2012 Texas Longhorns Football: Statistical Profile

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2011 Schedule & Results

Record: 8-5 | Adj. Record: 8-5 | Final F/+ Rk: 19
Date Opponent Score W-L Adj. Score Adj. W-L
3-Sep Rice 34-9 W 30.0 - 24.0 W
10-Sep BYU 17-16 W 26.5 - 19.6 W
17-Sep at UCLA 49-20 W 32.7 - 22.3 W
1-Oct at Iowa State 37-14 W 27.5 - 29.1 L
8-Oct vs. Oklahoma 17-55 L 23.1 - 27.4 L
15-Oct Oklahoma State 26-38 L 24.6 - 26.2 L
29-Oct Kansas 43-0 W 27.4 - 6.3 W
5-Nov Texas Tech 52-20 W 36.0 - 27.0 W
12-Nov at Missouri 5-17 L 19.2 - 20.9 L
19-Nov Kansas State 13-17 L 19.9 - 17.6 W
24-Nov at Texas A&M 27-25 W 19.7 - 17.9 W
3-Dec at Baylor 24-48 L 24.5 - 29.2 L
28-Dec California 21-10 W 26.9 - 16.0 W
Category Offense Rk Defense Rk
Points Per Game 28.1 55 22.2 33
Adj. Points Per Game 26.0 87 21.8 6

2012 Schedule & Projection Factors

2012 Schedule
Date Opponent Proj. Rk
1-Sep Wyoming 108
8-Sep New Mexico 124
15-Sep at Ole Miss 72
29-Sep at Oklahoma State 4
6-Oct West Virginia 17
13-Oct vs. Oklahoma 3
20-Oct Baylor 28
27-Oct at Kansas 105
3-Nov at Texas Tech 38
10-Nov Iowa State 85
24-Nov TCU 21
1-Dec at Kansas State 35
Five-Year F/+ Rk 11
Two-Year Recruiting Rk 2
TO Margin/Adj. TO Margin* 0 / +5.2
TO Luck/Game -2.0
Approx. Ret. Starters (Off. / Def.) 17 (10, 7)
Yds/Pt Margin** +0.2

Offense

Category Yards/
Game Rk
S&P+ Rk Success
Rt. Rk
PPP+ Rk
OVERALL 54 78 84 74
RUSHING 21 50 63 46
PASSING 86 97 99 94
Standard Downs 61 70 59
Passing Downs 99 86 108
Redzone 93 85 91
Q1 Rk 87 1st Down Rk 75
Q2 Rk 58 2nd Down Rk 85
Q3 Rk 41 3rd Down Rk 55
Q4 Rk 90
Adj. Line Yards Rk 30
Adj. Sack Rate Rk 90

Quarterback

Note: players in bold below are 2012 returnees. Players in italics are questionable with injury/suspension.

Player Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Rivals Comp Att Yards Comp
Rate
TD INT Sacks Sack Rate Yards/
Att.
David Ash 6'3, 223 So. *** (5.7) 98 173 1,068 56.6% 4 8 16 8.5% 4.8
Case McCoy 6'2, 200 Jr. *** (5.6) 89 145 1,045 61.4% 7 4 9 5.8% 6.4
Garrett Gilbert


15 31 247 48.4% 1 2 2 6.1% 7.0
Connor Brewer 6'2, 195 Fr. **** (5.8)








Running Back

Player Pos. Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Rivals Rushes Yards Yards/
Carry
Hlt Yds/
Carry
TD Adj.
POE
Malcolm Brown TB 6'0, 223 So. ***** (6.1) 172 742 4.3 1.2 5 -9.6
Joe Bergeron TB 6'1, 230 So. *** (5.7) 72 463 6.4 2.6 5 +5.8
Foswhitt Whittaker TB 66 386 5.8 2.2 6 +8.5
David Ash QB 6'3, 223 So. *** (5.7) 57 267 4.7 2.0 1 -2.9
D.J. Monroe TB 5'9, 175 Sr. **** (6.0) 48 326 6.8 2.8 1 +3.0
Cody Johnson FB 48 200 4.2 1.3 6 +2.9
Jeremy Hills TB 6'0, 205 Sr. **** (5.8) 36 177 4.9 1.5 0 -3.8
Marquise Goodwin WR-Z 5'9, 180 Sr. *** (5.7) 22 220 10.0 5.5 0 +3.5
Case McCoy QB 6'2, 200 Jr. *** (5.6) 15 49 3.3 1.3 0 -2.4
Jaxon Shipley WR-X 6'1, 192 So. **** (5.9) 10 53 5.3 1.6 0 -0.9
Johnathan Gray TB 5'11, 207 Fr. ***** (6.1)
Daje Johnson TB 5'10, 184 Fr. **** (5.8)





Receiving Corps

Player Pos. Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Rivals Targets Catches Yards Catch Rate Target
Rate
%SD Adj. Yds/
Target
Mike Davis WR-X 6'2, 193 Jr. **** (6.0) 82 45 609 54.9% 24.4% 51.2% 5.6
Jaxon Shipley WR-X 6'1, 192 So. **** (5.9) 71 44 607 62.0% 21.1% 54.9% 7.6
Marquise Goodwin WR-Z 5'9, 180 Sr. *** (5.7) 58 33 421 56.9% 17.3% 48.3% 5.4
Foswhitt Whittaker TB 23 16 145 69.6% 6.8% 43.5% 6.8
D.J. Grant TE 6'3, 238 Sr. **** (5.8) 22 16 180 72.7% 6.5% 40.9% 8.0
Blaine Irby TE 17 11 157 64.7% 5.1% 58.8% 8.7
DeSean Hales WR-H 5'11, 178 Sr. **** (6.0) 10 2 10 20.0% 3.0% 50.0% 0.2
D.J. Monroe TB 5'9, 175 Sr. **** (6.0) 8 8 70 100.0% 2.4% 62.5% 11.4
Darius White WR-Z 8 5 66 62.5% 2.4% 62.5% 7.9
Miles Onyegbule WR-H 6'4, 235 So. *** (5.7) 7 4 51 57.1% 2.1% 85.7% 10.4
John Harris WR 6'3, 218 So. **** (5.8) 2 2 13 100.0% 0.6% 50.0% 6.5
Barrett Matthews TE 6'2, 235 Sr. *** (5.7) 2 2 9 100.0% 0.6% 100.0% 4.5
M.J. McFarland TE 6'6, 245 RSFr. **** (5.8)
Kendall Sanders WR 6'0, 183 Fr. **** (6.0)






Cayleb Jones WR 6'3, 211 Fr. **** (6.0)






Offensive Line

2011 Two-Deep Pos. Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Rivals Career Starts/Honors/Notes
David Snow LG 32 career starts
Mason Walters RG 6'6, 320 Jr. ***** (6.1) 25 career starts
Trey Hopkins LG 6'4, 301 Jr. **** (5.9) 17 career starts
Dominic Espinosa C 6'4, 298 So. **** (5.9) 13 career starts
Josh Cochran RT 6'6, 299 So. **** (5.8) 7 career starts
Tray Allen LT 6 career starts
Luke Poehlmann RT 6'7, 275 Sr. *** (5.7) 2 career starts
Paden Kelley RT


1 career start
Garrett Porter C 6'6, 315 Jr. **** (6.0)
Thomas Ashcraft RG 6'5, 315 Jr. **** (5.8)
Sedrick Flowers LG 6'3, 313 RSFr. **** (5.8)
Donald Hawkins LT 6'5, 310 Jr. **** (5.8)
Kennedy Estelle OL 6'7, 300 Fr. **** (5.9)
Curtis Rider OL 6'4, 305 Fr. **** (5.9)

Defense

Category Yards/
Game Rk
S&P+ Rk Success
Rt. Rk
PPP+ Rk
OVERALL 11 3 5 5
RUSHING 7 3 1 11
PASSING 42 8 11 7
Standard Downs 8 5 13
Passing Downs 2 5 2
Redzone 4 4 8
Q1 Rk 13 1st Down Rk 11
Q2 Rk 16 2nd Down Rk 3
Q3 Rk 17 3rd Down Rk 6
Q4 Rk 4
Adj. Line Yards Rk 1
Adj. Sack Rate Rk 23

Defensive Line

Name Pos Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Rivals GP Tackles % of Team TFL Sacks Int PBU FF FR
Jackson Jeffcoat BUCK 6'5, 245 Jr. ***** (6.1) 13 53.0 6.9% 21 8 3
Alex Okafor DE 6'5, 265 Sr. ***** (6.1) 13 42.0 5.5% 14 7 3 2 1
Kheeston Randall NT 13 23.0 3.0% 5 1 1
Ashton Dorsey DT 6'2, 295 Jr. **** (5.9) 12 19.5 2.5% 7 1 1
Calvin Howell DT


13 11.0 1.4% 1 1 1 1
Desmond Jackson NT 6'1, 303 So. **** (5.8) 12 7.0 0.9% 2 2
Chris Whaley DT 6'3, 292 Jr. **** (5.9) 13 4.0 0.5% 2 1 1 1
Reggie Wilson DE 6'3, 259 Jr. **** (6.0) 12 5.0 0.6%


2
Cedric Reed BUCK 6'6, 260 So. **** (5.8) 7 1.5 0.2%


1
Brandon Moore NT 6'5, 320 Jr. *** (5.6)







Kyle Kriegel DT 6'5, 280 Jr. *** (5.5)







Malcolm Brown DT 6'4, 315 Fr. ***** (6.1)

Paul Boyette, Jr. DT 6'4, 295 Fr. **** (5.8)







Hassan Ridgeway DE 6'4, 280 Fr. **** (5.8)







Linebackers

Name Pos Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Rivals GP Tackles % of Team TFL Sacks Int PBU FF FR
Emmanuel Acho WLB 13 98.0 12.8% 19 3 6 1
Keenan Robinson MLB 13 79.5 10.3% 10 1 7 2
Jordan Hicks SLB 6'2, 235 Jr. ***** (6.1) 13 48.0 6.2% 4 1 4 1
Steve Edmond MLB 6'3, 255 So. **** (6.0) 12 14.5 1.9% 2 1 1
Kendall Thompson WLB 6'3, 239 So. **** (5.8) 13 6.5 0.8%
Demarco Cobbs MLB 6'2, 218 Jr. **** (5.8) 6 4.0 0.5% 1
Tevin Jackson SLB 6'2, 233 So. **** (6.0) 12 3.0 0.3% 2
Aaron Benson MLB 6'2, 233 So. **** (5.8) 7 1.5 0.2%




Timothy Cole LB 6'2, 225 Fr. **** (5.8)







Shiro Davis LB 6'3, 236 Fr. **** (5.8)







Peter Jinkens LB 6'1, 213 Fr. **** (5.8)







Secondary

Name Pos Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Rivals GP Tackles % of Team TFL Sacks Int PBU FF FR
Blake Gideon SS 13 65.0 8.5% 2 1 2 4 1
Kenny Vaccaro FS 6'1, 218 Sr. **** (5.8) 13 64.5 8.4% 8 2 2 8
Carrington Byndom CB 6'0, 180 Jr. **** (5.8) 13 50.0 6.5% 8 2 15 1 1
Quandre Diggs CB 5'10, 200 So. **** (5.9) 13 42.0 5.5% 4 4 15 2
Adrian Phillips SS 5'11, 201 Jr. **** (5.8) 12 36.5 4.7% 4 1 2 5 3 1
Christian Scott SS 9 17.0 2.2% 1 4 1 1
Mykkele Thompson FS 6'2, 183 So. **** (5.8) 12 10.0 1.3%
Leroy Scott FS 5'10, 193 So. *** (5.7) 13 7.5 1.0%
Sherold Evans SS 6'0, 185 So. **** (5.8) 12 7.5 1.0% 1
Josh Turner CB 6'0, 177 So. **** (5.8) 12 6.5 0.8% 1
Duke Thomas CB 5'11, 175 Fr. **** (5.8)







Bryson Echols DB 5'10, 165 Fr. **** (5.8)







Special Teams

Punter Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Punts Avg TB FC I20 FC/I20
Ratio
Justin Tucker 63 39.2 2 27 15 66.7%
Anthony Fera^ 6'2, 215 Jr. 64 42.0 12 18 18 56.3%
Kicker Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Kickoffs Avg TB TB%
Justin Tucker 70 64.5 12 17.1%
Anthony Fera 6'2, 215 Jr. 45 65.2 10 22.2%
William Russ 6'4, 193 So. 2 59 0 0.0%
Place-Kicker Ht, Wt 2012
Year
PAT FG
(0-39)
Pct FG
(40+)
Pct
Justin Tucker 44-44 12-15 80.0% 5-6 83.3%
Anthony Fera 6'2, 215 Jr. 20-20 11-11 100.0% 3-6 50.0%
Returner Pos. Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Returns Avg. TD
Quandre Diggs KR 5'10, 200 So. 19 19.5 0
Marquise Goodwin KR 5'9, 177 Sr. 11 22.5 0
Quandre Diggs PR 5'10, 200 So. 9 20.1 0
Jaxon Shipley PR 6'1, 190 So. 8 5.2 0

^ Fera is a Penn State transfer, eligible immediately.

Category Rk
Special Teams F/+ 15
Net Punting 96
Net Kickoffs 74
Touchback Pct 46
Field Goal Pct 24
Kick Returns Avg 20
Punt Returns Avg 9

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Glossary

Adj. Line Yards: A line measure derived from the formula found here. The idea is to divvy credit for a given rush between both the runner and the blockers.

Adj. Pace: Part of the offensive footprint, this takes into account both the number of plays a team attempts and the type of play. Since passes, on average, take up less time (thanks to the fact that 30-50 percent of them are incomplete and stop the clock), pass-heavy offenses are prone to run more plays, therefore limiting the effectiveness of a general plays-per-game measure. Adj. Pace takes a team's run-pass ratio into account.

Adj. POE: An opponent-adjusted "Points Over Expected" measure for running backs that looks both at what a runner gained and what would have been expected given the opponents involved. For more information, start here.

Adj. Points: A look at how a team would have performed in a given week if playing a perfectly average team, with a somewhat average number of breaks and turnovers. The idea for the measure is simple: what if everybody in the country played exactly the same opponent every single week? Who would have done the best? It is an attempt to look at offensive and defensive consistency without getting sidetracked by easy or difficult schedules. And yes, with adjusted score you can allow a negative number of points. For more, start here.

Adj. Record: See Adj. Points.

Adj. Sack Rate: An opponent-adjusted measure of sack rates.

Adj. Score: See Adj. Points.

Adj. TO Margin: What a team's turnover margin would have been if they had recovered exactly 50 percent of all the fumbles that occurred in their games. If there is a huge difference between TO Margin and Adj. TO Margin (in other words, if fumbles, dropped interceptions, or other unlucky bounces were the main source of a good/bad TO margin), that suggests that a team's luck was particularly good or bad and might even out the next season.

Adj. Yards Per Target: A look at a receiver's total receiving yards divided by the number of times he was targeted. Slight adjustments are made for the percentage of times a receiver was targeted on standard ("%SD") and passing downs. Players targeted more on passing downs are likely to have a lower overall per-target average, since passing is more difficult on passing downs.

Bend-Don't-Break: Part of the defensive footprint, this is a comparison of a team's Def. Success Rate (efficiency) to its Def. PPP (explosiveness). The higher the number, the higher percentage of a team's overall S&P was made up by success rate, i.e. the more willing a team was to sacrifice efficiency to prevent big plays. (The lower the number, the more likely a team was to take aggressive risks.)

Covariance: Covariance is a statistical tool that provides a measure of the strength of the correlation between two or more sets of random variates. For these purposes, it is used to compare a team's performance (using opponent-adjusted Adj. Score) to the quality of the opponent at hand. Some teams play their best games against their worst opponents, and some teams do the opposite. This measure is used for both the offensive and defensive footprint. For more, go here.

Go After the Ball: Part of the defensive footprint, this looks at a team's forced fumbles, interceptions and passes broken up. In other words, it looks at their ability to go after the ball. The higher the number, the more they got their hands on the football.

Highlight Yards: The portion of a given run that is credit only to the running back; after a certain number of yards, the line has done its job, and most of the rest of the run will be determined by the running back himself. For more information, start here.

Need for Blitzes: Part of the defensive footprint, this compares a team's standard downs sack rate to its passing downs sack rate. The lower the number, the more they were able to generate pressure on standard downs, and the less need for blitzes.

Turnovers Luck: Presented in Points Per Game fashion, Turnovers Luck looks at the difference between a team's Turnover and Adj. TO Margins and, using the average point value of a turnover (~5.0 points), projects how many points a team gained or lost per game last season.

Yards Per Point: A measure long tracked by Phil Steele as a means of looking at teams that were a little too efficient or inefficient the previous season. A positive YPP Margin means a team's offense was less efficient than opponents' offenses, and to the extent that luck was involved, their luck might even out the next year.

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