2012 Oklahoma Sooners Football: Statistical Profile

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2011 Schedule & Results

Record: 10-3 | Adj. Record: 11-2 | Final F/+ Rk: 7
Date Opponent Score W-L Adj. Score Adj. W-L
3-Sep Tulsa 47-14 W 34.7 - 23.3 W
17-Sep at Florida State 23-13 W 32.5 - 15.4 W
24-Sep Missouri 38-28 W 36.2 - 28.5 W
1-Oct Ball State 62-6 W 33.3 - 5.2 W
8-Oct vs Texas 55-17 W 34.7 - 20.4 W
15-Oct at Kansas 47-17 W 26.4 - 23.0 W
22-Oct Texas Tech 38-41 L 27.2 - 28.7 L
29-Oct at Kansas State 58-17 W 39.9 - 23.9 W
5-Nov Texas A&M 41-25 W 29.2 - 22.9 W
19-Nov at Baylor 38-45 L 28.7 - 27.2 W
26-Nov Iowa State 26-6 W 27.1 - 21.9 W
3-Dec at Oklahoma State 10-44 L 23.2 - 25.4 L
30-Dec vs Iowa 31-14 W 27.0 - 20.8 W
Category Offense Rk Defense Rk
Points Per Game 39.5 10 22.1 31
Adj. Points Per Game 30.8 19 22.1 8

2012 Schedule & Projection Factors

2012 Schedule
Date Opponent Proj. Rk
1-Sep at UTEP 104
8-Sep Florida A&M NR
22-Sep Kansas State 35
6-Oct at Texas Tech 38
13-Oct vs Texas 10
20-Oct Kansas 105
27-Oct Notre Dame 11
3-Nov at Iowa State 85
10-Nov Baylor 28
17-Nov at West Virginia 17
24-Nov Oklahoma State 4
1-Dec at TCU 21
Five-Year F/+ Rk 2
Two-Year Recruiting Rk 12
TO Margin/Adj. TO Margin* -2 / +3.5
TO Luck/Game -2.1
Approx. Ret. Starters (Off. / Def.) 12 (5, 7)
Yds/Pt Margin** -4.1

Offense

Category Yards/
Game Rk
S&P+ Rk Success
Rt. Rk
PPP+ Rk
OVERALL 5 16 13 20
RUSHING 50 14 15 15
PASSING 5 29 18 38
Standard Downs 21 20 22
Passing Downs 25 20 23
Redzone 41 44 49
Q1 Rk 17 1st Down Rk 16
Q2 Rk 24 2nd Down Rk 11
Q3 Rk 18 3rd Down Rk 77
Q4 Rk 49
Adj. Line Yards Rk 46
Adj. Sack Rate Rk 3

Quarterback

Note: players in bold below are 2012 returnees. Players in italics are questionable with injury/suspension.

Player Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Rivals Comp Att Yards Comp
Rate
TD INT Sacks Sack Rate Yards/
Att.
Landry Jones 6'4, 218 Sr. **** (5.8) 355 562 4,463 63.2% 29 15 10 1.7% 7.6
Drew Allen 6'5, 226 Jr. *** (5.7) 9 16 71 56.3% 0 0 0 0.0% 4.4
Blake Bell 6'6, 254 So. **** (5.9) 1 4 8 25.0% 0 1 1 20.0% 1.4
Trevor Knight 6'1, 197 Fr. **** (5.8)








Running Back

Player Pos. Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Rivals Rushes Yards Yards/
Carry
Hlt Yds/
Carry
TD Adj.
POE
Dominique Whaley RB 5'11, 204 Sr. NR 113 627 5.5 2.4 9 +13.4
Roy Finch RB 5'7, 175 Jr. **** (5.9) 111 605 5.5 2.1 3 +0.7
Brennan Clay RB 5'11, 201 Jr. **** (5.9) 75 274 3.7 0.6 1 -3.6
Brandon Williams RB 46 219 4.8 1.6 0 -8.0
Blake Bell QB 6'6, 254 So. **** (5.9) 43 172 4.0 1.1 13 +16.1
Trey Millard FB 6'2, 256 Jr. **** (5.8) 24 166 6.9 3.3 2 +3.9
Landry Jones QB 6'4, 218 Sr. **** (5.8) 22 75 3.4 0.6 2 -0.4
Damien Williams RB 6'0, 208 Jr. *** (5.6)
Alex Ross RB 6'1, 204 Fr. **** (5.8)

Receiving Corps

Player Pos. Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Rivals Targets Catches Yards Catch Rate Target
Rate
%SD Adj. Yds/
Target
Justin Brown^ WR 6'3, 209 Sr. **** (5.8) 70 35 517 50.0% 20.1% 45.7% 4.5
Ryan Broyles WR 109 83 1,157 76.1% 20.0% 68.8% 11.9
Kenny Stills WR 6'1, 190 Jr. **** (5.8) 103 61 849 59.2% 18.9% 68.9% 6.5
Jalen Saunders^^ WR 5'9, 160 Sr. *** (5.5) 75 50 1,065 66.7% 17.4% 70.7% 12.9
Jaz Reynolds^^^ WR 6'2, 198 Jr. *** (5.6) 65 41 715 63.1% 11.9% 58.5% 10.3
Roy Finch RB 5'7, 175 Jr. **** (5.9) 46 34 296 73.9% 8.4% 50.0% 6.5
James Hanna TE 44 27 381 61.4% 8.1% 59.1% 7.5
Dejuan Miller WR 38 22 245 57.9% 7.0% 52.6% 5.3
Trey Franks WR 5'10, 184 Jr. *** (5.6) 32 22 196 68.8% 5.9% 62.5% 5.6
Brennan Clay RB 5'11, 201 Jr. **** (5.9) 23 18 104 78.3% 4.2% 43.5% 4.7
Kameel Jackson WR


22 12 165 54.5% 4.0% 36.4% 5.5
Trey Millard FB 6'2, 256 Jr. **** (5.8) 21 13 127 61.9% 3.9% 81.0% 6.9
Dominique Whaley RB 5'10, 204 Sr. NR 20 15 153 75.0% 3.7% 65.0% 8.6
Trent Ratterree TE


14 10 101 71.4% 2.6% 50.0% 7.0
Derrick Bradley WR 5'8, 173 Sr. NR
Geneo Grissom TE 6'4, 247 So. **** (5.8)
Brannon Green TE 6'2, 250 Jr. *** (5.6)
LaColtan Bester WR 6'3, 205 Jr. *** (5.6)
Trey Metoyer WR 6'1, 190 Fr. ***** (6.1)
Durron Neal WR 5'11, 201 Fr. **** (5.9)




Sterling Shepard WR 5'10, 188 Fr. **** (5.8)
Taylor McNamara TE 6'5, 234 Fr. **** (5.8)
Derrick Woods WR 6'1, 185 Fr. **** (5.8)


^ Brown is a Penn State transfer, eligible immediately.
^^ Saunders transferred from Fresno State and might (but probably won't) be eligible immediately this fall.
^^ Reynolds and Franks are currently suspended indefinitely.

Offensive Line

2011 Two-Deep Pos. Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Rivals Career Starts/Honors/Notes
Gabe Ikard C 6'3, 288 Jr. *** (5.7) 25 career starts, 2011 1st All-Big 12
Ben Habern C


30 career starts
Tyler Evans RG 6'5, 315 Sr. *** (5.6) 29 career starts
Donald Stephenson LT 23 career starts
Lane Johnson LT 6'7, 303 Sr. NR 12 career starts
Stephen Good RG 11 career starts
Jarvis Jones RG 10 career starts
Adam Shead LG 6'4, 307 So. *** (5.7) 5 career starts
Daryl Williams RT 6'6, 299 So. **** (5.8) 1 career start
Tyrus Thompson LT 6'5, 303 So. **** (5.8)
Bronson Irwin RG 6'5, 307 Jr. **** (5.8)
Derek Farniok RT 6'9, 319 RSFr. *** (5.6)
Nila Kasitati C 6'4, 309 RSFr. *** (5.7)
Derrick Farniok RT 6'9, 319 RSFr. *** (5.6)
Robert Hollis LT 6'4, 333 RSFr. NR
Ty Darlington OL 6'3, 266 Fr. **** (5.8)

Defense

Category Yards/
Game Rk
S&P+ Rk Success
Rt. Rk
PPP+ Rk
OVERALL 55 5 2 12
RUSHING 44 6 4 10
PASSING 79 10 4 18
Standard Downs 3 3 7
Passing Downs 11 9 16
Redzone 3 3 3
Q1 Rk 10 1st Down Rk 8
Q2 Rk 4 2nd Down Rk 5
Q3 Rk 3 3rd Down Rk 3
Q4 Rk 28
Adj. Line Yards Rk 10
Adj. Sack Rate Rk 28

Defensive Line

Name Pos Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Rivals GP Tackles % of Team TFL Sacks Int PBU FF FR
Ronnell Lewis DE 10 46.0 6.2% 13 5.5 1 5 1 1
Frank Alexander DE 13 44.5 6.0% 19 8.5 1 8 3 1
David King DE 6'5, 286 Sr. **** (5.8) 13 24.5 3.3% 4 2 1 1
Stacy McGee DT 6'4, 299 Sr. **** (5.9) 12 15.0 2.0% 3.5 1.5
Jamarkus McFarland DT 6'2, 288 Sr. **** (6.0) 13 14.5 1.9% 3.5 0.5 1
Casey Walker DT 6'2, 309 Sr. *** (5.6) 12 14.0 1.9% 3 1 2 2
R.J. Washington DE 6'3, 256 Sr. ***** (6.1) 13 13.5 1.8% 5 5 5
Geneo Grissom DE 6'4, 247 So. **** (5.8) 5 4.0 0.5% 1.5
Torrea Peterson DT 6'3, 277 So. *** (5.7) 5 3.0 0.4% 1
Chuka Ndulue DE 6'3, 256 So. *** (5.7) 7 1.5 0.2%
Chaz Nelson DE 6'2, 239 Jr. *** (5.7)




Jordan Phillips DT 6'6, 318 RSFr. **** (5.9)


Marquis Anderson DE 6'3, 265 RSFr. **** (5.8)
Nathan Hughes DE 6'6, 248 RSFr. **** (5.8)

Linebackers

Name Pos Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Rivals GP Tackles % of Team TFL Sacks Int PBU FF FR
Travis Lewis WLB 12 68.5 9.2% 4 1 1 2 2
Tom Wort MLB 6'0, 237 Jr. **** (5.9) 12 53.5 7.2% 4.5 3.5 2 2 1
Corey Nelson WLB 6'1, 219 Jr. **** (5.8) 13 44.0 5.9% 8.5 5.5 4 1
Joseph Ibiloye SLB 6'3, 218 Sr. **** (5.9) 12 16.0 2.1% 1 1
Jaydan Bird MLB 6'2, 236 Sr. *** (5.7) 13 12.0 1.6% 3.5 1 1
Kellen Jones MLB 12 6.5 0.9%
Aaron Franklin WLB 6'1, 212 So. *** (5.6)
Frank Shannon SLB 6'1, 230 RSFr. *** (5.7)
P.L. Lindley WLB 6'2, 240 RSFr. *** (5.6)
Eric Striker LB 6'0, 198 Fr. **** (5.8)

Secondary

Name Pos Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Rivals GP Tackles % of Team TFL Sacks Int PBU FF FR
Aaron Colvin CB 6'0, 181 Jr. *** (5.7) 12 71.0 9.5% 4.5 0.5 6 2
Tony Jefferson^ FS 5'10, 212 Jr. **** (5.9) 13 62.5 8.4% 7.5 4.5 4 3 1
Jamell Fleming CB 11 54.5 7.3% 4 2 10 2 2
Demontre Hurst CB 5'10, 183 Sr. **** (5.8) 13 48.5 6.5% 4 1 11 1 2
Javon Harris SS 5'11, 206 Sr. **** (5.8) 13 37.5 5.0% 1 3 2 2 1
Sam Proctor FS 13 24.0 3.2%
Gabe Lynn FS 6'0, 199 Jr. **** (6.0) 10 20.0 2.7% 2 2
Joe Powell CB 6'0, 173 Jr. *** (5.7) 5 3.5 0.5%
Quentin Hayes^^ FS 6'0, 181 So. *** (5.7) 8 3.0 0.4%
Jesse Paulsen SS 6'0, 193 Sr. NR 3 1.0 0.1%
Lamar Harris CB 6'1, 186 Sr. **** (5.8)







Kass Everett CB 5'11, 180 Jr. *** (5.7)



^ Jefferson split time as nickel back and strongside linebacker in 2011.
^^ Hayes is currently suspended indefinitely.

Special Teams

Punter Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Punts Avg TB FC I20 FC/I20
Ratio
Tress Way 6'1, 215 Sr. 63 42.0 6 19 34 84.1%
Kicker Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Kickoffs Avg TB TB%
Patrick O'Hara 83 65.2 19 22.9%
Mike Hunnicutt 6'0, 173 So. 13 54.2 0 0.0%
Place-Kicker Ht, Wt 2012
Year
PAT FG
(0-39)
Pct FG
(40+)
Pct
Mike Hunnicutt 6'0, 173 So. 55-56 12-13 92.3% 4-4 100.0%
Jimmy Stevens 6-7 4-4 100.0% 0-0 N/A
Returner Pos. Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Returns Avg. TD
Trey Franks KR 5'10, 184 Jr. 22 23.9 0
Roy Finch KR 5'7, 175 Jr. 11 20.3 0
Ryan Broyles PR 19 10.3 0
Kenny Stills PR 6'1, 190 Jr. 8 4.8 0
Category Rk
Special Teams F/+ 43
Net Punting 32
Net Kickoffs 33
Touchback Pct 33
Field Goal Pct 2
Kick Returns Avg 65
Punt Returns Avg 56

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Glossary

Adj. Line Yards: A line measure derived from the formula found here. The idea is to divvy credit for a given rush between both the runner and the blockers.

Adj. Pace: Part of the offensive footprint, this takes into account both the number of plays a team attempts and the type of play. Since passes, on average, take up less time (thanks to the fact that 30-50 percent of them are incomplete and stop the clock), pass-heavy offenses are prone to run more plays, therefore limiting the effectiveness of a general plays-per-game measure. Adj. Pace takes a team's run-pass ratio into account.

Adj. POE: An opponent-adjusted "Points Over Expected" measure for running backs that looks both at what a runner gained and what would have been expected given the opponents involved. For more information, start here.

Adj. Points: A look at how a team would have performed in a given week if playing a perfectly average team, with a somewhat average number of breaks and turnovers. The idea for the measure is simple: what if everybody in the country played exactly the same opponent every single week? Who would have done the best? It is an attempt to look at offensive and defensive consistency without getting sidetracked by easy or difficult schedules. And yes, with adjusted score you can allow a negative number of points. For more, start here.

Adj. Record: See Adj. Points.

Adj. Sack Rate: An opponent-adjusted measure of sack rates.

Adj. Score: See Adj. Points.

Adj. TO Margin: What a team's turnover margin would have been if they had recovered exactly 50 percent of all the fumbles that occurred in their games. If there is a huge difference between TO Margin and Adj. TO Margin (in other words, if fumbles, dropped interceptions, or other unlucky bounces were the main source of a good/bad TO margin), that suggests that a team's luck was particularly good or bad and might even out the next season.

Adj. Yards Per Target: A look at a receiver's total receiving yards divided by the number of times he was targeted. Slight adjustments are made for the percentage of times a receiver was targeted on standard ("%SD") and passing downs. Players targeted more on passing downs are likely to have a lower overall per-target average, since passing is more difficult on passing downs.

Bend-Don't-Break: Part of the defensive footprint, this is a comparison of a team's Def. Success Rate (efficiency) to its Def. PPP (explosiveness). The higher the number, the higher percentage of a team's overall S&P was made up by success rate, i.e. the more willing a team was to sacrifice efficiency to prevent big plays. (The lower the number, the more likely a team was to take aggressive risks.)

Covariance: Covariance is a statistical tool that provides a measure of the strength of the correlation between two or more sets of random variates. For these purposes, it is used to compare a team's performance (using opponent-adjusted Adj. Score) to the quality of the opponent at hand. Some teams play their best games against their worst opponents, and some teams do the opposite. This measure is used for both the offensive and defensive footprint. For more, go here.

Go After the Ball: Part of the defensive footprint, this looks at a team's forced fumbles, interceptions and passes broken up. In other words, it looks at their ability to go after the ball. The higher the number, the more they got their hands on the football.

Highlight Yards: The portion of a given run that is credit only to the running back; after a certain number of yards, the line has done its job, and most of the rest of the run will be determined by the running back himself. For more information, start here.

Need for Blitzes: Part of the defensive footprint, this compares a team's standard downs sack rate to its passing downs sack rate. The lower the number, the more they were able to generate pressure on standard downs, and the less need for blitzes.

Turnovers Luck: Presented in Points Per Game fashion, Turnovers Luck looks at the difference between a team's Turnover and Adj. TO Margins and, using the average point value of a turnover (~5.0 points), projects how many points a team gained or lost per game last season.

Yards Per Point: A measure long tracked by Phil Steele as a means of looking at teams that were a little too efficient or inefficient the previous season. A positive YPP Margin means a team's offense was less efficient than opponents' offenses, and to the extent that luck was involved, their luck might even out the next year.

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