2012 South Carolina Gamecocks Football: Statistical Profile

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2011 Schedule & Results

Record: 11-2 | Adj. Record: 11-2 | Final F/+ Rk: 21
Date Opponent Score W-L Adj. Score Adj. W-L
3-Sep vs East Carolina 56-37 W 29.6 - 28.1 W
10-Sep at Georgia 45-42 W 34.1 - 31.2 W
17-Sep Navy 24-21 W 29.5 - 29.1 W
24-Sep Vanderbilt 21-3 W 26.3 - 5.1 W
1-Oct Auburn 13-16 L 22.6 - 24.5 L
8-Oct Kentucky 54-3 W 37.1 - 5.2 W
15-Oct at Mississippi State 14-12 W 26.2 - 21.9 W
29-Oct at Tennessee 14-3 W 25.3 - 10.7 W
5-Nov at Arkansas 28-44 L 28.7 - 28.0 W
12-Nov Florida 17-12 W 29.9 - 26.6 W
19-Nov The Citadel
41-20 W 33.6 - 35.1 L
26-Nov Clemson 34-13 W 28.7 - 13.9 W
2-Jan vs Nebraska 30-13 W 32.6 - 23.5 W
Category Offense Rk Defense Rk
Points Per Game 30.1 42 18.4 11
Adj. Points Per Game 29.6 34 21.8 4

2012 Schedule & Projection Factors

2012 Schedule
Date Opponent Proj. Rk
30-Aug at Vanderbilt 50
8-Sep East Carolina 78
15-Sep UAB 110
22-Sep Missouri 28
29-Sep at Kentucky 64
6-Oct Georgia 8
13-Oct at LSU 2
20-Oct at Florida 10
27-Oct Tennessee 27
10-Nov Arkansas 15
17-Nov Wofford NR
24-Nov at Clemson 21
Five-Year F/+ Rk 25
Two-Year Recruiting Rk 19
TO Margin/Adj. TO Margin* +5 / -4.4
TO Luck/Game +3.6
Approx. Ret. Starters (Off. / Def.) 14 (8, 6)
Yds/Pt Margin** -2.1

Offense

Category Yards/
Game Rk
S&P+ Rk Success
Rt. Rk
PPP+ Rk
OVERALL 73 33 36 31
RUSHING 26 29 21 36
PASSING 95 51 71 33
Standard Downs 33 36 32
Passing Downs 33 38 35
Redzone 10 14 11
Q1 Rk 102 1st Down Rk 43
Q2 Rk 18 2nd Down Rk 38
Q3 Rk 30 3rd Down Rk 32
Q4 Rk 17
Adj. Line Yards Rk 35
Adj. Sack Rate Rk 108

Quarterback

Note: players in bold below are 2012 returnees. Players in italics are questionable with injury/suspension.

Player Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Rivals Comp Att Yards Comp
Rate
TD INT Sacks Sack Rate Yards/
Att.
Connor Shaw 6'1, 207 Jr. *** (5.7) 123 188 1,448 65.4% 14 6 23 10.9% 6.2
Stephen Garcia 61 118 844 51.7% 4 9 7 5.6% 6.6
Seth Strickland 6'2, 195 Sr. NR
Dylan Thompson 6'3, 212 So. ** (5.4)

Running Back

Player Pos. Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Rivals Rushes Yards Yards/
Carry
Hlt Yds/
Carry
TD Adj.
POE
Marcus Lattimore RB 6'0, 218 Jr. ***** (6.1) 163 818 5.0 1.6 10 +7.6
Connor Shaw QB 6'1, 207 Jr. *** (5.7) 112 674 6.0 2.4 8 +11.9
Brandon Wilds RB 6'1, 218 So. *** (5.5) 107 486 4.5 1.4 3 -4.7
Kenny Miles RB 5'9, 193 Jr. *** (5.7) 54 204 3.8 1.3 1 -4.1
Stephen Garcia QB 27 195 7.2 2.8 3 +5.2
Bruce Ellington WR 5'9, 197 So. NR 16 111 6.9 4.5 1 +4.3
Damiere Byrd WR 5'9, 168 So. **** (5.8) 10 73 7.3 2.5 0 +0.9
Mike Davis RB 5'9, 216 Fr. **** (5.9)





Shon Carson RB 5'8, 192 RSFr. *** (5.7)

Receiving Corps

Player Pos. Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Rivals Targets Catches Yards Catch Rate Target
Rate
%SD Adj. Yds/
Target
Alshon Jeffery WR 88 49 762 55.7% 29.9% 71.6% 6.3
Ace Sanders WR 5'8, 175 Jr. **** (5.8) 44 29 383 65.9% 15.0% 52.3% 8.4
Marcus Lattimore RB 6'0, 218 Jr. ***** (6.1) 29 19 182 65.5% 9.9% 37.9% 7.4
Brandon Wilds RB 6'1, 218 So. *** (5.5) 22 15 136 68.2% 7.5% 36.4% 5.5
Bruce Ellington WR 5'9, 197 So. NR 21 17 211 81.0% 7.1% 61.9% 11.1
Justice Cunningham TE 6'4, 264 Sr. ** (5.4) 20 18 142 90.0% 6.8% 45.0% 8.4
Nick Jones WR 5'7, 184 So. *** (5.6) 16 12 143 75.0% 5.4% 68.8% 10.7
D.L. Moore WR 6'5, 198 Sr. *** (5.5) 13 8 52 61.5% 4.4% 61.5% 3.3
Rory Anderson TE 6'5, 218 So. *** (5.6) 12 8 188 66.7% 4.1% 58.3% 16.1
DeAngelo Smith WR 6'1, 196 Jr. *** (5.5) 9 3 22 33.3% 3.1% 44.4% 0.1
Jason Barnes WR 8 4 48 50.0% 2.7% 75.0% 3.4
Damiere Byrd WR 5'9, 168 So. **** (5.8) 4 1 16 25.0% 1.4% 100.0% 4.0
Shamier Jeffery WR 6'1, 214 RSFr. *** (5.7)
K.J. Brent WR 6'4, 184 RSFr. *** (5.7)
Drew Owens TE 6'6, 236 RSFr. *** (5.7)






Shaq Roland WR 6'1, 173 Fr. **** (5.8)






Jody Fuller WR 5'11, 201 Fr. **** (5.8)





Jerell Adams TE 6'6, 224 Fr. **** (5.8)

Offensive Line

2011 Two-Deep Pos. Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Rivals Career Starts/Honors/Notes
Rokevious Watkins LT 27 career starts, 2nd All-SEC
T.J. Johnson C 6'6, 319 Sr. *** (5.6) 40 career starts
Terrence Campbell RG 26 career starts
A.J. Cann LG 6'4, 309 So. **** (5.8) 13 career starts
Mike Matulis RT 6'5, 274 So. *** (5.7) 5 career starts
Cody Gibson RT 6'7, 278 So. *** (5.6) 4 career starts
Travis Ford C 6'3, 278 Jr. NR
Ronald Patrick RG 6'2, 305 Jr. *** (5.5)
Kaleb Broome RG 6'6, 332 Sr. *** (5.6)
Corey Robinson LT 6'8, 337 So. *** (5.6)
Brandon Shell LT 6'6, 331 RSFr. **** (5.9)
Kyle Harris C 6'3, 268 RSFr. *** (5.6)
Brock Stadnik OL 6'5, 287 Fr. **** (5.8)
Clayton Stadnik LG 6'3, 265 Fr. *** (5.5)

Defense

Category Yards/
Game Rk
S&P+ Rk Success
Rt. Rk
PPP+ Rk
OVERALL 3 17 23 16
RUSHING 45 49 61 41
PASSING 2 4 6 5
Standard Downs 12 19 9
Passing Downs 33 38 27
Redzone 26 14 36
Q1 Rk 38 1st Down Rk 9
Q2 Rk 20 2nd Down Rk 28
Q3 Rk 6 3rd Down Rk 31
Q4 Rk 39
Adj. Line Yards Rk 88
Adj. Sack Rate Rk 27

Defensive Line

Name Pos Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Rivals GP Tackles % of Team TFL Sacks Int PBU FF FR
Melvin Ingram DE 13 39.5 5.7% 15 10 2 2 1
Travian Robertson DT 13 37.0 5.3% 8 2.5
Devin Taylor DE 6'8, 267 Sr. *** (5.5) 13 36.5 5.3% 8.5 6 1 2 2
Jadeveon Clowney DE 6'6, 256 So. ***** (6.1) 13 26.5 3.8% 12 8 1 5
Kelcy Quarles DT 6'4, 286 So. **** (5.9) 12 22.0 3.2% 2
Chaz Sutton DE 6'5, 248 Jr. **** (5.9) 13 11.0 1.6% 3.5
Aldrick Fordham DE 6'4, 269 Sr. *** (5.6) 12 8.0 1.2% 1 1
Byron Jerideau DT 6'1, 316 Sr. ** (5.3) 13 5.5 0.8% 1.5 1.5 1
J.T. Surratt DT 6'2, 295 So. ** (5.4) 3 1.0 0.1%
Phillip Dukes DT 6'3, 306 RSFr. **** (5.8)
Gerald Dixon DE 6'2, 272 RSFr. *** (5.7)
Deon Green DE 6'4, 290 RSFr. *** (5.6)
Gerald Dixon, Jr. DT 6'3, 304 RSFr. *** (5.5)

Linebackers

Name Pos Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Rivals GP Tackles % of Team TFL Sacks Int PBU FF FR
Antonio Allen SPUR 12 71.5 10.3% 9.5 1 3 2 4 3
Rodney Paulk MLB 13 44.5 6.4% 3.5 1 1
DeVonte Holloman SPUR 6'2, 241 Sr. **** (5.8) 11 42.0 6.0% 4 1 4
Shaq Wilson MLB 5'11, 224 Sr. *** (5.7) 13 41.0 5.9% 5 1 2 1
Quin Smith WILL 6'1, 239 Sr. *** (5.5) 12 39.0 5.6% 6 1
Reginald Bowens MLB 6'3, 254 Sr. *** (5.7) 13 35.5 5.1% 0.5 1 1 1
Damario Jeffery WILL 6'4, 233 Sr. **** (6.0) 11 12.5 1.8% 0.5 1
Sharrod Golightly SPUR 5'10, 179 So. *** (5.6) 12 7.0 1.0% 1
Chaun Gresham MLB 6'2, 266 Jr. *** (5.6)
Marcquis Roberts SPUR 6'1, 206 RSFr. *** (5.7)
Cedrick Cooper WILL 6'2, 215 RSFr. *** (5.6)
Mason Harris WILL 6'3, 210 RSFr. *** (5.6)

Secondary

Name Pos Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Rivals GP Tackles % of Team TFL Sacks Int PBU FF FR
D.J. Swearinger FS 6'0, 210 Sr. *** (5.7) 13 69.0 9.9% 1.5 3 3 1
Akeem Auguste (2010^) CB 5'9, 188 Sr. **** (5.8) 14 47.5 6.0% 4 1 2 1
Stephon Gilmore CB


13 40.5 5.8% 3 1 4 7 1 1
Marty Markett CB 13 23.5 3.4% 1
C.C. Whitlock CB 13 14.0 2.0% 2 3 3
Victor Hampton CB 5'10, 197 So. **** (5.9) 10 12.5 1.8% 1 3
Brison Williams SS 5'11, 205 So. *** (5.7) 8 9.5 1.4%
Jimmy Legree CB 6'0, 189 Jr. *** (5.5) 12 5.0 0.7%
Kadetrix Marcus SS 6'1, 185 So. *** (5.7) 6 1.0 0.1%




Ahmad Christian CB 5'10, 189 RSFr. *** (5.7)
Jordan Diggs DB 6'0, 197 Fr. **** (5.8)
Chaz Elder DB 6'2, 187 Fr. **** (5.8)

Special Teams

Punter Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Punts Avg TB FC I20 FC/I20
Ratio
Joey Scribner-Howard 52 38.9 3 14 10 46.2%
Kicker Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Kickoffs Avg TB TB%
Jay Wooten 71 60.9 6 8.5%
Place-Kicker Ht, Wt 2012
Year
PAT FG
(0-39)
Pct FG
(40+)
Pct
Jay Wooten 50-53 2-3 66.7% 5-8 62.5%
Returner Pos. Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Returns Avg. TD
Bruce Ellington KR 5'9, 197 So. 20 23.1 0
Victor Hampton KR 5'10, 197 So. 7 25.4 0
Ace Sanders PR 5'8, 175 Jr. 16 9.3 1
Category Rk
Special Teams F/+ 112
Net Punting 92
Net Kickoffs 98
Touchback Pct 91
Field Goal Pct 86
Kick Returns Avg 60
Punt Returns Avg 68

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Glossary

Adj. Line Yards: A line measure derived from the formula found here. The idea is to divvy credit for a given rush between both the runner and the blockers.

Adj. Pace: Part of the offensive footprint, this takes into account both the number of plays a team attempts and the type of play. Since passes, on average, take up less time (thanks to the fact that 30-50 percent of them are incomplete and stop the clock), pass-heavy offenses are prone to run more plays, therefore limiting the effectiveness of a general plays-per-game measure. Adj. Pace takes a team's run-pass ratio into account.

Adj. POE: An opponent-adjusted "Points Over Expected" measure for running backs that looks both at what a runner gained and what would have been expected given the opponents involved. For more information, start here.

Adj. Points: A look at how a team would have performed in a given week if playing a perfectly average team, with a somewhat average number of breaks and turnovers. The idea for the measure is simple: what if everybody in the country played exactly the same opponent every single week? Who would have done the best? It is an attempt to look at offensive and defensive consistency without getting sidetracked by easy or difficult schedules. And yes, with adjusted score you can allow a negative number of points. For more, start here.

Adj. Record: See Adj. Points.

Adj. Sack Rate: An opponent-adjusted measure of sack rates.

Adj. Score: See Adj. Points.

Adj. TO Margin: What a team's turnover margin would have been if they had recovered exactly 50 percent of all the fumbles that occurred in their games. If there is a huge difference between TO Margin and Adj. TO Margin (in other words, if fumbles, dropped interceptions, or other unlucky bounces were the main source of a good/bad TO margin), that suggests that a team's luck was particularly good or bad and might even out the next season.

Adj. Yards Per Target: A look at a receiver's total receiving yards divided by the number of times he was targeted. Slight adjustments are made for the percentage of times a receiver was targeted on standard ("%SD") and passing downs. Players targeted more on passing downs are likely to have a lower overall per-target average, since passing is more difficult on passing downs.

Bend-Don't-Break: Part of the defensive footprint, this is a comparison of a team's Def. Success Rate (efficiency) to its Def. PPP (explosiveness). The higher the number, the higher percentage of a team's overall S&P was made up by success rate, i.e. the more willing a team was to sacrifice efficiency to prevent big plays. (The lower the number, the more likely a team was to take aggressive risks.)

Covariance: Covariance is a statistical tool that provides a measure of the strength of the correlation between two or more sets of random variates. For these purposes, it is used to compare a team's performance (using opponent-adjusted Adj. Score) to the quality of the opponent at hand. Some teams play their best games against their worst opponents, and some teams do the opposite. This measure is used for both the offensive and defensive footprint. For more, go here.

Go After the Ball: Part of the defensive footprint, this looks at a team's forced fumbles, interceptions and passes broken up. In other words, it looks at their ability to go after the ball. The higher the number, the more they got their hands on the football.

Highlight Yards: The portion of a given run that is credit only to the running back; after a certain number of yards, the line has done its job, and most of the rest of the run will be determined by the running back himself. For more information, start here.

Need for Blitzes: Part of the defensive footprint, this compares a team's standard downs sack rate to its passing downs sack rate. The lower the number, the more they were able to generate pressure on standard downs, and the less need for blitzes.

Turnovers Luck: Presented in Points Per Game fashion, Turnovers Luck looks at the difference between a team's Turnover and Adj. TO Margins and, using the average point value of a turnover (~5.0 points), projects how many points a team gained or lost per game last season.

Yards Per Point: A measure long tracked by Phil Steele as a means of looking at teams that were a little too efficient or inefficient the previous season. A positive YPP Margin means a team's offense was less efficient than opponents' offenses, and to the extent that luck was involved, their luck might even out the next year.

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