2012 Miami Hurricanes Football: Statistical Profile

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2011 Schedule & Results

Record: 6-6 | Adj. Record: 7-5 | Final F/+ Rk: 32
Date Opponent Score W-L Adj. Score Adj. W-L
5-Sep at Maryland 24-32 L 25.0 - 31.8 L
17-Sep Ohio State 24-6 W 29.6 - 22.0 W
24-Sep Kansas State 24-28 L 30.0 - 31.3 L
1-Oct Bethune-Cookman 45-14 W 29.7 - 32.6 L
8-Oct at Virginia Tech 35-38 L 45.1 - 33.1 W
15-Oct at North Carolina 30-24 W 27.9 - 29.6 L
22-Oct Georgia Tech 24-7 W 21.8 - 16.2 W
27-Oct Virginia 21-28 L 36.3 - 30.9 W
5-Nov Duke 49-14 W 35.9 - 29.0 W
12-Nov at Florida State 19-23 L 36.3 - 25.0 W
19-Nov at South Florida 6-3 W 24.7 - 23.6 W
25-Nov Boston College 17-24 L 24.8 - 30.1 L
Category Offense Rk Defense Rk
Points Per Game 26.5 63 20.1 18
Adj. Points Per Game 30.6 22 27.9 61

2012 Schedule & Projection Factors

2012 Schedule
Date Opponent Proj. Rk
1-Sep at Boston College 45
8-Sep at Kansas State 47
15-Sep Bethune-Cookman NR
22-Sep at Georgia Tech 30
29-Sep N.C. State 53
6-Oct vs. Notre Dame 14
13-Oct North Carolina 33
20-Oct Florida State 7
1-Nov Virginia Tech 18
10-Nov at Virginia 52
17-Nov South Florida 29
24-Nov at Duke 73
Five-Year F/+ Rk 31
Two-Year Recruiting Rk 25
TO Margin/Adj. TO Margin* -4 / -1.9
TO Luck/Game -0.9
Approx. Ret. Starters (Off. / Def.) 10 (4, 6)
Yds/Pt Margin** -3.6

Offense

Category Yards/
Game Rk
S&P+ Rk Success
Rt. Rk
PPP+ Rk
OVERALL 70 23 26 23
RUSHING 71 38 60 31
PASSING 62 16 13 24
Standard Downs 17 25 13
Passing Downs 46 29 57
Redzone 47 42 56
Q1 Rk 22 1st Down Rk 17
Q2 Rk 17 2nd Down Rk 23
Q3 Rk 36 3rd Down Rk 41
Q4 Rk 32
Adj. Line Yards Rk 54
Adj. Sack Rate Rk 55

Quarterback

Note: players in bold below are 2012 returnees. Players in italics are questionable with injury/suspension.

Player Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Rivals Comp Att Yards Comp
Rate
TD INT Sacks Sack Rate Yards/
Att.
Jacory Harris 195 300 2,486 65.0% 20 9 17 5.4% 7.5
Stephen Morris 6'2, 210 Jr. *** (5.6) 26 37 283 70.3% 0 2 2 5.1% 6.9
Ryan Williams 6'2, 225 So. ** (5.4)







Running Back

Player Pos. Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Rivals Rushes Yards Yards/
Carry
Hlt Yds/
Carry
TD Adj.
POE
Lamar Miller RB 227 1,272 5.6 2.6 9 +14.6
Mike James RB 5'11, 222 Sr. **** (5.8) 72 275 3.8 1.1 7 +3.1
Jacory Harris QB 36 205 5.7 2.4 0 +0.6
Eduardo Clements RB 5'9, 195 Jr. **** (5.8) 15 82 5.5 1.8 1 +2.0
Randy Johnson RB 5'9, 180 Fr. ***** (6.1)





Receiving Corps

Player Pos. Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Rivals Targets Catches Yards Catch Rate Target
Rate
%SD Adj. Yds/
Target
Tommy Streeter WR 77 46 811 59.7% 24.1% 64.9% 9.4
Travis Benjamin WR 53 41 609 77.4% 16.6% 71.7% 12.7
Allen Hurns WR 6'3, 190 Jr. *** (5.7) 51 31 415 60.8% 16.0% 51.0% 7.1
Clive Walford TE 6'4, 245 So. *** (5.5) 26 18 172 69.2% 8.2% 69.2% 6.4
Lamar Miller RB 23 17 85 73.9% 7.2% 69.6% 3.8
Phillip Dorsett WR 5'9, 178 So. *** (5.7) 19 14 147 73.7% 6.0% 52.6% 8.2
Eduardo Clements RB 5'9, 195 Jr. **** (5.8) 17 13 153 76.5% 5.3% 52.9% 9.7
LaRon Byrd WR 14 11 125 78.6% 4.4% 50.0% 10.0
Mike James RB 5'11, 222 Sr. **** (5.8) 12 9 80 75.0% 3.8% 66.7% 7.1
Chase Ford TE 11 9 88 81.8% 3.4% 54.5% 8.6
Kendal Thompkins WR 5'10, 180 Sr. *** (5.6) 4 3 21 75.0% 1.3% 75.0% 5.3
Asante Cleveland TE 6'5, 270 Jr. ** (5.3) 2 1 6 50.0% 0.6% 50.0% 3.0
Rashawn Scott WR 6'2, 200 So. *** (5.6) 1 1 2 100.0% 0.3% 100.0% 2.0
Dyron Dye TE 6'5, 275 Jr. **** (5.8)
David Perry TE 6'7, 265 Jr. *** (5.7)
Garrett Kidd WR 6'2, 184 RSFr. NR
Robert Lockhart, Jr. WR 6'1, 176 Fr. **** (5.8)
Malcolm Lewis WR 6'0, 194 Fr. **** (5.8)






Offensive Line

Player Pos. Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Rivals Career Starts/Honors/Notes
Tyler Horn C 25 career starts, 2011 2nd All-ACC
Harland Gunn LG 30 career starts
Brandon Washington LT 27 career starts
Joel Figueroa LT 16 career starts
Brandon Linder RG 6'6, 310 Jr. **** (5.8) 14 career starts
Seantrel Henderson RT 6'8, 350 Jr. ***** (6.1) 11 career starts
Jon Feliciano LG 6'5, 320 So. *** (5.6) 8 career starts
Malcolm Bunche LT 6'7, 325 So. **** (5.8) 1 career start
Jeremy Lewis RG 6'4, 315 Sr. **** (5.8)
Shane McDermott C 6'4, 295 So. *** (5.6)
Ben Jones LT 6'5, 320 Sr. **** (5.8)
Jared Wheeler C 6'5, 315 Jr. *** (5.6)
Jermaine Johnson LG 6'6, 320 Jr. **** (5.8)
Ereck Flowers OL 6'6, 312 Fr. **** (5.8)

Defense

Category Yards/
Game Rk
S&P+ Rk Success
Rt. Rk
PPP+ Rk
OVERALL 45 82 97 63
RUSHING 68 41 64 21
PASSING 29 109 114 103
Standard Downs 81 98 68
Passing Downs 64 76 57
Redzone 17 37 12
Q1 Rk 92 1st Down Rk 69
Q2 Rk 52 2nd Down Rk 78
Q3 Rk 62 3rd Down Rk 81
Q4 Rk 76
Adj. Line Yards Rk 77
Adj. Sack Rate Rk 45

Defensive Line

Name Pos Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Rivals GP Tackles % of Team TFL Sacks Int PBU FF FR
Micanor Regis DT 11 30.0 4.4% 6.5 2 4
Anthony Chickillo DE 6'4, 255 So. **** (5.9) 12 26.5 3.9% 6.5 5 1 1
Andrew Smith DE 12 19.5 2.9% 2
Kelvin Cain DE 6'3, 235 Jr. ** (5.4) 9 17.5 2.6% 1 1
Darius Smith DT 6'2, 335 Sr. NR 12 17.5 2.6% 3 1 1
Olivier Vernon DE 6 16.5 2.4% 3.5 1.5 1 1
Adewale Ojomo DT 11 14.0 2.1% 3.5 1.5 1 1
Curtis Porter DT 6'1, 300 Jr. *** (5.7) 2 7.5 1.1% 1
Shayon Green DE 6'3, 255 Jr. *** (5.5) 4 5.5 0.8% 0.5
Marcus Forston DT 3 4.0 0.6% 1 1 1
Olsen Pierre DT 6'4, 265 So. *** (5.5) 7 3.5 0.5% 0.5
Luther Robinson DT 6'3, 295 Jr. **** (5.8)
Ricardo Williams DE 6'5, 220 RSFr. *** (5.7)
Tyriq McCord DE 6'3, 215 Fr. **** (5.9)
Jelani Hamilton DE 6'5, 262 Fr. **** (5.9)

Linebackers

Name Pos Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Rivals GP Tackles % of Team TFL Sacks Int PBU FF FR
Sean Spence MLB 11 80.0 11.7% 14 3 1 1
Denzel Perryman MLB 6'0, 221 So. *** (5.7) 12 58.0 8.5% 6.5 1 2
James Gaines WLB 6'3, 225 Jr. ** (5.4) 12 41.0 6.0% 3 1
Marcus Robinson SLB 12 29.5 4.3% 7.5 5 2 2
Ramon Buchanan SLB 6'1, 222 Sr. **** (6.0) 4 14.5 2.1% 2
Jordan Futch SLB 9 14.5 2.1% 2 1 2 1
Nantambu Fentress LB 5'9, 205 So. NR 7 5.5 0.8%
Tyrone Cornileus SLB 6'2, 210 Jr. *** (5.7) 9 5.5 0.8%
Gionni Paul SLB 6'1, 230 So. *** (5.7) 7 2.5 0.4%
Eddie Johnson WLB 6'1, 230 RSFr. *** (5.6)
Raphael Kirby MLB 6'0, 220 Fr. **** (5.9)

Secondary

Name Pos Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Rivals GP Tackles % of Team TFL Sacks Int PBU FF FR
JoJo Nicolas FS 12 51.5 7.6% 2.5 2 1 1 1
Vaughn Telemaque SS 6'2, 202 Sr. **** (5.9) 12 47.5 7.0% 0.5 1 1 1
Brandon McGee CB 6'0, 185 Sr. **** (5.9) 12 31.5 4.6% 2.5 1 1 2
Ray-Ray Armstrong SS 7 27.0 4.0% 0.5 1 2 1
Mike Williams CB 12 24.5 3.6% 2 3 1
Lee Chambers DB 9 13.0 1.9% 1
Thomas Finnie CB 5'10, 180 So. *** (5.7) 11 12.0 1.8% 1 1
A.J. Highsmith FS 6'0, 195 Jr. *** (5.6) 11 10.0 1.5%
Andrew Swasey SS 5'10, 205 Sr. NR 12 8.5 1.2% 1
Nathan Gholston DB 8 3.0 0.4% 1
Kacy Rodgers SS 6'2, 200 Jr. *** (5.7) 10 2.5 0.4% 1
Davon Johnson DB 6'0, 185 Sr. **** (5.9) 10 2.5 0.4%
Ladarius Gunter CB 6'2, 196 Jr. *** (5.5)
Tracy Howard DB 5'11, 170 Fr. ***** (6.1)
Deon Bush DB 6'1, 179 Fr. **** (5.9)
Larry Hope CB 6'0, 175 Fr. *** (5.6)

Special Teams

Punter Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Punts Avg TB FC I20 FC/I20
Ratio
Dalton Botts 6'3, 207 Sr. 48 42.7 3 19 11 62.5%
Kicker Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Kickoffs Avg TB TB%
Jake Wieclaw 6'2, 195 Sr. 60 65 4 6.7%
Place-Kicker Ht, Wt 2012
Year
PAT FG
(0-39)
Pct FG
(40+)
Pct
Jake Wieclaw 6'2, 195 Sr. 39-39 8-8 100.0% 3-6 50.0%
Returner Pos. Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Returns Avg. TD
Travis Benjamin KR 25 23.7 0
Lamar Miller KR 7 23.1 0
Phillip Dorsett KR 5'10, 186 So. 4 20.5 0
Travis Benjamin PR 11 11.0 0
Category Rk
Special Teams F/+ 29
Net Punting 44
Net Kickoffs 12
Touchback Pct 98
Field Goal Pct 29
Kick Returns Avg 72
Punt Returns Avg 25

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Glossary

Adj. Line Yards: A line measure derived from the formula found here. The idea is to divvy credit for a given rush between both the runner and the blockers.

Adj. Pace: Part of the offensive footprint, this takes into account both the number of plays a team attempts and the type of play. Since passes, on average, take up less time (thanks to the fact that 30-50 percent of them are incomplete and stop the clock), pass-heavy offenses are prone to run more plays, therefore limiting the effectiveness of a general plays-per-game measure. Adj. Pace takes a team's run-pass ratio into account.

Adj. POE: An opponent-adjusted "Points Over Expected" measure for running backs that looks both at what a runner gained and what would have been expected given the opponents involved. For more information, start here.

Adj. Points: A look at how a team would have performed in a given week if playing a perfectly average team, with a somewhat average number of breaks and turnovers. The idea for the measure is simple: what if everybody in the country played exactly the same opponent every single week? Who would have done the best? It is an attempt to look at offensive and defensive consistency without getting sidetracked by easy or difficult schedules. And yes, with adjusted score you can allow a negative number of points. For more, start here.

Adj. Record: See Adj. Points.

Adj. Sack Rate: An opponent-adjusted measure of sack rates.

Adj. Score: See Adj. Points.

Adj. TO Margin: What a team's turnover margin would have been if they had recovered exactly 50 percent of all the fumbles that occurred in their games. If there is a huge difference between TO Margin and Adj. TO Margin (in other words, if fumbles, dropped interceptions, or other unlucky bounces were the main source of a good/bad TO margin), that suggests that a team's luck was particularly good or bad and might even out the next season.

Adj. Yards Per Target: A look at a receiver's total receiving yards divided by the number of times he was targeted. Slight adjustments are made for the percentage of times a receiver was targeted on standard ("%SD") and passing downs. Players targeted more on passing downs are likely to have a lower overall per-target average, since passing is more difficult on passing downs.

Bend-Don't-Break: Part of the defensive footprint, this is a comparison of a team's Def. Success Rate (efficiency) to its Def. PPP (explosiveness). The higher the number, the higher percentage of a team's overall S&P was made up by success rate, i.e. the more willing a team was to sacrifice efficiency to prevent big plays. (The lower the number, the more likely a team was to take aggressive risks.)

Covariance: Covariance is a statistical tool that provides a measure of the strength of the correlation between two or more sets of random variates. For these purposes, it is used to compare a team's performance (using opponent-adjusted Adj. Score) to the quality of the opponent at hand. Some teams play their best games against their worst opponents, and some teams do the opposite. This measure is used for both the offensive and defensive footprint. For more, go here.

Go After the Ball: Part of the defensive footprint, this looks at a team's forced fumbles, interceptions and passes broken up. In other words, it looks at their ability to go after the ball. The higher the number, the more they got their hands on the football.

Highlight Yards: The portion of a given run that is credit only to the running back; after a certain number of yards, the line has done its job, and most of the rest of the run will be determined by the running back himself. For more information, start here.

Need for Blitzes: Part of the defensive footprint, this compares a team's standard downs sack rate to its passing downs sack rate. The lower the number, the more they were able to generate pressure on standard downs, and the less need for blitzes.

Turnovers Luck: Presented in Points Per Game fashion, Turnovers Luck looks at the difference between a team's Turnover and Adj. TO Margins and, using the average point value of a turnover (~5.0 points), projects how many points a team gained or lost per game last season.

Yards Per Point: A measure long tracked by Phil Steele as a means of looking at teams that were a little too efficient or inefficient the previous season. A positive YPP Margin means a team's offense was less efficient than opponents' offenses, and to the extent that luck was involved, their luck might even out the next year.

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