2012 Washington State Cougars Football: Statistical Profile

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2011 Schedule & Results

Record: 4-8 | Adj. Record: 3-9 | Final F/+ Rk: 100
Date Opponent Score W-L Adj. Score Adj. W-L
3-Sep Idaho State 64-21 W 29.1 - 33.7 L
10-Sep vs. UNLV 59-7 W 32.2 - 22.0 W
17-Sep at San Diego State 24-42 L 25.3 - 30.2 L
1-Oct at Colorado 31-27 W 26.1 - 31.8 L
8-Oct at UCLA 25-28 L 23.7 - 31.2 L
15-Oct Stanford 14-44 L 20.8 - 28.3 L
22-Oct Oregon State 21-44 L 24.6 - 34.0 L
29-Oct at Oregon 28-43 L 27.4 - 29.4 L
5-Nov at California 7-30 L 21.4 - 30.4 L
12-Nov Arizona State 37-27 W 30.5 - 29.2 W
19-Nov Utah 27-30 L 29.0 - 27.9 W
26-Nov at Washington 21-38 L 23.9 - 31.2 L
Category Offense Rk Defense Rk
Points Per Game 29.8 45 31.8 95
Adj. Points Per Game 26.2 86 29.9 97

2012 Schedule & Projection Factors

2012 Schedule
Date Opponent Proj. Rk
30-Aug at BYU 34
8-Sep Eastern Washington NR
14-Sep at UNLV 119
22-Sep Colorado 101
29-Sep vs. Oregon 5
6-Oct at Oregon State 74
13-Oct California 55
27-Oct at Stanford 9
3-Nov at Utah 33
10-Nov UCLA 58
17-Nov at Arizona State 60
23-Nov Washington 59
Five-Year F/+ Rk 114
Two-Year Recruiting Rk 66
TO Margin/Adj. TO Margin* -4 / -4.6
TO Luck/Game 0.2
Approx. Ret. Starters (Off. / Def.) 14 (5, 9)
Yds/Pt Margin** +1.4

Offense

Category Yards/
Game Rk
S&P+ Rk Success
Rt. Rk
PPP+ Rk
OVERALL 33 88 93 81
RUSHING 110 118 117 118
PASSING 9 57 52 55
Standard Downs 51 90 28
Passing Downs 111 88 114
Redzone 65 89 51
Q1 Rk 86 1st Down Rk 27
Q2 Rk 74 2nd Down Rk 98
Q3 Rk 78 3rd Down Rk 105
Q4 Rk 46
Adj. Line Yards Rk 113
Adj. Sack Rate Rk 80

Quarterback

Note: players in bold below are 2012 returnees. Players in italics are questionable with injury/suspension.

Player Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Rivals Comp Att Yards Comp
Rate
TD INT Sacks Sack Rate Yards/
Att.
Marshal Lobbestael 208 341 2,584 61.0% 19 8 27 7.3% 6.6
Connor Halliday 6'4, 179 So. *** (5.6) 59 103 960 57.3% 9 4 2 1.9% 9.0
Jeff Tuel 6'3, 223 Sr. ** (5.4) 29 45 276 64.4% 1 0 8 15.1% 4.4

Running Back

Player Pos. Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Rivals Rushes Yards Yards/
Carry
Hlt Yds/
Carry
TD Adj.
POE
Carl Winston RB 5'8, 200 Sr. *** (5.5) 123 442 3.6 0.8 4 -15.1
Rickey Galvin RB 5'8, 171 So. *** (5.6) 114 602 5.3 1.6 5 +3.2
Logwone Mitz RB 36 135 3.8 1.1 1 -5.5
Marcus Mason RB 5'9, 176 So. ** (5.4) 19 153 8.1 4.9 1 +3.0
Marshall Lobbestael QB 15 52 3.5 1.5 1 -2.7
Eric Oertel FB 10 10 1.0 0.3 0 -4.9
Theron West RB 5'8, 170 Jr. *** (5.6)





Robert Lewis RB 5'9, 155 Fr. *** (5.7)





Receiving Corps

Player Pos. Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Rivals Targets Catches Yards Catch Rate Target
Rate
%SD Adj. Yds/
Target
Marquess Wilson WR 6'4, 183 Jr. *** (5.5) 122 81 1,383 66.4% 25.8% 59.8% 11.1
Jared Karstetter WR 105 60 700 57.1% 22.2% 61.9% 5.1
Isiah Barton WR 82 49 638 59.8% 17.3% 61.0% 6.5
Bobby Ratliff WR 6'2, 194 So. *** (5.6) 41 28 348 68.3% 8.7% 58.5% 8.2
Rickey Galvin RB 5'8, 171 So. *** (5.6) 34 28 243 82.4% 7.2% 50.0% 8.1
Carl Winston RB 5'8, 200 Sr. *** (5.5) 16 11 88 68.8% 3.4% 56.3% 5.3
Kristoff Williams WR 6'2, 206 So. ** (5.4) 16 9 134 56.3% 3.4% 68.8% 6.1
Isiah Myers WR 5'10, 172 So. ** (5.3) 13 7 76 53.8% 2.7% 61.5% 4.6
Andrei Lintz TE 6'5, 252 Sr. ** (5.1) 11 7 96 63.6% 2.3% 90.9% 9.2
Henry Eaddy WR 5'8, 163 So. ** (5.2) 10 4 35 40.0% 2.1% 50.0% 1.1
Gino Simone WR 6'0, 194 Sr. *** (5.6)
Dominique Williams WR 6'2, 180 RSFr. ** (5.4)
Gabriel Marks WR 6'0, 175 Fr. **** (5.9)
Alex Jackson WR 5'10, 175 Fr. *** (5.6)

Offensive Line

Player Pos. Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Rivals Career Starts/Honors/Notes
B.J. Guerra RG 36 career starts
David Gonzales LT 19 career starts
John Fullington LG 6'5, 290 Jr. *** (5.6) 18 career starts
Wade Jacobson RT 6'6, 306 Sr. *** (5.7) 15 career starts
Andrew Roxas C 12 career starts
Matt Goetz C 6'4, 270 Jr. ** (5.2) 9 career starts
Dan Spitz RT 6'7, 300 Sr. ** (5.3) 7 career starts
Jake Rodgers LT 6'6, 295 So. ** (5.4) 1 career start
Taylor Meighen C 6'3, 284 Sr. ** (5.4) 1 career start
Chas Sampson LG 6'4, 303 Sr. NR
Elliot Bosch RG 6'4, 260 Jr. NR
Niu Sale OL 6'4, 320 Jr. *** (5.7)
Alex Mitchell OL 6'2, 309 Fr. **** (5.8)

Defense

Category Yards/
Game Rk
S&P+ Rk Success
Rt. Rk
PPP+ Rk
OVERALL 82 107 111 95
RUSHING 63 71 80 68
PASSING 93 111 113 106
Standard Downs 106 108 101
Passing Downs 83 79 87
Redzone 116 115 113
Q1 Rk 47 1st Down Rk 108
Q2 Rk 88 2nd Down Rk 82
Q3 Rk 114 3rd Down Rk 111
Q4 Rk 115
Adj. Line Yards Rk 78
Adj. Sack Rate Rk 105

Defensive Line

Name Pos Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Rivals GP Tackles % of Team TFL Sacks Int PBU FF FR
Travis Long DE 6'4, 256 Sr. *** (5.5) 12 36.5 5.5% 12 4 3 1
Anthony Laurenzi DT 6'3, 287 Sr. ** (5.2) 12 21.0 3.2% 6.5
Brandon Rankin DT 12 16.0 2.4% 4.5 2.5 1
Adam Coerper DE 6'5, 252 Sr. ** (5.0) 8 14.0 2.1% 2 0.5 1 1
Lenard Williams DE 6'2, 250 Sr. ** (5.4) 10 11.5 1.7% 1 1 1
Kalafitoni Pole DT 6'1, 292 So. ** (5.2) 10 9.0 1.4% 0.5 0.5 1
Jordan Pu'u Robinson DE 6'4, 260 Jr. ** (5.2) 10 7.0 1.1% 1
Justin Clayton DT 6'4, 282 Jr. ** (5.4) 12 7.0 1.1% 1 0.5
Matthew Bock DE 6'2, 247 Jr. NR 11 4.5 0.7% 1 1 1
Skylar Stormo DE 6'5, 260 Sr. ** (5.2) 12 2.5 0.4%
Logan Mayes DE 6'3, 218 So. *** (5.6) 7 2.0 0.3% 1 1
Ioane Gauta DT 6'4, 300 Jr. *** (5.5)
Destiny Vaeao DE 6'3, 255 Fr. *** (5.6)
Robert Barber DE 6'3, 260 Fr. ** (5.4)

Linebackers

Name Pos Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Rivals GP Tackles % of Team TFL Sacks Int PBU FF FR
Alex Hoffman-Ellis WLB 12 76.0 11.4% 11 2 1 3
C.J. Mizell MLB 6'2, 227 Jr. ** (5.2) 10 45.5 6.8% 3 2 1 2 2
Sekope Kaufusi SLB 6'4, 236 Jr. ** (5.2) 11 36.5 5.5% 4 2 3 1
Mike Ledgerwood MLB 9 23.5 3.5% 2 1
Chester Su'a SLB 6'2, 226 So. *** (5.5) 12 17.5 2.6% 1
Eric Oertel LB 6'1, 197 Jr. ** (5.4) 10 11.0 1.7% 1
Cyrus Coen WLB 6'0, 205 So. NR 12 8.0 1.2% 1
Darryl Monroe LB 6'1, 213 RSFr. *** (5.6)
Jeremiah Allison LB 6'1, 210 Fr. *** (5.7)
Kache Palacio LB 6'2, 225 Fr. *** (5.6)

Secondary

Name Pos Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Rivals GP Tackles % of Team TFL Sacks Int PBU FF FR
Deone Bucannon SS 6'1, 190 Jr. *** (5.7) 12 69.0 10.4% 2 3 4 1
Tyree Toomer FS 5'11, 199 Sr. ** (5.2) 12 51.5 7.7% 2.5 2 1
Casey Locker FS 5'11, 198 Jr. ** (5.4) 12 41.5 6.2% 1 1
Damante Horton CB 5'10, 174 Jr. *** (5.5) 12 26.0 3.9% 1.5 4 3 2
Daniel Simmons CB 5'10, 193 Sr. ** (5.3) 10 22.5 3.4% 1 3
Nolan Washington CB 5'11, 184 Jr. *** (5.6) 12 20.5 3.1% 4
Anthony Carpenter SS 6'0, 191 Jr. *** (5.6) 12 13.5 2.0% 1
Jordan Simone S 11 12.5 1.9% 1
Kyle McCartney S 6'0, 191 Sr. NR 12 10.0 1.5% 1
Tracy Clark CB 5'11, 186 So. ** (5.4) 12 5.0 0.8% 1
Brandon Golden CB 5'11, 190 So. ** (5.4) 12 4.5 0.7% 1
Spencer Waseem CB 5'9, 167 So. ** (5.4)
Tracy Clark CB 5'11, 186 So. ** (5.4)
Brandon Golden CB 5'11, 190 So. ** (5.4)

Special Teams

Punter Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Punts Avg TB FC I20 FC/I20
Ratio
Dan Wagner 55 40.8 3 12 15 49.1%
Kicker Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Kickoffs Avg TB TB%
Andrew Furney 5'10, 231 Jr. 58 58.3 1 1.7%
Alex Gauper 6'4, 229 Sr. 12 64.2 0 0.0%
Place-Kicker Ht, Wt 2012
Year
PAT FG
(0-39)
Pct FG
(40+)
Pct
Andrew Furney 5'10, 231 Jr. 39-41 9-11 81.8% 5-5 100.0%
Alex Gauper 6'4, 229 Sr. 2-2 1-2 50.0% 0-0 N/A
Returner Pos. Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Returns Avg. TD
Isiah Barton KR 38 24.6 0
Marcus Mason KR 5'9, 176 So. 13 20.0 0
Rickey Galvin KR 5'8, 171 So. 3 25.3 0
Leon Brooks PR 5'7, 166 Jr. 12 3.8 0
Category Rk
Special Teams F/+ 107
Net Punting 70
Net Kickoffs 116
Touchback Pct 116
Field Goal Pct 12
Kick Returns Avg 37
Punt Returns Avg 111

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Glossary

Adj. Line Yards: A line measure derived from the formula found here. The idea is to divvy credit for a given rush between both the runner and the blockers.

Adj. Pace: Part of the offensive footprint, this takes into account both the number of plays a team attempts and the type of play. Since passes, on average, take up less time (thanks to the fact that 30-50 percent of them are incomplete and stop the clock), pass-heavy offenses are prone to run more plays, therefore limiting the effectiveness of a general plays-per-game measure. Adj. Pace takes a team's run-pass ratio into account.

Adj. POE: An opponent-adjusted "Points Over Expected" measure for running backs that looks both at what a runner gained and what would have been expected given the opponents involved. For more information, start here.

Adj. Points: A look at how a team would have performed in a given week if playing a perfectly average team, with a somewhat average number of breaks and turnovers. The idea for the measure is simple: what if everybody in the country played exactly the same opponent every single week? Who would have done the best? It is an attempt to look at offensive and defensive consistency without getting sidetracked by easy or difficult schedules. And yes, with adjusted score you can allow a negative number of points. For more, start here.

Adj. Record: See Adj. Points.

Adj. Sack Rate: An opponent-adjusted measure of sack rates.

Adj. Score: See Adj. Points.

Adj. TO Margin: What a team's turnover margin would have been if they had recovered exactly 50 percent of all the fumbles that occurred in their games. If there is a huge difference between TO Margin and Adj. TO Margin (in other words, if fumbles, dropped interceptions, or other unlucky bounces were the main source of a good/bad TO margin), that suggests that a team's luck was particularly good or bad and might even out the next season.

Adj. Yards Per Target: A look at a receiver's total receiving yards divided by the number of times he was targeted. Slight adjustments are made for the percentage of times a receiver was targeted on standard ("%SD") and passing downs. Players targeted more on passing downs are likely to have a lower overall per-target average, since passing is more difficult on passing downs.

Bend-Don't-Break: Part of the defensive footprint, this is a comparison of a team's Def. Success Rate (efficiency) to its Def. PPP (explosiveness). The higher the number, the higher percentage of a team's overall S&P was made up by success rate, i.e. the more willing a team was to sacrifice efficiency to prevent big plays. (The lower the number, the more likely a team was to take aggressive risks.)

Covariance: Covariance is a statistical tool that provides a measure of the strength of the correlation between two or more sets of random variates. For these purposes, it is used to compare a team's performance (using opponent-adjusted Adj. Score) to the quality of the opponent at hand. Some teams play their best games against their worst opponents, and some teams do the opposite. This measure is used for both the offensive and defensive footprint. For more, go here.

Go After the Ball: Part of the defensive footprint, this looks at a team's forced fumbles, interceptions and passes broken up. In other words, it looks at their ability to go after the ball. The higher the number, the more they got their hands on the football.

Highlight Yards: The portion of a given run that is credit only to the running back; after a certain number of yards, the line has done its job, and most of the rest of the run will be determined by the running back himself. For more information, start here.

Need for Blitzes: Part of the defensive footprint, this compares a team's standard downs sack rate to its passing downs sack rate. The lower the number, the more they were able to generate pressure on standard downs, and the less need for blitzes.

Turnovers Luck: Presented in Points Per Game fashion, Turnovers Luck looks at the difference between a team's Turnover and Adj. TO Margins and, using the average point value of a turnover (~5.0 points), projects how many points a team gained or lost per game last season.

Yards Per Point: A measure long tracked by Phil Steele as a means of looking at teams that were a little too efficient or inefficient the previous season. A positive YPP Margin means a team's offense was less efficient than opponents' offenses, and to the extent that luck was involved, their luck might even out the next year.

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