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Week Three F/+ Picks

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We're going with a bare-bones post today ... no "Picks That Make Me Queasy" or anything after the jump. Which is just as well, really: the "Picks That Make Me Queasy" went 3-2 last week, the "Picks That Don't" went 2-3. So don't trust a word I say if predictions are involved.

Last Week's Results


Week 2 Season
Type/Range
W-L
Win%
W-L
Win%
ALL GAMES
21-23-1
47.8%
45-39-1 53.5%
Upset Picks 3-2
60.0%
6-3 66.7%
0-5 point spread
2-4-1
35.7%
5-7-1 42.3%
5-10 points
9-8
52.9%
13-10 56.5%
10-20 points
5-7
41.7%
9-11 45.0%
20-30 points
3-4
42.9%
10-8 55.6%
30+ points
2-0
100.0%
5-2 71.4%

As I mentioned earlier this week, last week was challenging, but until I figure out the best way to wean off of preseason projections and into real data, Weeks 2-5 are probably going to be the worst-performing weeks for me. Fills you with confidence in the below projections, eh?

Date Time (ET) Game Spread
(Home)
Winner ATS Pick
15-Sep 8:00 PM LSU at Mississippi State (ESPN) 4.5 LSU by 15.5 LSU
16-Sep 8:00 PM Iowa State at Connecticut (ESPN2) -4.5 UConn by 16 UConn
16-Sep 8:00 PM Boise State at Toledo (ESPN) 20.5 Boise State by 23.2 Boise State
17-Sep 12:00 PM West Virginia at Maryland (ESPNU) -1.5 WVU by 5.5 WVU
17-Sep 12:00 PM Eastern Michigan at Michigan (BTN) -29.0 Michigan by 35.9 Michigan
17-Sep 12:00 PM Wyoming at Bowling Green (ESPN3) -9.0 BGSU by 8.5 Wyoming
17-Sep 12:00 PM Penn State at Temple (ESPN) 7.5 Penn State by 6.5 Temple
17-Sep 12:00 PM Auburn at Clemson (ABC) -3.0 Auburn by 1.3 Auburn
17-Sep 12:00 PM Pittsburgh at Iowa (ESPN2) -3.0 Pittsburgh by 0 Pittsburgh
17-Sep 12:00 PM C. Michigan at W. Michigan (ESPN3) -8.0 WMU by 3 CMU
17-Sep 12:21 PM Ole Miss at Vanderbilt (ESPN3) 1.5 Ole Miss by 5.8 Ole Miss
17-Sep 12:30 PM Kansas at Georgia Tech (ESPN3) -15.0 Georgia Tech by 27.4 Georgia Tech
17-Sep 12:30 PM Duke at Boston College (ESPN3) -7.0 B.C. by 12.5 B.C.
17-Sep 1:30 PM Colorado State at Colorado (FSN) -7.5 Colorado by 12 Colorado
17-Sep 2:00 PM UL-Monroe at TCU (MTN) -28.5 TCU by 28.9 TCU
17-Sep 3:30 PM Texas at UCLA (ABC/ESPN) 4.0 Texas by 6.7 Texas
17-Sep 3:30 PM Tennessee at Florida (CBS) -9.0 Florida by 17.6 Florida
17-Sep 3:30 PM Michigan State at Notre Dame (NBC) -4.5 Notre Dame by 6.1 Notre Dame
17-Sep 3:30 PM Miami-OH at Minnesota (BTN) -4.5 Minnesota by 7 Minnesota
17-Sep 3:30 PM Virginia at North Carolina (ESPNU) -10.0 UNC by 14.5 UNC
17-Sep 3:30 PM Washington at Nebraska (ABC/ESPN) -17.0 Nebraska by 19.2 Nebraska
17-Sep 3:30 PM Texas Tech at New Mexico (VS) 21.0 Texas Tech by 26.8 Texas Tech
17-Sep 3:30 PM Northwestern at Army (CBS) 8.0 NW'ern by 15.5 NW'ern
17-Sep 3:30 PM Akron at Cincinnati (ESPN3) -35.0 Cincinnati by 32.2 Akron
17-Sep 3:30 PM Wisconsin at N. Illinois (ESPN3) 17.5 Wisconsin by 14.2 NIU
17-Sep 4:00 PM Tulane at UAB -13.0 UAB by 4.6 Tulane
17-Sep 4:00 PM Nevada at San Jose State (ESPN3) 6.5 Nevada by 6.5 Nevada
17-Sep 4:00 PM Arkansas St. at Va. Tech (ESPN3) -24.0 Va. Tech by 32.9 Va. Tech
17-Sep 6:00 PM Central Florida at Fla. Int'l (ESPN3) 5.0 UCF by 5 UCF
17-Sep 6:00 PM Navy at South Carolina (ESPN2) -17.0 S. Caro. by 12.6 Navy
17-Sep 6:30 PM Wash. St. at San Diego St. (MTN) -5.0 SDSU by 4.3 Wazzu
17-Sep 7:00 PM Louisville at Kentucky (ESPNU) -6.0 Kentucky by 6.4 Kentucky
17-Sep 7:00 PM Marshall at Ohio (ESPN3) -3.0 Ohio by 8.5 Ohio
17-Sep 7:00 PM Idaho at Texas A&M -36.0 Texas A&M by 32.8 Idaho
17-Sep 7:00 PM Arizona State at Illinois (BTN) -1.0 Illinois by 1.1 Illinois
17-Sep 7:00 PM Buffalo at Ball State (NeuLion) -5.0 Ball State by 3 Buffalo
17-Sep 7:00 PM Kent State at Kansas State (FCSC) -17.5 Kansas St. by 15.9 Kent State
17-Sep 7:00 PM Houston at Louisiana Tech (ESPN3) 7.0 Houston by 5 La. Tech
17-Sep 7:30 PM Troy at Arkansas (ESPN3) -23.0 Arkansas by 29.7 Arkansas
17-Sep 7:30 PM North Texas at Alabama (ESPN3) -45.5 Alabama by 53.4 Alabama
17-Sep 7:30 PM Ohio State at Miami-FL (ESPN) -3.0 Ohio State by 3.8 Ohio State
17-Sep 8:00 PM Syracuse at USC (FX) -17.0 USC by 18.4 USC
17-Sep 8:00 PM Oklahoma at Florida State (ABC) 3.5 Florida St. by 1.2 Florida St.
17-Sep 8:00 PM UTEP at New Mexico State (ESPN3) -3.0 UTEP by 2.8 UTEP
17-Sep 9:15 PM Utah at BYU (ESPN2) -4.0 BYU by 3.7 Utah
17-Sep 10:00 PM Oklahoma State at Tulsa (FSN) 14.0 Okla. St. by 14.8 Okla. St.
17-Sep 10:00 PM Hawaii at UNLV (MTN) 20.5 Hawaii by 25.6 Hawaii
17-Sep 10:45 PM Stanford at Arizona (ESPN) 10.5 Stanford by 14.0 Stanford