Iowa State 44, Iowa 41 |
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| Iowa | Iowa State | Iowa | Iowa State | |||
| Close % | 100.0% | STANDARD DOWNS | ||||
| Field Position % | 58.3% | 66.7% | Success Rate | 43.8% | 48.5% | |
| Leverage % | 66.7% | 73.3% | PPP | 0.26 | 0.27 | |
| S&P | 0.701 | 0.752 | ||||
| TOTAL | ||||||
| EqPts | 24.1 | 31.5 | PASSING DOWNS | |||
| Close Success Rate | 38.9% | 50.0% | Success Rate | 29.2% | 54.2% | |
| Close PPP | 0.33 | 0.35 | PPP | 0.48 | 0.58 | |
| Close S&P | 0.724 | 0.850 | S&P | 0.770 | 1.122 | |
| RUSHING | TURNOVERS | |||||
| EqPts | 10.0 | 11.9 | Number | 1 | 3 | |
| Close Success Rate | 40.5% | 47.1% | Turnover Pts | 5.2 | 16.3 | |
| Close PPP | 0.24 | 0.23 | Turnover Pts Margin | +11.1 | -11.1 | |
| Close S&P | 0.643 | 0.704 | ||||
| Line Yards/carry | 3.16 | 2.94 | Q1 S&P | 0.996 | 0.826 | |
| Q2 S&P | 0.231 | 0.790 | ||||
| PASSING | Q3 S&P | 0.408 | 0.689 | |||
| EqPts | 14.1 | 19.6 | Q4 S&P | 0.917 | 0.831 | |
| Close Success Rate | 36.7% | 53.9% | ||||
| Close PPP | 0.47 | 0.50 | 1st Down S&P | 0.557 | 0.599 | |
| Close S&P | 0.838 | 1.041 | 2nd Down S&P | 0.737 | 0.749 | |
| SD/PD Sack Rate | 0.0% / 6.7% | 0.0% / 6.7% | 3rd Down S&P | 1.045 | 1.359 | |
| Projected Pt. Margin: Iowa +3.7 | Actual Pt. Margin: Iowa State +3 | ||||||
Five Thoughts
- This is the Iowa defense, right? Because giving up big passing downs gain after big passing downs gain doesn't seem like the Iowa defense. Iowa is dealing with a lot of turnover right now, and on Saturday, a general lack of experience led to a general lack of discipline on passing downs.
- The first thing we remember from this game is Steele Jantz making some plays with his legs. But what won the game for ISU was Jantz's sudden ability to pass. A week after completing 18 of 40 passes to his team and three more to Northern Iowa, Jantz torched Iowa for 279 yards, four touchdowns, no picks and a 1.041 Passing S&P.
- Iowa running back Marcus Coker gained 140 yards in 35 carries. Efficient, but completely lacking in explosiveness. If you believe the line yardage figure, more than three-quarters of those yards were attributable to the offensive line. They did their job, and it's possible that Coker didn't make the most of his opportunities.
- This game was the polar opposite of Minnesota-NMSU. In that game, both teams moved the ball until third down, then fell apart. In this game, teams didn't move the ball until third down.
- One quarter in, it looked like this wasn't going to be much of a game. ISU blew a chance by losing a fumble on a bad snap from the Iowa 5, and UI marched 82 yards for a touchdown. ISU went three-and-out (stuffed on third-and-1), and the quarter ended with Iowa marching for what would end up a field goal. It seemed ISU was too mistake-prone, and Iowa was just too damn physical. But starting with a Coker fumble inside the Iowa red zone, the game flipped.