2012 Texas Tech Red Raiders Football: Statistical Profile

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2011 Schedule & Results

Record: 5-7 | Adj. Record: 6-6 | Final F/+ Rk: 76
Date Opponent Score W-L Adj. Score Adj. W-L
3-Sep Texas State 50-10 W 29.8 - 30.4 L
17-Sep at New Mexico 59-13 W 31.9 - 26.5 W
24-Sep Nevada 35-34 W 34.0 - 31.3 W
1-Oct at Kansas 45-34 W 24.6 - 33.4 L
8-Oct Texas A&M 40-45 L 30.7 - 29.4 W
15-Oct Kansas State 34-41 L 28.8 - 31.0 L
22-Oct at Oklahoma 41-38 W 35.2 - 28.9 W
29-Oct Iowa State 7-41 L 22.1 - 31.4 L
5-Nov at Texas 20-52 L 32.5 - 35.2 L
12-Nov Oklahoma State 6-66 L 21.1 - 29.9 L
19-Nov at Missouri 27-31 L 31.1 - 30.3 W
26-Nov Baylor 42-66 L 29.0 - 27.8 W
Category Offense Rk Defense Rk
Points Per Game 33.8 22 39.3 117
Adj. Points Per Game 29.2 37 30.5 108

2012 Schedule & Projection Factors

2012 Schedule
Date Opponent Proj. Rk
1-Sep Northwestern State NR
8-Sep at Texas State 122
15-Sep New Mexico 124
29-Sep at Iowa State 85
6-Oct Oklahoma 3
13-Oct West Virginia 17
20-Oct at TCU 21
27-Oct at Kansas State 35
3-Nov Texas 10
10-Nov Kansas 105
17-Nov at Oklahoma State 4
24-Nov vs. Baylor 28
Five-Year F/+ Rk 34
Two-Year Recruiting Rk 20
TO Margin/Adj. TO Margin* +1 / +3.0
TO Luck/Game -0.8
Approx. Ret. Starters (Off. / Def.) 16 (8, 8)
Yds/Pt Margin** +1.6

Offense

Category Yards/
Game Rk
S&P+ Rk Success
Rt. Rk
PPP+ Rk
OVERALL 13 29 14 51
RUSHING 87 43 22 63
PASSING 7 33 16 53
Standard Downs 48 14 72
Passing Downs 18 27 17
Redzone 21 25 20
Q1 Rk 58 1st Down Rk 53
Q2 Rk 20 2nd Down Rk 26
Q3 Rk 20 3rd Down Rk 18
Q4 Rk 75
Adj. Line Yards Rk 62
Adj. Sack Rate Rk 28

Quarterback

Note: players in bold below are 2012 returnees. Players in italics are questionable with injury/suspension.

Player Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Rivals Comp Att Yards Comp
Rate
TD INT Sacks Sack Rate Yards/
Att.
Seth Doege 6'1, 197 Sr. *** (5.7) 398 581 4,004 68.5% 28 10 19 3.2% 6.5
Jacob Karam


9 17 104 52.9% 2 0 0 0.0% 6.1
Michael Brewer 6'1, 183 RSFr. *** (5.7)






Clayton Nicholas 6'3, 216 Fr. *** (5.7)






Running Back

Player Pos. Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Rivals Rushes Yards Yards/
Carry
Hlt Yds/
Carry
TD Adj.
POE
Eric Stephens RB 5'8, 201 Sr. **** (5.8) 109 570 5.2 1.8 8 +1.6
Aaron Crawford RB 87 336 3.9 1.3 1 -6.5
DeAndre Washington RB 5'8, 182 So. *** (5.7) 77 366 4.8 1.5 3 -4.0
Kenny Williams RB 5'9, 219 So. **** (5.8) 43 135 3.1 0.9 2 -3.8
Seth Doege QB 6'1, 197 Sr. *** (5.7) 35 174 5.0 2.3 4 +4.8
SaDale Foster RB 5'7, 187 Jr. ** (5.3)





Receiving Corps

Player Pos. Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Rivals Targets Catches Yards Catch Rate Target
Rate
%SD Adj. Yds/
Target
Eric Ward WR-X 6'0, 204 Jr. **** (5.8) 113 84 800 74.3% 20.0% 67.3% 7.5
Darrin Moore WR-Z 6'4, 216 Sr. NR 70 47 571 67.1% 12.4% 62.9% 8.0
Alex Torres WR-Y 6'1, 202 Sr. NR 68 51 616 75.0% 12.0% 64.7% 10.5
Adam James WR-Y 45 32 359 71.1% 8.0% 62.2% 8.1
Jacoby Franks WR-Z 37 29 223 78.4% 6.5% 67.6% 6.5
Bradley Marquez WR-H 5'10, 195 So. *** (5.7) 34 25 240 73.5% 6.0% 67.6% 7.3
Cornelius Douglas WR-H 5'9, 197 Sr. *** (5.6) 32 29 329 90.6% 5.7% 53.1% 12.2
DeAndre Washington RB 5'8, 182 So. *** (5.7) 29 19 109 65.5% 5.1% 55.2% 3.3
Tramain Swindall WR-H 25 16 172 64.0% 4.4% 60.0% 6.3
Marcus Kennard WR-X 6'3, 203 Sr. **** (5.8) 21 12 182 57.1% 3.7% 76.2% 6.9
Austin Zouzalik WR 6'0, 187 Sr. ** (5.3) 21 13 121 61.9% 3.7% 61.9% 5.0
Jace Amaro TE 6'5, 257 So. **** (5.9) 12 7 57 58.3% 2.1% 83.3% 3.6
Derek Edwards WR 6'1, 171 RSFr. **** (5.8)






Jakeem Grant WR 5'6, 163 RSFr. *** (5.6)
Javon Bell WR 6'0, 180 Jr. *** (5.7)






Reginald Davis WR 6'0, 184 Fr. **** (5.8)






Dominique Wheeler WR 6'1, 177 Fr. **** (5.8)






Offensive Line

2011 Two-Deep Pos. Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Rivals Career Starts/Honors/Notes
LaAdrian Waddle LT 6'6, 332 Sr. *** (5.5) 27 career starts, 2011 2nd All-Big 12
Lonnie Edwards LG 35 career starts
Deveric Gallington C 6'3, 319 Sr. *** (5.7) 25 career starts
Justin Keown C 23 career starts
Terry McDaniel RG 6'7, 328 Sr. *** (5.5) 16 career starts
Mickey Okafor RT 16 career starts
Beau Carpenter LG 6'6, 284 So. *** (5.6) 1 career start
Le'Raven Clark RT 6'5, 305 RSFr. *** (5.7)
David Neill LG
Jonathan Guerra C
Kyle Clark RG 6'5, 286 Jr. **** (5.8)
Tony Morales C 6'3, 302 RSFr. **** (5.8)
Alfredo Morales LG 6'3, 302 RSFr. *** (5.7)
Matt Wilson RT 6'6, 268 RSFr. *** (5.5)
Rashad Fortenberry LT 6'5, 275 Jr. *** (5.6)
Trey Keenan OL 6'6, 280 Fr. *** (5.7)

Defense

Category Yards/
Game Rk
S&P+ Rk Success
Rt. Rk
PPP+ Rk
OVERALL 114 102 99 101
RUSHING 120 91 86 90
PASSING 66 104 102 108
Standard Downs 94 84 97
Passing Downs 100 89 102
Redzone 101 93 102
Q1 Rk 88 1st Down Rk 92
Q2 Rk 94 2nd Down Rk 87
Q3 Rk 106 3rd Down Rk 116
Q4 Rk 81
Adj. Line Yards Rk 82
Adj. Sack Rate Rk 90

Defensive Line

Name Pos Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Rivals GP Tackles % of Team TFL Sacks Int PBU FF FR
Kerry Hyder DT 6'2, 281 Jr. *** (5.5) 12 35.5 4.7% 5 1.5 3 1
Scott Smith DE 8 34.0 4.5% 9 5.5 1 3
Dartwan Bush DE 6'1, 256 Jr. *** (5.6) 12 25.5 3.4% 5 2 2 4 2
Leon Mackey DT 6'5, 260 Sr. **** (5.8) 10 24.0 3.2% 3 1
Donald Langley NT 9 20.0 2.7% 1.5
Dennell Wesley DT 6'1, 286 Jr. *** (5.5) 12 17.0 2.3% 2 1 1
Jackson Richards DE 6'4, 248 So. **** (5.8) 12 15.0 2.0% 2.5 1 1 1
Delvon Simmons NT 6'5, 290 So. **** (5.9) 10 11.5 1.5% 1.5 1
Chris Perry NT 9 8.5 1.1% 2
Kindred Evans DE 6'3, 228 RSFr. *** (5.6) 3 1.5 0.2% 1 1 1
Branden Jackson DE 6'4, 248 RSFr. *** (5.7)
Chris Knighton DE 6'1, 252 Jr. ** (5.2)
Lee Adams DE 6'2, 265 Jr. *** (5.6)
Michael Starts DT 6'4, 303 Fr. **** (5.8)

Linebackers

Name Pos Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Rivals GP Tackles % of Team TFL Sacks Int PBU FF FR
Daniel Cobb SLB


12 56.0 7.4% 7.5 1
Terrance Bullitt SLB 6'3, 221 Jr. *** (5.6) 12 48.5 6.4% 9.5 4 1 1
Cqulin Hubert MLB


11 31.0 4.1% 5.5 1 1 1 1
Blake Dees MLB 6'0, 215 So. *** (5.5) 8 30.0 4.0% 4 1 2 1
Sam Eguavoen MLB 6'1, 217 So. *** (5.6) 12 27.5 3.7% 1
Tanner Foster SLB


5 5.5 0.7%
Justin Cooper WLB 6'0, 213 RSFr. *** (5.5)
Will Smith MLB 6'3, 224 Jr. *** (5.5)
Chris Payne SLB 5'10, 187 So. *** (5.5)









Secondary

Name Pos Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Rivals GP Tackles % of Team TFL Sacks Int PBU FF FR
Cody Davis FS 6'2, 202 Sr. ** (5.4) 11 82.5 11.0% 3 5 1
D.J. Johnson SS 6'0, 190 Sr. *** (5.5) 12 72.0 9.6% 0.5 2 3 3 1
Brett Dewhurst WS 12 30.5 4.1% 2 1 1
Tre' Porter S 6'0, 202 Jr. **** (5.8) 7 22.5 3.0% 1 2 1
Jared Flannel SS 12 19.0 2.5% 3 1
Derrick Mays CB 5'11, 175 Jr. ** (5.2) 10 18.0 2.4% 1 1
Jarvis Phillips CB 5'10, 188 Jr. *** (5.5) 12 16.0 2.1% 3
Cornelius Douglas CB 5'9, 198 Sr. *** (5.6) 12 15.5 2.1% 2 2 1
Happiness Osunde CB 5'9, 188 Sr. *** (5.5) 6 14.5 1.9% 1
Sawyer Vest CB 12 12.0 1.6%
Eugene Neboh CB 5'10, 180 Sr. NR 10 11.0 1.5%
Jeremy Reynolds CB 5'9, 175 RSFr. *** (5.5)
Bruce Jones DB 5'7, 171 Jr. *** (5.5)
Olaoluwa Falemi DB 5'9, 157 Jr. *** (5.5)
Austin Stewart DB 6'0, 206 So. *** (5.6)
Brandon Bagley DB 5'10, 155 So. NR
La'Darius Newbold DB 5'11, 190 Fr. *** (5.7)

Special Teams

Punter Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Punts Avg TB FC I20 FC/I20
Ratio
Ryan Erxleben 6'1, 191 Jr. 57 41.7 5 15 19 59.6%
Kicker Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Kickoffs Avg TB TB%
Donnie Carona 72 65.1 13 18.1%
Bradley Hicks 2 63.5 0 0.0%
Place-Kicker Ht, Wt 2012
Year
PAT FG
(0-39)
Pct FG
(40+)
Pct
Donnie Carona 50-50 7-8 87.5% 7-10 70.0%
Returner Pos. Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Returns Avg. TD
Ben McRoy KR

36 25.0 0
Brad Marquez KR 5'10, 195 So. 9 18.7 0
Austin Zouzalik PR 6'0, 187 Sr. 11 6.9 0
Alex Torres PR 6'1, 202 Sr. 2 4.0 0
Category Rk
Special Teams F/+ 61
Net Punting 31
Net Kickoffs 50
Touchback Pct 41
Field Goal Pct 32
Kick Returns Avg 51
Punt Returns Avg 87

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Glossary

Adj. Line Yards: A line measure derived from the formula found here. The idea is to divvy credit for a given rush between both the runner and the blockers.

Adj. Pace: Part of the offensive footprint, this takes into account both the number of plays a team attempts and the type of play. Since passes, on average, take up less time (thanks to the fact that 30-50 percent of them are incomplete and stop the clock), pass-heavy offenses are prone to run more plays, therefore limiting the effectiveness of a general plays-per-game measure. Adj. Pace takes a team's run-pass ratio into account.

Adj. POE: An opponent-adjusted "Points Over Expected" measure for running backs that looks both at what a runner gained and what would have been expected given the opponents involved. For more information, start here.

Adj. Points: A look at how a team would have performed in a given week if playing a perfectly average team, with a somewhat average number of breaks and turnovers. The idea for the measure is simple: what if everybody in the country played exactly the same opponent every single week? Who would have done the best? It is an attempt to look at offensive and defensive consistency without getting sidetracked by easy or difficult schedules. And yes, with adjusted score you can allow a negative number of points. For more, start here.

Adj. Record: See Adj. Points.

Adj. Sack Rate: An opponent-adjusted measure of sack rates.

Adj. Score: See Adj. Points.

Adj. TO Margin: What a team's turnover margin would have been if they had recovered exactly 50 percent of all the fumbles that occurred in their games. If there is a huge difference between TO Margin and Adj. TO Margin (in other words, if fumbles, dropped interceptions, or other unlucky bounces were the main source of a good/bad TO margin), that suggests that a team's luck was particularly good or bad and might even out the next season.

Adj. Yards Per Target: A look at a receiver's total receiving yards divided by the number of times he was targeted. Slight adjustments are made for the percentage of times a receiver was targeted on standard ("%SD") and passing downs. Players targeted more on passing downs are likely to have a lower overall per-target average, since passing is more difficult on passing downs.

Bend-Don't-Break: Part of the defensive footprint, this is a comparison of a team's Def. Success Rate (efficiency) to its Def. PPP (explosiveness). The higher the number, the higher percentage of a team's overall S&P was made up by success rate, i.e. the more willing a team was to sacrifice efficiency to prevent big plays. (The lower the number, the more likely a team was to take aggressive risks.)

Covariance: Covariance is a statistical tool that provides a measure of the strength of the correlation between two or more sets of random variates. For these purposes, it is used to compare a team's performance (using opponent-adjusted Adj. Score) to the quality of the opponent at hand. Some teams play their best games against their worst opponents, and some teams do the opposite. This measure is used for both the offensive and defensive footprint. For more, go here.

Go After the Ball: Part of the defensive footprint, this looks at a team's forced fumbles, interceptions and passes broken up. In other words, it looks at their ability to go after the ball. The higher the number, the more they got their hands on the football.

Highlight Yards: The portion of a given run that is credit only to the running back; after a certain number of yards, the line has done its job, and most of the rest of the run will be determined by the running back himself. For more information, start here.

Need for Blitzes: Part of the defensive footprint, this compares a team's standard downs sack rate to its passing downs sack rate. The lower the number, the more they were able to generate pressure on standard downs, and the less need for blitzes.

Turnovers Luck: Presented in Points Per Game fashion, Turnovers Luck looks at the difference between a team's Turnover and Adj. TO Margins and, using the average point value of a turnover (~5.0 points), projects how many points a team gained or lost per game last season.

Yards Per Point: A measure long tracked by Phil Steele as a means of looking at teams that were a little too efficient or inefficient the previous season. A positive YPP Margin means a team's offense was less efficient than opponents' offenses, and to the extent that luck was involved, their luck might even out the next year.

In This Article

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