2012 Rutgers Scarlet Knights Football: Statistical Profile

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2011 Schedule & Results

Record: 9-4 | Adj. Record: 7-6 | Final F/+ Rk: 34
Date Opponent Score W-L Adj. Score Adj. W-L
1-Sep N.C. Central 48-0 W 21.1 - 16.3 W
10-Sep at North Carolina 22-24 L 21.0 - 25.5 L
24-Sep Ohio 38-26 W 30.9 - 29.6 W
1-Oct at Syracuse 19-16 W 18.3 - 23.6 L
8-Oct Pittsburgh 34-10 W 24.9 - 19.3 W
15-Oct Navy 21-20 W 26.6 - 22.9 W
21-Oct at Louisville 14-16 L 26.6 - 30.8 L
29-Oct West Virginia 31-41 L 26.6 - 29.4 L
5-Nov South Florida 20-17 W 21.7 - 24.0 L
12-Nov vs. Army 27-12 W 27.1 - 21.1 W
19-Nov Cincinnati 20-3 W 29.4 - 10.2 W
26-Nov at Connecticut 22-40 L 27.8 - 30.8 L
30-Dec vs. Iowa State 27-13 W 26.1 - 25.2 W
Category Offense Rk Defense Rk
Points Per Game 26.4 65 18.3 8
Adj. Points Per Game 25.2 97 23.8 14

2012 Schedule & Projection Factors

2012 Schedule
Date Opponent Proj. Rk
1-Sep at Tulane 111
8-Sep Howard NR
13-Sep at South Florida 25
22-Sep at Arkansas 14
6-Oct Connecticut 53
13-Oct Syracuse 78
20-Oct at Temple 73
27-Oct Kent State 92
10-Nov Army 95
17-Nov at Cincinnati 44
24-Nov at Pittsburgh 41
29-Nov Louisville 50
Five-Year F/+ Rk 44
Two-Year Recruiting Rk 29
TO Margin/Adj. TO Margin* +6 / -0.1
TO Luck/Game +2.4
Approx. Ret. Starters (Off. / Def.) 14 (6, 8)
Yds/Pt Margin** -4.2

Offense

Category Yards/
Game Rk
S&P+ Rk Success
Rt. Rk
PPP+ Rk
OVERALL 99 106 109 102
RUSHING 112 104 109 96
PASSING 52 100 98 100
Standard Downs 111 117 104
Passing Downs 71 71 69
Redzone 108 101 109
Q1 Rk 108 1st Down Rk 97
Q2 Rk 88 2nd Down Rk 106
Q3 Rk 106 3rd Down Rk 106
Q4 Rk 77
Adj. Line Yards Rk 118
Adj. Sack Rate Rk 56

Quarterback

Note: players in bold below are 2012 returnees. Players in italics are questionable with injury/suspension.

Player Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Rivals Comp Att Yards Comp
Rate
TD INT Sacks Sack Rate Yards/
Att.
Chas Dodd 6'0, 200 Jr. ** (5.4) 139 245 1,574 56.7% 10 7 15 5.8% 5.7
Gary Nova 6'2, 220 So. *** (5.7) 116 227 1,553 51.1% 11 9 15 6.2% 5.9

Running Back

Player Pos. Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Rivals Rushes Yards Yards/
Carry
Hlt Yds/
Carry
TD Adj.
POE
Jawan Jamison RB 5'8, 198 So. *** (5.6) 231 897 3.9 1.5 9 -7.5
Savon Huggins RB 6'0, 200 So. **** (5.9) 56 146 2.6 0.7 5 -3.1
Jeremy Deering RB 6'2, 205 Jr. *** (5.6) 47 169 3.6 0.9 0 -4.6
Joe Martinek FB 24 123 5.1 1.7 0 -1.5
De'Antwan Williams RB 20 59 3.0 0.7 0 -4.9
Chas Dodd QB 6'0, 200 Jr. ** (5.4) 12 29 2.4 1.3 0 -1.8
Michael Burton FB 6'0, 232 So. NR 10 44 4.4 2.0 0 +0.5

Receiving Corps

Player Pos. Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Rivals Targets Catches Yards Catch Rate Target
Rate
%SD Adj. Yds/
Target
Mohamed Sanu WR 176 115 1,206 65.3% 39.7% 55.7% 6.3
Quron Pratt WR 6'0, 185 Jr. *** (5.5) 57 32 327 56.1% 12.9% 40.4% 3.3
Brandon Coleman WR 6'6, 220 So. **** (5.8) 45 17 552 37.8% 10.2% 46.7% 4.9
Joe Martinek FB 37 27 262 73.0% 8.4% 54.1% 7.2
Mark Harrison WR 6'3, 230 Sr. *** (5.5) 35 14 274 40.0% 7.9% 40.0% 2.1
Tim Wright WR 6'4, 221 Sr. 26 11 147 42.3% 5.9% 38.5% 3.0
D.C. Jefferson TE 6'6, 258 Sr. *** (5.7) 22 12 118 54.5% 5.0% 50.0% 3.5
Paul Carrezola TE 6'2, 241 Jr. *** (5.6) 14 4 35 28.6% 3.2% 57.1% -1.3
Michael Burton FB 6'0, 232 So. NR 12 10 68 83.3% 2.7% 83.3% 7.0
Jawan Jamison RB 5'8, 198 So. *** (5.6) 11 8 62 72.7% 2.5% 36.4% 7.2
Leonte Carroo WR 6'1, 205 Fr. **** (5.8)






Offensive Line

Player Pos. Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Rivals Career Starts/Honors/Notes
Art Forst RG 40 career starts, 2011 1st All-Big East
Desmond Wynn LG 28 career starts, 2011 2nd All-Big East
Caleb Ruch C 28 career starts
R.J. Dill RT 6'7, 310 Sr. *** (5.5) 21 career starts (at Maryland)
Desmond Stapleton RT 14 career starts
Andre Civil LT 6'3, 275 Jr. *** (5.7) 13 career starts
Kaleb Johnson LT 6'4, 298 So. *** (5.5) 10 career starts
Antwan Lowery LG 6'4, 301 Jr. *** (5.7) 7 career starts
David Osei LG 6'4, 280 Jr. ** (5.0) 5 career starts
Betim Bujari C 6'4, 290 So. *** (5.5) 2 career starts
Matt McBride RG 6'6, 294 Jr. NR
Taj Alexander RG 6'4, 290 So. ** (5.2)
Dallas Hendrikson C 6'2, 295 Jr. ** (5.4)
Chris Muller OL 6'6, 287 Fr. **** (5.9)
J.J. Denman OL 6'7, 305 Fr. **** (5.8)

Defense

Category Yards/
Game Rk
S&P+ Rk Success
Rt. Rk
PPP+ Rk
OVERALL 12 24 17 30
RUSHING 49 39 14 66
PASSING 9 16 27 8
Standard Downs 28 13 42
Passing Downs 8 23 4
Redzone 5 5 7
Q1 Rk 21 1st Down Rk 33
Q2 Rk 30 2nd Down Rk 14
Q3 Rk 14 3rd Down Rk 10
Q4 Rk 34
Adj. Line Yards Rk 8
Adj. Sack Rate Rk 21

Defensive Line

Name Pos Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Rivals GP Tackles % of Team TFL Sacks Int PBU FF FR
Justin Francis DT 13 48.5 7.3% 13 6.5 1 5 1
Scott Vallone DT 6'3, 275 Sr. **** (5.8) 13 39.0 5.9% 8.5 2.5 2 1 2
Manny Abreu DE 13 19.5 2.9% 6 3 1 1 1
Ka'Lial Glaud DE 6'2, 230 Sr. *** (5.5) 13 16.0 2.4% 4 2 1 2
Jamil Merrell DT 6'4, 255 Jr. *** (5.7) 9 12.0 1.8% 2.5 1 2
Marcus Thompson DE 6'2, 260 Jr. *** (5.6) 11 9.0 1.4% 2.5 0.5
Isaac Holmes DT 6'3, 272 Jr. **** (5.8) 13 8.0 1.2% 2.5 1
Michael Larrow DE 6'4, 265 Jr. *** (5.5) 6 7.0 1.1% 1.5 1.5 1
Kenneth Kirksey DT 6'1, 270 So. *** (5.7) 9 6.0 0.9% 2.5
Marvin Booker DE 6'2, 240 Sr. ** (5.2) 2 2.0 0.3%
Marquise Wright DT 6'3, 295 RSFr. **** (5.8)


Al Page DT 6'2, 280 RSFr. *** (5.6)


Darius Hamilton DE 6'4, 245 Fr. ***** (6.1)


Jamil Pollard^ DT 6'5, 280 Fr. **** (5.8)

^ Pollard originally signed with Penn State but is enrolling at Rutgers instead.

Linebackers

Name Pos Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Rivals GP Tackles % of Team TFL Sacks Int PBU FF FR
Khaseem Greene OLB 6'1, 220 Sr. ** (5.1) 13 107.5 16.2% 14 3.5 1 2
Steve Beauharnais MLB 6'2, 235 Sr. *** (5.5) 13 60.0 9.0% 16 5 3 1 1 1
Jamal Merrell OLB 6'4, 220 Jr. *** (5.7) 13 33.0 5.0% 3 0.5 2 1
Kevin Snyder OLB 6'3, 225 So. *** (5.5) 13 26.5 4.0% 2.5 1
Nick DePaola MLB 6'0, 205 Jr. NR 13 7.5 1.1%
Edmond Laryea OLB 13 4.0 0.6% 1 1
David Milewski LB 6'4, 230 So. ** (5.4) 4 1.0 0.2% 1 1 1 1
Robert Joseph OLB 6'2, 220 Jr. ** (5.4) 0.0 0.0%
Quanzell Lambert LB 6'2, 230 Fr. **** (5.8)

Secondary

Name Pos Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Rivals GP Tackles % of Team TFL Sacks Int PBU FF FR
Logan Ryan CB 6'0, 190 Jr. **** (5.8) 13 57.5 8.7% 5.5 0.5 3 14 2 2
David Rowe FS 13 41.5 6.3% 1 0.5 3 4 1 3
Duron Harmon FS 6'1, 201 Sr. *** (5.6) 13 41.0 6.2% 2.5 5 1
Brandon Jones CB 6'1, 186 Sr. ** (5.4) 13 30.5 4.6% 3.5 2 2 4 1
Marcus Cooper CB 6'2, 187 Sr. ** (5.4) 13 22.5 3.4% 1 1
Wayne Warren SS 6'1, 205 Sr. *** (5.5) 13 20.5 3.1% 2.5 2.5 1 3 2
Patrick Kivlehan DB 13 11.0 1.7% 0.5 1 1 1
Lorenzo Waters SS 6'0, 195 So. *** (5.6) 11 7.0 1.1%
Jordan Thomas DB 13 6.0 0.9%
Mason Robinson CB 5'10, 185 Sr. **** (5.8) 1 2.5 0.4%
Gareef Glashen CB 5'10, 181 So. *** (5.5) 4 2.0 0.3% 1
Rashad Knight FS 5'11, 192 So. **** (5.8)



J.T. Tartacoff FS 5'11, 191 So. *** (5.5)



Special Teams

Punter Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Punts Avg TB FC I20 FC/I20
Ratio
Justin Doerner 6'2, 200 Sr. 64 40.3 5 15 24 60.9%
Kicker Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Kickoffs Avg TB TB%
Justin Doerner 6'2, 200 Sr. 68 61.4 7 10.3%
Place-Kicker Ht, Wt 2012
Year
PAT FG
(0-39)
Pct FG
(40+)
Pct
San San Te 37-38 13-17 76.5% 7-14 50.0%
Returner Pos. Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Returns Avg. TD
Jeremy Deering KR 6'2, 205 Jr. 17 31.2 1
Jordan Thomas KR 16 19.4 0
Mohamed Sanu PR 12 4.6 0
Mason Robinson PR 5'10, 185 Sr. 2 2.5 0
Category Rk
Special Teams F/+ 12
Net Punting 58
Net Kickoffs 97
Touchback Pct 81
Field Goal Pct 80
Kick Returns Avg 34
Punt Returns Avg 84

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Glossary

Adj. Line Yards: A line measure derived from the formula found here. The idea is to divvy credit for a given rush between both the runner and the blockers.

Adj. Pace: Part of the offensive footprint, this takes into account both the number of plays a team attempts and the type of play. Since passes, on average, take up less time (thanks to the fact that 30-50 percent of them are incomplete and stop the clock), pass-heavy offenses are prone to run more plays, therefore limiting the effectiveness of a general plays-per-game measure. Adj. Pace takes a team's run-pass ratio into account.

Adj. POE: An opponent-adjusted "Points Over Expected" measure for running backs that looks both at what a runner gained and what would have been expected given the opponents involved. For more information, start here.

Adj. Points: A look at how a team would have performed in a given week if playing a perfectly average team, with a somewhat average number of breaks and turnovers. The idea for the measure is simple: what if everybody in the country played exactly the same opponent every single week? Who would have done the best? It is an attempt to look at offensive and defensive consistency without getting sidetracked by easy or difficult schedules. And yes, with adjusted score you can allow a negative number of points. For more, start here.

Adj. Record: See Adj. Points.

Adj. Sack Rate: An opponent-adjusted measure of sack rates.

Adj. Score: See Adj. Points.

Adj. TO Margin: What a team's turnover margin would have been if they had recovered exactly 50 percent of all the fumbles that occurred in their games. If there is a huge difference between TO Margin and Adj. TO Margin (in other words, if fumbles, dropped interceptions, or other unlucky bounces were the main source of a good/bad TO margin), that suggests that a team's luck was particularly good or bad and might even out the next season.

Adj. Yards Per Target: A look at a receiver's total receiving yards divided by the number of times he was targeted. Slight adjustments are made for the percentage of times a receiver was targeted on standard ("%SD") and passing downs. Players targeted more on passing downs are likely to have a lower overall per-target average, since passing is more difficult on passing downs.

Bend-Don't-Break: Part of the defensive footprint, this is a comparison of a team's Def. Success Rate (efficiency) to its Def. PPP (explosiveness). The higher the number, the higher percentage of a team's overall S&P was made up by success rate, i.e. the more willing a team was to sacrifice efficiency to prevent big plays. (The lower the number, the more likely a team was to take aggressive risks.)

Covariance: Covariance is a statistical tool that provides a measure of the strength of the correlation between two or more sets of random variates. For these purposes, it is used to compare a team's performance (using opponent-adjusted Adj. Score) to the quality of the opponent at hand. Some teams play their best games against their worst opponents, and some teams do the opposite. This measure is used for both the offensive and defensive footprint. For more, go here.

Go After the Ball: Part of the defensive footprint, this looks at a team's forced fumbles, interceptions and passes broken up. In other words, it looks at their ability to go after the ball. The higher the number, the more they got their hands on the football.

Highlight Yards: The portion of a given run that is credit only to the running back; after a certain number of yards, the line has done its job, and most of the rest of the run will be determined by the running back himself. For more information, start here.

Need for Blitzes: Part of the defensive footprint, this compares a team's standard downs sack rate to its passing downs sack rate. The lower the number, the more they were able to generate pressure on standard downs, and the less need for blitzes.

Turnovers Luck: Presented in Points Per Game fashion, Turnovers Luck looks at the difference between a team's Turnover and Adj. TO Margins and, using the average point value of a turnover (~5.0 points), projects how many points a team gained or lost per game last season.

Yards Per Point: A measure long tracked by Phil Steele as a means of looking at teams that were a little too efficient or inefficient the previous season. A positive YPP Margin means a team's offense was less efficient than opponents' offenses, and to the extent that luck was involved, their luck might even out the next year.

In This Article

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