Updated on 1/4/18
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Arkansas State Red Wolves (Sun Belt)
2017 Schedule & Results
Record: 7-5 | Second-order wins (diff.): 9.3 (2.3) | S&P+ Rk: 25 | |||||||||
Date | Opponent | Opp. S&P+ Rk | Score | W-L | Win Expectancy |
Adj. Scoring Margin |
Percentile Performance |
Off. Percentile |
Def. Percentile |
2-Sep | at Nebraska | 103 | 36-43 | L | 25% | -6.2 | 33% | 64% | 20% |
16-Sep | UA-Pine Bluff | N/A | 48-3 | W | 100% | 43.3 | 92% | 94% | 93% |
23-Sep | at SMU | 67 | 21-44 | L | 6% | -14.6 | 21% | 63% | 11% |
4-Oct | at Georgia Southern | 120 | 43-25 | W | 84% | 9.3 | 68% | 81% | 41% |
14-Oct | Coastal Carolina | 111 | 51-17 | W | 100% | 24.0 | 87% | 89% | 69% |
19-Oct | UL-Lafayette | 113 | 47-3 | W | 100% | 39.6 | 93% | 83% | 95% |
28-Oct | at New Mexico State | 72 | 37-21 | W | 100% | 27.3 | 91% | 76% | 87% |
11-Nov | at South Alabama | 98 | 19-24 | L | 68% | 4.4 | 58% | 40% | 62% |
18-Nov | Texas State | 117 | 30-12 | W | 91% | 12.1 | 73% | 67% | 73% |
25-Nov | at UL-Monroe | 105 | 67-50 | W | 92% | 12.6 | 74% | 92% | 9% |
2-Dec | Troy | 31 | 25-32 | L | 99% | 20.2 | 88% | 77% | 80% |
16-Dec | vs. Middle Tennessee | 68 | 30-35 | L | 65% | 3.6 | 59% | 64% | 49% |
Category | Offense | Rk | Defense | Rk |
S&P+ | 34.5 | 19 | 26.7 | 56 |
Points Per Game | 41.3 | 11 | 28.1 | 63 |
Five Factors
Offense | Defense | |||||
Category | Avg. | Rk | Avg. | Rk | Nat'l Avg. | |
EFFICIENCY | Success Rate | 45.1% | 25 | 37.3% | 25 | 40.3% |
EXPLOSIVENESS | IsoPPP | 1.25 | 29 | 1.26 | 105 | 1.17 |
FIELD POSITION | Avg. FP | 33.9 | 5 | 26.8 | 10 | 29.6 |
FINISHING DRIVES | Pts. Per Trip in 40 | 4.20 | 88 | 4.06 | 30 | 4.42 |
TURNOVER MARGIN | EXPECTED | 0.4 | 61 | Turnover Luck (PPG): -0.56 |
||
ACTUAL | -1 | 71 |
Rushing
Offense | Defense | ||||
Avg. | Rk | Avg. | Rk | Nat'l Avg. | |
Rushing S&P+ | 88.7 | 110 | 104.5 | 51 | 100.0 |
Rushing Success Rate | 41.7% | 75 | 37.8% | 28 | 42.2% |
Rushing IsoPPP | 0.91 | 59 | 0.95 | 77 | 0.92 |
Adj. Line Yards | 100.1 | 70 | 106.9 | 42 | 100.0 |
Opportunity Rate | 39.1% | 58 | 34.6% | 30 | 38.5% |
Power Success Rate | 68.6% | 54 | 65.7% | 53 | 67.7% |
Stuff Rate | 18.6% | 51 | 23.5% | 18 | 19.3% |
Individual Rushing Stats
Player | Pos. | Ht, Wt | Year | Rushes | Yards | TD | Yards/ Carry |
Hlt Yds/ Opp. |
Opp. Rate |
Fumbles (Lost) |
Warren Wand | RB | 5'5, 191 | JR | 138 | 715 | 6 | 5.2 | 5.0 | 35.5% | 0 (0) |
Justice Hansen | QB | 6'4, 218 | JR | 102 | 618 | 7 | 6.1 | 6.2 | 45.1% | 8 (3) |
Johnston White | RB | 5'11, 196 | SR | 94 | 430 | 3 | 4.6 | 3.3 | 35.1% | 0 (0) |
Jamal Jones | RB | 5'9, 195 | SO | 43 | 197 | 0 | 4.6 | 2.3 | 46.5% | 1 (1) |
Chauncey Mason | RB | 5'9, 185 | SO | 27 | 137 | 1 | 5.1 | 3.4 | 48.1% | 0 (0) |
Logan Bonner | QB | 6'1, 210 | FR | 6 | 16 | 0 | 2.7 | 1.7 | 33.3% | 0 (0) |
Armond Weh-Weh | RB | 6'0, 214 | SR | 2 | 12 | 0 | 6.0 | 4.5 | 50.0% | 0 (0) |
Chris Murray | WR | 5'9, 195 | SR | 2 | 9 | 0 | 4.5 | 1.5 | 50.0% | 0 (0) |
Kyle Wilson | LB | 6'0, 231 | SR | 2 | -1 | 0 | -0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0% | 0 (0) |
NOTE: Quarterback run totals above do not include sacks (which are counted toward pass averages below) or kneeldowns. |
Passing
Offense | Defense | ||||
Avg. | Rk | Avg. | Rk | Nat'l Avg. | |
Passing S&P+ | 102.4 | 58 | 100.3 | 64 | 100.0 |
Passing Success Rate | 47.6% | 7 | 37.0% | 34 | 40.3% |
Passing IsoPPP | 1.47 | 54 | 1.58 | 99 | 1.48 |
Adj. Sack Rate | 97.2 | 75 | 137.5 | 14 | 100 |
Individual Passing Stats
Player | Ht, Wt | Year | Comp | Att | Yards | TD | INT | Comp Rate |
Sacks | Sack Rate | Yards/ Att. |
Justice Hansen | 6'4, 218 | JR | 305 | 487 | 3967 | 37 | 16 | 62.6% | 31 | 6.0% | 7.3 |
Logan Bonner | 6'1, 210 | FR | 9 | 21 | 70 | 1 | 1 | 42.9% | 1 | 4.5% | 3.0 |
Individual Receiving Stats
Player | Pos. | Ht, Wt | Year | Targets | Catches | Yards | TD | Yds/ Catch |
Yds/ Target |
Catch Rate | Success Rate | Target Rate |
Chris Murray | WR | 5'9, 195 | SR | 85 | 51 | 717 | 9 | 14.1 | 8.4 | 60.0% | 45.9% | 17.4% |
Justin McInnis | WR | 6'6, 210 | JR | 72 | 49 | 800 | 4 | 16.3 | 11.1 | 68.1% | 61.1% | 14.7% |
Blake Mack | TE | 6'3, 229 | SR | 65 | 48 | 618 | 7 | 12.9 | 9.5 | 73.8% | 60.0% | 13.3% |
Kendrick Edwards | WR | 6'5, 216 | JR | 65 | 38 | 434 | 3 | 11.4 | 6.7 | 58.5% | 53.8% | 13.3% |
Omar Bayless | WR | 6'3, 206 | SO | 54 | 32 | 439 | 6 | 13.7 | 8.1 | 59.3% | 48.1% | 11.0% |
Dijon Paschal | WR | 6'1, 214 | SR | 44 | 25 | 299 | 1 | 12.0 | 6.8 | 56.8% | 43.2% | 9.0% |
Christian Booker | WR | 5'11, 183 | SR | 35 | 25 | 363 | 6 | 14.5 | 10.4 | 71.4% | 60.0% | 7.2% |
Warren Wand | RB | 5'5, 191 | JR | 22 | 16 | 144 | 1 | 9.0 | 6.6 | 72.7% | 50.0% | 4.5% |
Johnston White | RB | 5'11, 196 | SR | 18 | 14 | 132 | 0 | 9.4 | 7.3 | 77.8% | 66.7% | 3.7% |
Jonathan Adams, Jr. | WR | 6'3, 210 | FR | 12 | 8 | 77 | 1 | 9.6 | 6.4 | 66.7% | 50.0% | 2.5% |
Jamal Jones | RB | 5'9, 195 | SO | 7 | 5 | 9 | 0 | 1.8 | 1.3 | 71.4% | 14.3% | 1.4% |
Chauncey Mason | RB | 5'9, 185 | SO | 3 | 2 | 15 | 0 | 7.5 | 5.0 | 66.7% | 66.7% | 0.6% |
Justice Hansen | QB | 6'4, 218 | JR | 2 | 2 | 48 | 0 | 24.0 | 24.0 | 100.0% | 100.0% | 0.4% |
Javonis Isaac | TE | 6'2, 225 | FR | 2 | 1 | 10 | 0 | 10.0 | 5.0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 0.4% |
A.J. Cayetano | DB | 5'10, 194 | FR | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.4% |
Jefferie Gibson | DB | 6'4, 197 | JR | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 100.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% |
Standard Downs
Offense | Defense | ||||
Avg. | Rk | Avg. | Rk | Nat'l Avg. | |
Standard Downs S&P+ | 96.6 | 81 | 105.2 | 43 | 100.0 |
Standard Downs Success Rate | 49.8% | 29 | 41.8% | 24 | 46.5% |
Standard Downs IsoPPP | 1.17 | 24 | 1.12 | 90 | 1.07 |
SD Line Yards per Carry | 3.20 | 28 | 2.49 | 18 | 2.92 |
SD Sack Rate | 5.2% | 70 | 7.5% | 17 | 5.3% |
Passing Downs
Offense | Defense | ||||
Avg. | Rk | Avg. | Rk | Nat'l Avg. | |
Passing Downs S&P+ | 99.1 | 73 | 96.4 | 83 | 100.0 |
Passing Downs Success Rate | 33.8% | 32 | 29.1% | 53 | 30.7% |
Passing Downs IsoPPP | 1.55 | 56 | 1.65 | 101 | 1.53 |
PD Line Yards per Carry | 2.47 | 121 | 2.60 | 16 | 3.22 |
PD Sack Rate | 7.6% | 68 | 7.8% | 62 | 7.8% |
Situational
Offense | Defense | |||
Avg. | Rk | Avg. | Rk | |
Q1 S&P+ | 90.3 | 97 | 114.1 | 30 |
Q2 S&P+ | 95.5 | 91 | 93.9 | 91 |
Q3 S&P+ | 106.9 | 53 | 101.0 | 68 |
Q4 S&P+ | 108.7 | 40 | 98.8 | 69 |
1st Down S&P+ | 96.1 | 83 | 101.5 | 58 |
2nd Down S&P+ | 102.8 | 62 | 97.9 | 77 |
3rd Down S&P+ | 106.8 | 52 | 104.8 | 51 |
Offensive Footprint
Team | Rk | Nat'l Average | |
Std. Downs Run Rate | 45.2% | 126 | 60.0% |
Pass Downs Run Rate | 34.2% | 67 | 35.3% |
Adj. Pace | -3.3 | 12 | +0.0 |
% of Solo Tackles | 70.7% | 96 | 73.8% |
Defensive Footprint
Team | Rk | Nat'l Average | |
Std. Downs Run Rate | 57.1% | 98 | 59.9% |
Pass. Downs Run Rate | 34.3% | 78 | 35.0% |
Overall Havoc Rate | 20.4% | 9 | 16.0% |
DL Havoc Rate | 9.3% | 2 | 4.9% |
LB Havoc Rate | 2.3% | 116 | 4.4% |
DB Havoc Rate | 8.8% | 10 | 6.5% |
PD to INC | 32.1% | 88 | 33.9% |
Individual Defensive Stats
Name | Pos | Ht, Wt | Year | Tackles | TFL (Sacks) | Run Stuffs* | Int (PBU) | FF | Succ. Rate** |
Kyle Wilson | LB | 6'0, 231 | SR | 69.5 | 8.5 (1) | 17 | 1 (0) | 1 | 35.2% |
B.J. Edmonds | DB | 6'0, 206 | SO | 61.0 | 0.5 (0) | 5 | 3 (4) | 0 | 64.0% |
Justin Clifton | DB | 6'0, 204 | JR | 53.0 | 4.5 (0) | 4 | 1 (13) | 2 | 51.9% |
Darreon Jackson | DB | 6'0, 204 | SO | 43.5 | 4 (1) | 7 | 0 (2) | 1 | 58.0% |
Ja'Von Rolland-Jones | DE | 6'2, 244 | SR | 42.5 | 19 (13) | 12 | 0 (1) | 3 | 11.1% |
Michael Johnson | DB | 6'1, 200 | JR | 32.5 | 0 (0) | 1 | 2 (0) | 0 | 76.9% |
Caleb Caston | DE | 6'2, 238 | SR | 29.5 | 10 (5) | 7 | 0 (0) | 1 | 20.6% |
Trent Ellis-Brewer | LB | 6'2, 213 | SO | 28.0 | 3.5 (0) | 4 | 1 (2) | 1 | 45.8% |
Blaise Taylor | DB | 5'9, 166 | SR | 26.5 | 5 (0) | 5 | 2 (14) | 1 | 58.1% |
Kyle Martin | DB | 5'9, 188 | SR | 22.5 | 1 (0) | 1 | 2 (2) | 0 | 84.0% |
Jefferie Gibson | DB | 6'4, 197 | JR | 18.5 | 0 (0) | 1 | 1 (2) | 0 | 77.8% |
Dee Liner | DL | 6'3, 337 | SR | 17.0 | 6 (0) | 14 | 0 (1) | 0 | 12.5% |
Ronheen Bingham | DE | 6'2, 241 | JR | 16.5 | 8 (5) | 4 | 0 (0) | 2 | 10.5% |
Hunter Moreton | DL | 6'1, 293 | FR | 16.0 | 5.5 (2) | 6 | 0 (0) | 0 | 17.6% |
Nehemiah Wagner | DB | 6'0, 178 | SR | 13.5 | 0 (0) | 0 | 1 (3) | 0 | 71.4% |
Christian Howard | DL | 6'2, 281 | JR | 12.0 | 6 (3) | 5 | 0 (0) | 0 | 7.7% |
Demari Medley | DB | 5'10, 175 | FR | 12.0 | 0 (0) | 0 | 0 (0) | 0 | 75.0% |
Caleb Bonner | LB | 6'1, 206 | FR | 12.0 | 0 (0) | 2 | 0 (0) | 0 | 20.0% |
Donovan Ransom | DL | 6'1, 283 | JR | 11.0 | 1 (0) | 1 | 0 (0) | 0 | 30.8% |
Javier Carbonell | DL | 6'2, 307 | SO | 11.0 | 0.5 (0.5) | 2 | 0 (0) | 0 | 21.4% |
Antwon Turnage | LB | 6'2, 220 | JR | 10.0 | 1.5 (0) | 2 | 0 (0) | 0 | 44.4% |
Jarrod Chandler | DE | 6'2, 223 | JR | 9.0 | 2 (1) | 1 | 0 (0) | 0 | 20.0% |
Dajon Emory | DE | 6'3, 266 | JR | 8.0 | 2.5 (0) | 3 | 0 (0) | 0 | 22.2% |
Jeremy Smith | DB | 5'11, 175 | SO | 6.5 | 0 (0) | 0 (1) | 0 | ||
Clifford Thomas | DL | 6'2, 276 | SR | 6.0 | 2.5 (2) | 2 | 0 (0) | 0 | 20.0% |
* Stuffs are rushes stopped at or behind the line. They are not necessarily tackles for loss (since they include zero-yard gains), so adding sacks and stuffs won't necessarily equal TFLs. Also: the figure is based on how many stuffs a tackler has taken part in -- solo tackles and assist tackles count for the same amount.
** For defenders, Success Rate is defined as the offense's success rate on plays in which the defender made a tackle. The lower the number, the better for the defender. On average, due to proximity to the line of scrimmage, defensive linemen will produce lower success rates than linebackers, who producer lower rates than defensive backs.
Special Teams
Rating | Rank | |
Special Teams S&P+ | 0.3 | 41 |
Category | Rate | Rank |
FG Value (per kick) | -0.08 | 86 |
Punt Success Rate | 76.0% | 4 |
Kickoff Success Rate | 62.3% | 104 |
Punt Return Success Rate | 64.0% | 23 |
Kick Return Success Rate | 52.9% | 26 |
Place-Kicker | Ht, Wt | Year | PAT | FG | Pct |
Sawyer Williams | 5'11, 202 | SO | 48-53 | 16-22 | 72.7% |
Damon Foncham | 5'8, 196 | SO | 0-1 | 0-0 | #DIV/0! |
Punter | Ht, Wt | Year | Punts | Avg | TB | FC | I20 | FC/I20 Ratio |
Cody Grace | 6'2, 223 | SO | 44 | 41.6 | 0 | 26 | 24 | 113.6% |
Damon Foncham | 5'8, 196 | SO | 6 | 35.5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 83.3% |
Kicker | Ht, Wt | Year | Kickoffs | Avg | TB | TB% | OOB | Fair Catches |
Onside Att |
Onside Success |
Sawyer Williams | 5'11, 202 | SO | 81 | 58.2 | 23 | 28.4% | 4 | 5 | 2 | 1 |
Damon Foncham | 5'8, 196 | SO | 4 | 57.5 | 1 | 25.0% | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Punt Returner | Ht, Wt | Year | Returns | Avg. | TD | Fair Catch | Fumbles (Lost) |
Blaise Taylor | 5'9, 166 | SR | 27 | 13.7 | 1 | 16 | 4 (1) |
Kick Returner | Ht, Wt | Year | Returns | Avg. | TD | Fair Catch | Fumbles (Lost) |
Jonathan Adams, Jr. | 6'3, 210 | FR | 11 | 20.5 | 0 | 0 | 1 (0) |
Chris Murray | 5'9, 195 | SR | 11 | 25.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 (0) |
Chauncey Mason | 5'9, 185 | SO | 7 | 18.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 (0) |
Tackler | Pos | Ht, Wt | Year | ST Tackles | PR Avg | KR Avg |
Jeremy Smith | DB | 5'11, 175 | SO | 6.0 | 13.8 | |
Trent Ellis-Brewer | LB | 6'2, 213 | SO | 5.5 | 13.5 | |
Justin Clifton | DB | 6'0, 204 | JR | 5.0 | 26.4 | |
Demari Medley | DB | 5'10, 175 | FR | 4.0 | 12.0 | |
Antwon Turnage | LB | 6'2, 220 | JR | 3.0 | 15.0 |
Stats via SportSource Analytics