2012 South Alabama Jaguars Football: Statistical Profile

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Confused? See the glossary at the bottom. (However, most terms at the bottom will not apply to teams that spent 2011 in FCS and, therefore, have no advanced data of which to speak.)

2011 Schedule & Results

All team rankings below are from last year's FCS data.

Record: 6-4
Date Opponent Score W-L
1-Sep West Alabama 20-10 W
10-Sep Lamar 30-8 W
17-Sep at N.C. State 13-35 L
24-Sep at Kent State 25-33 L
8-Oct at UT-San Antonio 30-27 W
15-Oct UT-Martin 33-30 W
22-Oct at Georgia State 20-27 L
29-Oct Henderson State 28-3 W
3-Nov Miss. Valley St. 35-3 W
19-Nov Cal Poly 10-41 L
Category Offense Rk Defense Rk
Points Per Game 24.4 70 21.7 27

2012 Schedule & Projection Factors

2012 Schedule
Date Opponent Proj. Rk
30-Aug UT-San Antonio 109
8-Sep Nicholls State NR
15-Sep at N.C. State 54
22-Sep at Mississippi State 48
29-Sep Troy 100
13-Oct at Arkansas State 87
20-Oct Florida Atlantic 114
27-Oct at UL-Monroe 90
3-Nov Florida International 56
10-Nov at North Texas 106
17-Nov Middle Tennessee 113
24-Nov at UL-Lafayette 99
1-Dec at Hawaii 93
TO Margin -4
Approx. Ret. Starters (Off. / Def.) 7 / 9
Yds/Pt Margin -0.9

Offense

Category Yards/
Game Rk
OVERALL 88
RUSHING 56
PASSING 91

Quarterback

Note: players in bold below are 2012 returnees. Players in italics are questionable with injury/suspension.

Player Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Rivals Comp Att Yards Comp
Rate
TD INT Yards/
Pass
C.J. Bennett 6'0, 205 So. *** (5.5) 129 235 1,640 54.9% 7 17 7.0
Myles Gibbon 6'2, 220 Jr. NR 6 15 82 40.0% 1 1 5.5

Running Back

Player Pos. Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Rivals Rushes Yards Yards/
Carry
TD
Kendall Houston RB 5'10, 215 So. NR 121 558 4.6 8
Demetre Baker RB 6'1, 215 So. NR 102 491 4.8 9
C.J. Bennett QB 6'0, 205 So. *** (5.5) 61 76 1.2 3
J.J. Keels RB 5'10, 175 So. *** (5.6) 37 142 3.8 0
Santuan McGee RB 5'10, 175 Sr. NR 21 67 3.2 0
Myles Gibbon QB 6'2, 220 Jr. NR 19 105 5.5 0
Ellis Hill RB 5'9, 205 Jr. NR 18 71 3.9 1

Receiving Corps

Player Pos. Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Rivals Catches Yards Yards/
Catch
Bryant Lavender WR-X 6'0, 185 Jr. NR 28 370 13.2
Corey Waldon WR-Y 5'10, 175 Jr. NR 23 294 12.8
Jereme Jones WR 5'8, 160 So. ** (5.1) 21 205 9.8
Lamontis Gardner WR-Z 20 246 12.3
Kevin Helms TE 14 216 15.4
Corey Besteda WR-Z 6'3, 190 Jr. NR 11 203 18.5
Wes Saxton TE 6'4, 235 Jr. *** (5.7)
Cameron Broadnax WR 6'3, 185 Fr. ** (5.4)

Offensive Line

2011 Two-Deep Pos. Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Rivals Career Starts/Honors/Notes
Jon Griffin LG 29 career starts
Trey Clark C 6'1, 270 Sr. NR 27 career starts
Brian Krauskopf LT 26 career starts
Melvin Meggs RG 6'3, 300 So. ** (5.4) 19 career starts
Chris Brunson RT 10 career starts
Drew Dearman RG 6'3, 310 So. ** (5.2)
Ryan Norris LG
Shaun Artz RT 6'4, 290 So. NR
Tremain Smith LT 6'4, 305 Sr. NR
Steve McKenzie OL 6'1, 306 Fr. *** (5.5)

Defense

Category Yards/
Game Rk
OVERALL 16
RUSHING 41
PASSING 10

Defensive Line

Name Pos Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Rivals GP Tackles % of Team TFL Sacks Int PBU FF FR
Alex Page DE 6'1, 235 Jr. NR 10 22.5 4.1% 4 2.5 2 1
Andy Dalgleish NT 6'2, 275 Sr. NR 10 19.5 3.5% 4 1 1
Montavious Williams NT 6'2, 265 Jr. NR 10 18.0 3.3% 5 0.5 1
Romelle Jones DE 6'2, 275 Jr. NR 10 16.5 3.0% 7 2 1 1
Randon Carnathan DE 6'1, 280 Jr. NR 10 14.0 2.5% 2 1
Will Thompson DE 6'1, 250 So. NR 10 13.5 2.4% 1.5 1 1 3
Anthony Taylor DE 6'3, 225 Sr. NR 10 9.5 1.7% 2 1 1
Jesse Kelley DT 5'10, 260 So. NR 3 1.5 0.3% 1

Linebackers

Name Pos Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Rivals GP Tackles % of Team TFL Sacks Int PBU FF FR
Jake Johnson MLB 6'1, 230 Sr. NR 10 59.0 10.7% 6.5 2 1 1
Enrique Williams WLB 6'0, 235 Jr. NR 10 43.5 7.9% 4.5 1.5 1 2 1 2
Ken Barefield SLB


10 41.5 7.5% 5 2 1 2 1 1
Clifton Crews JACK 6'3, 220 Jr. NR 10 26.0 4.7% 5 1.5 3
Ben Giles MLB 6'0, 220 Jr. NR 9 18.5 3.3% 1
Logan Bennett JACK 6'0, 220 Jr. NR 10 16.5 3.0% 3.5 0.5 1
Desmond LaVelle WLB 5'11, 230 So. *** (5.5) 10 16.5 3.0% 2 1 1
Bryson James MLB 6'2, 230 Jr. ** (5.2) 5 10.5 1.9% 2
Davion Stuarts LB 5'11, 215 Fr. ** (5.4)

Secondary

Name Pos Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Rivals GP Tackles % of Team TFL Sacks Int PBU FF FR
Charles Harris SS 6'1, 200 Sr. NR 10 60.5 10.9% 1.5 1 1 3 1
B.J. Scott S 5'11, 205 Sr. NR 7 40.0 7.2% 4 1
Gabe Loper CB 6'2, 190 Sr. NR 10 25.5 4.6% 1 2 3 1
Anton Graphenreed CB 10 24.5 4.4% 1 1 2 1
Damond Smith CB 6'0, 185 Sr. NR 4 15.0 2.7% 1.5
Alonzo Long FS 5'10, 195 Jr. NR 9 5.5 1.0% 0.5 1
Maleki Harris SS 6'1, 200 So. *** (5.6) 8 5.5 1.0% 1

Special Teams

Punter Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Punts Avg TB FC I20 FC/I20
Ratio
Scott Garber 5'9, 195 Jr. 38 41.7 6 4 10 36.8%
Jordan Means

3 33.3 1 0 0 0.0%
Kicker Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Kickoffs Avg TB TB%
Michel Chapuseaux 5'8, 185 Sr. 32 62.7 8 25.0%
Place-Kicker Ht, Wt 2012
Year
PAT FG
(0-39)
Pct FG
(40+)
Pct
Jordan Means

23-26 9-9 100.0% 4-6 66.7%
Returner Pos. Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Returns Avg. TD
Jereme Jones KR 5'8, 160 So. 7 23.9 0
Demetre Baker KR 6'1, 215 So. 7 22.3 0
J.J. Keels KR 5'10, 175 So. 5 33.0 1
Jereme Jones PR 5'8, 160 So. 18 8.6 0

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Glossary

Adj. Line Yards: A line measure derived from the formula found here. The idea is to divvy credit for a given rush between both the runner and the blockers.

Adj. Pace: Part of the offensive footprint, this takes into account both the number of plays a team attempts and the type of play. Since passes, on average, take up less time (thanks to the fact that 30-50 percent of them are incomplete and stop the clock), pass-heavy offenses are prone to run more plays, therefore limiting the effectiveness of a general plays-per-game measure. Adj. Pace takes a team's run-pass ratio into account.

Adj. POE: An opponent-adjusted "Points Over Expected" measure for running backs that looks both at what a runner gained and what would have been expected given the opponents involved. For more information, start here.

Adj. Points: A look at how a team would have performed in a given week if playing a perfectly average team, with a somewhat average number of breaks and turnovers. The idea for the measure is simple: what if everybody in the country played exactly the same opponent every single week? Who would have done the best? It is an attempt to look at offensive and defensive consistency without getting sidetracked by easy or difficult schedules. And yes, with adjusted score you can allow a negative number of points. For more, start here.

Adj. Record: See Adj. Points.

Adj. Sack Rate: An opponent-adjusted measure of sack rates.

Adj. Score: See Adj. Points.

Adj. TO Margin: What a team's turnover margin would have been if they had recovered exactly 50 percent of all the fumbles that occurred in their games. If there is a huge difference between TO Margin and Adj. TO Margin (in other words, if fumbles, dropped interceptions, or other unlucky bounces were the main source of a good/bad TO margin), that suggests that a team's luck was particularly good or bad and might even out the next season.

Adj. Yards Per Target: A look at a receiver's total receiving yards divided by the number of times he was targeted. Slight adjustments are made for the percentage of times a receiver was targeted on standard ("%SD") and passing downs. Players targeted more on passing downs are likely to have a lower overall per-target average, since passing is more difficult on passing downs.

Bend-Don't-Break: Part of the defensive footprint, this is a comparison of a team's Def. Success Rate (efficiency) to its Def. PPP (explosiveness). The higher the number, the higher percentage of a team's overall S&P was made up by success rate, i.e. the more willing a team was to sacrifice efficiency to prevent big plays. (The lower the number, the more likely a team was to take aggressive risks.)

Covariance: Covariance is a statistical tool that provides a measure of the strength of the correlation between two or more sets of random variates. For these purposes, it is used to compare a team's performance (using opponent-adjusted Adj. Score) to the quality of the opponent at hand. Some teams play their best games against their worst opponents, and some teams do the opposite. This measure is used for both the offensive and defensive footprint. For more, go here.

Go After the Ball: Part of the defensive footprint, this looks at a team's forced fumbles, interceptions and passes broken up. In other words, it looks at their ability to go after the ball. The higher the number, the more they got their hands on the football.

Highlight Yards: The portion of a given run that is credit only to the running back; after a certain number of yards, the line has done its job, and most of the rest of the run will be determined by the running back himself. For more information, start here.

Need for Blitzes: Part of the defensive footprint, this compares a team's standard downs sack rate to its passing downs sack rate. The lower the number, the more they were able to generate pressure on standard downs, and the less need for blitzes.

Turnovers Luck: Presented in Points Per Game fashion, Turnovers Luck looks at the difference between a team's Turnover and Adj. TO Margins and, using the average point value of a turnover (~5.0 points), projects how many points a team gained or lost per game last season.

Yards Per Point: A measure long tracked by Phil Steele as a means of looking at teams that were a little too efficient or inefficient the previous season. A positive YPP Margin means a team's offense was less efficient than opponents' offenses, and to the extent that luck was involved, their luck might even out the next year.

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