2012 Texas State Bobcats Football: Statistical Profile

Back to Profiles home page.

Confused? See the glossary at the bottom. (However, most terms at the bottom will not apply to teams that spent 2011 in FCS and, therefore, have no advanced data of which to speak.)

2011 Schedule & Results

All team rankings below are from last year's FCS data.

Record: 6-6
Date Opponent Score W-L
3-Sep at Texas Tech 10-50 L
10-Sep at Wyoming 10-45 L
17-Sep Tarleton State 38-28 W
24-Sep at Stephen F. Austin 35-26 W
1-Oct Nicholls State 38-12 W
8-Oct at McNeese State 21-14 W
15-Oct Lamar 46-21 W
22-Oct at SE Louisiana 28-38 L
29-Oct Northwestern State 10-23 L
5-Nov Prairie View A&M 34-26 W
12-Nov at Central Arkansas 22-23 L
19-Nov Sam Houston State 14-36 L
Category Offense Rk Defense Rk
Points Per Game 25.5 N/A 28.5 N/A

2012 Schedule & Projection Factors

2012 Schedule
Date Opponent Proj. Rk
1-Sep at Houston 29
8-Sep Texas Tech 38
22-Sep Stephen F. Austin NR
29-Sep Nevada 63
6-Oct at New Mexico 124
13-Oct Idaho 118
27-Oct at San Jose State 110
3-Nov at Utah State 79
10-Nov Louisiana Tech 52
17-Nov at Navy 76
24-Nov at UT-San Antonio 109
1-Dec New Mexico State 121
TO Margin -7
Approx. Ret. Starters (Off. / Def.) 7 / 8
Yds/Pt Margin -0.5


Note: per-game yardage rankings below are unofficial. Because of their provisional FBS status, Texas State did not actually garner FCS rankings. Below is where they would have ranked.

Category Yards/
Game Rk


Note: players in bold below are 2012 returnees. Players in italics are questionable with injury/suspension.

Player Ht, Wt 2012
Rivals Comp Att Yards Comp
TD INT Yards/
Shaun Rutherford 6'0, 185 Sr. NR 91 156 1,227 58.3% 12 4 7.9
Tyler Arndt 6'4, 215 Jr. *** (5.7) 54 105 576 51.4% 3 3 5.5
Fred Nixon 6'3, 200 Fr. *** (5.5)

Running Back

Player Pos. Ht, Wt 2012
Rivals Rushes Yards Yards/
Terrence Franks TB 5'10, 190 So. NR 146 863 5.9 9
Marcus Curry TB 5'11, 210 Sr. NR 127 637 5.0 3
Shaun Rutherford QB 6'0, 185 Sr. NR 127 449 3.5 3
Tim Hawkins TB 6'2, 200 Sr. NR 67 288 4.3 4
Tyler Arndt QB 6'4, 215 Jr. NR 32 34 1.1 0
Chris Nutall RB 5'8, 185 So. NR 17 71 4.2 1
Robert Lowe RB 5'10, 190 Fr. *** (5.6)

Receiving Corps

Player Pos. Ht, Wt 2012
Rivals Catches Yards Yards/
Darius Bolden WR-H 30 473 15.8
Isaiah Battle WR-Z 5'11, 200 Jr. NR 27 368 13.6
Chase Harper TE 6'5, 260 Sr. NR 20 287 14.4
Marcus Curry TB 5'11, 210 Sr. NR 13 119 9.2
Alvaro Garcia WR-X
10 92 9.2
David Lewis TE 6'4, 225 Jr. NR 8 114 14.2
Cody Matthews WR-X 6'4, 205 Jr. NR 8 72 9.0
Terrence Franks RB 5'10, 190 So. NR 8 21 2.6
Rodney Woodland WR 5'9, 180 Jr. *** (5.5)

Offensive Line

Player Pos. Ht, Wt 2012
Rivals Career Starts/Honors/Notes
D.J. Hall RG 47 career starts, 2011 FCS All-American
Steven Kenney C 25 career starts
Michael Chambers LT 21 career starts
John Vernon LG 12 career starts
Thaddeus Watkins RT 6'5, 285 Sr. NR 10 career starts
Charlie Will Tuttle C 6'2, 285 So. NR 7 career starts
Devin Baker LT 6'5, 245 Jr. NR 2 career starts
Collin Fissell LT 6'2, 270 So. NR 2 career starts
Jackson Costello LG 6'4, 293 So. NR
Zach Crawford RG 6'2, 280 So. NR
Adley Eshraghipour OL 6'4, 265 Sr. NR DT-turned-OL
Adrian Bellard OL 6'5, 295 Fr. *** (5.5)


Category Yards/
Game Rk

Defensive Line

Player Pos Ht, Wt 2012
Rivals GP Tackles % of Team TFL Sacks Int PBU FF FR
Michael Ebbitt DE 12 31.0 4.8% 15.5 11.5 2 1 2
Jordan Norfleet DE 6'2, 235 Jr. NR 12 23.0 3.6% 5.5 2.5 1 1
Deshun Williams NT 5'11, 290 Jr. NR 12 17.5 2.7% 6.5 2 1
Blake McColloch DT 6'5, 250 Jr. NR 12 15.0 2.3% 3 1 4
Ron Jackson DE 12 13.5 2.1% 2 1 1
Jarrett Haywood DE 6'4, 250 Sr. NR 11 10.5 1.6% 2.5 2
Charles Holmes DE 11 7.5 1.2% 1
Jamie Clavell-Head NT 6'3, 260 Jr. NR 11 7.0 1.1% 1 1
Adley Eshraghipour DT

11 6.0 0.9% 0.5
Thomas Evans DE 6'4, 250 Jr. *** (5.5)


Player Pos Ht, Wt 2012
Rivals GP Tackles % of Team TFL Sacks Int PBU FF FR
Josh Minde SAM 12 46.0 7.1% 6 1 1
Brian Lilly SAM 6'0, 230 Sr. NR 12 39.0 6.1% 6.5 1 1 1
Joplo Bartu MIKE 6'2, 220 Sr. ** (5.1) 10 38.5 6.0% 5 4 1 2 1
Bryan Iwuji MIKE 12 30.5 4.7% 5.5
Jonathan Ward LB 6'1, 225 Sr. NR 11 13.0 2.0% 3 1
Jerrid Jeter-Gilmon LB 6'2, 205 Jr. *** (5.5)


Player Pos Ht, Wt 2012
Rivals GP Tackles % of Team TFL Sacks Int PBU FF FR
Xavier Daniels FS 6'0, 165 Jr. NR 12 64.0 9.9% 1.5 3 5
Darryl Morris CB 5'10, 185 Sr. NR 12 53.5 8.3% 6 3 1 6 1
Aaron Matthews WS 6'3, 193 Sr. NR 12 48.5 7.5% 1.5 1 2 1 1
Craig Mager CB 5'11, 180 So. NR 12 44.5 6.9% 1.5 1 12 1
Jason McLean WS 5'11, 195 Sr. ** (5.1) 12 38.5 6.0% 2.5 1 1 1 1
Justin Iwuji S 5'11, 200 Jr. NR 12 29.5 4.6% 6 5 1
Phillip Benning CB 6'0, 175 Jr. NR 12 12.0 1.9% 3
Matt Harris S 7 6.5 1.0% 1
Justin Albritton DB 5'11, 185 Fr. *** (5.6)
Martel Summers DB 6'1, 186 Fr. *** (5.5)

Special Teams

Punter Ht, Wt 2012
Punts Avg TB FC I20 FC/I20
Ben Follis

53 41.3 4 22 13 66.0%
Shaun Rutherford 6'0, 185 Sr. 4 37.0 0 0 4 100.0%
Kicker Ht, Wt 2012
Kickoffs Avg TB TB%
Will Johnson 6'3, 192 So. 63 65.7 17 27.0%
Place-Kicker Ht, Wt 2012
Pct FG
Will Johnson 6'3, 192 So. 33-33 4-8 50.0% 9-16 56.3%
Returner Pos. Ht, Wt 2012
Returns Avg. TD
Derek Lopez KR

25 21.1 0
Isaiah Battle KR 5'11, 200 Jr. 20 23.8 1
Andy Erickson PR 5'10, 175 Jr. 18 11.1 0
Craig Mager PR 5'11, 180 So. 4 12.2 0



Adj. Line Yards: A line measure derived from the formula found here. The idea is to divvy credit for a given rush between both the runner and the blockers.

Adj. Pace: Part of the offensive footprint, this takes into account both the number of plays a team attempts and the type of play. Since passes, on average, take up less time (thanks to the fact that 30-50 percent of them are incomplete and stop the clock), pass-heavy offenses are prone to run more plays, therefore limiting the effectiveness of a general plays-per-game measure. Adj. Pace takes a team's run-pass ratio into account.

Adj. POE: An opponent-adjusted "Points Over Expected" measure for running backs that looks both at what a runner gained and what would have been expected given the opponents involved. For more information, start here.

Adj. Points: A look at how a team would have performed in a given week if playing a perfectly average team, with a somewhat average number of breaks and turnovers. The idea for the measure is simple: what if everybody in the country played exactly the same opponent every single week? Who would have done the best? It is an attempt to look at offensive and defensive consistency without getting sidetracked by easy or difficult schedules. And yes, with adjusted score you can allow a negative number of points. For more, start here.

Adj. Record: See Adj. Points.

Adj. Sack Rate: An opponent-adjusted measure of sack rates.

Adj. Score: See Adj. Points.

Adj. TO Margin: What a team's turnover margin would have been if they had recovered exactly 50 percent of all the fumbles that occurred in their games. If there is a huge difference between TO Margin and Adj. TO Margin (in other words, if fumbles, dropped interceptions, or other unlucky bounces were the main source of a good/bad TO margin), that suggests that a team's luck was particularly good or bad and might even out the next season.

Adj. Yards Per Target: A look at a receiver's total receiving yards divided by the number of times he was targeted. Slight adjustments are made for the percentage of times a receiver was targeted on standard ("%SD") and passing downs. Players targeted more on passing downs are likely to have a lower overall per-target average, since passing is more difficult on passing downs.

Bend-Don't-Break: Part of the defensive footprint, this is a comparison of a team's Def. Success Rate (efficiency) to its Def. PPP (explosiveness). The higher the number, the higher percentage of a team's overall S&P was made up by success rate, i.e. the more willing a team was to sacrifice efficiency to prevent big plays. (The lower the number, the more likely a team was to take aggressive risks.)

Covariance: Covariance is a statistical tool that provides a measure of the strength of the correlation between two or more sets of random variates. For these purposes, it is used to compare a team's performance (using opponent-adjusted Adj. Score) to the quality of the opponent at hand. Some teams play their best games against their worst opponents, and some teams do the opposite. This measure is used for both the offensive and defensive footprint. For more, go here.

Go After the Ball: Part of the defensive footprint, this looks at a team's forced fumbles, interceptions and passes broken up. In other words, it looks at their ability to go after the ball. The higher the number, the more they got their hands on the football.

Highlight Yards: The portion of a given run that is credit only to the running back; after a certain number of yards, the line has done its job, and most of the rest of the run will be determined by the running back himself. For more information, start here.

Need for Blitzes: Part of the defensive footprint, this compares a team's standard downs sack rate to its passing downs sack rate. The lower the number, the more they were able to generate pressure on standard downs, and the less need for blitzes.

Turnovers Luck: Presented in Points Per Game fashion, Turnovers Luck looks at the difference between a team's Turnover and Adj. TO Margins and, using the average point value of a turnover (~5.0 points), projects how many points a team gained or lost per game last season.

Yards Per Point: A measure long tracked by Phil Steele as a means of looking at teams that were a little too efficient or inefficient the previous season. A positive YPP Margin means a team's offense was less efficient than opponents' offenses, and to the extent that luck was involved, their luck might even out the next year.

Log In Sign Up

Log In Sign Up

Please choose a new SB Nation username and password

As part of the new SB Nation launch, prior users will need to choose a permanent username, along with a new password.

Your username will be used to login to SB Nation going forward.

I already have a Vox Media account!

Verify Vox Media account

Please login to your Vox Media account. This account will be linked to your previously existing Eater account.

Please choose a new SB Nation username and password

As part of the new SB Nation launch, prior MT authors will need to choose a new username and password.

Your username will be used to login to SB Nation going forward.

Forgot password?

We'll email you a reset link.

If you signed up using a 3rd party account like Facebook or Twitter, please login with it instead.

Forgot password?

Try another email?

Almost done,

By becoming a registered user, you are also agreeing to our Terms and confirming that you have read our Privacy Policy.

Join Football Study Hall

You must be a member of Football Study Hall to participate.

We have our own Community Guidelines at Football Study Hall. You should read them.

Join Football Study Hall

You must be a member of Football Study Hall to participate.

We have our own Community Guidelines at Football Study Hall. You should read them.




Choose an available username to complete sign up.

In order to provide our users with a better overall experience, we ask for more information from Facebook when using it to login so that we can learn more about our audience and provide you with the best possible experience. We do not store specific user data and the sharing of it is not required to login with Facebook.