2012 Nevada Wolf Pack Football: Statistical Profile

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2011 Schedule & Results

Record: 7-6 | Adj. Record: 9-4 | Final F/+ Rk: 63
Date Opponent Score W-L Adj. Score Adj. W-L
10-Sep at Oregon 20-69 L 31.5 - 30.6 W
17-Sep at San Jose State 17-14 W 23.8 - 26.7 L
24-Sep at Texas Tech 34-35 L 30.6 - 30.0 W
1-Oct at Boise State 10-30 L 20.2 - 22.4 L
8-Oct UNLV 37-0 W 26.2 - 8.8 W
15-Oct New Mexico 49-7 W 30.3 - 27.7 W
22-Oct Fresno State 45-38 W 31.5 - 31.8 L
29-Oct at New Mexico State 48-34 W 32.1 - 29.0 W
12-Nov Hawaii 42-28 W 32.7 - 22.5 W
19-Nov Louisiana Tech 20-24 L 28.6 - 30.5 L
26-Nov at Utah State 17-21 L 31.5 - 27.2 W
3-Dec Idaho 56-3 W 35.8 - 25.2 W
24-Dec vs Southern Miss 17-24 L 24.4 - 21.1 W
Category Offense Rk Defense Rk
Points Per Game 31.7 35 25.2 58
Adj. Points Per Game 29.2 38 25.7 32

2012 Schedule & Projection Factors

2012 Schedule
Date Opponent Proj. Rk
1-Sep at California 55
8-Sep South Florida 25
15-Sep Northwestern State NR
22-Sep at Hawaii 93
29-Sep at Texas State 122
6-Oct Wyoming 108
13-Oct at UNLV 119
20-Oct San Diego State 86
26-Oct at Air Force 103
10-Nov Fresno State 81
17-Nov at New Mexico 124
1-Dec Boise State 39
Five-Year F/+ Rk 60
Two-Year Recruiting Rk 96
TO Margin/Adj. TO Margin* 0 / -3.6
TO Luck/Game 1.4
Approx. Ret. Starters (Off. / Def.) 11 (6, 5)
Yds/Pt Margin** +1.3

Offense

Category Yards/
Game Rk
S&P+ Rk Success
Rt. Rk
PPP+ Rk
OVERALL 6 45 29 55
RUSHING 8 42 51 38
PASSING 32 44 15 67
Standard Downs 38 24 52
Passing Downs 51 30 62
Redzone 85 70 89
Q1 Rk 53 1st Down Rk 40
Q2 Rk 35 2nd Down Rk 48
Q3 Rk 47 3rd Down Rk 43
Q4 Rk 31
Adj. Line Yards Rk 26
Adj. Sack Rate Rk 53

Quarterback

Note: players in bold below are 2012 returnees. Players in italics are questionable with injury/suspension.

Player Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Rivals Comp Att Yards Comp
Rate
TD INT Sacks Sack Rate Yards/
Att.
Cody Fajardo 6'2, 205 So. *** (5.5) 150 218 1,707 68.8% 6 6 12 5.2% 7.1
Tyler Lantrip


110 179 1,553 61.5% 10 6 4 2.2% 8.3
Mason Magleby


10 11 109 90.9% 4 0 8 8.3% 8.4
Devin Combs 6'2, 215 So. ** (5.2)








Tanner Roderick 6'2, 190 RSFr. ** (5.3)








Hasaan Henderson 6'4, 210 Fr. *** (5.5)








Tyler Stewart 6'3, 205 Fr. *** (5.5)








Running Back

Player Pos. Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Rivals Rushes Yards Yards/
Carry
Hlt Yds/
Carry
TD Adj.
POE
Lampford Mark RB 159 911 5.7 2.6 10 +15.3
Mike Ball RB 135 704 5.2 2.1 3 -2.5
Cody Fajardo QB 6'2, 205 So. *** (5.5) 116 766 6.6 2.7 11 +16.1
Stefphon Jefferson RB 5'11, 200 Jr. ** (5.1) 70 429 6.1 2.2 5 +7.0
Tyler Lantrip QB 55 233 4.2 1.3 0 -6.1
Nick Hale RB 5'10, 210 Sr. NR 24 105 4.4 1.1 0 -0.9
Kendall Brock RB 5'9, 195 So. ** (5.3) 13 101 7.8 3.8 0 -0.3
Tony Knight RB 6'1, 225 RSFr. ** (5.4)





Receiving Corps

Player Pos. Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Rivals Targets Catches Yards Catch Rate Target
Rate
%SD Adj. Yds/
Target
Rishard Matthews WR-Z 132 91 1,364 68.9% 33.7% 62.1% 10.6
Brandon Wimberly (2010^) WR-X 6'3, 210 Sr. ** (5.4) 75 53 733 70.7% 27.9% 65.1% 7.7
Shane Anderson WR-X 66 40 526 60.6% 16.8% 60.6% 6.6
Aaron Bradley WR-F 6'1, 180 So. ** (5.2) 45 28 336 62.2% 11.5% 60.0% 6.7
Tray Session WR-X 38 23 291 60.5% 9.7% 60.5% 6.0
Kolby Arendse TE 6'3, 240 Jr. NR 34 26 340 76.5% 8.7% 44.1% 9.7
Corbin Louks WR-F 33 26 303 78.8% 8.4% 57.6% 10.2
Mike Ball RB 11 11 42 100.0% 2.8% 18.2% 5.3
Stefphon Jefferson RB 5'11, 200 Jr. ** (5.1) 10 7 48 70.0% 2.6% 30.0% 4.3
Lampford Mark RB 9 7 32 77.8% 2.3% 22.2% 2.5
Nick Hale RB 5'10, 210 Sr. NR 4 4 34 100.0% 1.0% 25.0% 8.5
Zach Sudfeld TE 6'7, 255 Sr. ** (4.9) 2 1 3 50.0% 0.5% 100.0% 1.5
Necho Beard WR-F 6'0, 205 So. ** (5.3) 1 1 4 100.0% 0.3% 100.0% 4.0
Joe Huber WR-X 5'9, 180 Jr. NR
Nigel Westbrooks WR 6'2, 190 Jr. *** (5.5)
Randy Uzoma WR 6'2, 205 Fr. *** (5.6)
Cody Tuttle WR 6'3, 215 Fr. *** (5.5)

^ Wimberly missed 2011 after suffering gunshot wounds in June.

Offensive Line

Player Pos. Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Rivals Career Starts/Honors/Notes
Chris Barker LG 6'4, 305 Sr. ** (5.2) 40 career starts, 2011 1st All-WAC
Jeff Nady LT 6'7, 290 Sr. ** (5.1) 23 career starts, 2011 2nd All-WAC
Steve Haley RG 25 career starts
Jeff Meads C 17 career starts
Joel Bitonio RT 6'4, 300 Jr. ** (5.3) 13 career starts
Jordan Mudge C 10 career starts
Kyle Roberts LT 6'6, 280 So. *** (5.6)
Avery Poates LG
Alex Pinto RG 6'3, 300 Sr. NR
Mike Mitchell RT 6'4, 285 So. ** (5.2)
Kyle Papendorf LG 6'4, 285 So. ** (5.2)
Matt Galas C 6'1, 275 So. *** (5.5)
Sebastian Tretola RG 6'5, 305 RSFr. ** (5.4)

Defense

Category Yards/
Game Rk
S&P+ Rk Success
Rt. Rk
PPP+ Rk
OVERALL 52 34 21 48
RUSHING 56 56 58 56
PASSING 57 26 10 44
Standard Downs 31 14 52
Passing Downs 66 56 73
Redzone 30 27 31
Q1 Rk 11 1st Down Rk 26
Q2 Rk 44 2nd Down Rk 65
Q3 Rk 42 3rd Down Rk 46
Q4 Rk 104
Adj. Line Yards Rk 62
Adj. Sack Rate Rk 52

Defensive Line

Name Pos Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Rivals GP Tackles % of Team TFL Sacks Int PBU FF FR
Brett Roy DT 13 51.5 7.9% 18.5 10 6 1
Kaelin Burnett DE 13 35.5 5.4% 8 5 1 1
Jack Reynoso DT 6'3, 275 Jr. ** (5.1) 8 17.0 2.6% 4 2
Zack Madonick DT 7 13.0 2.0% 0.5 1
Sam Foster DE 6'4, 260 Jr. ** (5.4) 9 6.5 1.0% 0.5 0.5 1
Brock Hekking DE 6'4, 245 So. ** (5.2) 11 4.5 0.7%
Jake Peppard DE 6'3, 255 So. ** (5.4)

Jordan Hanson DT 6'2, 285 So. ** (5.3)


Rykeem Yates DT 6'2, 270 RSFr. ** (5.2)

Lenny Jones DE 6'3, 245 RSFr. ** (5.2)

Cortez Woods DT 6'3, 260 Jr. *** (5.7)

Shane Pennix DE 6'3, 250 Jr. *** (5.6)


Linebackers

Name Pos Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Rivals GP Tackles % of Team TFL Sacks Int PBU FF FR
James-Michael Johnson MIKE 13 77.0 11.8% 5.5 1.5 1 3 1 1
Brandon M. Marshall WOLF 13 75.5 11.6% 7.5 2 4 1 2
Jeremiah Green SAM 6'2, 230 Sr. ** (5.2) 13 40.5 6.2% 2 3 7
Albert Rosette MIKE 6'2, 245 Sr. ** (5.2) 13 25.0 3.8% 4.5 2 1
DeAndre Boughton (2010^) WOLF 6'1, 220 Sr. ** (5.4) 14 18.5 2.5% 1 1
Dray Bell WOLF 6'2, 225 Sr. NR 10 11.0 1.7% 1 1 1
Burton De Koning SAM 6'2, 220 RSFr. ** (5.4)

Jordan Dobrich MIKE 6'2, 230 RSFr. NR

^ Boughton missed 2011 with a broken leg.

Secondary

Name Pos Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Rivals GP Tackles % of Team TFL Sacks Int PBU FF FR
Duke Williams SS 6'1, 190 Sr. ** (5.4) 13 70.5 10.8% 4.5 1 6 1
Khalid Wooten CB 6'0, 195 Sr. ** (4.9) 13 69.0 10.6% 1 4 5 3
Marlon Johnson FS 5'11, 190 Sr. ** (5.2) 12 44.0 6.7% 2 1 2 1
Isaiah Frey CB 13 31.0 4.7% 0.5 5 16
Thaddeus Brown CB 5'11, 180 Sr. ** (5.3) 13 16.5 2.5% 1 1 1
Charles Garrett FS 5'11, 190 So. *** (5.6) 5 14.5 2.2% 1
Tyler Thompson SS 6'2, 205 Sr. ** (5.4) 13 11.5 1.8%
Evan Favors DB 6'0, 175 So. ** (5.2) 10 8.5 1.3%
Bubba Boudreaux DB 13 5.0 0.8% 2
Malik James CB 6'0, 195 Sr. *** (5.6) 6 2.0 0.3%
Markus Smith DB 6'2, 190 Jr. ** (5.4)



Nigel Halkins DB 5'11, 190 Jr. **


Special Teams

Punter Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Punts Avg TB FC I20 FC/I20
Ratio
Jake Hurst 57 41.5 4 13 24 64.9%
Kicker Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Kickoffs Avg TB TB%
Allen Hardison 6'4, 190 Sr. 47 62.5 1 2.1%
Colin Ditsworth 6'0, 185 So. 30 59 0 0.0%
Place-Kicker Ht, Wt 2012
Year
PAT FG
(0-39)
Pct FG
(40+)
Pct
Allen Hardison 6'4, 190 Sr. 21-21 6-7 85.7% 2-4 50.0%
Jake Hurst 21-21 3-4 75.0% 0-0 N/A
Returner Pos. Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Returns Avg. TD
Kendall Brock KR 5'9, 195 So. 28 21.6 0
Khlaid Wooten KR 6'0, 195 Sr. 11 22.8 0
Duke Williams KR 6'1, 190 Sr. 9 20.7 0
Rishard Matthews PR 23 13.3 1
Category Rk
Special Teams F/+ 113
Net Punting 74
Net Kickoffs 107
Touchback Pct 117
Field Goal Pct 57
Kick Returns Avg 76
Punt Returns Avg 19

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Glossary

Adj. Line Yards: A line measure derived from the formula found here. The idea is to divvy credit for a given rush between both the runner and the blockers.

Adj. Pace: Part of the offensive footprint, this takes into account both the number of plays a team attempts and the type of play. Since passes, on average, take up less time (thanks to the fact that 30-50 percent of them are incomplete and stop the clock), pass-heavy offenses are prone to run more plays, therefore limiting the effectiveness of a general plays-per-game measure. Adj. Pace takes a team's run-pass ratio into account.

Adj. POE: An opponent-adjusted "Points Over Expected" measure for running backs that looks both at what a runner gained and what would have been expected given the opponents involved. For more information, start here.

Adj. Points: A look at how a team would have performed in a given week if playing a perfectly average team, with a somewhat average number of breaks and turnovers. The idea for the measure is simple: what if everybody in the country played exactly the same opponent every single week? Who would have done the best? It is an attempt to look at offensive and defensive consistency without getting sidetracked by easy or difficult schedules. And yes, with adjusted score you can allow a negative number of points. For more, start here.

Adj. Record: See Adj. Points.

Adj. Sack Rate: An opponent-adjusted measure of sack rates.

Adj. Score: See Adj. Points.

Adj. TO Margin: What a team's turnover margin would have been if they had recovered exactly 50 percent of all the fumbles that occurred in their games. If there is a huge difference between TO Margin and Adj. TO Margin (in other words, if fumbles, dropped interceptions, or other unlucky bounces were the main source of a good/bad TO margin), that suggests that a team's luck was particularly good or bad and might even out the next season.

Adj. Yards Per Target: A look at a receiver's total receiving yards divided by the number of times he was targeted. Slight adjustments are made for the percentage of times a receiver was targeted on standard ("%SD") and passing downs. Players targeted more on passing downs are likely to have a lower overall per-target average, since passing is more difficult on passing downs.

Bend-Don't-Break: Part of the defensive footprint, this is a comparison of a team's Def. Success Rate (efficiency) to its Def. PPP (explosiveness). The higher the number, the higher percentage of a team's overall S&P was made up by success rate, i.e. the more willing a team was to sacrifice efficiency to prevent big plays. (The lower the number, the more likely a team was to take aggressive risks.)

Covariance: Covariance is a statistical tool that provides a measure of the strength of the correlation between two or more sets of random variates. For these purposes, it is used to compare a team's performance (using opponent-adjusted Adj. Score) to the quality of the opponent at hand. Some teams play their best games against their worst opponents, and some teams do the opposite. This measure is used for both the offensive and defensive footprint. For more, go here.

Go After the Ball: Part of the defensive footprint, this looks at a team's forced fumbles, interceptions and passes broken up. In other words, it looks at their ability to go after the ball. The higher the number, the more they got their hands on the football.

Highlight Yards: The portion of a given run that is credit only to the running back; after a certain number of yards, the line has done its job, and most of the rest of the run will be determined by the running back himself. For more information, start here.

Need for Blitzes: Part of the defensive footprint, this compares a team's standard downs sack rate to its passing downs sack rate. The lower the number, the more they were able to generate pressure on standard downs, and the less need for blitzes.

Turnovers Luck: Presented in Points Per Game fashion, Turnovers Luck looks at the difference between a team's Turnover and Adj. TO Margins and, using the average point value of a turnover (~5.0 points), projects how many points a team gained or lost per game last season.

Yards Per Point: A measure long tracked by Phil Steele as a means of looking at teams that were a little too efficient or inefficient the previous season. A positive YPP Margin means a team's offense was less efficient than opponents' offenses, and to the extent that luck was involved, their luck might even out the next year.

In This Article

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