2012 Western Michigan Broncos Football: Statistical Profile

Back to Profiles home page.

Confused? See the glossary at the bottom.

2011 Schedule & Results

Record: 7-6 | Adj. Record: 7-6 | Final F/+ Rk: 51
Date Opponent Score W-L Adj. Score Adj. W-L
3-Sep at Michigan 10-34 L 27.8 - 31.6 L
10-Sep Nicholls State 38-7 W 26.0 - 16.7 W
17-Sep Central Michigan 44-14 W 30.0 - 28.0 W
24-Sep at Illinois 20-23 L 29.0 - 29.2 L
1-Oct at Connecticut 38-31 W 37.7 - 30.8 W
8-Oct Bowling Green 45-21 W 37.7 - 30.8 W
15-Oct at Northern Illinois 22-51 L 21.7 - 30.9 L
22-Oct at Eastern Michigan 10-14 L 26.2 - 29.0 L
29-Oct Ball State 45-35 W 27.4 - 32.4 L
8-Nov at Toledo 63-66 L 34.2 - 30.5 W
16-Nov at Miami (Ohio) 24-21 W 30.2 - 30.0 W
25-Nov Akron 68-19 W 35.7 - 17.5 W
27-Dec vs Purdue 32-37 L 27.1 - 28.9 L
Category Offense Rk Defense Rk
Points Per Game 35.3 18 28.7 76
Adj. Points Per Game 30.1 26 28.2 70

2012 Schedule & Projection Factors

2012 Schedule
Date Opponent Proj. Rk
1-Sep at Illinois 51
8-Sep Eastern Illinois NR
15-Sep at Minnesota 96
22-Sep Connecticut 53
29-Sep Toledo 71
6-Oct Massachusetts 116
13-Oct at Ball State 89
20-Oct at Kent State 92
27-Oct Northern Illinois 57
3-Nov at Central Michigan 84
10-Nov at Buffalo 107
17-Nov Eastern Michigan 91
Five-Year F/+ Rk 76
Two-Year Recruiting Rk 103
TO Margin/Adj. TO Margin* -3 / -0.9
TO Luck/Game -0.8
Approx. Ret. Starters (Off. / Def.) 13 (7, 6)
Yds/Pt Margin** -2.2

Offense

Category Yards/
Game Rk
S&P+ Rk Success
Rt. Rk
PPP+ Rk
OVERALL 19 30 27 41
RUSHING 94 69 77 67
PASSING 8 36 20 52
Standard Downs 45 52 40
Passing Downs 41 22 51
Redzone 78 93 65
Q1 Rk 61 1st Down Rk 52
Q2 Rk 11 2nd Down Rk 34
Q3 Rk 73 3rd Down Rk 34
Q4 Rk 58
Adj. Line Yards Rk 98
Adj. Sack Rate Rk 31

Quarterback

Note: players in bold below are 2012 returnees. Players in italics are questionable with injury/suspension.

Player Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Rivals Comp Att Yards Comp
Rate
TD INT Sacks Sack Rate Yards/
Att.
Alex Carder 6'2, 224 Sr. ** (5.3) 330 502 3,873 65.7% 31 14 22 4.2% 7.1
Tyler Van Tubbergen 6'4, 197 Jr. ** (5.3) 31 36 349 86.1% 7 2 0 0.0% 9.7
Mike Perish 6'3, 204 So. *** (5.5) 4 10 42 40.0% 0 0 0 0.0% 4.2
Anthony Maddie 6'2, 180 Fr. *** (5.5)

Running Back

Player Pos. Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Rivals Rushes Yards Yards/
Carry
Hlt Yds/
Carry
TD Adj.
POE
Alex Carder QB 6'2, 224 Sr. ** (5.3) 106 461 4.3 1.8 4 -6.9
Tevin Drake RB 5'11, 212 Jr. *** (5.6) 105 586 5.6 2.7 5 +5.5
Brian Fields RB 5'9, 203 Jr. ** (5.2) 68 287 4.2 1.6 2 -1.8
Antoin Scriven RB 6'0, 210 Jr. ** (5.3) 25 62 2.5 0.5 4 0.0
Michael Johnson RB 6'1, 208 So. ** (5.4) 14 80 5.7 1.8 0 -1.3
Tyler VanTubbergen QB 6'4, 197 Jr. ** (5.3) 12 88 7.3 2.6 1 +3.1

Receiving Corps

Player Pos. Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Rivals Targets Catches Yards Catch Rate Target
Rate
%SD Adj. Yds/
Target
Jordan White WR 203 140 1,911 69.0% 38.4% 62.6% 9.3
Robert Arnheim WR 93 62 702 66.7% 17.6% 57.0% 7.1
Chleb Ravenell WR 92 67 839 72.8% 17.4% 75.0% 9.4
Eric Monette WR 6'6, 201 Sr. NR 41 29 306 70.7% 7.8% 46.3% 6.9
Josh Schaffer WR 6'2, 211 Jr. ** (5.2) 24 19 241 79.2% 4.5% 45.8% 11.1
Brian Fields RB 5'9, 203 Jr. ** (5.2) 17 13 111 76.5% 3.2% 58.8% 7.0
Antoin Scriven RB 6'0, 210 Jr. ** (5.3) 11 7 36 63.6% 2.1% 90.9% 1.6
Dallas Walker TE 10 7 44 70.0% 1.9% 80.0% 5.0
Ansel Ponder WR 6'2, 184 Sr. *** (5.7) 9 7 92 77.8% 1.7% 66.7% 10.9
Clark Mussman TE 6'3, 232 Jr. ** (5.2) 9 6 31 66.7% 1.7% 77.8% 2.6
Darrin Duncan WR 6'2, 200 Jr. ** (5.4)
Justin Collins WR 6'3, 200 Jr. ** (5.3)
Jaime Wilson WR 5'11, 190 Fr. *** (5.7)
Daniel Braverman WR 6'0, 175 Fr. *** (5.5)

Offensive Line

2011 Two-Deep Pos. Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Rivals Career Starts/Honors/Notes
Anthony Parker LT 48 career starts
Dann O'Neill RT 6'8, 307 Sr. **** (6.0) 23 career starts
Terry Davisson LT 6'6, 301 Jr. ** (5.2) 16 career starts
Kasimili Uitalia LG 6'2, 292 Sr. NR 13 career starts
Kevin Galeher C 6'3, 300 Sr. ** (5.3) 12 career starts
Deon Cammock RG 6'6, 342 Jr. NR 5 career starts
Jon Hoffing C 6'5, 276 So. ** (5.4) 1 career start
Willie Beavers LT 6'5, 308 RSFr. *** (5.5)
Greg Peterson LG 6'5, 290 Sr. ** (5.2)
James Kristof RG 6'4, 290 RSFr. ** (5.4)

Defense

Category Yards/
Game Rk
S&P+ Rk Success
Rt. Rk
PPP+ Rk
OVERALL 99 95 89 98
RUSHING 109 103 82 108
PASSING 47 86 95 77
Standard Downs 91 94 88
Passing Downs 96 96 95
Redzone 46 46 43
Q1 Rk 45 1st Down Rk 102
Q2 Rk 111 2nd Down Rk 91
Q3 Rk 96 3rd Down Rk 84
Q4 Rk 92
Adj. Line Yards Rk 95
Adj. Sack Rate Rk 61

Defensive Line

Name Pos Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Rivals GP Tackles % of Team TFL Sacks Int PBU FF FR
Drew Nowak DT 13 64.5 8.7% 20.5 8.5 1 2
Freddie Bishop DE 6'4, 253 Sr. ** (5.3) 13 34.0 4.6% 12 5.5
T.J. Lynch DE 13 20.5 2.8% 2.5 1
Paul Hazel DE 6'5, 210 Sr. ** (5.1) 13 19.5 2.6% 3.5 2.5 4 3
Deauntay Legrier DE 6'1, 249 Sr. ** (5.3) 10 16.5 2.2% 5 2 2
Travonte Boles DT 6'0, 298 Jr. ** (5.4) 13 15.5 2.1% 4.5 0.5 1 1
Chris Prom DE 6'3, 228 Sr. ** (5.2) 12 9.0 1.2% 1.5 1 1 1 2
Weston Peiffer DE 8 2.5 0.3% 1.5 1
Michael Dubose DE 6'3, 240 Fr. *** (5.5)

Linebackers

Name Pos Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Rivals GP Tackles % of Team TFL Sacks Int PBU FF FR
Johnnie Simon ROV 6'0, 180 Jr. ** (5.4) 13 88.0 11.8% 10.5 3.5 2 7
Mitch Zajac MIKE 13 60.0 8.1% 2.5 2 1
Devon Brant MIKE 5'11, 223 So. ** (5.4) 8 27.5 3.7% 0.5 1
Desmond Bozeman MIKE 6'0, 220 Jr. *** (5.5) 13 18.5 2.5% 0.5
Trevor Ishmael WILL 6'1, 198 So. ** (5.2) 11 18.5 2.5% 2.5 1.5 3
Andrew Buskirk ROV 6'1, 190 RSFr. NR

Jake Minster LB 6'2, 230 Jr. ** (5.4)

Terry Easmon LB 6'3, 230 Jr. ** (5.4)

Secondary

Name Pos Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Rivals GP Tackles % of Team TFL Sacks Int PBU FF FR
Aaron Winchester CB 13 68.0 9.2% 6 1.5 1 9 2
Lewis Toler CB 5'10, 172 Jr. ** (5.1) 13 51.0 6.9% 4.5 4 1
Doug Wiggins FS 11 43.5 5.9% 0.5 0.5 2 6 1
Demetrius Pettway SS 5'10, 188 Jr. ** (5.2) 11 40.0 5.4% 1 2 2 2 1
Donald Celiscar CB 5'11, 175 So. ** (5.2) 11 39.0 5.2% 1 5 2 3
Rontavious Atkins FS 6'0, 181 So. *** (5.5) 12 31.5 4.2% 2 1 1
Justin Currie FS 6'3, 192 So. ** (5.4) 10 19.0 2.6% 1 1
Dervon Wallace CB 13 6.0 0.8%
Keith Dixson SS 13 6.0 0.8% 0.5 1
Scott Hinds SS 6'2, 199 Sr. NR 12 2.5 0.3% 1 2

Special Teams

Punter Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Punts Avg TB FC I20 FC/I20
Ratio
Ben Armer 42 41.0 5 11 21 76.2%
Kicker Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Kickoffs Avg TB TB%
John Potter 85 66.4 36 42.4%
Place-Kicker Ht, Wt 2012
Year
PAT FG
(0-39)
Pct FG
(40+)
Pct
John Potter 57-57 10-11 90.9% 6-11 54.5%
Returner Pos. Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Returns Avg. TD
Dervon Wallace KR 41 24.8 0
Aaron Winchester KR 8 18.0 0
Jordan White PR 17 13.1 0
Robert Arnheim PR 3 0.0 0
Category Rk
Special Teams F/+ 8
Net Punting 55
Net Kickoffs 6
Touchback Pct 4
Field Goal Pct 45
Kick Returns Avg 47
Punt Returns Avg 44

---

Glossary

Adj. Line Yards: A line measure derived from the formula found here. The idea is to divvy credit for a given rush between both the runner and the blockers.

Adj. Pace: Part of the offensive footprint, this takes into account both the number of plays a team attempts and the type of play. Since passes, on average, take up less time (thanks to the fact that 30-50 percent of them are incomplete and stop the clock), pass-heavy offenses are prone to run more plays, therefore limiting the effectiveness of a general plays-per-game measure. Adj. Pace takes a team's run-pass ratio into account.

Adj. POE: An opponent-adjusted "Points Over Expected" measure for running backs that looks both at what a runner gained and what would have been expected given the opponents involved. For more information, start here.

Adj. Points: A look at how a team would have performed in a given week if playing a perfectly average team, with a somewhat average number of breaks and turnovers. The idea for the measure is simple: what if everybody in the country played exactly the same opponent every single week? Who would have done the best? It is an attempt to look at offensive and defensive consistency without getting sidetracked by easy or difficult schedules. And yes, with adjusted score you can allow a negative number of points. For more, start here.

Adj. Record: See Adj. Points.

Adj. Sack Rate: An opponent-adjusted measure of sack rates.

Adj. Score: See Adj. Points.

Adj. TO Margin: What a team's turnover margin would have been if they had recovered exactly 50 percent of all the fumbles that occurred in their games. If there is a huge difference between TO Margin and Adj. TO Margin (in other words, if fumbles, dropped interceptions, or other unlucky bounces were the main source of a good/bad TO margin), that suggests that a team's luck was particularly good or bad and might even out the next season.

Adj. Yards Per Target: A look at a receiver's total receiving yards divided by the number of times he was targeted. Slight adjustments are made for the percentage of times a receiver was targeted on standard ("%SD") and passing downs. Players targeted more on passing downs are likely to have a lower overall per-target average, since passing is more difficult on passing downs.

Bend-Don't-Break: Part of the defensive footprint, this is a comparison of a team's Def. Success Rate (efficiency) to its Def. PPP (explosiveness). The higher the number, the higher percentage of a team's overall S&P was made up by success rate, i.e. the more willing a team was to sacrifice efficiency to prevent big plays. (The lower the number, the more likely a team was to take aggressive risks.)

Covariance: Covariance is a statistical tool that provides a measure of the strength of the correlation between two or more sets of random variates. For these purposes, it is used to compare a team's performance (using opponent-adjusted Adj. Score) to the quality of the opponent at hand. Some teams play their best games against their worst opponents, and some teams do the opposite. This measure is used for both the offensive and defensive footprint. For more, go here.

Go After the Ball: Part of the defensive footprint, this looks at a team's forced fumbles, interceptions and passes broken up. In other words, it looks at their ability to go after the ball. The higher the number, the more they got their hands on the football.

Highlight Yards: The portion of a given run that is credit only to the running back; after a certain number of yards, the line has done its job, and most of the rest of the run will be determined by the running back himself. For more information, start here.

Need for Blitzes: Part of the defensive footprint, this compares a team's standard downs sack rate to its passing downs sack rate. The lower the number, the more they were able to generate pressure on standard downs, and the less need for blitzes.

Turnovers Luck: Presented in Points Per Game fashion, Turnovers Luck looks at the difference between a team's Turnover and Adj. TO Margins and, using the average point value of a turnover (~5.0 points), projects how many points a team gained or lost per game last season.

Yards Per Point: A measure long tracked by Phil Steele as a means of looking at teams that were a little too efficient or inefficient the previous season. A positive YPP Margin means a team's offense was less efficient than opponents' offenses, and to the extent that luck was involved, their luck might even out the next year.

X
Log In Sign Up

forgot?
Log In Sign Up

Forgot password?

We'll email you a reset link.

If you signed up using a 3rd party account like Facebook or Twitter, please login with it instead.

Forgot password?

Try another email?

Almost done,

Join Football Study Hall

You must be a member of Football Study Hall to participate.

We have our own Community Guidelines at Football Study Hall. You should read them.

Join Football Study Hall

You must be a member of Football Study Hall to participate.

We have our own Community Guidelines at Football Study Hall. You should read them.

Spinner

Authenticating

Great!

Choose an available username to complete sign up.

In order to provide our users with a better overall experience, we ask for more information from Facebook when using it to login so that we can learn more about our audience and provide you with the best possible experience. We do not store specific user data and the sharing of it is not required to login with Facebook.

tracking_pixel_9341_tracker