2012 Missouri Tigers Football: Statistical Profile

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Confused? See the glossary at the bottom.

2011 Schedule & Results

Record: 8-5 | Adj. Record: 11-2 | Final F/+ Rk: 25
Date Opponent Score W-L Adj. Score Adj. W-L
3-Sep Miami (Ohio)
17-6 W 26.3 - 22.2 W
9-Sep at Arizona State 30-37 L 26.7 - 32.4 L
17-Sep Western Illinois
69-0 W 33.3 - 5.7 W
24-Sep at Oklahoma 28-38 L 36.4 - 30.7 W
8-Oct at Kansas State 17-24 L 26.3 - 26.5 L
15-Oct Iowa State 52-17 W 35.1 - 24.5 W
22-Oct Oklahoma State 24-45 L 28.7 - 28.7 W
29-Oct at Texas A&M 38-31 W 35.4 - 27.1 W
5-Nov at Baylor 39-42 L 30.3 - 29.5 W
12-Nov Texas 17-5 W 26.8 - 17.7 W
19-Nov Texas Tech 31-27 W 29.3 - 28.7 W
26-Nov vs Kansas 24-10 W 20.2 - 19.2 W
26-Dec vs North Carolina 41-24 W 36.8 - 26.2 W
Category Offense Rk Defense Rk
Points Per Game 32.8 30 23.5 44
Adj. Points Per Game 30.1 25 24.5 20

2012 Schedule & Projection Factors

2012 Schedule
Date Opponent Proj. Rk
1-Sep SE Louisiana NR
8-Sep Georgia 8
15-Sep Arizona State 58
22-Sep at South Carolina 17
29-Sep at Central Florida 48
6-Oct Vanderbilt 50
13-Oct Alabama 1
27-Oct Kentucky 64
3-Nov at Florida 10
10-Nov at Tennessee 27
17-Nov Syracuse 79
24-Nov at Texas A&M 25
Five-Year F/+ Rk 20
Two-Year Recruiting Rk 39
TO Margin/Adj. TO Margin* +3 / +5.5
TO Luck/Game -1.0
Approx. Ret. Starters (Off. / Def.) 12 (5, 7)
Yds/Pt Margin** -1.7

Offense

Category Yards/
Game Rk
S&P+ Rk Success
Rt. Rk
PPP+ Rk
OVERALL 12 31 25 43
RUSHING 9 19 11 35
PASSING 63 49 56 42
Standard Downs 14 8 24
Passing Downs 66 97 50
Redzone 18 27 14
Q1 Rk 11 1st Down Rk 22
Q2 Rk 39 2nd Down Rk 33
Q3 Rk 71 3rd Down Rk 38
Q4 Rk 14
Adj. Line Yards Rk 2
Adj. Sack Rate Rk 71

Quarterback

Note: players in bold below are 2012 returnees. Players in italics are questionable with injury/suspension.

Player Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Rivals Comp Att Yards Comp
Rate
TD INT Sacks Sack Rate Yards/
Att.
James Franklin 6'2, 225 Jr. **** (5.8) 238 376 2,865 63.3% 21 11 18 4.6% 7.0
Jimmy Costello 3 4 74 75.0% 1 0 0 0.0% 18.5
Corbin Berkstresser 6'3, 220 RSFr. *** (5.7)
Maty Mauk 6'2, 200 Fr. *** (5.7)

Running Back

Player Pos. Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Rivals Rushes Yards Yards/
Carry
Hlt Yds/
Carry
TD Adj.
POE
James Franklin QB 6'2, 225 Jr. **** (5.8) 199 1,089 5.5 2.0 15 +13.2
Henry Josey RB 5'10, 185 Jr. *** (5.7) 145 1,168 8.1 4.0 9 +20.2
Kendial Lawrence RB 5'9, 190 Sr. *** (5.7) 119 586 4.9 1.7 5 -0.9
De'Vion Moore RB
39 210 5.4 2.8 0 -1.2
Marcus Murphy (2010^) RB 5'9, 185 So. *** (5.7) 22 181 8.2 4.5 2 +4.9
Jared Culver RB 5'11, 250 Sr. NR 16 111 6.9 4.6 1 +2.1
T.J. Moe WR 6'0, 200 Sr. *** (5.7) 11 61 5.5 1.9 0 -1.0
Greg White RB 6'1, 215 So. *** (5.5) 11 38 3.5 1.5 0 -1.7
Russell Hansbrough RB 5'9, 180 Fr. *** (5.6)

Receiving Corps

Player Pos. Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Rivals Targets Catches Yards Catch Rate Target
Rate
%SD Adj. Yds/
Target
T.J. Moe WR 6'0, 200 Sr. *** (5.7) 78 54 649 69.2% 21.7% 64.1% 8.1
Michael Egnew TE 70 50 523 71.4% 19.5% 65.7% 7.3
Wes Kemp WR 46 29 369 63.0% 12.8% 54.3% 7.5
Marcus Lucas WR 6'5, 215 Jr. **** (5.8) 39 23 414 59.0% 10.9% 56.4% 9.2
Jerrell Jackson WR 32 17 222 53.1% 8.9% 59.4% 4.9
L'Damian Washington WR 6'4, 195 Jr. ** (5.4) 28 20 364 71.4% 7.8% 64.3% 13.8
Kendial Lawrence RB 5'9, 190 Sr. *** (5.7) 15 14 77 93.3% 4.2% 73.3% 6.1
Brandon Gerau WR 14 7 72 50.0% 3.9% 57.1% 3.0
Henry Josey RB 5'10, 185 Jr. *** (5.7) 13 10 91 76.9% 3.6% 69.2% 7.2
De'Vion Moore RB 6 5 23 83.3% 1.7% 83.3% 3.4
Eric Waters TE 6'4, 240 Jr. *** (5.6) 3 2 46 66.7% 0.8% 0.0% 15.3
Gahn McGaffie WR 5'11, 190 Sr. *** (5.6) 3 3 18 100.0% 0.8% 100.0% 6.0
Jimmie Hunt WR 6'0, 215 So. **** (5.8) 1 1 54 100.0% 0.3% 100.0% 54.0
Dorial Green-Beckham WR 6'6, 220 Fr. ***** (6.1)
Sean Culkin TE 6'5, 225 Fr. *** (5.7)

Offensive Line

2011 Two-Deep Pos. Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Rivals Career Starts/Honors/Notes
Elvis Fisher LT 6'5, 295 Sr. *** (5.5) 40 career starts, Injured 2011
Austin Wuebbels LG 39 career starts
Dan Hoch RT 39 career starts
Jayson Palmgren RG 25 career starts
Justin Britt RT 6'6, 300 Jr. ** (5.4) 13 career starts
Travis Ruth LG


8 career starts
Jack Meiners RG 6'6, 310 Sr. *** (5.6) 6 career starts
Anthony Gatti LT 6'6, 295 So. *** (5.7)
Nick Demien RG 6'6, 300 So. **** (5.9)
Max Copeland LG 6'3, 290 Jr. NR
Mitch Morse C 6'5, 295 So. *** (5.7)
Chris Freeman RT 6'8, 320 So. *** (5.6)
Brad McNulty C 6'4, 295 RSFr. *** (5.5)
Connor McGovern LG 6'4, 295 RSFr. *** (5.5)
Evan Boehm LG 6'3, 290 Fr. **** (5.8)

Defense

Category Yards/
Game Rk
S&P+ Rk Success
Rt. Rk
PPP+ Rk
OVERALL 61 29 39 26
RUSHING 30 22 40 19
PASSING 94 34 47 34
Standard Downs 35 52 27
Passing Downs 9 8 15
Redzone 14 16 15
Q1 Rk 61 1st Down Rk 37
Q2 Rk 11 2nd Down Rk 17
Q3 Rk 30 3rd Down Rk 30
Q4 Rk 24
Adj. Line Yards Rk 35
Adj. Sack Rate Rk 68

Defensive Line

Name Pos Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Rivals GP Tackles % of Team TFL Sacks Int PBU FF FR
Dominique Hamilton DT 13 40.0 5.1% 7 3 3 2
Jacquies Smith DE 11 30.0 3.8% 9 5 4 4 1
Sheldon Richardson DT 6'4, 295 Sr. ***** (6.1) 13 26.0 3.3% 8 2 1 1
Michael Sam DE 6'3, 260 Jr. ** (5.4) 13 22.5 2.9% 3 1.5 1 1
Brad Madison DE 6'4, 260 Sr. *** (5.5) 13 21.0 2.7% 8.5 4.5 1 1
Terrell Resonno DT 11 14.0 1.8% 3.5 2
Brayden Burnett DE 6'3, 240 Jr. *** (5.7) 12 12.0 1.5% 4 2.5 1
Kony Ealy DE 6'5, 260 So. **** (5.8) 12 9.5 1.2% 3 1
Lucas Vincent DT 6'3, 295 So. *** (5.7) 13 7.0 0.9% 2 1
Matt Hoch DT 6'5, 300 So. *** (5.7) 11 1.5 0.2% 1 1
Shane Ray DE 6'3, 245 RSFr. *** (5.7)
Harold Brantley DT 6'2, 280 Fr. ** (5.4)

Linebackers

Name Pos Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Rivals GP Tackles % of Team TFL Sacks Int PBU FF FR
Andrew Wilson MLB 6'3, 230 Jr. *** (5.5) 13 72.5 9.3% 9.5 0.5 1
Zaviar Gooden WLB 6'2, 225 Sr. *** (5.7) 13 67.0 8.6% 6 1 2 4
Luke Lambert SLB 13 60.5 7.8% 11.5 1 2 3
Will Ebner (2010^) SLB 6'1, 230 Sr. *** (5.5) 10 34.5 4.5% 1 1 1
Donovan Bonner SLB 6'2, 235 Jr. ** (5.3) 13 9.5 1.2% 2
Darvin Ruise WLB 6'2, 225 So. *** (5.6) 12 1.0 0.1%
Markus Golden WLB 6'3, 230 So. *** (5.5)
Michael Scherer SLB 6'2, 230 Fr. *** (5.6)
Donavin Newsome WLB 6'2, 220 Fr. *** (5.7)


Secondary

Name Pos Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Rivals GP Tackles % of Team TFL Sacks Int PBU FF FR
Kenji Jackson SS 13 62.0 7.9% 5.5 1 3 4
E.J. Gaines CB 5'10, 190 Jr. *** (5.7) 13 59.0 7.6% 3 2 16 1
Kip Edwards CB 6'1, 200 Sr. *** (5.6) 11 46.5 6.0% 0.5 1 3 2
Matt White FS 6'0, 195 Jr. ** (5.2) 13 37.5 4.8% 1.5 4
Kenronte Walker SS 6'0, 210 Sr. *** (5.7) 13 33.0 4.2% 1 1 1
Randy Ponder CB 5'10, 195 Jr. *** (5.5) 13 31.0 4.0% 1 4 1
Braylon Webb FS 6'0, 210 So. *** (5.6) 11 28.5 3.7% 1
Trey Hobson CB 13 23.5 3.0% 2 3
Robert Steeples CB


13 16.5 2.1% 1.5 1 1

Daniel Easterly SS 6'4, 195 So. *** (5.6) 10 6.5 0.8%
Xavier Smith CB 5'11, 185 So. *** (5.7) 9 3.0 0.4%
Ian Simon FS 5'11, 190 RSFr. *** (5.5)
David Johnson CB 5'11, 190 RSFr. *** (5.5)

Special Teams

Punter Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Punts Avg TB FC I20 FC/I20
Ratio
Trey Barrow 6'1, 205 Sr. 62 44.8 18 10 10 32.3%
Kicker Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Kickoffs Avg TB TB%
Trey Barrow 6'1, 205 Sr. 41 56.6 8 19.5%
Grant Ressel 38 64.2 3 7.9%
Place-Kicker Ht, Wt 2012
Year
PAT FG
(0-39)
Pct FG
(40+)
Pct
Grant Ressel 30-30 8-9 88.9% 1-7 14.3%
Trey Barrow 6'1, 205 Sr. 23-23 7-8 87.5% 0-1 0.0%
Returner Pos. Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Returns Avg. TD
T.J. Moe KR 6'0, 200 Sr. 26 23.3 0
Henry Josey KR 5'10, 185 Jr. 6 24.8 0
E.J. Gaines PR 5'10, 190 Jr. 9 10.9 1
T.J. Moe PR 6'0, 200 Sr. 9 5.2 0
Category Rk
Special Teams F/+ 56
Net Punting 49
Net Kickoffs 55
Touchback Pct 62
Field Goal Pct 84
Kick Returns Avg 53
Punt Returns Avg 55

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Glossary

Adj. Line Yards: A line measure derived from the formula found here. The idea is to divvy credit for a given rush between both the runner and the blockers.

Adj. Pace: Part of the offensive footprint, this takes into account both the number of plays a team attempts and the type of play. Since passes, on average, take up less time (thanks to the fact that 30-50 percent of them are incomplete and stop the clock), pass-heavy offenses are prone to run more plays, therefore limiting the effectiveness of a general plays-per-game measure. Adj. Pace takes a team's run-pass ratio into account.

Adj. POE: An opponent-adjusted "Points Over Expected" measure for running backs that looks both at what a runner gained and what would have been expected given the opponents involved. For more information, start here.

Adj. Points: A look at how a team would have performed in a given week if playing a perfectly average team, with a somewhat average number of breaks and turnovers. The idea for the measure is simple: what if everybody in the country played exactly the same opponent every single week? Who would have done the best? It is an attempt to look at offensive and defensive consistency without getting sidetracked by easy or difficult schedules. And yes, with adjusted score you can allow a negative number of points. For more, start here.

Adj. Record: See Adj. Points.

Adj. Sack Rate: An opponent-adjusted measure of sack rates.

Adj. Score: See Adj. Points.

Adj. TO Margin: What a team's turnover margin would have been if they had recovered exactly 50 percent of all the fumbles that occurred in their games. If there is a huge difference between TO Margin and Adj. TO Margin (in other words, if fumbles, dropped interceptions, or other unlucky bounces were the main source of a good/bad TO margin), that suggests that a team's luck was particularly good or bad and might even out the next season.

Adj. Yards Per Target: A look at a receiver's total receiving yards divided by the number of times he was targeted. Slight adjustments are made for the percentage of times a receiver was targeted on standard ("%SD") and passing downs. Players targeted more on passing downs are likely to have a lower overall per-target average, since passing is more difficult on passing downs.

Bend-Don't-Break: Part of the defensive footprint, this is a comparison of a team's Def. Success Rate (efficiency) to its Def. PPP (explosiveness). The higher the number, the higher percentage of a team's overall S&P was made up by success rate, i.e. the more willing a team was to sacrifice efficiency to prevent big plays. (The lower the number, the more likely a team was to take aggressive risks.)

Covariance: Covariance is a statistical tool that provides a measure of the strength of the correlation between two or more sets of random variates. For these purposes, it is used to compare a team's performance (using opponent-adjusted Adj. Score) to the quality of the opponent at hand. Some teams play their best games against their worst opponents, and some teams do the opposite. This measure is used for both the offensive and defensive footprint. For more, go here.

Go After the Ball: Part of the defensive footprint, this looks at a team's forced fumbles, interceptions and passes broken up. In other words, it looks at their ability to go after the ball. The higher the number, the more they got their hands on the football.

Highlight Yards: The portion of a given run that is credit only to the running back; after a certain number of yards, the line has done its job, and most of the rest of the run will be determined by the running back himself. For more information, start here.

Need for Blitzes: Part of the defensive footprint, this compares a team's standard downs sack rate to its passing downs sack rate. The lower the number, the more they were able to generate pressure on standard downs, and the less need for blitzes.

Turnovers Luck: Presented in Points Per Game fashion, Turnovers Luck looks at the difference between a team's Turnover and Adj. TO Margins and, using the average point value of a turnover (~5.0 points), projects how many points a team gained or lost per game last season.

Yards Per Point: A measure long tracked by Phil Steele as a means of looking at teams that were a little too efficient or inefficient the previous season. A positive YPP Margin means a team's offense was less efficient than opponents' offenses, and to the extent that luck was involved, their luck might even out the next year.

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