Picks

F/+ bowl picks

11

Football Outsiders picks and projections for the 2013-14 college football bowl season.

Week 15 F/+ picks

1

Football Outsiders picks and projections for Week 15 of the 2013 college football season.

Week 14 F/+ picks

7

Football Outsiders picks and projections for Week 14 of the 2013 college football season.

Week 13 F/+ picks

1

Football Outsiders picks and projections for Week 13 of the 2013 college football season.

Week 12 F/+ picks

1

Football Outsiders picks and projections for Week 12 of the 2013 college football season.

Week 11 F/+ picks

8

Picks and projections for week 11 of the 2013 college football season.

Week 10 F/+ Picks

8

Picks and projections for Week 10 of the 2013 college football season.

HuskerMath goes to the dogs for Week 10 Picks

2

Buddy the golden retriever debuts his week 10 picks.

Week 9 F/+ Picks

4

Picks and projections for Week 8 of the 2013 college football season.

HuskerMath's Week 8 Picks and Updated Exp. Wins

4

HuskerMath's Week 8 Picks and updated expected wins for the FBS.

Week 8 F/+ picks

8

Picks and projections for Week 8 of the 2013 college football season.

Week 7 F/+ picks

6

Picks and projections for Week 7 of the college football season.

HuskerMath's picks and tweaks

5

HuskerMath offers a mea culpa for using bad data.

Week 6 F/+ picks

5

Picks and projections for Week 6 of the college football season.

Your Week 6 HuskerMath Picks

5

800,000 federal government employees and Lane Kiffin are not employed right now, but work in the HuskerMath lair of mystery and Diet Dr. Pepper never stops.

Week 5 F/+ picks

9

Picks and projections for Week 5 of the college football season.

HuskerMath's Week 5 picks

9

Using only on-field data can give rise to some interesting results in a prediction model. HuskerMath lets teams speak for themselves.

HuskerMath's Week 4 Picks

2

In Week 2 the model correctly predicted 82.5% of games. Things weren't quite so rosy in Week 3, with the model correctly predicting only 71.6% of games.

Week 4 F/+ picks

2

Picks and projections for Week 4 of the college football season.

Week 3 F/+ picks

6

Picks and projections for Week 3 of the college football season.

HuskerMath's Week 3 projections

10

Fewer FCS upsets made for a better week of predictions.

Belated Week 2 picks

5

Projections and picks for Week 2 of the college football season.

HuskerMath's Week 2 picks

8

Picks for Week 2 of the college football season. "You're killin' me, FCS!" The biggest lesson learned from Week 1? Figure out a better way to deal with good FCS teams.

Week 1 picks

7

College football picks and projections made in two different ways.

Husker Math's Week 1 predictions

48

Projected winners for week 1 of the 2013 college football season. Alabama has a 94 percent chance of beating Virginia Tech, and LSU has a 69 percent chance of beating TCU.

QuoteShot

+

Overall, of the 697 regular season games involving IA opponents in 2012, the point spread differed from the actual result by an average of 12.10 points. While that may intuitively seem high considering the reverence with which the point spread is regarded, keep in mind that the smallest amount the point spread can differ from the actual result is zero, while the largest amount is theoretically infinite (if realistically about 55). Consider that it takes about six reasonably accurate spreads (say a difference of five points) to bring the huge UCLA/Arizona outlier down to the twelve point average.

From an interesting look at Vegas vs. college football by the good folks at College Football by the Numbers.
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