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When the 1:00pm games ended last Saturday, the F/+ picks stood at 9-10 for the week. The rest of the way, the picks went 25-10. Just not a fast starter, I guess.
- Week 1: 22-19 (53.7%)
Week 2: 22-23 (48.9%)
Week 3: 24-23 (51.1%)
Week 4: 30-19 (61.2%)
Week 5: 21-29-1 (42.2%)
Week 6: 26-27-1 (49.1%)
Week 7: 34-20 (62.9%) - Total: 179-160-2 (52.8%)
Those of you who have followed Football Outsiders for a while know that seven weeks is a benchmark of sorts. It's when preseason projections have been completely phased out in favor of opponent-adjusted data that is still a bit unstable here and there, and beginning last year, the seven-week mark is also when a special teams component gets added to the formulas. I hate changing anything after another good week last week, but c'est la vie. Besides, no matter what was done with the numbers, I would say another 40% week is inevitable. Week 4 was great ... and Vegas' Week 5 retribution was swift and cruel.
By the way, when you look at the spreads below, take note of this: Of this week's 55 remaining games, nine have road teams favored by at least 10.5 points. Meanwhile, 22 have road favorites overall. To me, that is a formula for a wacky week of upsets and general craziness. Should be fun.
Day | Time | TV | Away | Home | Winner | Spread | Pick |
Day | Time | TV | Away | Home | Winner | Spread | Pick |
Thursday | 9:00pm | ESPN | Oregon | Arizona St. | Oregon by 13.5 | 7.5 | Oregon |
Day | Time | TV | Away | Home | Winner | Spread | Pick |
Day | Time | TV | Away | Home | Winner | Spread | Pick |
Saturday | 12:00pm | Big East | Rutgers | Temple | Rutgers by 5.9 | 5.5 | Rutgers |
Saturday | 12:00pm | ESPN3 | NIU | Akron | NIU by 16.6 | 16.5 | NIU |
Saturday | 12:21pm | SEC | Auburn | Vanderbilt | Vandy by 1.3 | -7.0 | Auburn |
Saturday | 12:30pm | ESPN3 | Wake Forest | Virginia | Virginia by 2.4 | -3.0 | Wake Forest |
Saturday | 1:00pm | ESPN3 | Army | E. Michigan | EMU by 2.8 | 3.0 | EMU |
Saturday | 2:00pm | ESPN3 | San Jose St. | UTSA | SJSU by 19 | 10.5 | SJSU |
Saturday | 3:00pm | Fox | Stanford | California | Stanford by 5.4 | 2.5 | Stanford |
Saturday | 3:00pm | ESPN3 | NMSU | Utah St. | Utah St. by 36.2 | -30.5 | Utah St. |
Saturday | 3:30pm | CBS | S. Carolina | Florida | Florida by 9.2 | -3.5 | Florida |
Saturday | 3:30pm | NBC Sports | UNLV | Boise St. | Boise St. by 20.6 | -28.0 | UNLV |
Saturday | 3:30pm | ESPN2 | Nebraska | Northwestern | NW'ern by 3.1 | 6.5 | NW'ern |
Saturday | 3:30pm | ABC/ESPN3 | S. Florida | Louisville | Louisville by 5.2 | -6.5 | USF |
Saturday | 3:30pm | ESPNU | N.C. St. | Maryland | NC St. by 0.4 | 3.0 | Maryland |
Saturday | 3:30pm | BTN | Michigan St. | Michigan | Michigan by 3.5 | -9.5 | Michigan St. |
Saturday | 3:30pm | FSN | Rice | Tulsa | Tulsa by 17.3 | -21.0 | Rice |
Saturday | 3:30pm | ESPN3 | Ball St. | C. Michigan | Ball St. by 5.7 | 3.0 | Ball St. |
Saturday | 3:30pm | W. Michigan | Kent St. | Kent St. by 6.7 | -3.5 | Kent St. | |
Saturday | 3:30pm | CBS Sports | Indiana | Navy | Indiana by 11.1 | -2.5 | Indiana |
Saturday | 3:30pm | ABC/ESPN2 | Texas Tech | TCU | Tex. Tech by 10.2 | 1.0 | Tex. Tech |
Saturday | 4:00pm | ESPN3 | UL-Monroe | W. Ky. | WKU by 3.3 | -3.5 | UL-Monroe |
Saturday | 7:00pm | ESPN3 | Georgia | Kentucky | Georgia by 22.9 | 27.5 | Kentucky |
Saturday | 7:00pm | FSN | Kansas | Oklahoma | Oklahoma by 38.3 | -35.0 | Oklahoma |
Saturday | 7:00pm | Fox | Kansas St. | W. Virginia | Kansas St. by 11.6 | -2.5 | Kansas St. |
Saturday | 7:00pm | New Mexico | Air Force | Air Force by 10 | -11.0 | New Mexico | |
Saturday | 7:00pm | CBS Sports | Marshall | So. Miss | Marshall by 3.1 | -2.5 | Marshall |
Saturday | 7:00pm | ESPN | Alabama | Tennessee | Alabama by 27.3 | 20.0 | Alabama |
Saturday | 7:00pm | ESPN3 | Cincinnati | Toledo | Cincinnati by 5.4 | 7.0 | Toledo |
Saturday | 8:00pm | CSS | UCF | Memphis | UCF by 17.5 | 21.0 | Memphis |
Saturday | 10:00pm | Pac-12 | Washington | Arizona | Arizona by 10.5 | -8.0 | Arizona |
Saturday | 10:30pm | ESPN2 | Utah | Oregon St. | Oregon St. by 25.6 | -10.5 | Oregon St. |
Saturday | 10:35pm | CBS Sports | San Diego St. | Nevada | Nevada by 4.6 | -6.5 | SDSU |