2012 Washington Huskies Football: Statistical Profile

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2011 Schedule & Results

Record: 7-6 | Adj. Record: 8-5 | Final F/+ Rk: 64
Date Opponent Score W-L Adj. Score Adj. W-L
3-Sep Eastern Washington 30-27 W 22.1 - 31.6 L
10-Sep Hawaii 40-32 W 35.0 - 30.7 W
17-Sep at Nebraska 38-51 L 33.0 - 31.6 W
24-Sep California 31-23 W 34.4 - 28.5 W
1-Oct at Utah 31-14 W 32.2 - 28.3 W
15-Oct Colorado 52-24 W 34.7 - 28.6 W
22-Oct at Stanford 21-65 L 29.4 - 31.8 L
29-Oct Arizona 42-31 W 28.6 - 27.8 W
5-Nov Oregon 17-34 L 23.8 - 27.6 L
12-Nov at USC 17-40 L 22.8 - 25.9 L
19-Nov at Oregon State 21-38 L 23.3 - 32.7 L
26-Nov Washington State 38-21 W 32.1 - 28.2 W
29-Dec vs. Baylor 56-67 L 33.6 - 31.5 W
Category Offense Rk Defense Rk
Points Per Game 33.4 25 35.9 108
Adj. Points Per Game 29.6 30 29.6 92

2012 Schedule & Projection Factors

2012 Schedule
Date Opponent Proj. Rk
1-Sep San Diego State 86
8-Sep at LSU 2
15-Sep Portland State NR
27-Sep Stanford 9
6-Oct at Oregon 5
13-Oct USC 6
20-Oct at Arizona 67
27-Oct Oregon State 74
2-Nov at California 55
10-Nov Utah 33
17-Nov at Colorado 101
23-Nov at Washington State 97
Five-Year F/+ Rk 75
Two-Year Recruiting Rk 21
TO Margin/Adj. TO Margin* +1 / +6.6
TO Luck/Game -2.1
Approx. Ret. Starters (Off. / Def.) 14 (7, 7)
Yds/Pt Margin** -0.4

Offense

Category Yards/
Game Rk
S&P+ Rk Success
Rt. Rk
PPP+ Rk
OVERALL 38 35 33 36
RUSHING 63 52 61 50
PASSING 35 26 21 32
Standard Downs 39 53 38
Passing Downs 24 21 24
Redzone 22 39 18
Q1 Rk 9 1st Down Rk 47
Q2 Rk 19 2nd Down Rk 20
Q3 Rk 68 3rd Down Rk 40
Q4 Rk 69
Adj. Line Yards Rk 34
Adj. Sack Rate Rk 86

Quarterback

Note: players in bold below are 2012 returnees. Players in italics are questionable with injury/suspension.

Player Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Rivals Comp Att Yards Comp
Rate
TD INT Sacks Sack Rate Yards/
Att.
Keith Price 6'1, 195 Jr. *** (5.5) 242 362 3,063 66.9% 33 11 26 6.7% 7.5
Nick Montana


24 42 226 57.1% 3 2 7 14.3% 3.7
Derrick Brown 6'3, 236 RSFr. *** (5.7)






Thomas Vincent 6'0, 197 RSFr. ** (5.3)






Cyler Miles 6'4, 220 Fr. **** (6.0)






Jeff Lindquist 6'3, 225 Fr. **** (5.8)






Running Back

Player Pos. Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Rivals Rushes Yards Yards/
Carry
Hlt Yds/
Carry
TD Adj.
POE
Chris Polk RB 293 1,488 5.1 1.9 12 -0.4
Jesse Callier RB 5'10, 200 Jr. *** (5.7) 47 260 5.5 2.0 1 -0.5
Keith Price QB 6'1, 195 Jr. *** (5.5) 30 154 5.1 1.5 3 +2.7
Bishop Sankey RB 5'10, 193 So. **** (5.8) 28 187 6.7 3.4 1 +2.3
Deontae Cooper RB 6'0, 197 So. **** (5.8)





Willis Wilson RB 5'9, 184 So. *** (5.6)





Receiving Corps

Player Pos. Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Rivals Targets Catches Yards Catch Rate Target
Rate
%SD Adj. Yds/
Target
Jermaine Kearse WR 80 47 699 58.8% 21.2% 62.5% 7.3
Devin Aguilar WR 67 41 611 61.2% 17.7% 52.2% 7.8
Austin Seferian-Jenkins TE 6'6, 258 So. **** (6.0) 56 41 538 73.2% 14.8% 73.2% 9.2
Kasen Williams WR 6'2, 212 So. **** (5.8) 49 36 427 73.5% 13.0% 53.1% 9.2
James Johnson WR 6'1, 198 Sr. *** (5.6) 35 28 366 80.0% 9.3% 54.3% 12.3
Chris Polk RB 34 31 332 91.2% 9.0% 55.9% 12.0
Kevin Smith WR 6'0, 209 Jr. **** (5.8) 20 15 208 75.0% 5.3% 60.0% 11.0
Cody Bruns (2010^) WR 5'11, 180 Sr. *** (5.5) 13 7 102 53.8% 3.6% 61.5% 6.2
Michael Hartvigson TE 6'6, 254 So. *** (5.7) 13 8 30 61.5% 3.4% 76.9% 1.6
Jesse Callier RB 5'10, 200 Jr. *** (5.7) 8 7 65 87.5% 2.1% 87.5% 9.4
Bishop Sankey RB 5'10, 193 So. **** (5.8) 6 6 14 100.0% 1.6% 50.0% 2.6
DiAndre Campbell WR 6'1, 197 So. ** (5.3) 3 2 8 66.7% 0.8% 100.0% 2.7
William Chandler WR 6'0, 192 Jr. NR
Josh Perkins WR 6'3, 213 RSFr. *** (5.6)
Jaydon Mickens WR 5'8, 170 Fr. **** (5.8)

^ Bruns redshirted in 2011.

Offensive Line

Player Pos. Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Rivals Career Starts/Honors/Notes
Senio Kelemete LT 37 career starts, 2011 2nd All-Pac-12
Drew Schaefer C 6'4, 301 Sr. *** (5.7) 30 career starts
Colin Porter RG


19 career starts
Erik Kohler RG 6'5, 298 Jr. **** (5.8) 17 career starts
Colin Tanigawa LG 6'3, 297 So. *** (5.6) 11 career starts
Nick Wood LG 6 career starts
Micah Hatchie LT 6'5, 285 So. *** (5.6)
James Atoe LG 6'6, 337 So. ** (5.2)
Mike Criste C 6'5, 280 So. *** (5.6)
Ben Riva RT 6'6, 300 So. *** (5.7)
Dexter Charles LG 6'4, 287 RSFr. *** (5.6)

Defense

Category Yards/
Game Rk
S&P+ Rk Success
Rt. Rk
PPP+ Rk
OVERALL 106 84 87 81
RUSHING 76 107 75 114
PASSING 116 58 92 37
Standard Downs 58 63 59
Passing Downs 98 97 98
Redzone 53 44 61
Q1 Rk 108 1st Down Rk 44
Q2 Rk 50 2nd Down Rk 77
Q3 Rk 68 3rd Down Rk 114
Q4 Rk 61
Adj. Line Yards Rk 69
Adj. Sack Rate Rk 86

Defensive Line

Name Pos Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Rivals GP Tackles % of Team TFL Sacks Int PBU FF FR
Everrette Thompson DE 13 30.0 4.2% 3.5 2 5 1
Alameda Ta'amu DT 13 22.5 3.2% 7 3.5
Andrew Hudson DE 6'3, 231 So. *** (5.7) 13 17.0 2.4% 5 3.5 1 1 1
Hau'oli Jamora DE 6'3, 247 Jr. *** (5.5) 4 11.5 1.6% 3 1
Danny Shelton DT 6'1, 334 So. **** (5.8) 13 6.5 0.9% 2 1
Sione Potoa'e DE 6'2, 276 Jr. **** (5.9) 11 5.5 0.8%
Talia Crichton DE 6'3, 255 Sr. *** (5.6) 11 4.0 0.6% 1
Lawrence Lagafuiana DT 6'0, 325 So. *** (5.5) 8 1.0 0.1% 1 1
Josh Banks DT 6'3, 283 Jr. *** (5.6)

Pio Vatuvei DE 6'2, 265 Fr. **** (5.8)

Linebackers

Name Pos Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Rivals GP Tackles % of Team TFL Sacks Int PBU FF FR
Cort Dennison ILB 13 96.0 13.5% 8 1 1 3 1
Princeton Fuimaono ILB 6'1, 215 Jr. *** (5.5) 13 49.5 7.0% 8.5 3 2 2 1
John Timu ILB 6'1, 220 So. *** (5.6) 12 40.0 5.6% 5 3 2 1
Nate Fellner OLB 6'1, 201 Sr. *** (5.6) 9 29.0 4.1% 1 1
Josh Shirley OLB 6'3, 229 So. **** (5.8) 13 25.5 3.6% 12 8.5 1 2
Jamaal Kearse ILB 6'2, 224 So. *** (5.7) 13 17.5 2.5% 2 1
Garret Gilliland ILB 6'0, 226 Jr. *** (5.6) 12 17.0 2.4% 1.5 1 1 1
Thomas Tutogi ILB 6'1, 244 Jr. *** (5.7) 13 14.0 2.0%
Tim Tucker ILB 6'1, 240 Jr. *** (5.6) 11 5.0 0.7%
Corey Waller OLB 6'0, 223 RSFr. *** (5.7)

Evan Zeger OLB 6'2, 221 RSFr. *** (5.7)

Scott Lawyer OLB 6'2, 220 RSFr. ** (5.4)

Secondary

Name Pos Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Rivals GP Tackles % of Team TFL Sacks Int PBU FF FR
Sean Parker SS 5'10, 202 Jr. **** (5.8) 13 69.0 9.7% 1.5 4 2
Desmond Trufant CB 6'0, 184 Sr. *** (5.6) 13 55.0 7.7% 0.5 0.5 2 14 2 2
Justin Glenn FS 5'11, 206 Sr. *** (5.7) 13 40.0 5.6% 2 2
Quinton Richardson CB 12 35.5 5.0% 1 5
Gregory Ducre CB 5'10, 173 Jr. *** (5.6) 13 32.0 4.5% 2.5 1 1 4 1 2
Will Shamburger FS 6'0, 192 Jr. *** (5.5) 11 30.5 4.3% 2 1
Anthony Gobern CB 5'11, 187 Sr. ** (5.1) 13 13.0 1.8% 2 1
Greg Walker SS 5'10, 203 Sr. ** (5.2) 13 13.0 1.8% 1
Tre Watson CB 5'10, 180 Jr. ** (5.3)

Marcus Peters CB 5'11, 195 RSFr. *** (5.7)

Travis Feeney SS 6'4, 205 RSFr. *** (5.5)

Shaq Thompson DB 6'2, 210 Fr. ***** (6.1)

Brandon Beaver DB 6'1, 176 Fr. **** (5.8)

Special Teams

Punter Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Punts Avg TB FC I20 FC/I20
Ratio
Kiel Rasp 38 45.6 3 11 10 55.3%
Will Mahan 12 41.2 1 6 5 91.7%
Kicker Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Kickoffs Avg TB TB%
Eric Folk 76 64.3 8 10.5%
Eric Guttorp 1 56 0 0.0%
Place-Kicker Ht, Wt 2012
Year
PAT FG
(0-39)
Pct FG
(40+)
Pct
Eric Folk 56-56 1-3 33.3% 10-13 76.9%
Eric Guttorp 1-1 0-0 N/A 0-0 N/A
Returner Pos. Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Returns Avg. TD
Kevin Smith KR 6'0, 209 Jr. 37 25.9 0
Jesse Callier KR 5'10, 200 Jr. 25 23.0 0
Kasen Williams PR 6'2, 212 So. 15 9.6 0
Devin Aguilar PR 5 6.0 0
Category Rk
Special Teams F/+ 27
Net Punting 7
Net Kickoffs 91
Touchback Pct 82
Field Goal Pct 62
Kick Returns Avg 30
Punt Returns Avg 50

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Glossary

Adj. Line Yards: A line measure derived from the formula found here. The idea is to divvy credit for a given rush between both the runner and the blockers.

Adj. Pace: Part of the offensive footprint, this takes into account both the number of plays a team attempts and the type of play. Since passes, on average, take up less time (thanks to the fact that 30-50 percent of them are incomplete and stop the clock), pass-heavy offenses are prone to run more plays, therefore limiting the effectiveness of a general plays-per-game measure. Adj. Pace takes a team's run-pass ratio into account.

Adj. POE: An opponent-adjusted "Points Over Expected" measure for running backs that looks both at what a runner gained and what would have been expected given the opponents involved. For more information, start here.

Adj. Points: A look at how a team would have performed in a given week if playing a perfectly average team, with a somewhat average number of breaks and turnovers. The idea for the measure is simple: what if everybody in the country played exactly the same opponent every single week? Who would have done the best? It is an attempt to look at offensive and defensive consistency without getting sidetracked by easy or difficult schedules. And yes, with adjusted score you can allow a negative number of points. For more, start here.

Adj. Record: See Adj. Points.

Adj. Sack Rate: An opponent-adjusted measure of sack rates.

Adj. Score: See Adj. Points.

Adj. TO Margin: What a team's turnover margin would have been if they had recovered exactly 50 percent of all the fumbles that occurred in their games. If there is a huge difference between TO Margin and Adj. TO Margin (in other words, if fumbles, dropped interceptions, or other unlucky bounces were the main source of a good/bad TO margin), that suggests that a team's luck was particularly good or bad and might even out the next season.

Adj. Yards Per Target: A look at a receiver's total receiving yards divided by the number of times he was targeted. Slight adjustments are made for the percentage of times a receiver was targeted on standard ("%SD") and passing downs. Players targeted more on passing downs are likely to have a lower overall per-target average, since passing is more difficult on passing downs.

Bend-Don't-Break: Part of the defensive footprint, this is a comparison of a team's Def. Success Rate (efficiency) to its Def. PPP (explosiveness). The higher the number, the higher percentage of a team's overall S&P was made up by success rate, i.e. the more willing a team was to sacrifice efficiency to prevent big plays. (The lower the number, the more likely a team was to take aggressive risks.)

Covariance: Covariance is a statistical tool that provides a measure of the strength of the correlation between two or more sets of random variates. For these purposes, it is used to compare a team's performance (using opponent-adjusted Adj. Score) to the quality of the opponent at hand. Some teams play their best games against their worst opponents, and some teams do the opposite. This measure is used for both the offensive and defensive footprint. For more, go here.

Go After the Ball: Part of the defensive footprint, this looks at a team's forced fumbles, interceptions and passes broken up. In other words, it looks at their ability to go after the ball. The higher the number, the more they got their hands on the football.

Highlight Yards: The portion of a given run that is credit only to the running back; after a certain number of yards, the line has done its job, and most of the rest of the run will be determined by the running back himself. For more information, start here.

Need for Blitzes: Part of the defensive footprint, this compares a team's standard downs sack rate to its passing downs sack rate. The lower the number, the more they were able to generate pressure on standard downs, and the less need for blitzes.

Turnovers Luck: Presented in Points Per Game fashion, Turnovers Luck looks at the difference between a team's Turnover and Adj. TO Margins and, using the average point value of a turnover (~5.0 points), projects how many points a team gained or lost per game last season.

Yards Per Point: A measure long tracked by Phil Steele as a means of looking at teams that were a little too efficient or inefficient the previous season. A positive YPP Margin means a team's offense was less efficient than opponents' offenses, and to the extent that luck was involved, their luck might even out the next year.

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