2012 West Virginia Mountaineers Football: Statistical Profile

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2011 Schedule & Results

Record: 10-3 | Adj. Record: 10-3 | Final F/+ Rk: 23
Date Opponent Score W-L Adj. Score Adj. W-L
4-Sep Marshall 34-13 W 27.7 - 24.9 W
10-Sep Norfolk State 55-12 W 26.4 - 30.5 L
17-Sep at Maryland 37-31 W 26.8 - 30.6 L
24-Sep LSU 21-47 L 35.0 - 29.2 W
1-Oct Bowling Green 55-10 W 39.7 - 18.0 W
8-Oct Connecticut 43-16 W 34.2 - 26.2 W
21-Oct at Syracuse 23-49 L 29.9 - 33.0 L
29-Oct at Rutgers 41-31 W 38.4 - 28.7 W
5-Nov Louisville 35-38 L 37.4 - 31.6 W
12-Nov at Cincinnati 24-21 W 28.7 - 27.4 W
25-Nov Pittsburgh 21-20 W 29.5 - 25.8 W
1-Dec at South Florida 30-27 W 28.6 - 23.4 W
4-Jan vs Clemson 70-33 W 36.2 - 27.8 W
Category Offense Rk Defense Rk
Points Per Game 37.6 13 26.8 61
Adj. Points Per Game 32.2 10 27.5 56

2012 Schedule & Projection Factors

2012 Schedule
Date Opponent Proj. Rk
1-Sep Marshall 94
15-Sep vs. James Madison NR
22-Sep Maryland 66
29-Sep Baylor 28
6-Oct at Texas 10
13-Oct at Texas Tech 38
20-Oct Kansas State 35
3-Nov TCU 21
10-Nov at Oklahoma State 4
17-Nov Oklahoma 3
24-Nov at Iowa State 85
1-Dec Kansas 105
Five-Year F/+ Rk 12
Two-Year Recruiting Rk 43
TO Margin/Adj. TO Margin* +1 / +0.7
TO Luck/Game 0.1
Approx. Ret. Starters (Off. / Def.) 14 (8, 6)
Yds/Pt Margin** -0.5

Offense

Category Yards/
Game Rk
S&P+ Rk Success
Rt. Rk
PPP+ Rk
OVERALL 15 12 17 11
RUSHING 92 13 16 11
PASSING 6 17 24 17
Standard Downs 23 29 19
Passing Downs 2 2 1
Redzone 15 21 9
Q1 Rk 35 1st Down Rk 20
Q2 Rk 32 2nd Down Rk 4
Q3 Rk 10 3rd Down Rk 20
Q4 Rk 6
Adj. Line Yards Rk 33
Adj. Sack Rate Rk 32

Quarterback

Note: players in bold below are 2012 returnees. Players in italics are questionable with injury/suspension.

Player Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Rivals Comp Att Yards Comp
Rate
TD INT Sacks Sack Rate Yards/
Att.
Geno Smith 6'3, 214 Sr. **** (5.9) 346 526 4,385 65.8% 31 7 26 4.7% 7.6
Paul Millard 6'1, 221 So. *** (5.5) 7 15 124 46.7% 1 2 0 0.0% 8.3
Ford Childress 6'5, 224 Fr. *** (5.7)






Running Back

Player Pos. Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Rivals Rushes Yards Yards/
Carry
Hlt Yds/
Carry
TD Adj.
POE
Dustin Garrison RB-A 5'9, 166 So. ** (5.4) 136 742 5.5 1.9 6 +10.8
Shawne Alston RB-B 5'11, 235 Sr. *** (5.6) 97 416 4.3 1.2 12 +14.1
Andrew Buie RB-A 5'9, 187 So. **** (5.8) 51 172 3.4 0.9 1 -5.9
Vernard Roberts RB


44 140 3.2 0.5 3 -3.6
Geno Smith QB 6'3, 214 Sr. **** (5.9) 30 171 5.7 2.0 2 +3.6
Tavon Austin IR 5'9, 173 Sr. **** (5.8) 17 188 11.1 7.4 1 +6.4
Ryan Clarke FB 6'0, 231 Sr. ** (5.0)





Receiving Corps

Player Pos. Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Rivals Targets Catches Yards Catch Rate Target
Rate
%SD Adj. Yds/
Target
Tavon Austin IR-Y 5'9, 173 Sr. **** (5.8) 127 100 1,180 78.7% 24.6% 65.4% 10.4
Stedman Bailey WR-X 5'10, 188 Jr. **** (5.8) 114 72 1,279 63.2% 22.1% 59.6% 10.6
Ivan McCartney WR-Z 6'2, 182 Jr. **** (6.0) 83 49 585 59.0% 16.1% 68.7% 6.2
Devon Brown IR-Y 45 29 404 64.4% 8.7% 53.3% 8.2
Dustin Garrison RB-A 5'9, 166 So. ** (5.4) 36 24 201 66.7% 7.0% 63.9% 5.0
Tyler Urban IR-Y 29 20 226 69.0% 5.6% 58.6% 7.7
Brad Starks WR 22 14 174 63.6% 4.3% 54.5% 7.1
Willie Milhouse IR-H 16 13 220 81.3% 3.1% 62.5% 16.3
Andrew Buie RB-A 5'9, 187 So. **** (5.8) 14 13 85 92.9% 2.7% 64.3% 6.3
J.D. Woods IR-H 6'1, 189 Sr. ** (5.3) 11 7 67 63.6% 2.1% 72.7% 5.9
Ryan Nehlen WR-Z 6'3, 205 Sr. NR 13 5 64 38.5% 2.5% 38.5% -1.9
K.J. Myers WR-X 6'2, 201 RSFr. *** (5.6)






Dante Campbell
IR-Y 6'4, 215 RSFr. *** (5.5)






Cody Clay
IR-Y
6'3, 251 RSFr. ** (5.3)






Travares Copeland WR 6'0, 180 Fr. *** (5.7)






Devonte Robinson WR 6'1, 170 Fr. *** (5.7)






Devonte Mathis WR 6'2, 210 Fr. *** (5.7)






Will Johnson TE 6'6, 245 Fr. *** (5.7)






Jordan Thompson IR-H 5'7, 159 Fr. ** (5.4)






Offensive Line

2011 Two-Deep Pos. Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Rivals Career Starts/Honors/Notes
Don Barclay LT 40 career starts, 2011 1st All-Big East
Joe Madsen C 6'4, 310 Sr. ** (5.3) 38 career starts, 2011 2nd All-Big East
Jeff Braun RG 6'5, 320 Sr. *** (5.6) 26 career starts
Josh Jenkins^ LG 6'4, 291 Sr. **** (5.8) 22 career starts
Tyler Rader RG 11 career starts
Pat Eger RT 6'6, 301 Jr. *** (5.5) 12 career starts
Quinton Spain LT 6'5, 335 So. **** (5.9) 1 career start
Curtis Feigt RT 6'7, 316 Jr. ** (5.4) 1 career start
Nick Kindler LT 6'6, 298 Jr. *** (5.5)
John Bassler C 6'4, 308 Sr. ** (5.2)
Marquis Lucas RT 6'4, 317 RSFr. *** (5.6)
Russell Haughton-James RG 6'5, 316 RSFr. *** (5.5)
Brandon Jackson LG 6'3, 326 RSFr. ** (5.4)
Mark Glowinski OL 6'5, 290 Jr. *** (5.5)
Tyler Orlosky OL 6'4, 290 Fr. *** (5.7)

^ Jenkins missed 2011 with injury.

Defense

Category Yards/
Game Rk
S&P+ Rk Success
Rt. Rk
PPP+ Rk
OVERALL 33 63 63 75
RUSHING 55 80 62 92
PASSING 35 60 66 57
Standard Downs 56 40 71
Passing Downs 67 74 67
Redzone 91 88 94
Q1 Rk 107 1st Down Rk 59
Q2 Rk 41 2nd Down Rk 60
Q3 Rk 32 3rd Down Rk 74
Q4 Rk 48
Adj. Line Yards Rk 72
Adj. Sack Rate Rk 75

Defensive Line

Name Pos Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Rivals GP Tackles % of Team TFL Sacks Int PBU FF FR
Julian Miller DT 13 44.0 6.0% 11 6 2 2 3
Bruce Irvin DE 13 33.5 4.5% 15 8.5 3
Jorge Wright NT 6'2, 289 Sr. ** (5.3) 13 29.5 4.0% 3.5 1.5
Will Clarke DT 6'6, 269 Jr. ** (5.3) 13 26.5 3.6% 5 2 1
Tyler Anderson DE 6'2, 244 Jr. NR 13 13.0 1.8% 4
Josh Taylor NT


9 5.5 0.7% 0.5 0.5
J.B. Lageman DT 6'3, 258 Sr. NR 7 3.0 0.4%
Trevor Demko DE 6'6, 256 So. *** (5.5) 4 1.5 0.2%
Shaq Rowell NT 6'4, 300 Jr. *** (5.5) 10 5.0 0.7%
Chidoziem Ezemma DE 6'2, 221 Jr. NR
Kyle Rose DT 6'4, 270 RSFr. *** (5.5)

Christian Brown DT 6'2, 295 Fr. *** (5.7)

Imarjaye Albury NT 6'0, 292 Fr. *** (5.6)

Linebackers

Name Pos Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Rivals GP Tackles % of Team TFL Sacks Int PBU FF FR
Najee Goode WILL 13 65.0 8.8% 14 5 1 1 1 1
Terence Garvin STAR 6'3, 223 Sr. *** (5.6) 11 57.5 7.8% 5.5 3.5 2 3
Jewone Snow BUCK 6'1, 245 So. *** (5.6) 11 30.0 4.1% 2 1.5 1
Doug Rigg SAM 6'0, 242 Jr. *** (5.5) 11 20.5 2.8% 4 1 1 1
Jared Barber WILL 6'1, 230 So. *** (5.5) 12 18.0 2.4% 2 3
Josh Francis BUCK 6'1, 221 Sr. *** (5.6) 8 8.0 1.1%
Donovan Miles SAM 6'1, 241 Sr. *** (5.6) 12 7.0 0.9%
Shaq Petteway STAR 6'0, 222 So. *** (5.6) 13 6.5 0.9%
Wes Tonkery STAR 6'2, 214 So. ** (5.0) 9 4.0 0.5% 1
Troy Gloster SAM 5'11, 230 So. *** (5.6) 10 3.5 0.5%
Taige Redman WILL 6'1, 228 Jr. ** (5.4) 13 1.5 0.2%
Nick Kwiatkoski WILL 6'2, 226 RSFr. *** (5.5)
Isaiah Bruce SAM 6'1, 226 RSFr. *** (5.5)

Secondary

Name Pos Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Rivals GP Tackles % of Team TFL Sacks Int PBU FF FR
Darwin Cook BS 5'11, 204 Jr. ** (5.3) 13 68.0 9.2% 1 2 4 2
Eain Smith FS 13 65.5 8.9% 3 1 6 2
Pat Miller CB 5'11, 191 Sr. *** (5.5) 13 58.0 7.8% 1.5 2 3 1
Keith Tandy CB 13 57.0 7.7% 2 4 9
Brodrick Jenkins CB 5'10, 186 Jr. *** (5.5) 13 24.5 3.3% 2 2 8
Casey Vance WLB 11 19.5 2.6% 2.5 0.5
Ishmael Banks FS 6'0, 184 So. *** (5.6) 13 10.0 1.4% 1
Cecil Level CB 5'10, 186 Jr. NR 13 9.0 1.2%
Travis Bell FS 6'2, 201 Jr. *** (5.7) 11 7.0 0.9% 1 1
Matt Moro BS 6'0, 192 Sr. NR 7 5.0 0.7%
William Marable BS 6'0, 198 Sr. *** (5.5) 6 2.5 0.3%
Avery Williams CB 5'11, 18 So. *** (5.5) 5 2.5 0.3%
Lawrence Smith CB 5'9, 182 Sr. NR
Anthony Vecchio CB 5'9, 182 So. NR
Terrell Chestnut CB 5'11, 185 RSFr. **** (5.8)
Karl Joseph FS 5'11, 196 Fr. *** (5.7)

Special Teams

Punter Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Punts Avg TB FC I20 FC/I20
Ratio
Mike Molinari 6'2, 198 So. 30 37.2 2 5 11 53.3%
Corey Smith 6'0, 211 Sr. 26 29.7 0 1 6 26.9%
Kicker Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Kickoffs Avg TB TB%
Corey Smith 6'0, 211 Sr. 73 62.7 5 6.8%
Tyle Bitancurt 6'1, 203 Sr. 16 55.2 2 12.5%
Place-Kicker Ht, Wt 2012
Year
PAT FG
(0-39)
Pct FG
(40+)
Pct
Tyle Bitancurt 6'1, 203 Sr. 61-63 13-18 72.2% 3-4 75.0%
Returner Pos. Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Returns Avg. TD
Tavon Austin KR 5'9, 173 Sr. 36 26.1 2
Brad Starks KR 9 24.8 0
Devon Brown KR 5 16.2 0
Tavon Austin PR 5'9, 173 Sr. 19 14.1 0
Category Rk
Special Teams F/+ 83
Net Punting 101
Net Kickoffs 105
Touchback Pct 93
Field Goal Pct 45
Kick Returns Avg 26
Punt Returns Avg 20

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Glossary

Adj. Line Yards: A line measure derived from the formula found here. The idea is to divvy credit for a given rush between both the runner and the blockers.

Adj. Pace: Part of the offensive footprint, this takes into account both the number of plays a team attempts and the type of play. Since passes, on average, take up less time (thanks to the fact that 30-50 percent of them are incomplete and stop the clock), pass-heavy offenses are prone to run more plays, therefore limiting the effectiveness of a general plays-per-game measure. Adj. Pace takes a team's run-pass ratio into account.

Adj. POE: An opponent-adjusted "Points Over Expected" measure for running backs that looks both at what a runner gained and what would have been expected given the opponents involved. For more information, start here.

Adj. Points: A look at how a team would have performed in a given week if playing a perfectly average team, with a somewhat average number of breaks and turnovers. The idea for the measure is simple: what if everybody in the country played exactly the same opponent every single week? Who would have done the best? It is an attempt to look at offensive and defensive consistency without getting sidetracked by easy or difficult schedules. And yes, with adjusted score you can allow a negative number of points. For more, start here.

Adj. Record: See Adj. Points.

Adj. Sack Rate: An opponent-adjusted measure of sack rates.

Adj. Score: See Adj. Points.

Adj. TO Margin: What a team's turnover margin would have been if they had recovered exactly 50 percent of all the fumbles that occurred in their games. If there is a huge difference between TO Margin and Adj. TO Margin (in other words, if fumbles, dropped interceptions, or other unlucky bounces were the main source of a good/bad TO margin), that suggests that a team's luck was particularly good or bad and might even out the next season.

Adj. Yards Per Target: A look at a receiver's total receiving yards divided by the number of times he was targeted. Slight adjustments are made for the percentage of times a receiver was targeted on standard ("%SD") and passing downs. Players targeted more on passing downs are likely to have a lower overall per-target average, since passing is more difficult on passing downs.

Bend-Don't-Break: Part of the defensive footprint, this is a comparison of a team's Def. Success Rate (efficiency) to its Def. PPP (explosiveness). The higher the number, the higher percentage of a team's overall S&P was made up by success rate, i.e. the more willing a team was to sacrifice efficiency to prevent big plays. (The lower the number, the more likely a team was to take aggressive risks.)

Covariance: Covariance is a statistical tool that provides a measure of the strength of the correlation between two or more sets of random variates. For these purposes, it is used to compare a team's performance (using opponent-adjusted Adj. Score) to the quality of the opponent at hand. Some teams play their best games against their worst opponents, and some teams do the opposite. This measure is used for both the offensive and defensive footprint. For more, go here.

Go After the Ball: Part of the defensive footprint, this looks at a team's forced fumbles, interceptions and passes broken up. In other words, it looks at their ability to go after the ball. The higher the number, the more they got their hands on the football.

Highlight Yards: The portion of a given run that is credit only to the running back; after a certain number of yards, the line has done its job, and most of the rest of the run will be determined by the running back himself. For more information, start here.

Need for Blitzes: Part of the defensive footprint, this compares a team's standard downs sack rate to its passing downs sack rate. The lower the number, the more they were able to generate pressure on standard downs, and the less need for blitzes.

Turnovers Luck: Presented in Points Per Game fashion, Turnovers Luck looks at the difference between a team's Turnover and Adj. TO Margins and, using the average point value of a turnover (~5.0 points), projects how many points a team gained or lost per game last season.

Yards Per Point: A measure long tracked by Phil Steele as a means of looking at teams that were a little too efficient or inefficient the previous season. A positive YPP Margin means a team's offense was less efficient than opponents' offenses, and to the extent that luck was involved, their luck might even out the next year.

In This Article

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