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Study Hall: Maryland 32, Miami 24

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Maryland 32, Miami-FL 24

Maryland Miami-FL Maryland Miami-FL
Close % 100.0% STANDARD DOWNS
Field Position % 64.1% 44.1% Success Rate 50.0% 50.0%
Leverage % 69.2% 67.7% PPP 0.20 0.29
S&P 0.703 0.786
EqPts 26.0 18.6 PASSING DOWNS
Close Success Rate 52.6% 42.7% Success Rate 58.3% 27.3%
Close PPP 0.33 0.27 PPP 0.63 0.25
Close S&P 0.859 0.700 S&P 1.210 0.519
EqPts 7.6 13.5 Number 1 4
Close Success Rate 52.9% 44.7% Turnover Pts 6.8 25.3
Close PPP 0.22 0.36 Turnover Pts Margin +18.5 -18.5
Close S&P 0.754 0.803
Line Yards/carry 2.91 3.05 Q1 S&P 1.044 0.382
Q2 S&P 0.734 1.134
PASSING Q3 S&P 0.734 1.164
EqPts 18.3 5.0 Q4 S&P 0.839 0.359
Close Success Rate 52.3% 40.0%
Close PPP 0.42 0.17 1st Down S&P 0.720 0.656
Close S&P 0.940 0.568 2nd Down S&P 1.009 0.883
SD/PD Sack Rate 0.0% / 0.0% 6.3% / 7.1% 3rd Down S&P 0.839 0.771
Projected Pt. Margin: Maryland +25.9 | Actual Pt. Margin: Maryland +8

Five Thoughts:

  1. Maryland dominated the field position battle, outgained Miami significantly in terms of both yards and EqPts, dwarfed the Hurricanes in terms of efficiency, broke huge plays on passing downs, and performed better on first, second and third down. Oh, and they raked in almost a 19-point turnovers advantage. How in the hell did they only win by eight?

  2. Actually, I know the answer -- I touched on it earlier this week. Miami made four trips inside Maryland's 30 and scored three touchdowns and 24 points. Maryland made seven trips inside Miami's 30, scored one touchdown, attempted five field goals and threw a pick. That's 19 points. You can dominate every aspect of the game, but you've still got to put the ball into the end zone a bit.

  3. When I saw that quarterback Jacory Harris was already named the Miami starter moving forward, now that he's no longer suspended, I was a bit surprised. He and Stephen Morris were supposedly in a bit of a dead heat for the No. 1 spot in August, and it felt like Morris really didn't do too bad a job in College Park (until the dual picks in the final minute). The problem was that he was the anti-Jacory, playing quite conservatively and going for efficiency over any semblance of big plays. That's not the worst thing in the world -- after all, they almost won a game in which they were dominated -- but it's not exactly awe-inspiring. Of course, Harris' history is one of the opposite problem

  4. Meanwhile, Danny O'Brien probably doesn't face the same starter uncertainty. Maryland's quarterback was extremely efficient (anything over 50% is outstanding) but still managed to complete passes of 20+ yards to four different receivers. Maryland's passing game was the best unit on the field, especially to the extent that receiver Kevin Dorsey (124 yards) was involved.

  5. Maryland looked solid, but the fact that Miami almost stole this game says good things about their ceiling in 2011. With all the turmoil and suspensions coming from the Nevin Shapiro saga, they were still competitive on the road with a thinned-out squad. Granted, they had no business coming within eight points and probably wouldn't if the two teams played again, but still.