2012 Notre Dame Fighting Irish Football: Statistical Profile

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Confused? See the glossary at the bottom.

2011 Schedule & Results

Record: 8-5 | Adj. Record: 9-4 | Final F/+ Rk: 13
Date Opponent Score W-L Adj. Score Adj. W-L
3-Sep South Florida 20-23 L 34.8 - 21.1 W
10-Sep at Michigan 31-35 L 35.1 - 30.0 W
17-Sep Michigan State 31-13 W 31.9 - 22.5 W
24-Sep at Pittsburgh 15-12 W 27.0 - 26.3 W
1-Oct at Purdue 38-10 W 35.6 - 23.0 W
8-Oct Air Force 59-33 W 39.6 - 27.1 W
22-Oct USC 17-31 L 26.8 - 28.0 L
29-Oct Navy 56-14 W 36.0 - 19.3 W
5-Nov at Wake Forest 24-17 W 29.2 - 29.0 W
12-Nov at Maryland 45-21 W 29.9 - 30.1 L
19-Nov Boston College 16-14 W 24.7 - 27.9 L
26-Nov at Stanford 14-28 L 23.7 - 25.4 L
29-Dec vs Florida State 14-18 L 26.8 - 22.9 W
Category Offense Rk Defense Rk
Points Per Game 29.2 49 20.7 24
Adj. Points Per Game 30.9 18 25.6 30

2012 Schedule & Projection Factors

2012 Schedule
Date Opponent Proj. Rk
1-Sep vs. Navy 76
8-Sep Purdue 70
15-Sep at Michigan State 19
22-Sep Michigan 12
6-Oct Miami 45
13-Oct Stanford 9
20-Oct BYU 34
27-Oct at Oklahoma 3
3-Nov Pittsburgh 41
10-Nov at Boston College 42
17-Nov Wake Forest 80
24-Nov at USC 6
Five-Year F/+ Rk 35
Two-Year Recruiting Rk 14
TO Margin/Adj. TO Margin* -15 / -11.4
TO Luck/Game -1.4
Approx. Ret. Starters (Off. / Def.) 14 (8, 6)
Yds/Pt Margin** -2.5

Offense

Category Yards/
Game Rk
S&P+ Rk Success
Rt. Rk
PPP+ Rk
OVERALL 35 15 10 25
RUSHING 55 8 5 18
PASSING 40 34 31 40
Standard Downs 11 11 14
Passing Downs 20 9 32
Redzone 16 16 19
Q1 Rk 4 1st Down Rk 14
Q2 Rk 30 2nd Down Rk 16
Q3 Rk 12 3rd Down Rk 24
Q4 Rk 53
Adj. Line Yards Rk 22
Adj. Sack Rate Rk 17

Quarterback

Note: players in bold below are 2012 returnees. Players in italics are questionable with injury/suspension.

Player Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Rivals Comp Att Yards Comp
Rate
TD INT Sacks Sack Rate Yards/
Att.
Tommy Rees 6'2, 215 Jr. *** (5.7) 269 411 2,871 65.5% 20 14 13 3.1% 6.6
Andrew Hendrix 6'2, 220 So. **** (5.8) 18 37 249 48.6% 1 2 3 7.5% 5.5
Dayne Crist


15 24 164 62.5% 0 1 1 4.0% 6.1
Everett Golson 6'0, 185 RSFr. *** (5.7)








Gunner Kiel 6'4, 220 Fr. ***** (6.1)








Running Back

Player Pos. Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Rivals Rushes Yards Yards/
Carry
Hlt Yds/
Carry
TD Adj.
POE
Cierre Wood RB 6'0, 215 Jr. **** (6.0) 217 1,102 5.1 1.9 9 +5.5
Jonas Gray RB 114 791 6.9 3.0 12 +20.6
Andrew Hendrix QB 6'2, 220 So. **** (5.8) 22 190 8.6 5.0 1 +6.5
Amir Carlisle^ RB 5'10, 185 So. **** (5.8) 19 118 6.2 2.8 0 -3.2
Tommy Rees QB 6'2, 215 Jr. *** (5.7) 18 25 1.4 0.4 0 -5.0
Theo Riddick RB 5'11, 198 Sr. **** (5.8) 14 63 4.5 1.4 0 -0.8
George Atkinson iII RB 6'1, 200 So. **** (5.8) 9 27 3.0 0.9 0 +1.2
William Mahone RB 5'11, 205 Fr. **** (5.8)





KeiVarae Russell RB 6'0, 170 Fr. **** (5.8)





^ Carlisle is a USC transfer and will be eligible to play immediately this fall.

Receiving Corps

Player Pos. Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Rivals Targets Catches Yards Catch Rate Target
Rate
%SD Adj. Yds/
Target
Michael Floyd WR 144 100 1,147 69.4% 31.9% 65.3% 7.8
Tyler Eifert TE 6'6, 249 Jr. *** (5.6) 95 63 803 66.3% 21.1% 61.1% 7.9
T.J. Jones WR 5'11, 187 Jr. **** (5.8) 60 38 366 63.3% 13.3% 63.3% 5.4
Theo Riddick^ RB 5'11, 198 Sr. **** (5.8) 54 38 436 70.4% 12.0% 68.5% 8.1
Cierre Wood RB 6'0, 215 Jr. **** (6.0) 41 27 192 65.9% 9.1% 53.7% 4.3
Robby Toma WR 5'9, 185 Sr. *** (5.5) 31 19 204 61.3% 6.9% 64.5% 5.6
John Goodman WR 6'3, 207 Sr. *** (5.7) 11 7 65 63.6% 2.4% 45.5% 5.3
Jonas Gray RB 9 6 38 66.7% 2.0% 55.6% 3.8
Alex Welch TE 6'4, 245 So. **** (5.8) 3 1 8 33.3% 0.7% 100.0% 2.7
Troy Niklas TE 6'7, 250 So. **** (5.8)






Daniel Smith WR 6'4, 215 Jr. *** (5.6)






DaVaris Daniels WR 6'2, 190 RSFr. **** (5.8)






Davonte Neal WR 5'10, 175 Fr. **** (5.9)






^ Riddick was listed as a wide receiver last year but is now a running back.

Offensive Line

2011 Two-Deep Pos. Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Rivals Career Starts/Honors/Notes
Trevor Robinson RG 40 career starts, 2011 1st All-Independent
Zack Martin LT 6'4, 303 Jr. **** (5.8) 26 career starts, 2011 1st All-Independent
Braxston Cave C 6'3, 303 Sr. **** (5.8) 24 career starts
Taylor Dever RT 23 career starts
Chris Watt LG 6'3, 310 Jr. **** (6.0) 13 career starts
Mike Golic Jr. C 6'3, 295 Sr. *** (5.7) 2 career starts
Bruce Heggie LG 6'5, 280 So. ** (5.2)
Christian Lombard RT 6'5, 301 So. **** (5.8)
Nick Martin LT 6'4, 280 RSFr. *** (5.6)
Conor Hanratty RG 6'5, 315 RSFr. *** (5.6)
Tate Nichols RT 6'8, 320 So. *** (5.6)
Jordan Prestwood LT 6'5, 284 RSFr. *** (5.7)

Defense

Category Yards/
Game Rk
S&P+ Rk Success
Rt. Rk
PPP+ Rk
OVERALL 30 12 13 14
RUSHING 47 4 6 4
PASSING 38 31 35 33
Standard Downs 13 15 12
Passing Downs 29 35 26
Redzone 66 33 83
Q1 Rk 5 1st Down Rk 7
Q2 Rk 17 2nd Down Rk 32
Q3 Rk 4 3rd Down Rk 12
Q4 Rk 99
Adj. Line Yards Rk 30
Adj. Sack Rate Rk 56

Defensive Line

Name Pos Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Rivals GP Tackles % of Team TFL Sacks Int PBU FF FR
Louis Nix III NG 6'3, 326 So. **** (5.9) 13 28.5 3.9% 4.5 0.5 1
Aaron Lynch DE 12 26.0 3.6% 7 5.5 2 1
Kapron Lewis-Moore DE 6'4, 300 Sr. **** (5.8) 7 24.0 3.3% 4 1.5 2 1
Stephon Tuitt DE 6'6, 295 So. ***** (6.1) 9 20.5 2.8% 3 2 1
Sean Cwynar NG 12 15.5 2.1%
Ethan Johnson DE 9 10.0 1.4% 1 1 1
Hafis Williams NG 5 6.0 0.8% 1.5
Chase Hounshell NG 6'4, 265 So. *** (5.7) 7 2.5 0.3%
Kona Schwenke DE 6'4, 286 Jr. *** (5.7)
Sheldon Day DE 6'2, 286 Fr. **** (5.8)
Jarron Jones NG 6'7, 308 Fr. **** (5.8)








Linebackers

Name Pos Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Rivals GP Tackles % of Team TFL Sacks Int PBU FF FR
Manti Te'o ILB 6'2, 255 Sr. ***** (6.1) 13 95.0 13.1% 13.5 5 2 1
Darius Fleming OLB 13 39.5 5.5% 7 3.5 1 3 1
Dan Fox ILB 6'3, 240 Jr. **** (5.8) 13 34.5 4.8% 2.5 1 1 1
Carlo Calabrese ILB 6'1, 245 Jr. *** (5.7) 13 26.0 3.6% 1 1 3
Prince Shembo OLB 6'2, 250 Jr. **** (5.8) 12 24.0 3.3% 3.5 2
Troy Niklas^ OLB


12 14.0 1.9% 1
Danny Spond OLB 6'2, 242 Jr. **** (5.8) 10 10.0 1.4% 0.5
Kendall Moore ILB 6'1, 242 So. **** (5.8) 13 8.5 1.2% 2
Ishaq Williams OLB 6'5, 255 So. ***** (6.1) 11 5.0 0.7%
Ben Councell OLB 6'5, 240 RSFr. **** (5.8)
Jarrett Grace ILB 6'3, 240 RSFr. *** (5.7)

^ Niklas moved to tight end this spring.

Secondary

Name Pos Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Rivals GP Tackles % of Team TFL Sacks Int PBU FF FR
Harrison Smith S 13 71.5 9.9% 3 10 1 1
Robert Blanton CB 13 59.0 8.1% 8 1 2 6 1
Gary Gray CB 13 57.5 7.9% 0.5 2 5 1
Jamoris Slaughter S 6'0, 200 Sr. **** (5.8) 13 35.0 4.8% 4 2 1 2 1
Zeke Motta S 6'2, 215 Sr. **** (6.0) 13 28.5 3.9% 1 2 1 1
Austin Collinsworth S 6'1, 200 Jr. *** (5.5) 13 15.0 2.1%
Bennett Jackson CB 6'0, 185 Jr. *** (5.7) 13 14.5 2.0%
Dan McCarthy S 6'2, 205 Sr. **** (5.8) 12 6.5 0.9%
Chris Salvi S 5'10, 190 Sr. NR 13 6.5 0.9%
Lo Wood CB 5'10, 195 Jr. *** (5.7) 10 5.5 0.8% 0.5 1
Josh Atkinson CB 5'11, 185 So. *** (5.7) 8 1.5 0.2%
Jalen Brown CB 6'1, 199 RSFr. *** (5.5)








Elijah Shumate DB 6'1, 205 Fr. **** (5.8)

Special Teams

Punter Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Punts Avg TB FC I20 FC/I20
Ratio
Ben Turk 5'11, 196 Sr. 53 40.3 4 17 18 66.0%
Kicker Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Kickoffs Avg TB TB%
Kyle Brindza 6'1, 219 So. 71 65.3 12 16.9%
Place-Kicker Ht, Wt 2012
Year
PAT FG
(0-39)
Pct FG
(40+)
Pct
David Ruffer 47-47 6-10 60.0% 4-6 66.7%
Mike Grieco 1-1 0-0 N/A 0-0 N/A
Returner Pos. Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Returns Avg. TD
George Atkinson III KR 6'1, 200 So. 35 26.1 2
Theo Riddick KR 5'11, 198 Sr. 8 20.8 0
Austin Collinsworth KR 6'1, 200 Jr. 7 20.6 0
John Goodman PR 6'3, 207 Sr. 8 0.6 0
Category Rk
Special Teams F/+ 53
Net Punting 102
Net Kickoffs 44
Touchback Pct 47
Field Goal Pct 91
Kick Returns Avg 36
Punt Returns Avg 112

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Glossary

Adj. Line Yards: A line measure derived from the formula found here. The idea is to divvy credit for a given rush between both the runner and the blockers.

Adj. Pace: Part of the offensive footprint, this takes into account both the number of plays a team attempts and the type of play. Since passes, on average, take up less time (thanks to the fact that 30-50 percent of them are incomplete and stop the clock), pass-heavy offenses are prone to run more plays, therefore limiting the effectiveness of a general plays-per-game measure. Adj. Pace takes a team's run-pass ratio into account.

Adj. POE: An opponent-adjusted "Points Over Expected" measure for running backs that looks both at what a runner gained and what would have been expected given the opponents involved. For more information, start here.

Adj. Points: A look at how a team would have performed in a given week if playing a perfectly average team, with a somewhat average number of breaks and turnovers. The idea for the measure is simple: what if everybody in the country played exactly the same opponent every single week? Who would have done the best? It is an attempt to look at offensive and defensive consistency without getting sidetracked by easy or difficult schedules. And yes, with adjusted score you can allow a negative number of points. For more, start here.

Adj. Record: See Adj. Points.

Adj. Sack Rate: An opponent-adjusted measure of sack rates.

Adj. Score: See Adj. Points.

Adj. TO Margin: What a team's turnover margin would have been if they had recovered exactly 50 percent of all the fumbles that occurred in their games. If there is a huge difference between TO Margin and Adj. TO Margin (in other words, if fumbles, dropped interceptions, or other unlucky bounces were the main source of a good/bad TO margin), that suggests that a team's luck was particularly good or bad and might even out the next season.

Adj. Yards Per Target: A look at a receiver's total receiving yards divided by the number of times he was targeted. Slight adjustments are made for the percentage of times a receiver was targeted on standard ("%SD") and passing downs. Players targeted more on passing downs are likely to have a lower overall per-target average, since passing is more difficult on passing downs.

Bend-Don't-Break: Part of the defensive footprint, this is a comparison of a team's Def. Success Rate (efficiency) to its Def. PPP (explosiveness). The higher the number, the higher percentage of a team's overall S&P was made up by success rate, i.e. the more willing a team was to sacrifice efficiency to prevent big plays. (The lower the number, the more likely a team was to take aggressive risks.)

Covariance: Covariance is a statistical tool that provides a measure of the strength of the correlation between two or more sets of random variates. For these purposes, it is used to compare a team's performance (using opponent-adjusted Adj. Score) to the quality of the opponent at hand. Some teams play their best games against their worst opponents, and some teams do the opposite. This measure is used for both the offensive and defensive footprint. For more, go here.

Go After the Ball: Part of the defensive footprint, this looks at a team's forced fumbles, interceptions and passes broken up. In other words, it looks at their ability to go after the ball. The higher the number, the more they got their hands on the football.

Highlight Yards: The portion of a given run that is credit only to the running back; after a certain number of yards, the line has done its job, and most of the rest of the run will be determined by the running back himself. For more information, start here.

Need for Blitzes: Part of the defensive footprint, this compares a team's standard downs sack rate to its passing downs sack rate. The lower the number, the more they were able to generate pressure on standard downs, and the less need for blitzes.

Turnovers Luck: Presented in Points Per Game fashion, Turnovers Luck looks at the difference between a team's Turnover and Adj. TO Margins and, using the average point value of a turnover (~5.0 points), projects how many points a team gained or lost per game last season.

Yards Per Point: A measure long tracked by Phil Steele as a means of looking at teams that were a little too efficient or inefficient the previous season. A positive YPP Margin means a team's offense was less efficient than opponents' offenses, and to the extent that luck was involved, their luck might even out the next year.

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