebraska by 26.1 | -24.5 | NU |
| Saturday | 12:00pm | ABC | California | Ohio St. | Ohio State by 15.7 | -16.5 | California |
| Saturday | 12:00pm | Reg. FSN | UL-Lafayette | Okla. St. | OSU by 30.8 | -22.5 | OSU |
| Saturday | 12:00pm | ESPNU | Va. Tech | Pittsburgh | Va. Tech by 11.3 | 10.5 | Va. Tech |
| Saturday | 12:00pm | CBS Sports | N. Illinois | Army | NIU by 15 | 3.0 | NIU |
| Saturday | 12:00pm | FX | TCU | Kansas | TCU by 29.7 | 20.5 | TCU |
| Saturday | 12:00pm | BTN | E. Michigan | Purdue | Purdue by 19.7 | -24.0 | EMU |
| Saturday | 12:21pm | SEC | UL-Monroe | Auburn | Auburn by 19.9 | -16.5 | Auburn |
| Saturday | 12:30pm | ESPN3 | UConn | Maryland | Maryland by 1.5 | 3.0 | Maryland |
| Saturday | 3:30pm | CBS | Alabama | Arkansas | Alabama by 22.7 | 20.5 | Alabama |
| Saturday | 3:30pm | ESPNU | Virginia | Ga. Tech | Ga. Tech by 12.8 | -10.5 | Ga. Tech |
| Saturday | 3:30pm | BTN | B.C. | NW'ern | B.C. by 2.7 | -3.5 | B.C. |
| Saturday | 3:30pm | ABC/ESPN2 | N. Carolina | Louisville | Louisville by 1.9 | -3.0 | UNC |
| Saturday | 3:30pm | BTN | UMass | Michigan | Michigan by 44.1 | -45.5 | UMass |
| Saturday | 3:30pm | ABC/ESPN2 | Navy | Penn St. | Penn St. by 14.9 | -6.0 | Penn St. |
| Saturday | 3:30pm | Reg. FSN | Texas A&M | SMU | A&M by 17.3 | 12.5 | A&M |
| Saturday | 3:30pm | CBS Sports | E. Carolina | So. Miss | USM by 11.4 | -7.0 | USM |
| Saturday | 4:00pm | NBC Sports | Miami-OH | Boise St. | BSU by 22.1 | -21.0 | BSU |
| Saturday | 4:00pm | CSBA | FIU | UCF | UCF by 19.1 | -16.5 | UCF |
| Saturday | 6:00pm | ESPN3 | S. Alabama | N.C. State | N.C. St. by 32.5 | -31.0 | N.C. St. |
| Saturday | 6:00pm | ESPN | Florida | Tennessee | Tennessee by 1.9 | -3.0 | Florida |
| Saturday | 6:30pm | Ohio | Marshall | Ohio by 5.9 | 6.5 | Marshall | |
| Saturday | 7:00pm | ESPNU | W. Kentucky | Kentucky | Kentucky by 8.3 | -7.0 | Kentucky |
| Saturday | 7:00pm | Mid. Tenn. | Memphis | Memphis by 0.7 | 3.5 | Memphis | |
| Saturday | 7:00pm | Reg. FSN | N. Texas | Kansas St. | KSU by 28.3 | -28.0 | KSU |
| Saturday | 7:00pm | ESPN3 | Rice | La. Tech | La. Tech by 19 | -20.5 | Rice |
| Saturday | 7:00pm | ESPN3 | UAB | S. Carolina | S. Carolina by 34.9 | -33.5 | S. Carolina |
| Saturday | 7:00pm | FCSP | New Mexico | Texas Tech | Texas Tech by 41.1 | -32.0 | Texas Tech |
| Saturday | 7:00pm | ESPN3 | Bowling Green | Toledo | Toledo by 5.9 | -3.5 | Toledo |
| Saturday | 7:00pm | ESPN3 | Miss. St. | Troy | MSU by 20.5 | 16.5 | MSU |
| Saturday | 7:00pm | ESPN2 | Arizona St. | Missouri | Missouri by 4.7 | -6.0 | Arizona St. |
| Saturday | 7:30pm | Fox | USC | Stanford | Stanford by 2.7 | 9.5 | Stanford |
| Saturday | 7:30pm | ESPN3 | FAU | Georgia | Georgia by 48.1 | -42.0 | Georgia |
| Saturday | 8:00pm | ESPN3 | Colorado St. | San Jose St. | SJSU by 4.1 | -11.0 | CSU |
| Saturday | 8:00pm | BTN | Ball State | Indiana | Indiana by 7.9 | -2.5 | Indiana |
| Saturday | 8:00pm | ESPN3 | Idaho | LSU | LSU by 54.1 | -42.0 | LSU |
| Saturday | 8:00pm | ABC | Notre Dame | Michigan St. | State by 0.7 | -6.0 | Irish |
| Saturday | 8:00pm | BTN | Utah State | Wisconsin | Wiscy by 20 | -13.0 | Wiscy |
| Saturday | 8:00pm | CBS Sports | Colorado | Fresno St. | FSU by 12.2 | -15.5 | Colorado |
| Saturday | 8:00pm | ESPN3 | NMSU | UTEP | UTEP by 16.3 | -11.5 | UTEP |
| Saturday | 9:15pm | ESPN | Texas | Ole Miss | Texas by 14.9 | 9.5 | Texas |
| Saturday | 10:00pm | ESPN2 | BYU | Utah | Utah by 0.8 | 4.0 | Utah |
| Saturday | 10:30pm | Pac-12 | Houston | UCLA | UCLA by 9.6 | -17.0 | Houston |