2012 Georgia Bulldogs Football: Statistical Profile

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2011 Schedule & Results

Record: 10-4 | Adj. Record: 12-2 | Final F/+ Rk: 15
Date Opponent Score W-L Adj. Score Adj. W-L
3-Sep vs Boise State 21-35 L 29.3 - 26.5 W
10-Sep South Carolina 42-45 L 39.2 - 26.8 W
17-Sep Coastal Carolina
59-0 W 28.6 - 6.8 W
24-Sep at Ole Miss 27-13 W 25.1 - 22.9 W
1-Oct Mississippi State 24-10 W 25.4 - 17.6 W
8-Oct at Tennessee 20-12 W 27.0 - 27.7 L
15-Oct at Vanderbilt 33-28 W 33.5 - 26.9 W
29-Oct vs Florida 24-20 W 27.1 - 17.4 W
5-Nov New Mexico State 63-16 W 37.4 - 26.1 W
12-Nov Auburn 45-7 W 34.4 - 20.5 W
19-Nov Kentucky 19-10 W 22.0 - 17.9 W
26-Nov at Georgia Tech 31-17 W 32.0 - 23.0 W
3-Dec vs LSU 10-42 L 25.9 - 27.1 L
2-Jan vs Michigan State 30-33 L 23.9 - 22.8 W
Category Offense Rk Defense Rk
Points Per Game 32.0 33 20.6 23
Adj. Points Per Game 29.3 35 22.1 9

2012 Schedule & Projection Factors

2012 Schedule
Date Opponent Proj. Rk
1-Sep Buffalo 107
8-Sep at Missouri 28
15-Sep Florida Atlantic 115
22-Sep Vanderbilt 50
29-Sep Tennessee 27
6-Oct at South Carolina 17
20-Oct at Kentucky 64
27-Oct vs Florida 10
3-Nov Ole Miss 59
10-Nov at Auburn 22
17-Nov Georgia Southern NR
24-Nov Georgia Tech 30
Five-Year F/+ Rk 17
Two-Year Recruiting Rk 5
TO Margin/Adj. TO Margin* +7 / +4.2
TO Luck/Game +1.0
Approx. Ret. Starters (Off. / Def.) 15 (5, 10)
Yds/Pt Margin** -0.7

Offense

Category Yards/
Game Rk
S&P+ Rk Success
Rt. Rk
PPP+ Rk
OVERALL 39 21 46 12
RUSHING 49 91 107 66
PASSING 48 5 4 5
Standard Downs 15 26 12
Passing Downs 43 74 30
Redzone 58 83 45
Q1 Rk 21 1st Down Rk 11
Q2 Rk 13 2nd Down Rk 75
Q3 Rk 37 3rd Down Rk 26
Q4 Rk 51
Adj. Line Yards Rk 67
Adj. Sack Rate Rk 68

Quarterback

Note: players in bold below are 2012 returnees. Players in italics are questionable with injury/suspension.

Player Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Rivals Comp Att Yards Comp
Rate
TD INT Sacks Sack Rate Yards/
Att.
Aaron Murray 6'1, 210 Jr. **** (6.0) 238 403 3,149 59.1% 35 14 31 7.1% 6.8
Hutson Mason 6'3, 206 Jr. *** (5.6) 18 30 254 60.0% 2 0 1 3.2% 8.1
Christian LeMay 6'2, 201 RSFr. **** (5.9)








Running Back

Player Pos. Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Rivals Rushes Yards Yards/
Carry
Hlt Yds/
Carry
TD Adj.
POE
Isaiah Crowell RB


185 850 4.6 1.6 5 -2.9
Richard Samuel IV FB 6'2, 236
Sr. ***** (6.1) 82 240 2.9 0.7 1 -5.6
Carlton Thomas RB


73 361 4.9 1.8 2 -0.7
Aaron Murray QB 6'1, 210
Jr. **** (6.0) 56 298 5.3 2.1 2 -2.1
Brandon Harton RB 5'6, 175
Jr. NR 53 247 4.7 1.6 1 -7.5
Ken Malcome RB 6'0, 224 So. **** (5.8) 42 174 4.1 1.0 0 -5.1
Branden Smith CB 5'11, 182 Sr. ***** (6.1) 13 100 7.7 4.9 1 +3.9
Kyle Karempelis RB 5'9, 183 So. NR 13 63 4.8 1.6 1 +0.3
Todd Gurley RB 6'1, 218 Fr. **** (6.0)
Keith Marshall RB 5'11, 216 Fr. **** (6.0)

Receiving Corps

Player Pos. Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Rivals Targets Catches Yards Catch Rate Target
Rate
%SD Adj. Yds/
Target
Tavarres King FL 6'1, 200 Sr. **** (5.9) 88 46 677 52.3% 21.4% 55.7% 5.4
Orson Charles TE 67 45 574 67.2% 16.3% 65.7% 7.9
Malcolm Mitchell SE 6'1, 192 So. **** (6.0) 61 45 665 73.8% 14.8% 68.9% 11.8
Michael Bennett SE 6'3, 192 So. *** (5.7) 49 32 320 65.3% 11.9% 59.2% 6.0
Marlon Brown SE 6'5, 216 Sr. **** (6.0) 29 15 234 51.7% 7.0% 62.1% 5.4
Chris Conley FL 6'3, 205 So. *** (5.7) 26 16 288 61.5% 6.3% 61.5% 9.8
Aron White TE 17 9 101 52.9% 4.1% 58.8% 7.1
Isaiah Crowell RB


12 8 59 66.7% 2.9% 75.0% 5.7
Bruce Figgins FB 11 7 96 63.6% 2.7% 72.7% 7.3
Richard Samuel IV FB 6'2, 236 Sr. ***** (6.1) 6 5 60 83.3% 1.5% 83.3% 9.0
Rantavious Wooten FL 5'10, 179 Jr. **** (5.8) 7 2 39 28.6% 1.7% 57.1% 5.5
Arthur Lynch TE 6'5, 258 Jr. **** (5.8)
Michael Erdman SE 5'10, 190 So. NR
Jay Rome TE 6'6, 265 RSFr. **** (5.9)
Justin Scott-Wesley FL 5'11, 217 RSFr. **** (5.8)

Offensive Line

2011 Two-Deep Pos. Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Rivals Career Starts/Honors/Notes
Cordy Glenn LT 50 career starts, 2011 1st All-SEC
Ben Jones C 49 career starts, 2011 2nd All-SEC
Justin Anderson RT 26 career starts
Kenarious Gates LT 6'5, 318 Jr. *** (5.5) 12 career starts
Chris Burnette RG 6'2, 322 Jr. **** (6.0) 12 career starts
Dallas Lee LG 6'4, 300 Jr. **** (5.8) 7 career starts
Austin Long LT 6'5, 324 Jr. **** (5.9)
David Andrews C 6'2, 295 So. *** (5.7)
Watts Dantzler RT 6'7, 320 So. *** (5.7)
Kolton Houston RT 6'5, 280 So. *** (5.7)
Hunter Long RG 6'4, 310 So. *** (5.5)
Xzavier Ward LT 6'7, 293 RSFr. *** (5.7)
Zach DeBell RT 6'6, 293 RSFr. *** (5.7)
Mark Beard LG 6'5, 302 So. *** (5.6)
John Theus OL 6'6, 309 Fr. ***** (6.1)

Defense

Category Yards/
Game Rk
S&P+ Rk Success
Rt. Rk
PPP+ Rk
OVERALL 5 8 8 4
RUSHING 11 13 9 22
PASSING 10 7 21 3
Standard Downs 6 7 5
Passing Downs 16 19 13
Redzone 33 30 41
Q1 Rk 6 1st Down Rk 15
Q2 Rk 3 2nd Down Rk 8
Q3 Rk 9 3rd Down Rk 2
Q4 Rk 68
Adj. Line Yards Rk 15
Adj. Sack Rate Rk 30

Defensive Line

Name Pos Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Rivals GP Tackles % of Team TFL Sacks Int PBU FF FR
Abry Jones DE 6'3, 308 Sr. **** (5.9) 14 38.0 5.8% 7 4 3 1
John Jenkins NT 6'3, 358 Sr. **** (5.9) 14 21.0 3.2% 6 3 1 1
Garrison Smith DE 6'3, 297 Jr. **** (5.9) 14 16.5 2.5% 3
DeAngelo Tyson DE 11 15.5 2.4% 3.5 1.5 1
Cornelius Washington DE 6'4, 268 Sr. **** (5.9) 12 14.0 2.2% 6 5 1
Kwame Geathers NT 6'6, 355 Jr. *** (5.6) 12 10.0 1.5% 1 1
Ray Drew DE 6'5, 284 So. ***** (6.1) 7 5.5 0.8% 2.5 0.5 1
Mike Thornton NT 6'1, 302 So. **** (5.8) 7 1.5 0.2% 0.5
Sterling Bailey DE 6'3, 295 RSFr. **** (5.8)
Jordan Jenkins DE 6'3, 257 Fr. **** (6.0)
Jonathan Taylor DT 6'4, 335 Fr. **** (5.9)

Linebackers

Name Pos Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Rivals GP Tackles % of Team TFL Sacks Int PBU FF FR
Jarvis Jones OLB 6'3, 241 Jr. **** (6.0) 14 54.5 8.4% 19.5 13.5 2 2
Michael Gilliard ILB 6'2, 230 Sr. **** (5.8) 13 49.5 7.6% 7 2 1 3 1 1
Alec Ogletree ILB 6'3, 232 Jr. **** (6.0) 8 46.5 7.1% 7.5 3 2 2
Christian Robinson ILB 6'2, 235 Sr. **** (5.8) 12 34.0 5.2% 6.5 1.5 2 1
Amarlo Herrera ILB 6'2, 245 So. **** (5.8) 14 26.5 4.1% 3 2 2
Kosta Vavlas ILB 6'0, 219 So. *** (5.5) 14 14.5 2.2%
Chase Vasser OLB 6'3, 231 Jr. *** (5.7) 12 13.0 2.0% 3.5
Jeremy Sulek ILB 4 8.0 1.2% 1
Ramik Wilson OLB 6'2, 224 So. **** (5.8) 8 3.0 0.5%
T.J. Stripling OLB 6'6, 235 Jr. **** (6.0) 9 2.0 0.3%
Reuben Faloughi OLB 6'5, 253 Jr. NR 8 1.5 0.2% 1
Brandon Burrows ILB 6'3, 248 So. *** (5.7)
Josh Dawson OLB 6'4, 250 Fr. **** (5.8)

Secondary

Name Pos Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Rivals GP Tackles % of Team TFL Sacks Int PBU FF FR
Shawn Williams SS 6'1, 217 Sr. *** (5.7) 14 60.0 9.2% 5 4 6 1 2
Sanders Commings CB 6'2, 216 Sr. *** (5.6) 14 50.5 7.8% 4 1 1 12 1 1
Brandon Boykin CB 14 45.0 6.9% 11 3 9 2
Bacarri Rambo FS 6'0, 210 Sr. *** (5.7) 13 44.5 6.8% 1 8 8 1
Branden Smith CB 5'11, 182 Sr. ***** (6.1) 14 20.0 3.1% 2 1
Jordan Love CB 8 11.0 1.7% 1 1
Connor Norman FS 5'10, 207 So. NR 14 11.0 1.7%
Blake Sailors CB 5'11, 187 Jr. NR 14 8.0 1.2% 1
Quintavius Harrow SS


14 7.5 1.2% 1
Marc Deas FS 6'1, 212 So. *** (5.6) 14 1.5 0.2%
Corey Moore SS 6'2, 214 So. **** (5.8) 12 1.0 0.2%
Malcolm Mitchell CB 6'1, 192 So. **** (6.0)
Devin Bowman CB 6'0, 180 RSFr. *** (5.7)
Josh Harvey-Clemons S 6'5, 207 Fr. ***** (6.1)








Special Teams

Punter Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Punts Avg TB FC I20 FC/I20
Ratio
Drew Butler 58 44.2 4 15 21 62.1%
Kicker Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Kickoffs Avg TB TB%
Blair Walsh 68 65.4 19 27.9%
Brandon Bogotay 19 64.9 5 26.3%
Place-Kicker Ht, Wt 2012
Year
PAT FG
(0-39)
Pct FG
(40+)
Pct
Blair Walsh 46-46 14-18 77.8% 7-17 41.2%
Brandon Bogotay 6-6 1-1 100.0% 0-1 0.0%
Returner Pos. Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Returns Avg. TD
Brandon Boykin KR 38 22.4 0
Branden Smith KR 5'11, 182 Sr. 7 18.7 0
Brandon Boykin PR 14 12.9 1
Branden Smith PR 5'11, 182 Sr. 9 7.8 0
Category Rk
Special Teams F/+ 76
Net Punting 79
Net Kickoffs 40
Touchback Pct 17
Field Goal Pct 101
Kick Returns Avg 66
Punt Returns Avg 43

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Glossary

Adj. Line Yards: A line measure derived from the formula found here. The idea is to divvy credit for a given rush between both the runner and the blockers.

Adj. Pace: Part of the offensive footprint, this takes into account both the number of plays a team attempts and the type of play. Since passes, on average, take up less time (thanks to the fact that 30-50 percent of them are incomplete and stop the clock), pass-heavy offenses are prone to run more plays, therefore limiting the effectiveness of a general plays-per-game measure. Adj. Pace takes a team's run-pass ratio into account.

Adj. POE: An opponent-adjusted "Points Over Expected" measure for running backs that looks both at what a runner gained and what would have been expected given the opponents involved. For more information, start here.

Adj. Points: A look at how a team would have performed in a given week if playing a perfectly average team, with a somewhat average number of breaks and turnovers. The idea for the measure is simple: what if everybody in the country played exactly the same opponent every single week? Who would have done the best? It is an attempt to look at offensive and defensive consistency without getting sidetracked by easy or difficult schedules. And yes, with adjusted score you can allow a negative number of points. For more, start here.

Adj. Record: See Adj. Points.

Adj. Sack Rate: An opponent-adjusted measure of sack rates.

Adj. Score: See Adj. Points.

Adj. TO Margin: What a team's turnover margin would have been if they had recovered exactly 50 percent of all the fumbles that occurred in their games. If there is a huge difference between TO Margin and Adj. TO Margin (in other words, if fumbles, dropped interceptions, or other unlucky bounces were the main source of a good/bad TO margin), that suggests that a team's luck was particularly good or bad and might even out the next season.

Adj. Yards Per Target: A look at a receiver's total receiving yards divided by the number of times he was targeted. Slight adjustments are made for the percentage of times a receiver was targeted on standard ("%SD") and passing downs. Players targeted more on passing downs are likely to have a lower overall per-target average, since passing is more difficult on passing downs.

Bend-Don't-Break: Part of the defensive footprint, this is a comparison of a team's Def. Success Rate (efficiency) to its Def. PPP (explosiveness). The higher the number, the higher percentage of a team's overall S&P was made up by success rate, i.e. the more willing a team was to sacrifice efficiency to prevent big plays. (The lower the number, the more likely a team was to take aggressive risks.)

Covariance: Covariance is a statistical tool that provides a measure of the strength of the correlation between two or more sets of random variates. For these purposes, it is used to compare a team's performance (using opponent-adjusted Adj. Score) to the quality of the opponent at hand. Some teams play their best games against their worst opponents, and some teams do the opposite. This measure is used for both the offensive and defensive footprint. For more, go here.

Go After the Ball: Part of the defensive footprint, this looks at a team's forced fumbles, interceptions and passes broken up. In other words, it looks at their ability to go after the ball. The higher the number, the more they got their hands on the football.

Highlight Yards: The portion of a given run that is credit only to the running back; after a certain number of yards, the line has done its job, and most of the rest of the run will be determined by the running back himself. For more information, start here.

Need for Blitzes: Part of the defensive footprint, this compares a team's standard downs sack rate to its passing downs sack rate. The lower the number, the more they were able to generate pressure on standard downs, and the less need for blitzes.

Turnovers Luck: Presented in Points Per Game fashion, Turnovers Luck looks at the difference between a team's Turnover and Adj. TO Margins and, using the average point value of a turnover (~5.0 points), projects how many points a team gained or lost per game last season.

Yards Per Point: A measure long tracked by Phil Steele as a means of looking at teams that were a little too efficient or inefficient the previous season. A positive YPP Margin means a team's offense was less efficient than opponents' offenses, and to the extent that luck was involved, their luck might even out the next year.

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