2012 Louisiana Tech Bulldogs Football: Statistical Profile

Back to Profiles home page.

Confused? See the glossary at the bottom.

2011 Schedule & Results

Record: 8-5 | Adj. Record: 8-5 | Final F/+ Rk: 39
Date Opponent Score W-L Adj. Score Adj. W-L
3-Sep at Southern Miss 17-19 L 22.6 - 21.7 W
10-Sep Central Arkansas 48-42 W 28.6 - 31.2 L
17-Sep Houston 34-35 L 28.7 - 22.9 W
24-Sep at Mississippi State 20-26 L 27.0 - 27.5 L
1-Oct Hawaii 26-44 L 28.0 - 28.7 L
8-Oct at Idaho 24-11 W 22.1 - 20.4 W
22-Oct at Utah State 24-17 W 23.5 - 22.3 W
29-Oct San Jose State 38-28 W 25.9 - 28.5 L
5-Nov at Fresno State 41-21 W 32.4 - 29.6 W
12-Nov at Ole Miss 27-7 W 20.6 - 27.1 L
19-Nov at Nevada 24-20 W 31.1 - 24.7 W
26-Nov New Mexico State 44-0 W 25.3 - 21.0 W
21-Dec TCU 24-31 L 29.4 - 26.6 W
Category Offense Rk Defense Rk
Points Per Game 30.1 42 23.2 41
Adj. Points Per Game 26.6 78 25.6 29

2012 Schedule & Projection Factors

2012 Schedule
Date Opponent Proj. Rk
30-Aug Texas A&M 16
8-Sep at Houston 29
15-Sep Rice 112
22-Sep at Illinois 51
29-Sep at Virginia 62
6-Oct UNLV 119
20-Oct Idaho 118
27-Oct at New Mexico State 121
3-Nov UT-San Antonio 109
10-Nov at Texas State 122
17-Nov Utah State 79
24-Nov at San Jose State 110
Five-Year F/+ Rk 80
Two-Year Recruiting Rk 76
TO Margin/Adj. TO Margin* +11 / +6.1
TO Luck/Game +1.9
Approx. Ret. Starters (Off. / Def.) 14 (8, 6)
Yds/Pt Margin** -3.1

Offense

Category Yards/
Game Rk
S&P+ Rk Success
Rt. Rk
PPP+ Rk
OVERALL 51 91 86 91
RUSHING 69 71 59 77
PASSING 45 91 95 87
Standard Downs 83 69 87
Passing Downs 98 98 91
Redzone 60 73 50
Q1 Rk 90 1st Down Rk 77
Q2 Rk 85 2nd Down Rk 92
Q3 Rk 56 3rd Down Rk 91
Q4 Rk 91
Adj. Line Yards Rk 53
Adj. Sack Rate Rk 65

Quarterback

Note: players in bold below are 2012 returnees. Players in italics are questionable with injury/suspension.

Player Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Rivals Comp Att Yards Comp
Rate
TD INT Sacks Sack Rate Yards/
Att.
Nick Isham


155 257 1,457 60.3% 8 7 19 6.9% 4.8
Colby Cameron 6'2, 205 Sr. ** (5.1) 118 215 1,667 54.9% 13 3 6 2.7% 7.4

Running Back

Player Pos. Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Rivals Rushes Yards Yards/
Carry
Hlt Yds/
Carry
TD Adj.
POE
Lennon Creer RB 198 838 4.2 1.2 9 -7.8
Hunter Lee RB 5'10, 200 So. ** 135 650 4.8 1.6 5 -3.9
Colby Cameron QB 6'2, 205 Sr. ** (5.1) 37 216 5.8 2.0 0 -2.7
Ray Holley RB 36 144 4.0 1.2 4 +1.3
Nick Isham QB 6'0, 185 So. *** (5.6) 30 116 3.9 0.9 2 +0.6
Lyle Fitte RB 5'9, 190 Sr. ** (5.4) 12 81 6.8 2.1 0 +2.5
Quinton Patton WR-Z 6'2, 195 Sr. *** (5.6) 10 42 4.2 0.9 0 -1.2
Kenneth Dixon RB 5'11, 210 Fr. *** (5.5)



Receiving Corps

Player Pos. Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Rivals Targets Catches Yards Catch Rate Target
Rate
%SD Adj. Yds/
Target
Quinton Patton WR-Z 6'2, 195 Sr. *** (5.6) 125 78 1,177 62.4% 28.0% 60.8% 8.5
Taulib Ikharo WR-X 88 53 544 60.2% 19.7% 55.7% 5.1
Myles White WR-H 6'1, 185 Sr. ** (5.4) 47 30 408 63.8% 10.5% 55.3% 7.4
David Gru WR-Y 6'0, 185 Sr. NR 43 26 339 60.5% 9.6% 60.5% 6.1
Richie Casey WR-H 5'11, 185 Sr. ** (5.0) 43 19 213 44.2% 9.6% 67.4% 2.0
Hunter Lee RB 5'10, 200 So. ** 21 13 126 61.9% 4.7% 66.7% 5.2
Lennon Creer RB 20 18 93 90.0% 4.5% 65.0% 5.6
Andrew Guillot WR 5'10, 180 Sr. NR 17 12 118 70.6% 3.8% 47.1% 6.2
Lyle Fitte RB 5'9, 190 Sr. ** (5.4) 14 12 60 85.7% 3.1% 71.4% 4.8
Jacarri Jackson WR-Z 6'2, 185 Jr. ** (5.2) 14 6 62 42.9% 3.1% 57.1% 1.5
Jon Greenwalt WR 6'3, 200 Jr. *** (5.6)
Jaydrick Declouet WR 5'10, 170 Fr. *** (5.5)

Offensive Line

2011 Two-Deep Pos. Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Rivals Career Starts/Honors/Notes
Stephen Warner C 6'0, 315 Sr. NR 28 career starts, 2011 1st All-WAC
Kris Cavitt LT 19 career starts, 2011 1st-All WAC
Kevin Saia LG 6'2, 305 Sr. ** (5.4) 28 career starts
Jordan Mills RT 6'6, 315 Sr. *** (5.6) 22 career starts
Oscar Johnson RG 6'7, 350 Sr. *** (5.6) 13 career starts
Larry Banks LT 6'4, 325 Sr. *** (5.5) 1 career start
Josh Parrish RT 6'3, 290 Sr. ** (5.3) 1 career start
Jeremy Graffree LG 6'3, 300 Sr. ** (5.4)
Matthew Sheppard C 6'2, 305 Jr. ** (5.0)
Vincent Cano RG 6'2, 305 Jr. ** (5.4)

Defense

Category Yards/
Game Rk
S&P+ Rk Success
Rt. Rk
PPP+ Rk
OVERALL 57 21 36 15
RUSHING 29 21 63 9
PASSING 91 22 19 24
Standard Downs 33 85 14
Passing Downs 3 2 7
Redzone 37 48 33
Q1 Rk 30 1st Down Rk 32
Q2 Rk 22 2nd Down Rk 25
Q3 Rk 39 3rd Down Rk 11
Q4 Rk 23
Adj. Line Yards Rk 55
Adj. Sack Rate Rk 41

Defensive Line

Name Pos Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Rivals GP Tackles % of Team TFL Sacks Int PBU FF FR
Matt Broha DE 13 35.0 4.4% 9.5 7.5 2 2
Christian Lacey DE 13 26.5 3.3% 11 8.5
I.K. Enemkpali DE 6'2, 245 Jr. ** (5.4) 12 24.5 3.1% 7.5 3.5 1
Jon'al White NT 6'1, 300 Sr. *** (5.5) 13 22.5 2.8% 3.5 3.5
Shakell Lucas DT 6'2, 280 Jr. *** (5.5) 13 20.0 2.5% 2 1
Justin Ellis NT 6'2, 340 Jr. ** (5.2) 13 20.0 2.5% 3.5 1 1 1
Kendrick James DE 6'1, 240 Jr. *** (5.6) 13 15.0 1.9% 1.5 1.5 1
Adam Hymel DT 7 8.5 1.1% 1 1
Philip Longino DT 6'0, 275 Sr. ** (5.4) 4 2.0 0.3% 1.5 1.5
Stephen Gibson DE 6'4, 240 Fr. *** (5.6)

Linebackers

Name Pos Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Rivals GP Tackles % of Team TFL Sacks Int PBU FF FR
Adrien Cole MLB 13 103.5 13.0% 13 2 1 5 1 1
Jay Dudley SLB 13 78.5 9.8% 8 4 3 1
Rufus Porter SLB 6'1, 210 Jr. *** (5.7) 12 16.5 2.1% 2 1
Dusty Rust SLB 13 15.5 1.9% 1
Antonio Mitchum LB 6'1, 245 Sr. *** (5.5) 13 11.0 1.4% 1
Solomon Randle MLB 5'11, 230 Sr. ** (5.1) 12 10.5 1.3% 1
Lloyd Grogan LB 6'1, 206 Fr. *** (5.5)

Secondary

Name Pos Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Rivals GP Tackles % of Team TFL Sacks Int PBU FF FR
Jamel Johnson FS 6'1, 200 Sr. NR 13 71.0 8.9% 0.5 2 1 1
Chad Boyd NB 5'10, 190 Sr. *** (5.5) 13 58.0 7.3% 3 3 6 1
Terry Carter CB 13 51.0 6.4% 2.5 1 11 1 1
Justin Goodman CB 12 35.0 4.4% 3.5 1 4 2
Javontay Crowe NB 5'11, 185 Sr. ** (5.4) 10 31.0 3.9% 1.5 1 4 2
Dave Clark CB 6'2, 190 Sr. NR 12 28.0 3.5% 1 3 3 1
Craig Johnson SS 5'8, 175 Sr. NR 12 25.0 3.1% 2 1 4 1
Quinn Giles SS 5'10, 195 Sr. *** (5.5) 12 24.5 3.1% 4 3
DeMarcion Evans CB 9 22.0 2.8% 1 3
Levander Liggins CB 5'11, 185 So. *** (5.5) 12 8.0 1.0% 1 1

Special Teams

Punter Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Punts Avg TB FC I20 FC/I20
Ratio
Ryan Allen 6'2, 215 Sr. 83 46.1 5 28 39 80.7%
Nick Isham 6'0, 185 So. 2 38.5 2 0 0 0.0%
Kicker Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Kickoffs Avg TB TB%
Matt Nelson 5'10, 160 Sr. 77 60.7 10 13.0%
Place-Kicker Ht, Wt 2012
Year
PAT FG
(0-39)
Pct FG
(40+)
Pct
Matt Nelson 5'10, 160 Sr. 46-48 11-13 84.6% 4-8 50.0%
Returner Pos. Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Returns Avg. TD
Lyle Fitte KR 5'9, 190 Sr. 22 26.1 1
Levander Liggins KR 5'11, 185 So. 18 22.7 0
Andrew Guillot PR 5'10, 180 Sr. 14 12.0 0
Quinton Patton PR 6'2, 195 Sr. 8 3.4 0
Category Rk
Special Teams F/+ 31
Net Punting 8
Net Kickoffs 57
Touchback Pct 64
Field Goal Pct 52
Kick Returns Avg 43
Punt Returns Avg 40

---

Glossary

Adj. Line Yards: A line measure derived from the formula found here. The idea is to divvy credit for a given rush between both the runner and the blockers.

Adj. Pace: Part of the offensive footprint, this takes into account both the number of plays a team attempts and the type of play. Since passes, on average, take up less time (thanks to the fact that 30-50 percent of them are incomplete and stop the clock), pass-heavy offenses are prone to run more plays, therefore limiting the effectiveness of a general plays-per-game measure. Adj. Pace takes a team's run-pass ratio into account.

Adj. POE: An opponent-adjusted "Points Over Expected" measure for running backs that looks both at what a runner gained and what would have been expected given the opponents involved. For more information, start here.

Adj. Points: A look at how a team would have performed in a given week if playing a perfectly average team, with a somewhat average number of breaks and turnovers. The idea for the measure is simple: what if everybody in the country played exactly the same opponent every single week? Who would have done the best? It is an attempt to look at offensive and defensive consistency without getting sidetracked by easy or difficult schedules. And yes, with adjusted score you can allow a negative number of points. For more, start here.

Adj. Record: See Adj. Points.

Adj. Sack Rate: An opponent-adjusted measure of sack rates.

Adj. Score: See Adj. Points.

Adj. TO Margin: What a team's turnover margin would have been if they had recovered exactly 50 percent of all the fumbles that occurred in their games. If there is a huge difference between TO Margin and Adj. TO Margin (in other words, if fumbles, dropped interceptions, or other unlucky bounces were the main source of a good/bad TO margin), that suggests that a team's luck was particularly good or bad and might even out the next season.

Adj. Yards Per Target: A look at a receiver's total receiving yards divided by the number of times he was targeted. Slight adjustments are made for the percentage of times a receiver was targeted on standard ("%SD") and passing downs. Players targeted more on passing downs are likely to have a lower overall per-target average, since passing is more difficult on passing downs.

Bend-Don't-Break: Part of the defensive footprint, this is a comparison of a team's Def. Success Rate (efficiency) to its Def. PPP (explosiveness). The higher the number, the higher percentage of a team's overall S&P was made up by success rate, i.e. the more willing a team was to sacrifice efficiency to prevent big plays. (The lower the number, the more likely a team was to take aggressive risks.)

Covariance: Covariance is a statistical tool that provides a measure of the strength of the correlation between two or more sets of random variates. For these purposes, it is used to compare a team's performance (using opponent-adjusted Adj. Score) to the quality of the opponent at hand. Some teams play their best games against their worst opponents, and some teams do the opposite. This measure is used for both the offensive and defensive footprint. For more, go here.

Go After the Ball: Part of the defensive footprint, this looks at a team's forced fumbles, interceptions and passes broken up. In other words, it looks at their ability to go after the ball. The higher the number, the more they got their hands on the football.

Highlight Yards: The portion of a given run that is credit only to the running back; after a certain number of yards, the line has done its job, and most of the rest of the run will be determined by the running back himself. For more information, start here.

Need for Blitzes: Part of the defensive footprint, this compares a team's standard downs sack rate to its passing downs sack rate. The lower the number, the more they were able to generate pressure on standard downs, and the less need for blitzes.

Turnovers Luck: Presented in Points Per Game fashion, Turnovers Luck looks at the difference between a team's Turnover and Adj. TO Margins and, using the average point value of a turnover (~5.0 points), projects how many points a team gained or lost per game last season.

Yards Per Point: A measure long tracked by Phil Steele as a means of looking at teams that were a little too efficient or inefficient the previous season. A positive YPP Margin means a team's offense was less efficient than opponents' offenses, and to the extent that luck was involved, their luck might even out the next year.

X
Log In Sign Up

forgot?
Log In Sign Up

Forgot password?

We'll email you a reset link.

If you signed up using a 3rd party account like Facebook or Twitter, please login with it instead.

Forgot password?

Try another email?

Almost done,

Join Football Study Hall

You must be a member of Football Study Hall to participate.

We have our own Community Guidelines at Football Study Hall. You should read them.

Join Football Study Hall

You must be a member of Football Study Hall to participate.

We have our own Community Guidelines at Football Study Hall. You should read them.

Spinner

Authenticating

Great!

Choose an available username to complete sign up.

In order to provide our users with a better overall experience, we ask for more information from Facebook when using it to login so that we can learn more about our audience and provide you with the best possible experience. We do not store specific user data and the sharing of it is not required to login with Facebook.

tracking_pixel_9341_tracker