2012 Arkansas Razorbacks Football: Statistical Profile

Back to Profiles home page.

Confused? See the glossary at the bottom.

2011 Schedule & Results

Record: 11-2 | Adj. Record: 10-3 | Final F/+ Rk: 14
Date Opponent Score W-L Adj. Score Adj. W-L
3-Sep Missouri State
51-7 W 29.8 - 21.6 W
10-Sep New Mexico 52-3 W 29.8 - 28.8 W
17-Sep Troy 38-28 W 27.7 - 29.7 L
24-Sep at Alabama 14-38 L 32.9 - 28.7 W
1-Oct vs Texas A&M 42-38 W 33.4 - 29.8 W
8-Oct Auburn 38-14 W 29.8 - 24.5 W
22-Oct at Ole Miss 29-24 W 29.9 - 32.4 L
29-Oct at Vanderbilt 31-28 W 30.5 - 29.8 W
5-Nov South Carolina 44-28 W 36.0 - 27.0 W
12-Nov Tennessee 49-7 W 39.9 - 22.9 W
19-Nov Mississippi State 44-17 W 37.1 - 25.0 W
25-Nov at LSU 17-41 L 29.2 - 30.1 L
6-Jan
vs Kansas State 29-16 W 25.6 - 23.7 W
Category Offense Rk Defense Rk
Points Per Game 36.8 15 22.2 33
Adj. Points Per Game 31.7 13 27.2 52

2012 Schedule & Projection Factors

2012 Schedule
Date Opponent Proj. Rk
1-Sep Jacksonville State NR
8-Sep UL-Monroe 96
15-Sep Alabama 1
22-Sep Rutgers 37
29-Sep at Texas A&M 25
6-Oct at Auburn 22
13-Oct Kentucky 64
27-Oct Ole Miss 59
3-Nov Tulsa 54
10-Nov at South Carolina 17
17-Nov at Mississippi State 44
24-Nov LSU 2
Five-Year F/+ Rk 19
Two-Year Recruiting Rk 26
TO Margin/Adj. TO Margin* +1 / -1.1
TO Luck/Game +0.8
Approx. Ret. Starters (Off. / Def.) 13 (7, 6)
Yds/Pt Margin** -4.4

Offense

Category Yards/
Game Rk
S&P+ Rk Success
Rt. Rk
PPP+ Rk
OVERALL 29 9 22 4
RUSHING 81 12 29 6
PASSING 13 8 17 6
Standard Downs 10 30 7
Passing Downs 5 6 5
Redzone 7 11 7
Q1 Rk 16 1st Down Rk 15
Q2 Rk 15 2nd Down Rk 12
Q3 Rk 13 3rd Down Rk 8
Q4 Rk 10
Adj. Line Yards Rk 42
Adj. Sack Rate Rk 47

Quarterback

Note: players in bold below are 2012 returnees. Players in italics are questionable with injury/suspension.

Player Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Rivals Comp Att Yards Comp
Rate
TD INT Sacks Sack Rate Yards/
Att.
Tyler Wilson 6'3, 220 Sr. **** (5.8) 277 438 3,638 63.2% 24 6 26 5.6% 7.5
Brandon Mitchell 6'4, 230 Jr. *** (5.7) 22 32 271 68.8% 2 1 3 8.6% 7.1
Brandon Allen 6'3, 212 RSFr. **** (5.8)

Running Back

Player Pos. Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Rivals Rushes Yards Yards/
Carry
Hlt Yds/
Carry
TD Adj.
POE
Knile Davis (2010^) RB 6'0, 226 Jr. **** (5.9) 204 1,322 6.5 2.9 13 +16.5
Dennis Johnson RB 5'9, 213 Sr. *** (5.5) 106 670 6.3 3.0 3 +7.7
Ronnie Wingo, Jr. RB 6'3, 231 Sr. **** (5.9) 105 458 4.4 1.5 3 -3.0
Broderick Green RB
67 260 3.9 1.6 5 +4.2
Tyler Wilson QB 6'0, 212 Sr. **** (5.8) 34 171 5.0 1.6 4 +5.0
Kody Walker RB 6'2, 240 So. *** (5.7) 20 68 3.4 0.4 5 +2.1
De'Anthony Curtis RB 20 119 6.0 2.0 1 -0.4
Brandon Mitchell QB 6'4, 230 Jr. *** (5.7) 13 70 5.4 2.4 2 +1.5
Joe Adams WR 10 139 13.9 11.0 1 +5.1
Jonathan Williams RB 6'0, 205 Fr. **** (5.8)
Donovan Roberts RB 6'0, 200 Fr. *** (5.7)

Receiving Corps

Player Pos. Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Rivals Targets Catches Yards Catch Rate Target
Rate
%SD Adj. Yds/
Target
Jarius Wright WR 103 66 1,117 64.1% 23.1% 57.3% 10.2
Joe Adams WR 76 54 652 71.1% 17.1% 68.4% 8.5
Chris Gragg TE 6'3, 236 Sr. ** (5.4) 63 41 518 65.1% 14.2% 57.1% 7.8
Cobi Hamilton WR 6'3, 209 Sr. *** (5.7) 58 34 542 58.6% 13.0% 51.7% 8.1
Dennis Johnson RB 5'9, 213 Sr. *** (5.5) 31 24 255 77.4% 7.0% 54.8% 9.1
Greg Childs WR 31 21 240 67.7% 7.0% 51.6% 7.1
Ronnie Wingo, Jr. RB 6'3, 231 Sr. **** (5.9) 23 20 187 87.0% 5.2% 60.9% 9.6
Julian Horton WR 6'1, 194 Jr. *** (5.6) 19 9 85 47.4% 4.3% 52.6% 2.3
Javontee Herndon WR 6'1, 204 Jr. ** (5.2) 14 8 137 57.1% 3.1% 50.0% 8.6
Marquel Wade WR


10 8 62 80.0% 2.2% 50.0% 6.5
Austin Tate TE 6'6, 253 Jr. *** (5.6) 7 7 53 100.0% 1.6% 71.4% 10.2
Maudrecus Humphrey WR


1 1 9 100.0% 0.2% 100.0% 9.0
Hunter Jarvis WR 5'8, 171 Jr. NR
Keante Minor WR 6'0, 205 So. *** (5.7)
Demetrius Wilson WR 6'3, 180 Jr. *** (5.6)
D'Arthur Cowan WR 6'3, 180 Fr. *** (5.7)
Keon Hatcher WR 6'2, 205 Fr. *** (5.7)
Demetrius Dean TE 6'3, 250 Fr. *** (5.6)

Offensive Line

2011 Two-Deep Pos. Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Rivals Career Starts/Honors/Notes
Alvin Bailey LG 6'5, 312 Jr. *** (5.7) 26 career starts, 2nd All-SEC
Travis Swanson C 6'5, 305 Jr. *** (5.6) 26 career starts
Grant Cook RG 13 career starts
Grant Freeman OT 13 career starts
Jason Peacock RT 6'4, 305 Sr. *** (5.6) 7 career starts
Mitch Smothers RG 6'4, 296 So. *** (5.7) 6 career starts
Luke Charpentier LG 6'4, 305 So. *** (5.7)
Tyler Deacon RG 6'4, 300 Sr. NR
Chris Stringer LT 6'7, 304 Jr. *** (5.5)
Brey Cook LT 6'7, 317 So. **** (5.8)
David Hurd RT 6'6, 300 Jr. NR
Austin Beck LT 6'7, 307 RSFr. *** (5.6)
Marcus Danenhauer LG 6'5, 300 RSFr. *** (5.6)
Adam Deacon RG 6'1, 305 RSFr. NR

Defense

Category Yards/
Game Rk
S&P+ Rk Success
Rt. Rk
PPP+ Rk
OVERALL 47 53 59 43
RUSHING 73 61 49 77
PASSING 25 38 85 23
Standard Downs 55 60 57
Passing Downs 20 31 21
Redzone 60 58 58
Q1 Rk 81 1st Down Rk 61
Q2 Rk 55 2nd Down Rk 41
Q3 Rk 36 3rd Down Rk 34
Q4 Rk 19
Adj. Line Yards Rk 104
Adj. Sack Rate Rk 37

Defensive Line

Name Pos Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Rivals GP Tackles % of Team TFL Sacks Int PBU FF FR
Byran Jones DT 6'2, 312 Jr. **** (5.8) 13 30.5 4.2% 4.5 1
Chris Smith DE 6'3, 251 Jr. *** (5.7) 13 22.0 3.0% 6 3.5 1
Trey Flowers DE 6'4, 243 So. *** (5.5) 13 22.0 3.0% 5.5 1 2
Jake Bequette DE 10 20.0 2.7% 10.5 10 1 5
Zach Stadther DT 13 15.0 2.1% 1
Robert Thomas DT 6'3, 308 Jr. *** (5.6) 12 15.0 2.1% 2.5 1
DeQuinta Jones DT 6'5, 299 Sr. **** (5.8) 13 12.5 1.7% 2 1 1 1
Alfred Davis DT 6'1, 318 Sr. ** (5.1) 13 11.0 1.5% 0.5
Colton Miles-Nash DE 6'6, 261 Sr. *** (5.6) 11 4.0 0.5%
DeMarcus Hodge DT 6'1, 301 RSFr. *** (5.7)
Darrell Kelly-Thomas DE 6'4, 230 RSFr. *** (5.5)
Devin Bowers DE 6'1, 224 RSFr. NR
Austin Flynn DE 6'5, 260 Jr. *** (5.6)
Darius Philon DT 6'3, 270 Fr. *** (5.7)
Deatrich Wise, Jr. DE 6'6, 240 Fr. *** (5.7)
Taiwan Johnson DE 6'3, 245 Fr. *** (5.7)

Linebackers

Name Pos Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Rivals GP Tackles % of Team TFL Sacks Int PBU FF FR
Jerry Franklin MLB 13 73.5 10.1% 10 0.5 4 2
Alonzo Highsmith OLB 6'1, 233 Sr. *** (5.5) 13 58.5 8.0% 12.5 4.5 1 1 1 1
Jerico Nelson OLB 13 51.5 7.1% 5.5 2 2 2 1
Tenarius Wright MLB 6'2, 252 Sr. *** (5.5) 8 16.5 2.3% 5 1.5 1 1
Terrell Williams MLB 6'3, 232 Sr. *** (5.6) 13 11.5 1.6%
Matt Marshall OLB 6'1, 230 Sr. ** (5.2) 11 9.5 1.3% 1 1
Jarrett Lake OLB 6'3, 223 Jr. *** (5.5) 11 7.0 1.0%
Braylon Mitchell OLB 6'3, 232 So. *** (5.6) 10 4.5 0.6%
Austin Jones OLB 6'2, 230 Jr. NR
Robert Atiga MLB 6'3, 240 Jr. *** (5.6)
Kiero Small LB 5'10, 255 Sr. ** (5.4)
Otha Peters LB 6'1, 228 Fr. **** (5.8)
A.J. Turner LB 6'2, 216 Fr. *** (5.7)

Secondary

Name Pos Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Rivals GP Tackles % of Team TFL Sacks Int PBU FF FR
Tramain Thomas S 13 67.5 9.3% 2.5 5 6 1
Eric Bennett S 6'0, 206 Jr. *** (5.7) 13 53.0 7.3% 3 3 3
Tevin Mitchell CB 6'0, 192 So. **** (5.8) 13 44.5 6.1% 1.5 1 1
Ross Rasner S 6'0, 212 Sr. *** (5.6) 13 42.0 5.8% 2 2 3 1
Elton Ford S 13 26.5 3.6% 0.5 1
Isaac Madison CB 10 25.0 3.4% 4
Greg Gatson CB 13 24.0 3.3% 1 1 2
Darius Winston CB 6'0, 191 Sr. ***** (6.1) 13 14.0 1.9%
Jerry Mitchell S 6'1, 219 Jr. *** (5.5) 13 7.0 1.0% 2
Alan Turner S 6'0, 212 So. ** (5.4) 8 2.5 0.3%
Kaelon Kelleybrew CB 5'11, 180 Sr. NR
Kelvin Fisher, Jr. CB 5'11, 190 RSFr. *** (5.7)
Davyon McKinney CB 6'3, 190 RSFr. *** (5.6)
Rohan Gaines S 5'11, 190 RSFr. *** (5.5)
Defonta Lowe DB 6'3, 190 Fr. *** (5.7)
Will Hines DB 6'1, 185 Fr. *** (5.7)

Special Teams

Punter Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Punts Avg TB FC I20 FC/I20
Ratio
Dylan Breeding 6'1, 211 Sr. 53 45.3 3 16 16 60.4%
Kicker Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Kickoffs Avg TB TB%
Zach Hocker 6'0, 180 Jr. 93 67.8 40 43.0%
Place-Kicker Ht, Wt 2012
Year
PAT FG
(0-39)
Pct FG
(40+)
Pct
Zach Hocker 6'0, 180 Jr. 55-57 17-19 89.5% 5-8 62.5%
Returner Pos. Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Returns Avg. TD
Dennis Johnson KR 5'9, 213 Sr. 18 25.6 1
Marquel Wade KR

14 25.6 1
Joe Adams PR 19 16.9 4
Marquel Wade PR

12 8.2 0
Category Rk
Special Teams F/+ 9
Net Punting 40
Net Kickoffs 8
Touchback Pct 3
Field Goal Pct 32
Kick Returns Avg 32
Punt Returns Avg 11

---

Glossary

Adj. Line Yards: A line measure derived from the formula found here. The idea is to divvy credit for a given rush between both the runner and the blockers.

Adj. Pace: Part of the offensive footprint, this takes into account both the number of plays a team attempts and the type of play. Since passes, on average, take up less time (thanks to the fact that 30-50 percent of them are incomplete and stop the clock), pass-heavy offenses are prone to run more plays, therefore limiting the effectiveness of a general plays-per-game measure. Adj. Pace takes a team's run-pass ratio into account.

Adj. POE: An opponent-adjusted "Points Over Expected" measure for running backs that looks both at what a runner gained and what would have been expected given the opponents involved. For more information, start here.

Adj. Points: A look at how a team would have performed in a given week if playing a perfectly average team, with a somewhat average number of breaks and turnovers. The idea for the measure is simple: what if everybody in the country played exactly the same opponent every single week? Who would have done the best? It is an attempt to look at offensive and defensive consistency without getting sidetracked by easy or difficult schedules. And yes, with adjusted score you can allow a negative number of points. For more, start here.

Adj. Record: See Adj. Points.

Adj. Sack Rate: An opponent-adjusted measure of sack rates.

Adj. Score: See Adj. Points.

Adj. TO Margin: What a team's turnover margin would have been if they had recovered exactly 50 percent of all the fumbles that occurred in their games. If there is a huge difference between TO Margin and Adj. TO Margin (in other words, if fumbles, dropped interceptions, or other unlucky bounces were the main source of a good/bad TO margin), that suggests that a team's luck was particularly good or bad and might even out the next season.

Adj. Yards Per Target: A look at a receiver's total receiving yards divided by the number of times he was targeted. Slight adjustments are made for the percentage of times a receiver was targeted on standard ("%SD") and passing downs. Players targeted more on passing downs are likely to have a lower overall per-target average, since passing is more difficult on passing downs.

Bend-Don't-Break: Part of the defensive footprint, this is a comparison of a team's Def. Success Rate (efficiency) to its Def. PPP (explosiveness). The higher the number, the higher percentage of a team's overall S&P was made up by success rate, i.e. the more willing a team was to sacrifice efficiency to prevent big plays. (The lower the number, the more likely a team was to take aggressive risks.)

Covariance: Covariance is a statistical tool that provides a measure of the strength of the correlation between two or more sets of random variates. For these purposes, it is used to compare a team's performance (using opponent-adjusted Adj. Score) to the quality of the opponent at hand. Some teams play their best games against their worst opponents, and some teams do the opposite. This measure is used for both the offensive and defensive footprint. For more, go here.

Go After the Ball: Part of the defensive footprint, this looks at a team's forced fumbles, interceptions and passes broken up. In other words, it looks at their ability to go after the ball. The higher the number, the more they got their hands on the football.

Highlight Yards: The portion of a given run that is credit only to the running back; after a certain number of yards, the line has done its job, and most of the rest of the run will be determined by the running back himself. For more information, start here.

Need for Blitzes: Part of the defensive footprint, this compares a team's standard downs sack rate to its passing downs sack rate. The lower the number, the more they were able to generate pressure on standard downs, and the less need for blitzes.

Turnovers Luck: Presented in Points Per Game fashion, Turnovers Luck looks at the difference between a team's Turnover and Adj. TO Margins and, using the average point value of a turnover (~5.0 points), projects how many points a team gained or lost per game last season.

Yards Per Point: A measure long tracked by Phil Steele as a means of looking at teams that were a little too efficient or inefficient the previous season. A positive YPP Margin means a team's offense was less efficient than opponents' offenses, and to the extent that luck was involved, their luck might even out the next year.

X
Log In Sign Up

forgot?
Log In Sign Up

Forgot password?

We'll email you a reset link.

If you signed up using a 3rd party account like Facebook or Twitter, please login with it instead.

Forgot password?

Try another email?

Almost done,

Join Football Study Hall

You must be a member of Football Study Hall to participate.

We have our own Community Guidelines at Football Study Hall. You should read them.

Join Football Study Hall

You must be a member of Football Study Hall to participate.

We have our own Community Guidelines at Football Study Hall. You should read them.

Spinner

Authenticating

Great!

Choose an available username to complete sign up.

In order to provide our users with a better overall experience, we ask for more information from Facebook when using it to login so that we can learn more about our audience and provide you with the best possible experience. We do not store specific user data and the sharing of it is not required to login with Facebook.

tracking_pixel_9341_tracker