2012 Penn State Nittany Lions Football: Statistical Profile

I will be using this stream to follow Penn State transfers. Transfers in yellow below.

Back to Profiles home page.

Confused? See the glossary at the bottom.

2011 Schedule & Results

Record: 9-4 | Adj. Record: 9-4 | Final F/+ Rk: 31
Date Opponent Score W-L Adj. Score Adj. W-L
3-Sep Indiana State 41-7 W 27.2 - 12.1 W
10-Sep Alabama 11-27 L 27.1 - 28.2 L
17-Sep at Temple 14-10 W 25.4 - 9.2 W
24-Sep Eastern Michigan 34-6 W 35.7 - 20.6 W
1-Oct at Indiana 16-10 W 21.4 - 17.7 W
8-Oct Iowa 13-3 W 26.4 - 20.5 W
15-Oct Purdue 23-18 W 27.2 - 25.1 W
22-Oct at Northwestern 34-24 W 29.3 - 28.0 W
29-Oct Illinois 10-7 W 19.6 - 17.6 W
12-Nov Nebraska 14-17 L 24.7 - 25.2 L
19-Nov at Ohio State 20-14 W 27.6 - 25.8 W
26-Nov at Wisconsin 7-45 L 21.8 - 27.4 L
2-Jan vs Houston 14-30 L 23.5 - 25.6 L
Category Offense Rk Defense Rk
Points Per Game 19.3 110 16.8 5
Adj. Points Per Game 25.9 91 21.8 5

2012 Schedule & Projection Factors

2012 Schedule
Date Opponent Proj. Rk
1-Sep Ohio 61
8-Sep at Virginia 62
15-Sep Navy 76
22-Sep Temple 73
29-Sep at Illinois 51
6-Oct Northwestern 68
20-Oct at Iowa 43
27-Oct Ohio State 20
3-Nov at Purdue 70
10-Nov at Nebraska 24
17-Nov Indiana 98
24-Nov Wisconsin 18
Five-Year F/+ Rk 15
Two-Year Recruiting Rk 38
TO Margin/Adj. TO Margin* +1 / -3.8
TO Luck/Game +1.8
Approx. Ret. Starters (Off. / Def.) 6 (2, 4)
Yds/Pt Margin** -1.5

Offense

Category Yards/
Game Rk
S&P+ Rk Success
Rt. Rk
PPP+ Rk
OVERALL 95 70 69 69
RUSHING 46 49 39 58
PASSING 96 87 91 83
Standard Downs 90 95 83
Passing Downs 38 28 43
Redzone 95 74 99
Q1 Rk 76 1st Down Rk 84
Q2 Rk 45 2nd Down Rk 43
Q3 Rk 66 3rd Down Rk 88
Q4 Rk 104
Adj. Line Yards Rk 23
Adj. Sack Rate Rk 19

Quarterback

Note: players in bold below are 2012 returnees. Players in italics are questionable with injury/suspension.

Player Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Rivals Comp Att Yards Comp
Rate
TD INT Sacks Sack Rate Yards/
Att.
Matt McGloin 6'1, 199 Sr. NR 125 231 1,571 54.1% 8 5 6 2.5% 6.6
Rob Bolden


53 135 685 39.3% 2 7 8 5.6% 4.4
Shane McGregor 6'1, 200 Sr. NR 1 4 12 25.0% 0 0 0 0.0% 3.0
Paul Jones 6'3, 245 So. **** (5.9)








Running Back

Player Pos. Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Rivals Rushes Yards Yards/
Carry
Hlt Yds/
Carry
TD Adj.
POE
Silas Redd RB


244 1,241 5.1 1.6 7 -0.3
Stephfon Green RB 61 266 4.4 1.2 6 +5.4
Curtis Dukes RB 6'1, 237 Jr. *** (5.5) 41 237 5.8 2.2 1 -0.7
Brandon Beachum RB 34 134 3.9 1.0 0 -1.9
Rob Bolden QB


21 99 4.7 1.7 0 -1.3
Matthew McGloin QB 6'1, 199 Sr. NR 18 35 1.9 0.6 0 -3.5
Michael Zordich FB 6'1, 241 Sr. **** (5.9) 15 30 2.0 0.1 2 -0.3
Joe Suhey FB 14 51 3.6 0.7 1 -0.7
Bill Belton RB 5'10, 196 So. **** (5.8) 13 65 5.0 1.3 0 -0.7
Derek Day RB 5'9, 195 Sr. NR





Akeel Lynch RB 6'0, 205 Fr. *** (5.7)





Receiving Corps

Player Pos. Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Rivals Targets Catches Yards Catch Rate Target
Rate
%SD Adj. Yds/
Target
Derek Moye WR 86 40 654 46.5% 24.7% 62.8% 4.0
Justin Brown WR


70 35 517 50.0% 20.1% 45.7% 4.5
Devon Smith WR 52 25 402 48.1% 14.9% 48.1% 4.3
Andrew Szczerba TE 22 12 101 54.5% 6.3% 45.5% 3.4
Joe Suhey FB 18 12 101 66.7% 5.2% 83.3% 4.0
Silas Redd RB


15 9 40 60.0% 4.3% 26.7% 1.5
Stephfon Green RB 13 11 27 84.6% 3.7% 46.2% 2.7
Michael Zordich FB 6'1, 241 Sr. **** (5.9) 13 5 31 38.5% 3.7% 92.3% 0.4
Brandon Moseby-Felder WR 6'2, 191 Jr. NR 12 4 53 33.3% 3.4% 66.7% 0.2
Shawney Kersey WR 6'1, 198 Jr. *** (5.7) 11 5 108 45.5% 3.2% 72.7% 8.5
Allen Robinson WR 6'3, 199 So. *** (5.5) 7 3 29 42.9% 2.0% 57.1% 1.6
Kevin Haplea TE


5 3 21 60.0% 1.4% 80.0% 3.1
Garry Gilliam TE 6'6, 277 Jr. ** (5.4)
Alex Kenney WR 6'0, 195 So. **** (5.8)
Kyle Carter TE 6'3, 241 RSFr. ** (5.4)
Matt Zanellato WR 6'3, 195 RSFr. ** (5.3)
Eugene Lewis WR 6'2, 181 Fr. **** (5.9)
Brent Wilkerson TE 6'4, 245 Fr. *** (5.7)
Jesse James TE 6'7, 265 Fr. *** (5.6)

Offensive Line

Player Pos. Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Rivals Career Starts/Honors/Notes
Johnnie Troutman LG 31 career starts
Quinn Barham LT 25 career starts
DeOn'tae Pannell RG 21 career starts
Chima Okoli RT 20 career starts
Matt Stankiewitch C 6'3, 299 Sr. *** (5.7) 14 career starts
Mike Farrell RT 6'6, 290 Sr. ** (5.1) 1 career start
Mark Arcidiacono LG 6'4, 284 Jr. ** (5.4)
Ty Howle C
John Urschel RG 6'3, 292 Jr. ** (5.2)
Adam Gress RT 6'6, 304 Jr. *** (5.5)
Eric Shrive RG 6'6, 312 Jr. **** (6.0)
Nate Cadogen LT 6'5, 283 Jr. *** (5.6)
Miles Dieffenbach LG 6'3, 286 So. **** (5.8)
Donovan Smith LT 6'5, 310 RSFr. **** (5.8)
Brian Gaia OL 6'5, 285 Fr. *** (5.7)
Anthony Stanko OL 6'5, 302 Fr. *** (5.7)

Defense

Category Yards/
Game Rk
S&P+ Rk Success
Rt. Rk
PPP+ Rk
OVERALL 20 6 14 3
RUSHING 42 14 20 7
PASSING 17 3 12 4
Standard Downs 4 11 3
Passing Downs 12 20 8
Redzone 39 24 54
Q1 Rk 26 1st Down Rk 4
Q2 Rk 23 2nd Down Rk 6
Q3 Rk 7 3rd Down Rk 13
Q4 Rk 2
Adj. Line Yards Rk 26
Adj. Sack Rate Rk 59

Defensive Line

Name Pos Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Rivals GP Tackles % of Team TFL Sacks Int PBU FF FR
Devon Still DT 13 42.0 5.9% 17 4.5 1 1 1
Jordan Hill DT 6'1, 297 Sr. ** (5.4) 13 40.5 5.6% 8 3.5 2 1 3
Pete Massaro (2010^) DE 6'4, 263 Sr. *** (5.5) 13 28.5 4.1% 8 3.5 1 1
Jack Crawford DE 13 29.0 4.0% 7.5 6.5 6 1
Sean Stanley DE 6'1, 246 Sr. *** (5.7) 13 25.0 3.5% 6.5 4.5 1 2 3 1
Eric Latimore DE 13 13.0 1.8% 5 3 2 1
James Terry DT 6'3, 318 Sr. ** (5.2) 13 7.5 1.0%
DaQuan Jones DT 6'3, 317 Jr. *** (5.7) 13 6.0 0.8%
C.J. Olaniyan DE 6'3, 249 So. **** (5.8) 6 3.0 0.4%
Kyle Baublitz DT 6'5, 275 So. **** (5.8) 13 1.0 0.1%
Luke Graham DT 6'4, 283 So. *** (5.7)
Brad Bars DE 6'3, 237 So. ** (5.4)
Anthony Zettel DE 6'5, 255 RSFr. **** (5.9)
Deion Barnes DE 6'4, 248 RSFr. **** (5.8)
Jamil Pollard DT


Linebackers

Name Pos Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Rivals GP Tackles % of Team TFL Sacks Int PBU FF FR
Gerald Hodges OLB 6'2, 234 Sr. **** (5.8) 13 83.0 11.6% 10 4.5 1 4 2
Nate Stupar OLB 13 59.5 8.3% 5.5 2 2 3 2
Glenn Carson MLB 6'3, 239 Jr. **** (5.8) 13 51.0 7.1% 1.5 2 1
Khairi Fortt MLB


13 21.5 3.0% 6 2.5
Michael Mauti OLB 6'2, 239 Sr. **** (5.8) 4 15.5 2.2% 3 1 3
Mike Hull OLB 6'0, 213 So. **** (5.9) 13 12.0 1.7% 1.5 2
Jamie Van Fleet MLB 6'0, 228 Sr. NR 13 7.0 1.0% 0.5
Mike Yancich MLB 6'2, 237 Sr. **** (5.9) 10 6.0 0.8% 1.5
Ben Kline OLB 6'2, 224 RSFr. *** (5.7)
Nyeem Wartman LB 6'3, 220 Fr. *** (5.7)

Secondary

Name Pos Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Rivals GP Tackles % of Team TFL Sacks Int PBU FF FR
Drew Astorino SS 13 70.0 9.8% 5 1 6
Nick Sukay FS 13 48.0 6.7% 0.5 3 8 1 2
D'Anton Lynn CB 12 40.5 5.6% 1 1 8
Chaz Powell CB 13 35.0 4.9% 2.5 2 2
Malcolm Willis FS 5'11, 209 Jr. *** (5.5) 12 27.5 3.8% 1 1
Stephon Morris CB 5'8, 188 Sr. *** (5.6) 11 15.5 2.2% 1 5
Adrian Amos CB 6'0, 205 So. *** (5.5) 12 11.0 1.5% 1 4
Stephen Obeng-Agyapong SS 5'10, 202 Jr. *** (5.5) 10 9.0 1.3%
Ryan Keiser FS 6'1, 206 So. NR 13 4.0 0.6%
Jacob Fagnano SS 6'0, 207 Sr. NR 13 4.0 0.6%
Mike Wallace CB 5'9, 193 Jr. ** (5.0) 4 0.5 0.1% 1
Jesse Della Valle CB 6'1, 187 So. NR
Tim Buckley FS


Special Teams

Punter Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Punts Avg TB FC I20 FC/I20
Ratio
Anthony Fera

64 42.0 12 18 18 56.3%
Alex Butterworth 5'10, 206 Jr. 8 38.5 1 1 3 50.0%
Kicker Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Kickoffs Avg TB TB%
Anthony Fera

45 65.2 10 22.2%
Evan Lewis 5'10, 181 Sr. 6 63 1 16.7%
Place-Kicker Ht, Wt 2012
Year
PAT FG
(0-39)
Pct FG
(40+)
Pct
Anthony Fera

20-20 11-11 100.0% 3-6 50.0%
Evan Lewis 5'10, 181 Sr. 6-7 0-2 0.0% 1-3 33.3%
Returner Pos. Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Returns Avg. TD
Chaz Powell KR 27 27.1 1
Adrian Amos KR 6'0, 205 So. 8 20.4 0
Justin Brown PR 6'3, 214 Sr. 27 8.1 0
Drew Astorino PR 5 3.2 0
Category Rk
Special Teams F/+ 66
Net Punting 73
Net Kickoffs 46
Touchback Pct 32
Field Goal Pct 70
Kick Returns Avg 38
Punt Returns Avg 73

---

Glossary

Adj. Line Yards: A line measure derived from the formula found here. The idea is to divvy credit for a given rush between both the runner and the blockers.

Adj. Pace: Part of the offensive footprint, this takes into account both the number of plays a team attempts and the type of play. Since passes, on average, take up less time (thanks to the fact that 30-50 percent of them are incomplete and stop the clock), pass-heavy offenses are prone to run more plays, therefore limiting the effectiveness of a general plays-per-game measure. Adj. Pace takes a team's run-pass ratio into account.

Adj. POE: An opponent-adjusted "Points Over Expected" measure for running backs that looks both at what a runner gained and what would have been expected given the opponents involved. For more information, start here.

Adj. Points: A look at how a team would have performed in a given week if playing a perfectly average team, with a somewhat average number of breaks and turnovers. The idea for the measure is simple: what if everybody in the country played exactly the same opponent every single week? Who would have done the best? It is an attempt to look at offensive and defensive consistency without getting sidetracked by easy or difficult schedules. And yes, with adjusted score you can allow a negative number of points. For more, start here.

Adj. Record: See Adj. Points.

Adj. Sack Rate: An opponent-adjusted measure of sack rates.

Adj. Score: See Adj. Points.

Adj. TO Margin: What a team's turnover margin would have been if they had recovered exactly 50 percent of all the fumbles that occurred in their games. If there is a huge difference between TO Margin and Adj. TO Margin (in other words, if fumbles, dropped interceptions, or other unlucky bounces were the main source of a good/bad TO margin), that suggests that a team's luck was particularly good or bad and might even out the next season.

Adj. Yards Per Target: A look at a receiver's total receiving yards divided by the number of times he was targeted. Slight adjustments are made for the percentage of times a receiver was targeted on standard ("%SD") and passing downs. Players targeted more on passing downs are likely to have a lower overall per-target average, since passing is more difficult on passing downs.

Bend-Don't-Break: Part of the defensive footprint, this is a comparison of a team's Def. Success Rate (efficiency) to its Def. PPP (explosiveness). The higher the number, the higher percentage of a team's overall S&P was made up by success rate, i.e. the more willing a team was to sacrifice efficiency to prevent big plays. (The lower the number, the more likely a team was to take aggressive risks.)

Covariance: Covariance is a statistical tool that provides a measure of the strength of the correlation between two or more sets of random variates. For these purposes, it is used to compare a team's performance (using opponent-adjusted Adj. Score) to the quality of the opponent at hand. Some teams play their best games against their worst opponents, and some teams do the opposite. This measure is used for both the offensive and defensive footprint. For more, go here.

Go After the Ball: Part of the defensive footprint, this looks at a team's forced fumbles, interceptions and passes broken up. In other words, it looks at their ability to go after the ball. The higher the number, the more they got their hands on the football.

Highlight Yards: The portion of a given run that is credit only to the running back; after a certain number of yards, the line has done its job, and most of the rest of the run will be determined by the running back himself. For more information, start here.

Need for Blitzes: Part of the defensive footprint, this compares a team's standard downs sack rate to its passing downs sack rate. The lower the number, the more they were able to generate pressure on standard downs, and the less need for blitzes.

Turnovers Luck: Presented in Points Per Game fashion, Turnovers Luck looks at the difference between a team's Turnover and Adj. TO Margins and, using the average point value of a turnover (~5.0 points), projects how many points a team gained or lost per game last season.

Yards Per Point: A measure long tracked by Phil Steele as a means of looking at teams that were a little too efficient or inefficient the previous season. A positive YPP Margin means a team's offense was less efficient than opponents' offenses, and to the extent that luck was involved, their luck might even out the next year.

In This Article

Teams
Players
X
Log In Sign Up

forgot?
Log In Sign Up

Please choose a new SB Nation username and password

As part of the new SB Nation launch, prior users will need to choose a permanent username, along with a new password.

Your username will be used to login to SB Nation going forward.

I already have a Vox Media account!

Verify Vox Media account

Please login to your Vox Media account. This account will be linked to your previously existing Eater account.

Please choose a new SB Nation username and password

As part of the new SB Nation launch, prior MT authors will need to choose a new username and password.

Your username will be used to login to SB Nation going forward.

Forgot password?

We'll email you a reset link.

If you signed up using a 3rd party account like Facebook or Twitter, please login with it instead.

Forgot password?

Try another email?

Almost done,

By becoming a registered user, you are also agreeing to our Terms and confirming that you have read our Privacy Policy.

Join Football Study Hall

You must be a member of Football Study Hall to participate.

We have our own Community Guidelines at Football Study Hall. You should read them.

Join Football Study Hall

You must be a member of Football Study Hall to participate.

We have our own Community Guidelines at Football Study Hall. You should read them.

Spinner.vc97ec6e

Authenticating

Great!

Choose an available username to complete sign up.

In order to provide our users with a better overall experience, we ask for more information from Facebook when using it to login so that we can learn more about our audience and provide you with the best possible experience. We do not store specific user data and the sharing of it is not required to login with Facebook.

tracking_pixel_9341_tracker