2012 Florida Gators Football: Statistical Profile

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2011 Schedule & Results

Record: 7-6 | Adj. Record: 7-6 | Final F/+ Rk: 30
Date Opponent Score W-L Adj. Score Adj. W-L
3-Sep Florida Atlantic 41-3 W 31.2 - 16.5 W
10-Sep UAB 39-0 W 28.9 - 19.3 W
17-Sep Tennessee 33-23 W 28.0 - 26.9 W
24-Sep at Kentucky 48-10 W 35.1 - 27.3 W
1-Oct Alabama 10-38 L 26.8 - 29.1 L
8-Oct at LSU 11-41 L 26.6 - 30.7 L
15-Oct at Auburn 6-17 L 18.9 - 25.9 L
29-Oct vs Georgia 20-24 L 21.8 - 25.2 L
5-Nov Vanderbilt 26-21 W 33.8 - 30.6 W
12-Nov at South Carolina 12-17 L 28.4 - 26.7 W
19-Nov Furman 54-32 W 29.5 - 33.1 L
26-Nov Florida State 7-21 L 20.7 - 9.5 W
2-Jan vs Ohio State 24-17 W 23.9 - 28.3 L
Category Offense Rk Defense Rk
Points Per Game 25.5 71 20.3 20
Adj. Points Per Game 27.2 63 25.3 24

2012 Schedule & Projection Factors

2012 Schedule
Date Opponent Proj. Rk
1-Sep Bowling Green 82
8-Sep at Texas A&M 25
15-Sep at Tennessee 27
22-Sep Kentucky 64
6-Oct LSU 2
13-Oct at Vanderbilt 50
20-Oct South Carolina 17
27-Oct vs Georgia 8
3-Nov Missouri 28
10-Nov UL-Lafayette 101
17-Nov Jacksonville State NR
24-Nov at Florida State 7
Five-Year F/+ Rk 3
Two-Year Recruiting Rk 9
TO Margin/Adj. TO Margin* -12 / -9.9
TO Luck/Game -0.8
Approx. Ret. Starters (Off. / Def.) 17 (7, 10)
Yds/Pt Margin** -1.9

Offense

Category Yards/
Game Rk
S&P+ Rk Success
Rt. Rk
PPP+ Rk
OVERALL 105 25 45 15
RUSHING 73 32 49 25
PASSING 89 21 38 16
Standard Downs 16 45 9
Passing Downs 67 66 71
Redzone 109 110 106
Q1 Rk 32 1st Down Rk 10
Q2 Rk 14 2nd Down Rk 50
Q3 Rk 27 3rd Down Rk 82
Q4 Rk 102
Adj. Line Yards Rk 112
Adj. Sack Rate Rk 58

Quarterback

Note: players in bold below are 2012 returnees. Players in italics are questionable with injury/suspension.

Player Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Rivals Comp Att Yards Comp
Rate
TD INT Sacks Sack Rate Yards/
Att.
John Brantley 144 270 2,044 53.3% 11 7 13 4.6% 6.8
Jacoby Brissett 6'3, 239 So. **** (5.9) 18 39 206 46.2% 2 4 5 11.4% 4.1
Jeff Driskel 6'4, 235 So. **** (6.0) 16 34 148 47.1% 0 2 4 10.5% 3.1
Tyler Murphy 6'2, 206 So. ** (5.4)

Running Back

Player Pos. Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Rivals Rushes Yards Yards/
Carry
Hlt Yds/
Carry
TD Adj.
POE
Chris Rainey RB 171 861 5.0 2.0 2 -1.2
Jeff Demps RB
98 569 5.8 3.1 6 +14.6
Mike Gillislee RB 5'11, 198
Sr. **** (5.8) 56 328 5.9 2.2 2 +5.9
Trey Burton FB 6'3, 229
Jr. *** (5.7) 37 125 3.4 1.5 3 +0.6
Hunter Joyer FB 5'10, 242 So. *** (5.7) 18 82 4.6 1.3 2 +1.7
Jeff Driskel QB 6'4, 235 So. **** (6.0) 12 50 4.2 2.4 0 -0.7
Mack Brown RB 5'11, 205 So. **** (5.8) 12 42 3.5 0.6 0 -3.0
John Brantley QB 12 -11 -0.9 0.4 0 -6.3
Chris Johnson RB 5'9, 202 So. *** (5.7)
Matt Jones RB 6'2, 226 Fr. **** (5.8)

Receiving Corps

Player Pos. Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Rivals Targets Catches Yards Catch Rate Target
Rate
%SD Adj. Yds/
Target
Jordan Reed TE 6'3, 239 Jr. **** (5.8) 51 28 307 54.9% 17.4% 41.2% 4.0
Chris Rainey RB 48 31 381 64.6% 16.4% 43.8% 8.2
Deonte Thompson WR 40 21 264 52.5% 13.7% 55.0% 4.4
Trey Burton FB 6'3, 229 Jr. *** (5.7) 28 19 149 67.9% 9.6% 53.6% 4.9
Andre Debose WR 5'11, 191 Jr. ***** (6.1) 27 16 432 59.3% 9.2% 66.7% 14.1
Frankie Hammond, Jr. WR 6'1, 184 Sr. **** (5.8) 25 15 181 60.0% 8.5% 48.0% 5.4
Quinton Dunbar WR 6'1, 184 So. **** (5.8) 23 14 216 60.9% 7.8% 52.2% 9.1
Jeff Demps RB 19 16 172 84.2% 6.5% 63.2% 10.3
A.C. Leonard TE 6'4, 244 So. **** (5.9) 14 8 99 57.1% 4.8% 50.0% 5.7
Omarius Hines TE 6'2, 220 Sr. **** (5.9) 8 7 106 87.5% 2.7% 75.0% 13.9
Solomon Patton WR 5'9, 169 Jr. **** (5.8) 3 3 35 100.0% 1.0% 100.0% 11.7
Stephen Alli WR 6'6, 221 Jr. *** (5.7)
Clay Burton TE 6'4, 253 So. *** (5.7)
Kent Taylor TE 6'5, 223 Fr. **** (6.0)
Latroy Pittman WR 5'11, 209 Fr. **** (5.8)
Colin Thompson TE 6'4, 256 Fr. **** (5.8)

Offensive Line

2011 Two-Deep Pos. Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Rivals Career Starts/Honors/Notes
Xavier Nixon LT 6'6, 292 Sr. **** (6.0) 23 career starts
Jon Halapio RG 6'3, 324 Jr. *** (5.6) 20 career starts
Jon Harrison C 6'3, 295 Jr. **** (5.8) 14 career starts
Dan Wenger LG 12 career starts
Chaz Green RT 6'5, 306 So. **** (6.0) 8 career starts
Matt Patchan LT 6'6, 292 Jr. ***** (6.1) 7 career starts
Kyle Koehne C 6'5, 302 Jr. *** (5.6) 2 career starts
Nick Alajajian RG 6'4, 275 Jr. **** (5.9)
James Wilson LG 6'4, 323 Sr. ***** (6.1)
Sam Robey LG 6'3, 305 Sr. *** (5.5)
Tommy Jordan RG 6'4, 306 RSFr. *** (5.7)
D.J. Humphries LT 6'6, 275 Fr. ***** (6.1)
Jessamen Dunker RG 6'4, 301 Fr. **** (5.9)

Defense

Category Yards/
Game Rk
S&P+ Rk Success
Rt. Rk
PPP+ Rk
OVERALL 8 38 40 35
RUSHING 40 32 32 37
PASSING 7 57 70 46
Standard Downs 39 38 37
Passing Downs 32 22 37
Redzone 75 76 70
Q1 Rk 98 1st Down Rk 29
Q2 Rk 24 2nd Down Rk 63
Q3 Rk 12 3rd Down Rk 15
Q4 Rk 38
Adj. Line Yards Rk 20
Adj. Sack Rate Rk 44

Defensive Line

Name Pos Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Rivals GP Tackles % of Team TFL Sacks Int PBU FF FR
Jaye Howard DT 13 51.0 7.3% 10 5.5
2
2
Sharrif Floyd DT 6'3, 295 Jr. ***** (6.1) 11 32.5 4.7% 6.5 1.5 1
Dominique Easley DE 6'2, 282 Jr. ***** (6.1) 12 27.0 3.9% 7.5 1.5



Ronald Powell BUCK 6'4, 248 Jr. ***** (6.1) 12 26.0 3.7% 9 6

1
Omar Hunter NT 6'1, 305 Sr. ***** (6.1) 13 24.5 3.5% 2.5 1 1 1
Lerentee McCray BUCK 6'2, 246 Sr. **** (5.9) 9 18.0 2.6% 7.5 1.5 3 1
William Green DE 13 15.5 2.2% 2 0.5
Earl Okine DE 6'7, 287 Sr. **** (5.8) 13 7.0 1.0% 1 1
Leon Orr DT 6'5, 310 So. **** (5.9) 13 7.0 1.0% 1 1 1
Tevin Westbrook DE 6'5, 265 So. *** (5.6) 3 1.5 0.2% 1
Gideon Ajagbe BUCK 6'3, 232 So. *** (5.7)
Nick Alajajian NT 6'3, 269 Jr. **** (5.9)
Damien Jacobs DT 6'3, 284 Jr. **** (5.8)
Jonathan Bullard DE 6'3, 271 Fr. ***** (6.1)
Dante Fowler, Jr. DE 6'3, 277 Fr. ***** (6.1)

Linebackers

Name Pos Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Rivals GP Tackles % of Team TFL Sacks Int PBU FF FR
Jonathan Bostic MLB 6'1, 243 Sr. **** (6.0) 13 77.0 11.1% 10 3 2 1
Jelani Jenkins WLB 6'0, 230 Jr. ***** (6.1) 12 61.5 8.8% 6 2 1 6 1
Michael Taylor MLB 6'0, 227 So. **** (5.8) 12 30.0 4.3% 4.5 1 1
Darrin Kitchens SLB 6'2, 229 Jr. *** (5.6) 13 15.0 2.2% 2.5
Antonio Morrison WLB 6'1, 218 Fr. **** (5.8)
Jeremi Powell LB 6'1, 202 Fr. **** (5.8)

Secondary

Name Pos Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Rivals GP Tackles % of Team TFL Sacks Int PBU FF FR
Matt Elam S 5'10, 206 Jr. ***** (6.1) 13 64.0 9.2% 11 2 2 7 2
Josh Evans S 6'1, 199 Sr. **** (5.8) 13 44.5 6.4% 2.5 1 1 1 1
Jaylen Watkins CB 6'0, 187 Jr. **** (6.0) 13 30.0 4.3% 1 5
Cody Riggs CB 5'9, 179 Jr. **** (5.9) 13 25.5 3.7% 1.5 0.5 2
Loucheiz Purifoy CB 6'1, 183 So. **** (5.8) 13 22.0 3.2% 1
De'Ante Saunders S 5'8, 192 So. *** (5.7) 12 21.5 3.1% 1 2 2 1 1
Marcus Roberson CB 6'0, 184 So. **** (6.0) 10 19.5 2.8% 0.5 1 2 1
Josh Shaw CB 10 16.0 2.3% 1 1
Jabari Gorman S 5'11, 170 So. **** (5.8) 13 7.5 1.1% 1
Jeremy Brown CB 5'10, 184 Jr. **** (5.8)
Valdez Showers S 5'11, 188 RSFr. *** (5.7)
Willie Bailey CB 6'0, 172 Fr. *** (5.7)
Brian Poole DB 5'10, 206 Fr. **** (5.9)

Special Teams

Punter Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Punts Avg TB FC I20 FC/I20
Ratio
Kyle Christy 6'3, 184 So. 30 40.9 2 8 10 60.0%
David Lemer 27 38.5 0 8 7 55.6%
Kicker Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Kickoffs Avg TB TB%
Caleb Sturgis 5'11, 183 Sr. 58 66.4 10 17.2%
Brad Phillips 5'10, 191 Jr. 15 62.4 2 13.3%
Place-Kicker Ht, Wt 2012
Year
PAT FG
(0-39)
Pct FG
(40+)
Pct
Caleb Sturgis 5'11, 183 Sr. 31-31 13-13 100.0% 9-13 69.2%
Brad Phillips 5'10, 191 Jr. 2-2 0-1 0.0% 2-2 100.0%
Returner Pos. Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Returns Avg. TD
Chris Rainey PR 12 8.8 1
Andre Debose KR 5'11, 191 Jr. 19 26.1 1
Jeff Demps KR 10 25.0 1
Solomon Patton KR 5'9, 169 Jr. 10 24.1 0
Category Rk
Special Teams F/+ 4
Net Punting 46
Net Kickoffs 28
Touchback Pct 50
Field Goal Pct 16
Kick Returns Avg 15
Punt Returns Avg 77

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Glossary

Adj. Line Yards: A line measure derived from the formula found here. The idea is to divvy credit for a given rush between both the runner and the blockers.

Adj. Pace: Part of the offensive footprint, this takes into account both the number of plays a team attempts and the type of play. Since passes, on average, take up less time (thanks to the fact that 30-50 percent of them are incomplete and stop the clock), pass-heavy offenses are prone to run more plays, therefore limiting the effectiveness of a general plays-per-game measure. Adj. Pace takes a team's run-pass ratio into account.

Adj. POE: An opponent-adjusted "Points Over Expected" measure for running backs that looks both at what a runner gained and what would have been expected given the opponents involved. For more information, start here.

Adj. Points: A look at how a team would have performed in a given week if playing a perfectly average team, with a somewhat average number of breaks and turnovers. The idea for the measure is simple: what if everybody in the country played exactly the same opponent every single week? Who would have done the best? It is an attempt to look at offensive and defensive consistency without getting sidetracked by easy or difficult schedules. And yes, with adjusted score you can allow a negative number of points. For more, start here.

Adj. Record: See Adj. Points.

Adj. Sack Rate: An opponent-adjusted measure of sack rates.

Adj. Score: See Adj. Points.

Adj. TO Margin: What a team's turnover margin would have been if they had recovered exactly 50 percent of all the fumbles that occurred in their games. If there is a huge difference between TO Margin and Adj. TO Margin (in other words, if fumbles, dropped interceptions, or other unlucky bounces were the main source of a good/bad TO margin), that suggests that a team's luck was particularly good or bad and might even out the next season.

Adj. Yards Per Target: A look at a receiver's total receiving yards divided by the number of times he was targeted. Slight adjustments are made for the percentage of times a receiver was targeted on standard ("%SD") and passing downs. Players targeted more on passing downs are likely to have a lower overall per-target average, since passing is more difficult on passing downs.

Bend-Don't-Break: Part of the defensive footprint, this is a comparison of a team's Def. Success Rate (efficiency) to its Def. PPP (explosiveness). The higher the number, the higher percentage of a team's overall S&P was made up by success rate, i.e. the more willing a team was to sacrifice efficiency to prevent big plays. (The lower the number, the more likely a team was to take aggressive risks.)

Covariance: Covariance is a statistical tool that provides a measure of the strength of the correlation between two or more sets of random variates. For these purposes, it is used to compare a team's performance (using opponent-adjusted Adj. Score) to the quality of the opponent at hand. Some teams play their best games against their worst opponents, and some teams do the opposite. This measure is used for both the offensive and defensive footprint. For more, go here.

Go After the Ball: Part of the defensive footprint, this looks at a team's forced fumbles, interceptions and passes broken up. In other words, it looks at their ability to go after the ball. The higher the number, the more they got their hands on the football.

Highlight Yards: The portion of a given run that is credit only to the running back; after a certain number of yards, the line has done its job, and most of the rest of the run will be determined by the running back himself. For more information, start here.

Need for Blitzes: Part of the defensive footprint, this compares a team's standard downs sack rate to its passing downs sack rate. The lower the number, the more they were able to generate pressure on standard downs, and the less need for blitzes.

Turnovers Luck: Presented in Points Per Game fashion, Turnovers Luck looks at the difference between a team's Turnover and Adj. TO Margins and, using the average point value of a turnover (~5.0 points), projects how many points a team gained or lost per game last season.

Yards Per Point: A measure long tracked by Phil Steele as a means of looking at teams that were a little too efficient or inefficient the previous season. A positive YPP Margin means a team's offense was less efficient than opponents' offenses, and to the extent that luck was involved, their luck might even out the next year.

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