In today's Varsity Numbers over at Football Outsiders, I took a look at some of 2011's developments that have surprised me thus far.
Miami's offense has been quite a bit better than expected. Granted, they had a setback against Georgia Tech (262 yards in 64 plays), but despite a leisurely pace (they are currently the second-slowest team in the country), the Hurricanes have gained at least 335 yards in six of eight games, averaged well over five yards per play in seven and are passing the ball quite well (ninth in Passing S&P+). Tommy Streeter and Travis Benjamin have made for a lovely one-two punch at receiver, combining for 1,022 receiving yards and a per-target average of 12.3 yards. Of course...
Bad Surprises
...Miami's defense is terrible. While a slow pace has distracted people from giving the offense too many kudos, it is also distracting from the fact that the defense is allowing 5.7 yards per play. They looked great in a 24-6 win over Ohio State (a team that was completely listless in September) and solid against Georgia Tech, but they allowed 499 yards to Maryland (6.4 per play), 470 yards to Virginia (7.5 ... Virginia!), 482 to Virginia Tech (7.7), 429 to North Carolina (5.4) and, perhaps worst of all, 422 to Bethune-Cookman (5.0). They rank 98th in Def. F/+, and they have earned it.
And while we're in self-share mode, let's make sure you've seen everything else I did at the mothership this week...
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Monday
Second Impressions: Teams Who Aren't Who We Thought They Were
The Numerical, Week 9: 12 Quarterbacks Equal One Case Keenum -
Tuesday
West Virginia Sues The Big East: Conference Realignment, Extreme Lawyering Edition
2011 Bowl Projections: Stellar Matchups And A Bama-Stanford Title Tilt -
Wednesday
All Your Points Are Belong To Us: The Remaining Games With Big Scoring Potential
2011 Heisman Trophy Watch: Crowning Andrew Luck And The Power Of Bad Defense -
Thursday
LSU Vs. Alabama: What Happens After No. 1 And No. 2 Meet?
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Friday
Morning Tailgate Mailbag: The Hype Machine And The Matt Grothe Division
LSU Vs. Alabama: How To Score On The Tide (Or At Least Try)