2012 Auburn Tigers Football: Statistical Profile

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2011 Schedule & Results

Record: 8-5 | Adj. Record: 5-8 | Final F/+ Rk: 52
Date Opponent Score W-L Adj. Score Adj. W-L
3-Sep Utah State 42-38 W 35.0 - 28.6 W
10-Sep Mississippi State 41-34 W 35.0 - 30.2 W
17-Sep at Clemson 24-38 L 29.9 - 31.5 L
24-Sep Florida Atlantic 30-14 W 24.6 - 30.4 L
1-Oct at South Carolina 16-13 W 26.7 - 23.8 W
8-Oct at Arkansas 14-38 L 23.8 - 29.0 L
15-Oct Florida 17-6 W 26.6 - 21.5 W
22-Oct at LSU 10-45 L 28.3 - 31.3 L
29-Oct Ole Miss 41-23 W 30.3 - 33.1 L
12-Nov at Georgia 7-45 L 24.6 - 32.9 L
19-Nov Samford 35-16 W 26.2 - 30.9 L
26-Nov Alabama 14-42 L 26.5 - 27.8 L
31-Dec vs Virginia 43-24 W 36.2 - 30.6 W
Category Offense Rk Defense Rk
Points Per Game 25.7 70 28.9 79
Adj. Points Per Game 28.8 43 29.4 88

2012 Schedule & Projection Factors

2012 Schedule
Date Opponent Proj. Rk
1-Sep vs Clemson 21
8-Sep at Mississippi State 44
15-Sep UL-Monroe 96
22-Sep LSU 2
6-Oct Arkansas 15
13-Oct at Ole Miss 59
20-Oct at Vanderbilt 50
27-Oct Texas A&M 25
3-Nov New Mexico State 121
10-Nov Georgia 8
17-Nov Alabama A&M NR
24-Nov at Alabama 1
Five-Year F/+ Rk 22
Two-Year Recruiting Rk 7
TO Margin/Adj. TO Margin* +2 / +2.1
TO Luck/Game +0.0
Approx. Ret. Starters (Off. / Def.) 16 (7, 9)
Yds/Pt Margin** -1.0

Offense

Category Yards/
Game Rk
S&P+ Rk Success
Rt. Rk
PPP+ Rk
OVERALL 100 22 38 14
RUSHING 31 22 20 23
PASSING 105 31 84 12
Standard Downs 20 19 18
Passing Downs 22 40 15
Redzone 12 9 13
Q1 Rk 24 1st Down Rk 35
Q2 Rk 82 2nd Down Rk 25
Q3 Rk 9 3rd Down Rk 5
Q4 Rk 8
Adj. Line Yards Rk 18
Adj. Sack Rate Rk 102

Quarterback

Note: players in bold below are 2012 returnees. Players in italics are questionable with injury/suspension.

Player Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Rivals Comp Att Yards Comp
Rate
TD INT Sacks Sack Rate Yards/
Att.
Barrett Trotter 92 167 1,184 55.1% 11 6 13 7.2% 6.2
Clint Moseley 6'4, 229 Jr. *** (5.6) 66 108 800 61.1% 5 3 16 12.9% 5.5
Kiehl Frazier 6'2, 226 So. **** (5.9) 5 12 34 41.7% 0 2 2 14.3% 1.9
Jonathan Wallace 6'2, 197 Fr. *** (5.6)








Running Back

Player Pos. Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Rivals Rushes Yards Yards/
Carry
Hlt Yds/
Carry
TD Adj.
POE
Michael Dyer RB 242 1,242 5.1 2.1 10 +6.9
Onterio McCalebb RB 5'11, 173
Sr. **** (5.8) 112 641 5.7 2.5 5 +6.3
Kiehl Frazier QB 6'2, 226
So. **** (5.9) 74 335 4.5 1.2 3 +0.5
Tre Mason RB 5'10, 198
So. **** (5.8) 28 161 5.8 2.1 1 +1.6
Barrett Trotter QB
23 130 5.7 1.4 0 -0.3
Corey Grant RB 5'11, 200 So. **** (5.8)





Mike Blakely RB 5'9, 206 RSFr. **** (6.0)




Receiving Corps

Player Pos. Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Rivals Targets Catches Yards Catch Rate Target
Rate
%SD Adj. Yds/
Target
Emory Blake WR 6'2, 193 Sr. **** (5.8) 60 36 613 60.0% 22.0% 35.0% 9.0
Philip Lutzenkirchen HB 6'5, 255 Sr. **** (5.8) 41 24 238 58.5% 15.0% 51.2% 4.5
Trovon Reed WR 6'0, 190 So. **** (6.0) 27 21 164 77.8% 9.9% 63.0% 6.8
Onterio McCalebb RB 5'11, 173 Sr. **** (5.8) 47 32 344 68.1% 17.2% 31.9% 6.7
Quan Bray WR 5'10, 185 So. **** (5.8) 20 17 93 85.0% 7.3% 65.0% 5.2
Travante Stallworth WR 5'9, 191 Sr. *** (5.5) 23 13 214 56.5% 8.4% 43.5% 6.7
Quindarius Carr WR 21 8 173 38.1% 7.7% 42.9% 2.2
DeAngelo Benton WR 6'2, 201 Sr. **** (5.8) 14 7 136 50.0% 5.1% 57.1% 6.5
Brandon Fulse TE 6'4, 249 So. **** (5.8) 3 2 12 66.7% 1.1% 100.0% 4.0
Jay Wisner WR 15 2 28 13.3% 5.5% 6.7% -2.3
C.J. Uzomah TE 6'4, 250 So. *** (5.7)






Sammie Coates WR 6'2, 200 RSFr. *** (5.7)






JaQuay Williams WR 6'3, 204 Fr. **** (5.9)






Ricardo Louis WR 6'2, 190 Fr. **** (5.8)






Ricky Parks TE 6'3, 230 Fr. **** (5.8)






Offensive Line

2011 Two-Deep Pos. Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Rivals Career Starts/Honors/Notes
Brandon Mosley RT 24 career starts, 2011 2nd All-SEC
A.J. Greene LT 15 career starts
Reese Dismukes C 6'3, 293 So. **** (5.9) 13 career starts
John Sullen LG 6'5, 313 Sr. *** (5.6) 12 career starts
Chad Slade RT 6'5, 301 So. *** (5.5) 10 career starts
Bobby Ignalls RT
Blake Burgess C 6'2, 285 Jr. NR
Eric Mack RG 6'3, 319 So. **** (5.8)
Tunde Fariyike C 6'2, 301 So. ** (5.3)
Colton Wingard LG 6'2, 297 So. NR
Shon Coleman LT 6'6, 302 RSFr. ***** (6.1)
Christian Westerman RG 6'4, 298 RSFr. **** (6.0)
Greg Robinson LT 6'5, 315 RSFr. **** (5.8)
Avery Young RT 6'6, 295 Fr. **** (5.9)
Patrick Miller RT 6'7, 288 Fr. **** (5.8)
Alex Kozan LG 6'4, 294 Fr. **** (5.8)
Shane Callahan C 6'6, 292 Fr. **** (5.8)
Jordan Diamond OL 6'6, 323 Fr. **** (5.8)

Defense

Category Yards/
Game Rk
S&P+ Rk Success
Rt. Rk
PPP+ Rk
OVERALL 80 69 91 59
RUSHING 94 60 90 46
PASSING 51 80 88 74
Standard Downs 70 105 45
Passing Downs 88 88 82
Redzone 79 91 75
Q1 Rk 74 1st Down Rk 83
Q2 Rk 76 2nd Down Rk 56
Q3 Rk 82 3rd Down Rk 95
Q4 Rk 69
Adj. Line Yards Rk 79
Adj. Sack Rate Rk 99

Defensive Line

Name Pos Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Rivals GP Tackles % of Team TFL Sacks Int PBU FF FR
Corey Lemonier DE 6'4, 246 Jr. **** (6.0) 13 37.5 5.1% 13.5 9.5 5 1
Nosa Eguae DE 6'3, 268 Jr. *** (5.7) 13 30.5 4.1% 6 1 1
Jeffrey Whitaker DT 6'4, 307 Jr. **** (5.9) 13 21.0 2.8% 2 1 1
Kenneth Carter DT 6'4, 289 Jr. **** (5.8) 13 15.0 2.0% 0.5 1 1
Craig Sanders DE 6'4, 257 Jr. **** (5.8) 13 11.5 1.6% 4.5 1 1
Gabe Wright DT 6'3, 299 So. **** (5.8) 13 9.0 1.2% 3 1 1
Dee Ford (2010^) DE 6'2, 246 Sr. *** (5.6) 13 9.0 1.1% 2 2
Devaunte Sigler DT 6'4, 291 So. *** (5.6) 12 8.0 1.1% 1.5 1
LaDarius Owens DE 6'2, 260 So. **** (5.9) 6 7.0 0.9% 2.5 1
Angelo Blackson DT 6'4, 308 So. *** (5.7) 13 4.0 0.5% 1.5
Tyler Nero DT 6'2, 277 Fr. **** (5.8)

^ Ford only played three games in 2011 because of a back injury.

Linebackers

Name Pos Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Rivals GP Tackles % of Team TFL Sacks Int PBU FF FR
Daren Bates WLB 5'11, 215 Sr. ** (5.4) 13 81.5 11.0% 8.5 2.5 3 1
Eltoro Freeman MLB 12 46.5 6.3% 8.5 3 2 2 2
Jake Holland MLB 6'1, 241 Jr. **** (5.8) 12 34.5 4.7% 3.5 2 1 1
Jonathan Evans SLB 5'11, 231 Sr. *** (5.6) 10 30.0 4.1% 1




Justin Garrett WLB 6'1, 215 So. *** (5.6) 8 7.5 1.0% 1
Kris Frost SLB 6'2, 233 RSFr. ***** (6.1)
Chris Landrum MLB 6'3, 240 RSFr. *** (5.6)
Cassanova McKinzy LB 6'2, 224 Fr. **** (5.8)
Javiere Mitchell LB 6'2, 197 Fr. **** (5.8)

Secondary

Name Pos Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Rivals GP Tackles % of Team TFL Sacks Int PBU FF FR
Neiko Thorpe S 13 76.5 10.4% 0.5 3 6 1
Demetruce McNeal S 6'2, 178 Jr. *** (5.6) 13 59.5 8.1% 1 2 2 2
Chris Davis CB 5'11, 200 Jr. *** (5.5) 11 47.0 6.4% 4 1
T'Sharvan Bell CB 6'0, 190 Sr. **** (5.8) 10 40.0 5.4% 2 1 2 7 1
Jonathon Mincy CB 5'11, 190 So. *** (5.7) 13 27.5 3.7% 2 1
Jermaine Whitehead S 5'11, 202 So. **** (5.8) 13 26.5 3.6% 1.5 1 3
Erique Florence S 6'1, 191 So. **** (5.9) 13 19.5 2.6% 1 1 1 1
Ryan Smith S 6'2, 204 Jr. *** (5.5) 12 19.0 2.6% 2.5 1
Ryan White CB 5'11, 198 Jr. *** (5.5) 13 15.0 2.0% 3
Robenson Therezie CB 5'9, 205 So. **** (5.8) 13 14.5 2.0% 1 1
Joshua Holsey DB 5'11, 188 Fr. **** (5.8)

Special Teams

Punter Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Punts Avg TB FC I20 FC/I20
Ratio
Steven Clark 72 40.8 3 34 33 93.1%
Kicker Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Kickoffs Avg TB TB%
Cody Parkey 66 68.9 38 57.6%
Place-Kicker Ht, Wt 2012
Year
PAT FG
(0-39)
Pct FG
(40+)
Pct
Cody Parkey 41-42 7-8 87.5% 6-10 60.0%
Returner Pos. Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Returns Avg. TD
Tre Mason KR 5'10, 198 So. 24 26.4 1
Onterio McCalebb KR 5'11, 173 Sr. 11 30.7 1
Quan Bray PR 5'10, 185 So. 13 7.4 0
Trovon Reed PR 6'0, 190 So. 8 5.2 0
Category Rk
Special Teams F/+ 3
Net Punting 15
Net Kickoffs 2
Touchback Pct 1
Field Goal Pct 49
Kick Returns Avg 12
Punt Returns Avg 80

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Glossary

Adj. Line Yards: A line measure derived from the formula found here. The idea is to divvy credit for a given rush between both the runner and the blockers.

Adj. Pace: Part of the offensive footprint, this takes into account both the number of plays a team attempts and the type of play. Since passes, on average, take up less time (thanks to the fact that 30-50 percent of them are incomplete and stop the clock), pass-heavy offenses are prone to run more plays, therefore limiting the effectiveness of a general plays-per-game measure. Adj. Pace takes a team's run-pass ratio into account.

Adj. POE: An opponent-adjusted "Points Over Expected" measure for running backs that looks both at what a runner gained and what would have been expected given the opponents involved. For more information, start here.

Adj. Points: A look at how a team would have performed in a given week if playing a perfectly average team, with a somewhat average number of breaks and turnovers. The idea for the measure is simple: what if everybody in the country played exactly the same opponent every single week? Who would have done the best? It is an attempt to look at offensive and defensive consistency without getting sidetracked by easy or difficult schedules. And yes, with adjusted score you can allow a negative number of points. For more, start here.

Adj. Record: See Adj. Points.

Adj. Sack Rate: An opponent-adjusted measure of sack rates.

Adj. Score: See Adj. Points.

Adj. TO Margin: What a team's turnover margin would have been if they had recovered exactly 50 percent of all the fumbles that occurred in their games. If there is a huge difference between TO Margin and Adj. TO Margin (in other words, if fumbles, dropped interceptions, or other unlucky bounces were the main source of a good/bad TO margin), that suggests that a team's luck was particularly good or bad and might even out the next season.

Adj. Yards Per Target: A look at a receiver's total receiving yards divided by the number of times he was targeted. Slight adjustments are made for the percentage of times a receiver was targeted on standard ("%SD") and passing downs. Players targeted more on passing downs are likely to have a lower overall per-target average, since passing is more difficult on passing downs.

Bend-Don't-Break: Part of the defensive footprint, this is a comparison of a team's Def. Success Rate (efficiency) to its Def. PPP (explosiveness). The higher the number, the higher percentage of a team's overall S&P was made up by success rate, i.e. the more willing a team was to sacrifice efficiency to prevent big plays. (The lower the number, the more likely a team was to take aggressive risks.)

Covariance: Covariance is a statistical tool that provides a measure of the strength of the correlation between two or more sets of random variates. For these purposes, it is used to compare a team's performance (using opponent-adjusted Adj. Score) to the quality of the opponent at hand. Some teams play their best games against their worst opponents, and some teams do the opposite. This measure is used for both the offensive and defensive footprint. For more, go here.

Go After the Ball: Part of the defensive footprint, this looks at a team's forced fumbles, interceptions and passes broken up. In other words, it looks at their ability to go after the ball. The higher the number, the more they got their hands on the football.

Highlight Yards: The portion of a given run that is credit only to the running back; after a certain number of yards, the line has done its job, and most of the rest of the run will be determined by the running back himself. For more information, start here.

Need for Blitzes: Part of the defensive footprint, this compares a team's standard downs sack rate to its passing downs sack rate. The lower the number, the more they were able to generate pressure on standard downs, and the less need for blitzes.

Turnovers Luck: Presented in Points Per Game fashion, Turnovers Luck looks at the difference between a team's Turnover and Adj. TO Margins and, using the average point value of a turnover (~5.0 points), projects how many points a team gained or lost per game last season.

Yards Per Point: A measure long tracked by Phil Steele as a means of looking at teams that were a little too efficient or inefficient the previous season. A positive YPP Margin means a team's offense was less efficient than opponents' offenses, and to the extent that luck was involved, their luck might even out the next year.

In This Article

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