UPDATE: Proven Programs And The Iowa Hawkeyes is now up at the mothership.
The 2011 season will shine a light on the future of the Iowa program. With sophomores like Marcus Coker and James Morris already having made names for themselves, and with so many other sophomores who played at least minor roles in 2010, the future will be on display. A division title run would make the Hawkeyes potentially heavy division favorites in coming years, but really, simple progress is the key. Avoid a crippling backslide, make a decent bowl (not hard to do with the Big Ten's bowl affiliations) and build for 2012.
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Who faded and who surged is not a new topic in these Nerd Tidbits, but considering where Iowa was on November 1, we're going to take a before-and-after approach to the topic today. Despite only a 6-2 record, Iowa ranked fourth in overall F/+ ratings after nine weeks because, as I put it in today's Iowa piece, "a) they played well in both losses, and b) they played really, really well in most of their wins." A month later, they were barely in the Top 25. A win over Missouri in the Insight Bowl made sure they continued to have a place in the Top 25, but their fade in November was stark.
So here's a look at the rankings heading into Week 10 of the season, as compared to the rankings at the end of the season.
| Team | Wk 10 Record |
Wk 10 F/+ |
Rk | Final Record |
Final F/+ |
Rk | F/+ Chg |
| Iowa | 6-2 | +24.7% | 4 | 8-5 | +14.8% | 21 | -10.0% |
| Nebraska | 7-1 | +24.9% | 3 | 10-4 | +15.0% | 20 | -9.9% |
| Oregon State | 4-3 | +18.1% | 15 | 5-7 | +9.2% | 35 | -8.9% |
| Arizona | 7-1 | +15.8% | 18 | 7-6 | +8.7% | 36 | -7.1% |
| Hawaii | 7-2 | +10.0% | 31 | 10-4 | +3.0% | 49 | -7.0% |
| Florida Atlantic | 2-5 | -8.3% | 87 | 4-8 | -15.1% | 104 | -6.8% |
| Vanderbilt | 2-6 | -6.5% | 82 | 2-10 | -13.2% | 96 | -6.7% |
| Texas | 4-4 | +5.0% | 41 | 5-7 | -1.6% | 65 | -6.6% |
| UAB | 3-5 | -1.4% | 63 | 4-8 | -7.4% | 82 | -6.0% |
| Michigan State | 8-1 | +16.2% | 17 | 11-2 | +10.2% | 30 | -6.0% |
| East Carolina | 5-3 | +3.5% | 47 | 6-7 | -2.4% | 67 | -5.9% |
| Utah | 8-0 | +14.7% | 23 | 10-3 | +9.7% | 32 | -5.0% |
| Missouri | 7-1 | +22.6% | 7 | 10-3 | +17.6% | 16 | -5.0% |
| UCLA | 3-5 | -0.1% | 59 | 4-8 | -5.0% | 72 | -5.0% |
| Colorado State | 3-6 | -17.1% | 109 | 3-9 | -21.9% | 115 | -4.8% |
| California | 4-4 | +1.7% | 55 | 5-7 | -2.8% | 68 | -4.5% |
| Baylor | 7-2 | +3.7% | 46 | 7-6 | -0.7% | 62 | -4.4% |
| Army | 5-3 | -1.1% | 62 | 7-6 | -5.4% | 74 | -4.2% |
| Syracuse | 6-2 | +3.9% | 44 | 8-5 | -0.3% | 57 | -4.2% |
| USC | 5-3 | +14.8% | 22 | 8-5 | +10.7% | 27 | -4.1% |
| Bowling Green | 2-7 | -14.6% | 102 | 2-10 | -18.7% | 110 | -4.1% |
| Buffalo | 2-6 | -15.7% | 105 | 2-10 | -19.8% | 111 | -4.1% |
| Ohio | 6-3 | -7.5% | 84 | 8-5 | -11.6% | 91 | -4.1% |
| Ole Miss | 3-5 | +2.8% | 50 | 4-8 | -1.0% | 63 | -3.7% |
| Kentucky | 4-5 | +7.1% | 36 | 6-7 | +3.5% | 47 | -3.6% |
Iowa and Nebraska went from powerful future rivals to ... future rivals. Though while neither team is projected to enter the national title hunt in 2011 by any means, it is still certainly shaping up to be an interesting division race.
Full list after the jump.
| Team | Wk 10 Record |
Wk 10 F/+ |
Rk | Final Record |
Final F/+ |
Rk | F/+ Chg |
| Michigan | 5-3 | +8.6% | 34 | 7-6 | +5.2% | 42 | -3.4% |
| Colorado | 3-5 | -1.7% | 66 | 5-7 | -4.9% | 71 | -3.2% |
| Louisiana Tech | 3-5 | -5.4% | 76 | 5-7 | -8.5% | 86 | -3.1% |
| Virginia | 4-4 | -4.6% | 72 | 4-8 | -7.7% | 83 | -3.1% |
| Utah State | 2-6 | -11.3% | 92 | 4-8 | -14.3% | 101 | -3.0% |
| Temple | 7-2 | -2.4% | 68 | 8-4 | -5.5% | 76 | -3.0% |
| Tulane | 3-5 | -12.7% | 96 | 4-8 | -15.7% | 105 | -3.0% |
| Houston | 5-3 | -3.0% | 69 | 5-7 | -5.9% | 79 | -2.9% |
| Central Florida | 6-2 | +9.6% | 32 | 11-3 | +7.1% | 37 | -2.5% |
| Illinois | 5-3 | +11.9% | 27 | 7-6 | +9.4% | 33 | -2.5% |
| Eastern Michigan | 1-8 | -18.5% | 112 | 2-10 | -20.9% | 112 | -2.4% |
| Rutgers | 4-3 | -5.7% | 78 | 4-8 | -8.1% | 84 | -2.4% |
| Idaho | 4-4 | -11.9% | 94 | 6-7 | -14.2% | 99 | -2.3% |
| Kansas State | 5-3 | +3.4% | 48 | 7-6 | +1.2% | 52 | -2.2% |
| Cincinnati | 3-5 | +2.6% | 51 | 4-8 | +0.6% | 54 | -2.1% |
| Miami | 5-3 | +17.5% | 16 | 7-6 | +15.5% | 19 | -2.0% |
| SMU | 5-4 | +1.5% | 56 | 7-7 | -0.5% | 59 | -2.0% |
| Florida | 5-3 | +10.7% | 30 | 8-5 | +9.2% | 34 | -1.4% |
| Georgia | 4-5 | +11.9% | 28 | 6-7 | +10.5% | 29 | -1.4% |
| Indiana | 4-4 | -8.1% | 86 | 5-7 | -9.3% | 88 | -1.3% |
| Northwestern | 6-2 | -4.4% | 71 | 7-6 | -5.4% | 75 | -1.1% |
| Ball State | 2-7 | -20.6% | 114 | 4-8 | -21.7% | 114 | -1.0% |
| Wyoming | 2-7 | -15.5% | 104 | 3-9 | -16.4% | 106 | -0.9% |
| Troy | 4-3 | -2.4% | 67 | 8-5 | -3.3% | 69 | -0.9% |
| Air Force | 5-4 | +4.6% | 42 | 9-4 | +3.7% | 46 | -0.9% |
| Pittsburgh | 5-3 | +15.5% | 20 | 8-5 | +14.6% | 22 | -0.9% |
| Marshall | 2-6 | -11.7% | 93 | 5-7 | -12.5% | 95 | -0.8% |
| Iowa State | 5-4 | -6.3% | 81 | 5-7 | -7.0% | 81 | -0.7% |
| UNLV | 1-7 | -22.5% | 115 | 2-11 | -22.9% | 116 | -0.5% |
| UTEP | 5-4 | -17.8% | 110 | 6-7 | -18.1% | 109 | -0.3% |
| N.C. State | 6-2 | +14.1% | 25 | 9-4 | +13.7% | 23 | -0.3% |
| Mississippi State | 7-2 | +11.2% | 29 | 9-4 | +11.0% | 26 | -0.2% |
| South Carolina | 6-2 | +21.2% | 11 | 9-5 | +21.0% | 11 | -0.2% |
| North Carolina | 5-3 | +6.8% | 38 | 8-5 | +6.7% | 39 | -0.1% |
| UL-Lafayette | 2-6 | -14.6% | 103 | 3-9 | -14.7% | 103 | -0.1% |
| Virginia Tech | 6-2 | +21.3% | 9 | 11-3 | +21.2% | 10 | 0.0% |
| Middle Tennessee | 3-4 | -14.3% | 101 | 6-7 | -14.3% | 100 | 0.0% |
| Penn State | 5-3 | +2.3% | 52 | 7-6 | +2.3% | 50 | +0.1% |
| Georgia Tech | 5-3 | -1.5% | 65 | 6-7 | -1.4% | 64 | +0.1% |
| Oregon | 8-0 | +21.3% | 10 | 12-1 | +21.5% | 9 | +0.2% |
| Texas Tech | 4-4 | -0.8% | 60 | 8-5 | -0.6% | 61 | +0.2% |
| Duke | 2-6 | -6.2% | 79 | 3-9 | -5.9% | 80 | +0.3% |
| New Mexico | 0-8 | -27.8% | 119 | 1-11 | -27.4% | 119 | +0.4% |
| Kent State | 4-4 | -12.3% | 95 | 5-7 | -11.9% | 93 | +0.4% |
| Washington | 3-5 | +1.8% | 54 | 7-6 | +2.2% | 51 | +0.4% |
| Wake Forest | 2-6 | -13.9% | 99 | 3-9 | -13.3% | 97 | +0.6% |
| Central Michigan | 2-7 | -10.9% | 91 | 3-9 | -10.2% | 89 | +0.7% |
| Fresno State | 5-2 | -6.2% | 80 | 8-5 | -5.3% | 73 | +0.8% |
| Arkansas State | 3-5 | -5.6% | 77 | 4-8 | -4.7% | 70 | +0.9% |
| Memphis | 1-7 | -26.4% | 118 | 1-11 | -25.4% | 118 | +0.9% |
| Toledo | 6-3 | -9.6% | 88 | 8-5 | -8.4% | 85 | +1.2% |
| Rice | 2-6 | -18.4% | 111 | 4-8 | -17.1% | 108 | +1.2% |
| Florida International | 2-5 | -3.7% | 70 | 7-6 | -2.3% | 66 | +1.4% |
| Akron | 0-9 | -24.9% | 117 | 1-11 | -23.4% | 117 | +1.5% |
| Wisconsin | 7-1 | +18.7% | 13 | 11-2 | +20.4% | 12 | +1.6% |
| North Texas | 2-6 | -13.1% | 97 | 3-9 | -11.5% | 90 | +1.6% |
| Navy | 5-3 | +3.2% | 49 | 9-4 | +5.1% | 43 | +1.9% |
| South Florida | 4-3 | +3.7% | 45 | 8-5 | +5.7% | 41 | +1.9% |
| Washington State | 1-8 | -14.2% | 100 | 2-10 | -12.1% | 94 | +2.1% |
| Clemson | 4-4 | +9.1% | 33 | 6-7 | +11.2% | 25 | +2.2% |
| Western Kentucky | 1-7 | -16.8% | 108 | 2-10 | -14.6% | 102 | +2.2% |
| Arizona State | 4-4 | +4.5% | 43 | 6-6 | +6.9% | 38 | +2.4% |
| Ohio State | 8-1 | +23.8% | 6 | 12-1 | +26.4% | 5 | +2.7% |
| Boise State | 7-0 | +27.7% | 1 | 12-1 | +30.5% | 2 | +2.8% |
| Oklahoma State | 7-1 | +15.6% | 19 | 11-2 | +18.4% | 14 | +2.9% |
| UL-Monroe | 4-4 | -16.6% | 106 | 5-7 | -13.3% | 98 | +3.3% |
| San Jose State | 1-8 | -20.5% | 113 | 1-12 | -17.0% | 107 | +3.5% |
| TCU | 9-0 | +21.7% | 8 | 13-0 | +25.2% | 6 | +3.5% |
| LSU | 7-1 | +15.4% | 21 | 11-2 | +19.0% | 13 | +3.6% |
| Nevada | 7-1 | +7.0% | 37 | 13-1 | +10.7% | 28 | +3.7% |
| Kansas | 2-6 | -24.9% | 116 | 3-9 | -21.0% | 113 | +3.9% |
| Boston College | 3-5 | -0.9% | 61 | 7-6 | +3.1% | 48 | +3.9% |
| Oklahoma | 7-1 | +18.7% | 14 | 12-2 | +22.7% | 8 | +4.0% |
| Northern Illinois | 7-2 | +0.6% | 58 | 11-3 | +4.6% | 44 | +4.0% |
| Tulsa | 5-3 | -4.7% | 73 | 10-3 | -0.6% | 60 | +4.1% |
| New Mexico State | 2-6 | -33.8% | 120 | 2-10 | -29.5% | 120 | +4.2% |
| Western Michigan | 3-5 | -10.0% | 89 | 6-6 | -5.6% | 78 | +4.4% |
| Purdue | 4-4 | -13.2% | 98 | 4-8 | -8.7% | 87 | +4.4% |
| Tennessee | 2-6 | -5.0% | 75 | 6-7 | -0.5% | 58 | +4.5% |
| Minnesota | 1-8 | -10.1% | 90 | 3-9 | -5.5% | 77 | +4.6% |
| Southern Miss | 5-3 | -4.7% | 74 | 8-5 | +0.0% | 56 | +4.8% |
| Miami (Ohio) |
5-4 | -16.6% | 107 | 10-4 | -11.8% | 92 | +4.8% |
| Louisville | 4-4 | +1.1% | 57 | 7-6 | +6.2% | 40 | +5.0% |
| Auburn | 9-0 | +27.0% | 2 | 14-0 | +32.1% | 1 | +5.2% |
| Florida State | 6-2 | +12.6% | 26 | 10-4 | +17.9% | 15 | +5.4% |
| Alabama | 7-1 | +23.8% | 5 | 10-3 | +29.2% | 3 | +5.5% |
| San Diego State | 6-2 | -1.4% | 64 | 9-4 | +4.6% | 45 | +6.0% |
| Texas A&M | 5-3 | +6.5% | 39 | 9-4 | +13.2% | 24 | +6.7% |
| Connecticut | 4-4 | -7.0% | 83 | 8-5 | +0.3% | 55 | +7.3% |
| Stanford | 7-1 | +20.0% | 12 | 12-1 | +27.9% | 4 | +7.8% |
| Maryland | 6-2 | +2.0% | 53 | 9-4 | +10.1% | 31 | +8.1% |
| BYU | 3-5 | -7.7% | 85 | 7-6 | +0.9% | 53 | +8.7% |
| Arkansas | 6-2 | +14.2% | 24 | 10-3 | +23.2% | 7 | +9.0% |
| West Virginia | 5-3 | +7.3% | 35 | 9-4 | +16.4% | 18 | +9.1% |
| Notre Dame | 4-5 | +5.2% | 40 | 8-5 | +16.7% | 17 | +11.5% |
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