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Week Eight F/+ Picks

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With a 66.3% win percentage, Week Six was incredibly successful. Week Seven was not nearly as impressive, BUT ... it was still average, and not a complete swing and miss.

Last Week's Results


Week 7 Season
Type/Range
W-L
Win%
W-L
Win%
ALL GAMES
25-24-1 51.0% 174-156-5 52.7%
Upset Picks 4-2 66.7% 16-14 53.3%
0-5 point spread
6-10 37.5% 42-43-1 49.4%
5-10 points
8-6 57.1% 46-38-2 54.7%
10-20 points
5-7 41.7% 44-44-1 50.0%
20-30 points
3-1 75.0% 28-22 56.0%
30+ points
3-1 75.0% 10-8 55.6%

So basically, we're at near 50% on games with super-tight spreads and 53% on others. Still nothing amazing -- I really need to figure out the best injury/suspension/momentum adjustments at some point -- but better than last year at this point.

Nothing like being 0-1 before Thursday even rolls around...

Date Time
(ET)
Game Spread
(Home)
Winner ATS Pick
18-Oct 8:00 PM Fla Int'l at Arkansas State (ESPN2) -3.0 FIU by 0.4 FIU
20-Oct 8:00 PM Central Florida at UAB (CSS) 16.0 UCF by 23.8 UCF
20-Oct 9:00 PM UCLA at Arizona (ESPN) -4.0 Arizona by 3.5 UCLA
21-Oct 8:00 PM Rutgers at Louisville (ESPN2) -2.0 Rutgers by 8.7 Rutgers
21-Oct 8:00 PM West Virginia at Syracuse (ESPN) 14.0 West Virginia by 13.6 Syracuse
22-Oct 12:00 PM Oklahoma State at Missouri (FX) 6.5 Oklahoma St. by 12.7 Oklahoma St.
22-Oct 12:00 PM Cincinnati at South Florida (ESPN3) -3.0 USF by 7.7 USF
22-Oct 12:00 PM North Carolina at Clemson (ESPN) -10.5 Clemson by 4.5 North Carolina
22-Oct 12:00 PM Northern Illinois at Buffalo (ESPN3) 14.0 NIU by 9.2 Buffalo
22-Oct 12:00 PM Indiana at Iowa (BTN) -23.5 Iowa by 23.1 Indiana
22-Oct 12:00 PM Kansas State at Kansas (FSN) 10.5 Kansas State by 19 Kansas State
22-Oct 12:00 PM Illinois at Purdue (ESPN2) 3.5 Illinois by 13.5 Illinois
22-Oct 12:21 PM Arkansas at Ole Miss (SEC Network) 15.0 Arkansas by 20.4 Arkansas
22-Oct 12:30 PM Wake Forest at Duke (ESPN3) 3.0 Duke by 0.3 Duke
22-Oct 1:00 PM W. Michigan at E. Michigan 12.0 WMU by 16.8 WMU
22-Oct 2:00 PM C. Michigan at Ball State -2.5 Ball St. by 4.4 Ball St.
22-Oct 2:00 PM New Mexico at TCU (MTN) -41.0 TCU by 43.9 TCU
22-Oct 3:00 PM Boston College at Va. Tech (ESPN3) -21.0 Va. Tech by 26.5 Va. Tech
22-Oct 3:00 PM Louisiana Tech at Utah St. (ESPN3) -6.5 Utah State by 2.3 La. Tech
22-Oct 3:30 PM Maryland at Florida St. (ABC/ESPN2) -16.5 Florida St. by 15.4 Maryland
22-Oct 3:30 PM Texas A&M at Iowa State (ABC) 20.0 Texas A&M by 29.6 Texas A&M
22-Oct 3:30 PM Air Force at Boise State (Versus) -31.0 Boise St. by 49.6 Boise State
22-Oct 3:30 PM Auburn at LSU (CBS) -22.5 LSU by 28.7 LSU
22-Oct 3:30 PM Nebraska at Minnesota (ABC/ESPN2) 24.5 Nebraska by 26.7 Nebraska
22-Oct 3:30 PM Temple at Bowling Green (ESPN3) 13.5 Temple by 21 Temple
22-Oct 3:30 PM NC State at Virginia (ESPNU) -5.0 Virginia by 18.2 Virginia
22-Oct 3:30 PM Ohio at Akron (ESPN3) 14.5 Ohio by 18 Ohio
22-Oct 3:30 PM Georgia Tech at Miami-FL (ESPN) -2.5 Ga. Tech by 2.3 Georgia Tech
22-Oct 3:30 PM East Carolina at Navy (CBSSN) -10.0 Navy by 12.6 Navy
22-Oct 3:30 PM Memphis at Tulane (FCSC) -12.0 Tulane by 9.9 Memphis
22-Oct 3:40 PM Oregon at Colorado (FSN) 30.5 Oregon by 30.9 Oregon
22-Oct 4:00 PM UL-Lafayette at Western Kentucky 3.0 ULL by 2 WKU
22-Oct 4:05 PM Fresno State at Nevada (ESPN3) -10.0 Nevada by 6.3 Fresno State
22-Oct 4:30 PM Marshall at Houston (CSS) -22.5 Houston by 19.7 Marshall
22-Oct 5:00 PM UL-Monroe at North Texas 6.0 UL-Monroe by 6.6 UL-Monroe
22-Oct 7:00 PM Utah at California (CSBA) -3.0 Utah by 4.8 Utah
22-Oct 7:00 PM Penn State at Northwestern (BTN) 4.0 Penn State by 14.8 Penn State
22-Oct 7:00 PM Army at Vanderbilt (ESPNU) -10.5 Vanderbilt by 18.7 Vanderbilt
22-Oct 7:00 PM Tulsa at Rice (FSN) 11.0 Tulsa by 6.9 Rice
22-Oct 7:00 PM Miami-OH at Toledo (ESPN3) -17.5 Toledo by 31.5 Toledo
22-Oct 7:15 PM Tennessee at Alabama (ESPN2) -29.0 Alabama by 28 Tennessee
22-Oct 7:30 PM USC at Notre Dame (NBC) -8.5 Notre Dame by 22.1 Notre Dame
22-Oct 8:00 PM Washington at Stanford (ABC) -20.5 Stanford by 19.4 Washington
22-Oct 8:00 PM Wisconsin at Michigan State (ESPN) 8.0 Wisconsin by 4.7 Michigan St.
22-Oct 8:00 PM Texas Tech at Oklahoma (ABC) -29.0 Oklahoma by 32.2 Oklahoma
22-Oct 8:00 PM Middle Tenn. at Fla. Atlantic (ESPN3) 6.0 MTSU by 5.5 FAU
22-Oct 8:00 PM SMU at Southern Miss (CBSSN) -3.0 Southern Miss by 4.5 Southern Miss
22-Oct 8:00 PM Colorado State at UTEP -7.0 UTEP by 12.3 UTEP
22-Oct 10:30 PM Oregon St. at Washington St. (FSN) -3.0 Wazzu by 4.8 Wazzu
23-Oct 12:00 AM New Mexico St. at Hawaii (ESPN3) -21.5 Hawaii by 15 NMSU