2012 Kansas State Wildcats Football: Statistical Profile

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2011 Schedule & Results

Record: 10-3 | Adj. Record: 7-6 | Final F/+ Rk: 33
Date Opponent Score W-L Adj. Score Adj. W-L
3-Sep Eastern Kentucky 10-7 W 18.0 - 5.8 W
17-Sep Kent State 37-0 W 32.8 - 27.3 W
24-Sep at Miami 28-24 W 31.5 - 29.9 W
1-Oct Baylor 36-35 W 25.3 - 28.3 L
8-Oct Missouri 24-17 W 25.4 - 25.7 L
15-Oct at Texas Tech 41-34 W 26.6 - 28.6 L
22-Oct at Kansas 59-21 W 30.6 - 29.2 W
29-Oct Oklahoma 17-58 L 25.9 - 33.2 L
5-Nov at Oklahoma State 45-52 L 29.5 - 31.7 L
12-Nov Texas A&M 53-50 W 30.6 - 28.0 W
19-Nov at Texas 17-13 W 21.3 - 21.3 W
3-Dec Iowa State 30-23 W 30.5 - 30.4 W
6-Jan vs Arkansas 16-29 L 23.6 - 25.5 L
Category Offense Rk Defense Rk
Points Per Game 31.8 34 27.9 68
Adj. Points Per Game 27.1 68 26.5 44

2012 Schedule & Projection Factors

2012 Schedule
Date Opponent Proj. Rk
1-Sep Missouri State NR
8-Sep Miami 45
15-Sep North Texas 106
22-Sep at Oklahoma 3
6-Oct Kansas 105
13-Oct at Iowa State 85
20-Oct at West Virginia 17
27-Oct Texas Tech 38
3-Nov Oklahoma State 4
10-Nov at TCU 21
17-Nov at Baylor 28
1-Dec Texas 10
Five-Year F/+ Rk 63
Two-Year Recruiting Rk 61
TO Margin/Adj. TO Margin* +12 / +6.2
TO Luck/Game +2.2
Approx. Ret. Starters (Off. / Def.) 13 (7, 6)
Yds/Pt Margin** -3.5

Offense

Category Yards/
Game Rk
S&P+ Rk Success
Rt. Rk
PPP+ Rk
OVERALL 101 63 76 56
RUSHING 29 39 56 34
PASSING 108 81 92 72
Standard Downs 57 68 49
Passing Downs 73 76 66
Redzone 6 7 6
Q1 Rk 99 1st Down Rk 56
Q2 Rk 42 2nd Down Rk 88
Q3 Rk 50 3rd Down Rk 35
Q4 Rk 62
Adj. Line Yards Rk 77
Adj. Sack Rate Rk 119

Quarterback

Note: players in bold below are 2012 returnees. Players in italics are questionable with injury/suspension.

Player Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Rivals Comp Att Yards Comp
Rate
TD INT Sacks Sack Rate Yards/
Att.
Collin Klein 6'5, 226 Sr. *** (5.6) 161 281 1,918 57.3% 13 6 22 7.3% 5.5
Sammuel Lamur


6 8 52 75.0% 0 0 0 0.0% 6.5
Daniel Sams 6'2, 211 RSFr. *** (5.7)








Tavarius Bender 6'3, 208 Fr. *** (5.6)








Running Back

Player Pos. Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Rivals Rushes Yards Yards/
Carry
Hlt Yds/
Carry
TD Adj.
POE
Collin Klein QB 6'5, 226 Sr. *** (5.6) 275 1,386 5.0 1.9 27 +29.9
John Hubert RB 5'7, 191 Jr. *** (5.5) 200 970 4.9 1.9 3 -7.6
Angelo Pease RB 5'11, 215 Sr. *** (5.6) 35 146 4.2 1.1 2 -0.5
Tyler Lockett WR 5'11, 175 So. *** (5.6) 10 110 11.0 7.0 0 +3.4
Robert Rose RB 5'4, 174 Jr. NR





Receiving Corps

Player Pos. Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Rivals Targets Catches Yards Catch Rate Target
Rate
%SD Adj. Yds/
Target
Chris Harper WR 6'1, 225 Sr. **** (5.9) 79 40 547 50.6% 28.4% 55.7% 4.4
Tramaine Thompson WR 5'7, 167 Jr. *** (5.6) 36 21 338 58.3% 12.9% 50.0% 9.6
Sheldon Smith WR 33 22 177 66.7% 11.9% 57.6% 5.0
John Hubert RB 5'7, 191 Jr. *** (5.5) 30 24 188 80.0% 10.8% 36.7% 8.2
Tyler Lockett WR 5'11, 175 So. *** (5.6) 24 18 246 75.0% 8.6% 62.5% 11.1
Travis Tannahill TE 6'3, 253 Sr. ** (5.3) 21 10 104 47.6% 7.6% 57.1% 2.2
Andre McDonald TE 6'8, 264 Jr. ** (5.4) 17 9 136 52.9% 6.1% 47.1% 5.5
Brodrick Smith WR


17 8 89 47.1% 6.1% 29.4% 5.4
Curry Sexton WR 5'11, 186 So. ** (5.4) 6 4 43 66.7% 2.2% 50.0% 6.3
Torell Miller WR 6'2, 214 Jr. *** (5.5) 5 4 54 80.0% 1.8% 40.0% 12.2
Braden Wilson FB 6'4, 255 Sr. ** (5.0) 4 2 14 50.0% 1.4% 75.0% 3.5
Kyle Klein WR 6'3, 217 RSFr. *** (5.5)

Offensive Line

2011 Two-Deep Pos. Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Rivals Career Starts/Honors/Notes
Zach Hanson LT 15 career starts, 2011 2nd All-Big 12
Clyde Aufner RT 33 career starts, 2011 1st All-Big 12
Colten Freeze RG 16 career starts
Manase Foketi LT 15 career starts
Nick Puetz LG 6'4, 306 Sr. ** (5.4) 13 career starts
B.J. Finney C 6'4, 303 So. ** (5.2) 12 career starts
Ethan Douglas LT 6'6, 326 Sr. ** (5.3) 1 career start
Keenan Taylor LG 6'4, 290 Jr. *** (5.5) 1 career start
Shaun Simon C


1 career start
Jordan Allred RG


Cornelius Lucas RT 6'9, 322 Jr. ** (5.4)
Tomasi Mariner LG 6'3, 317 So. ** (5.4)
Drew Liddle C 6'3, 288 So. NR
Cody Whitehair RT 6'3, 300 RSFr. *** (5.5)
Boston Stiverson RG 6'4, 306 RSFr. ** (5.4)
Tavon Rooks OL 6'5, 270 Jr. *** (5.7)
Ellwood Clement OL 6'5, 310 Jr. *** (5.5)
Aderius Epps OL 6'2, 295 Fr. *** (5.6)

Defense

Category Yards/
Game Rk
S&P+ Rk Success
Rt. Rk
PPP+ Rk
OVERALL 72 42 45 38
RUSHING 38 33 41 31
PASSING 102 50 54 41
Standard Downs 37 48 29
Passing Downs 62 49 72
Redzone 12 10 20
Q1 Rk 43 1st Down Rk 45
Q2 Rk 37 2nd Down Rk 36
Q3 Rk 81 3rd Down Rk 47
Q4 Rk 42
Adj. Line Yards Rk 19
Adj. Sack Rate Rk 49

Defensive Line

Name Pos Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Rivals GP Tackles % of Team TFL Sacks Int PBU FF FR
Adam Davis DE 6'0, 259 Sr. **** (5.8) 13 28.5 4.0% 8 4 2 1
Vai Lutui DT 6'0, 289 Sr. ** (5.4) 13 28.0 3.9% 2.5 1 4 1
Ray Kibble NT 13 26.0 3.7% 5.5 2 1
Jordan Voelker DE 13 24.5 3.5% 5.5 4.5 4
Meshak Williams DE 6'3, 245 Sr. *** (5.7) 13 23.5 3.3% 10 7 1 1
Raphael Guidry DT 12 9.5 1.3% 1.5 1 1
Ryan Mueller DE 6'1, 245 So. NR 13 2.5 0.4% 0.5 0.5 1 1
Javonta Boyd DT 6'2, 294 Sr. *** (5.7) 5 3.0 0.4%
John Sua DT 6'0, 290 Sr. NR 4 3.0 0.4%
Laton Dowling DE 6'2, 257 So. *** (5.6)
Wesley Hollingshed DT 6'1, 299 Jr. *** (5.6)

Chaquil Reed DT 6'3, 290 Jr. *** (5.5)
Alauna Finau DE 6'2, 255 Jr. ** (5.2)
Hakeem Akinola DT 6'4, 300 Jr. ** (5.2)

Linebackers

Name Pos Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Rivals GP Tackles % of Team TFL Sacks Int PBU FF FR
Arthur Brown MLB 6'1, 228 Sr. ***** (6.1) 13 79.0 11.1% 9.5 2 1 2
Emmanuel Lamur SLB 13 65.0 9.2% 6 1 7 2
Tre Walker WLB 6'3, 225 Jr. *** (5.6) 13 41.0 5.8% 3 0.5 3 1
Jonathan Truman SLB 5'11, 213 So. NR 13 15.0 2.1% 1
Jarell Childs WLB 6'2, 230 Sr. ** (5.4) 11 8.0 1.1% 1 1
Jared Loomis LB 6'0, 226 Sr. NR 12 7.0 1.0% 1
Alex Hrebec LB 13 6.5 0.9%
Blake Slaughter WLB 5'10, 227 Sr. *** (5.6) 12 1.5 0.2%
Justin Tuggle WLB 6'3, 233 Sr. *** (5.6) 4 1.0 0.1%
Mike Moore MLB 6'1, 213 Fr. *** (5.6)
Will Davis LB 6'1, 213 Fr. *** (5.6)

Secondary

Name Pos Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Rivals GP Tackles % of Team TFL Sacks Int PBU FF FR
David Garrett CB 13 77.5 10.9% 6.5 0.5 2 2 2
Nigel Malone CB 5'10, 185 Sr. *** (5.6) 13 52.0 7.3% 7 10 1
Tysyn Hartman FS 13 52.0 7.3% 1.5 3 1
Ty Zimmerman SS 6'1, 203 Jr. ** (5.4) 13 49.0 6.9% 1 2 5
Allen Chapman CB 5'11, 180 Sr. *** (5.6) 13 44.5 6.3% 1 4 1
Matthew Pearson DB 13 24.0 3.4% 1
Randall Evans DB 6'0, 190 So. NR 12 9.0 1.3%
Thomas Ferguson FS 6'0, 202 Sr. *** (5.5) 12 5.0 0.7%
Jarard Milo FS 6'2, 195 Sr. ** (5.1) 12 5.0 0.7%
Kip Daily CB 5'11, 185 Jr. *** (5.6)
Kent Gainous DB 6'1, 190 Jr. *** (5.5)









Special Teams

Punter Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Punts Avg TB FC I20 FC/I20
Ratio
Ryan Doerr 6'3, 182 Sr. 67 40.8 6 32 14 68.7%
Kicker Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Kickoffs Avg TB TB%
Anthony Cantele 5'10, 181 Sr. 76 62.2 14 18.4%
Place-Kicker Ht, Wt 2012
Year
PAT FG
(0-39)
Pct FG
(40+)
Pct
Anthony Cantele 5'10, 181 Sr. 48-49 13-16 81.3% 4-7 57.1%
Returner Pos. Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Returns Avg. TD
Tramaine Thompson KR 5'8, 167 Jr. 18 19.3 0
Tyler Lockett KR 5'11, 175 So. 16 35.2 2
Tramaine Thompson PR 5'8, 167 Jr. 10 12.3 0
Tyler Lockett PR 5'11, 175 So. 6 6.3 0
Category Rk
Special Teams F/+ 28
Net Punting 69
Net Kickoffs 56
Touchback Pct 37
Field Goal Pct 42
Kick Returns Avg 8
Punt Returns Avg 58

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Glossary

Adj. Line Yards: A line measure derived from the formula found here. The idea is to divvy credit for a given rush between both the runner and the blockers.

Adj. Pace: Part of the offensive footprint, this takes into account both the number of plays a team attempts and the type of play. Since passes, on average, take up less time (thanks to the fact that 30-50 percent of them are incomplete and stop the clock), pass-heavy offenses are prone to run more plays, therefore limiting the effectiveness of a general plays-per-game measure. Adj. Pace takes a team's run-pass ratio into account.

Adj. POE: An opponent-adjusted "Points Over Expected" measure for running backs that looks both at what a runner gained and what would have been expected given the opponents involved. For more information, start here.

Adj. Points: A look at how a team would have performed in a given week if playing a perfectly average team, with a somewhat average number of breaks and turnovers. The idea for the measure is simple: what if everybody in the country played exactly the same opponent every single week? Who would have done the best? It is an attempt to look at offensive and defensive consistency without getting sidetracked by easy or difficult schedules. And yes, with adjusted score you can allow a negative number of points. For more, start here.

Adj. Record: See Adj. Points.

Adj. Sack Rate: An opponent-adjusted measure of sack rates.

Adj. Score: See Adj. Points.

Adj. TO Margin: What a team's turnover margin would have been if they had recovered exactly 50 percent of all the fumbles that occurred in their games. If there is a huge difference between TO Margin and Adj. TO Margin (in other words, if fumbles, dropped interceptions, or other unlucky bounces were the main source of a good/bad TO margin), that suggests that a team's luck was particularly good or bad and might even out the next season.

Adj. Yards Per Target: A look at a receiver's total receiving yards divided by the number of times he was targeted. Slight adjustments are made for the percentage of times a receiver was targeted on standard ("%SD") and passing downs. Players targeted more on passing downs are likely to have a lower overall per-target average, since passing is more difficult on passing downs.

Bend-Don't-Break: Part of the defensive footprint, this is a comparison of a team's Def. Success Rate (efficiency) to its Def. PPP (explosiveness). The higher the number, the higher percentage of a team's overall S&P was made up by success rate, i.e. the more willing a team was to sacrifice efficiency to prevent big plays. (The lower the number, the more likely a team was to take aggressive risks.)

Covariance: Covariance is a statistical tool that provides a measure of the strength of the correlation between two or more sets of random variates. For these purposes, it is used to compare a team's performance (using opponent-adjusted Adj. Score) to the quality of the opponent at hand. Some teams play their best games against their worst opponents, and some teams do the opposite. This measure is used for both the offensive and defensive footprint. For more, go here.

Go After the Ball: Part of the defensive footprint, this looks at a team's forced fumbles, interceptions and passes broken up. In other words, it looks at their ability to go after the ball. The higher the number, the more they got their hands on the football.

Highlight Yards: The portion of a given run that is credit only to the running back; after a certain number of yards, the line has done its job, and most of the rest of the run will be determined by the running back himself. For more information, start here.

Need for Blitzes: Part of the defensive footprint, this compares a team's standard downs sack rate to its passing downs sack rate. The lower the number, the more they were able to generate pressure on standard downs, and the less need for blitzes.

Turnovers Luck: Presented in Points Per Game fashion, Turnovers Luck looks at the difference between a team's Turnover and Adj. TO Margins and, using the average point value of a turnover (~5.0 points), projects how many points a team gained or lost per game last season.

Yards Per Point: A measure long tracked by Phil Steele as a means of looking at teams that were a little too efficient or inefficient the previous season. A positive YPP Margin means a team's offense was less efficient than opponents' offenses, and to the extent that luck was involved, their luck might even out the next year.

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