2012 Kansas Jayhawks Football: Statistical Profile

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Confused? See the glossary at the bottom.

2011 Schedule & Results

Record: 2-10 | Adj. Record: 0-12 | Final F/+ Rk: 113
Date Opponent Score W-L Adj. Score Adj. W-L
3-Sep McNeese State 42-24 W 29.8 - 31.7 L
10-Sep Northern Illinois 45-42 W 31.2 - 31.9 L
17-Sep at Georgia Tech 24-66 L 24.9 - 36.0 L
1-Oct Texas Tech 34-45 L 28.4 - 29.7 L
8-Oct at Oklahoma State 28-70 L 28.3 - 31.4 L
15-Oct Oklahoma 17-47 L 23.1 - 30.3 L
22-Oct Kansas State 21-59 L 24.8 - 34.6 L
29-Oct at Texas 0-43 L 14.8 - 33.1 L
5-Nov at Iowa State 10-13 L 24.6 - 28.2 L
12-Nov Baylor 30-31 L 24.1 - 28.8 L
19-Nov at Texas A&M 7-61 L 20.0 - 33.5 L
26-Nov vs Missouri 10-24 L 18.5 - 24.0 L
Category Offense Rk Defense Rk
Points Per Game 22.3 95 43.8 120
Adj. Points Per Game 24.4 110 31.1 114

2012 Schedule & Projection Factors

2012 Schedule
Date Opponent Proj. Rk
1-Sep South Dakota State NR
8-Sep Rice 112
15-Sep TCU 21
22-Sep at Northern Illinois 57
6-Oct at Kansas State 35
13-Oct Oklahoma State 4
20-Oct at Oklahoma 3
27-Oct Texas 10
3-Nov at Baylor 28
10-Nov at Texas Tech 38
17-Nov Iowa State 85
1-Dec at West Virginia 17
Five-Year F/+ Rk 77
Two-Year Recruiting Rk 49
TO Margin/Adj. TO Margin* -5 / -7.9
TO Luck/Game +1.2
Approx. Ret. Starters (Off. / Def.) 13 (7, 6)
Yds/Pt Margin** +2.9

Offense

Category Yards/
Game Rk
S&P+ Rk Success
Rt. Rk
PPP+ Rk
OVERALL 106 79 83 78
RUSHING 58 75 87 74
PASSING 101 75 79 69
Standard Downs 104 100 103
Passing Downs 44 43 48
Redzone 38 49 38
Q1 Rk 63 1st Down Rk 111
Q2 Rk 84 2nd Down Rk 69
Q3 Rk 108 3rd Down Rk 50
Q4 Rk 66
Adj. Line Yards Rk 72
Adj. Sack Rate Rk 99

Quarterback

Note: players in bold below are 2012 returnees. Players in italics are questionable with injury/suspension.

Player Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Rivals Comp Att Yards Comp
Rate
TD INT Sacks Sack Rate Yards/
Att.
Jordan Webb 179 281 1,884 63.7% 13 12 31 9.9% 5.4
Quinn Mecham


11 18 113 61.1% 2 0 0 0.0% 6.3
Dayne Crist (2010^) 6'4, 235 Sr. ***** (6.1) 174 294 2,033 59.2% 15 7 91 4.9% 6.3
Turner Baty 6'2, 215 So. *** (5.5)
Michael Cummings 5'10, 205 RSFr. *** (5.5)

^ Crist transferred from Notre Dame and will be eligible this fall.

Running Back

Player Pos. Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Rivals Rushes Yards Yards/
Carry
Hlt Yds/
Carry
TD Adj.
POE
James Sims RB 6'0, 200 Jr. *** (5.7) 182 727 4.0 1.1 9 -7.6
Darrian Miller RB 136 556 4.1 1.1 4 -7.8
Tony Pierson RB 5'11, 168 So. **** (5.8) 71 396 5.6 2.6 3 +0.4
Jordan Webb QB 39 120 3.1 0.8 1 -6.0
Brandon Bourbon RB 6'2, 218 So. **** (5.8) 28 190 6.8 3.2 1 +1.8
Rell Lewis RB 24 72 3.0 0.6 0 -4.2
Christian Matthews WR 6'1, 205 Jr. *** (5.5) 14 69 4.9 0.9 1 +0.1
Marquis Jackson RB 6'0, 205 So. *** (5.6)
Taylor Cox RB 5'11, 210 Jr. *** (5.5)

Receiving Corps

Player Pos. Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Rivals Targets Catches Yards Catch Rate Target
Rate
%SD Adj. Yds/
Target
Daymond Patterson
(2010^)
WR 5'9, 173 Sr. *** (5.7) 92 60 487 65.2% 27.5% 66.3% 5.6
D.J. Beshears WR 5'9, 185 Sr. *** (5.6) 62 40 437 64.5% 21.6% 58.1% 6.3
Kale Pick WR 6'2, 205 Sr. *** (5.6) 48 34 343 70.8% 16.7% 45.8% 6.6
Tim Biere TE 38 27 322 71.1% 13.2% 50.0% 8.3
Christian Matthews WR 6'1, 205 Jr. *** (5.5) 22 11 100 50.0% 7.7% 54.5% 2.7
James Sims RB 6'0, 200 Jr. *** (5.7) 19 14 119 73.7% 6.6% 52.6% 6.1
JaCorey Shepherd WR 5'11, 185 So. *** (5.6) 18 15 252 83.3% 6.3% 66.7% 16.3
Jimmay Mundine TE 6'2, 250 So. *** (5.6) 11 7 86 63.6% 3.8% 54.5% 6.5
Tony Pierson RB 5'11, 168 So. **** (5.8) 10 8 44 80.0% 3.5% 70.0% 5.0
Rell Lewis RB 10 7 56 70.0% 3.5% 20.0% 3.6
Darrian Miller RB 8 7 41 87.5% 2.8% 50.0% 6.3
Chris Omigie WR 6'4, 195 Jr. *** (5.6) 5 1 6 20.0% 1.7% 20.0% 0.0
Mike Ragone
(2007-11^^)
TE 6'4, 255 Sr. **** (5.9) 20 11 109 55.0% 1.2% 80.0% 5.5
Trent Smiley TE 6'4, 240 So. *** (5.7) 3 1 8 33.3% 1.0% 100.0% 2.7
Connor Embree WR 5'10, 180 So. NR
Josh Ford WR 6'3, 205 Jr. *** (5.6)
Charles Brooks TE 6'6, 240 Jr. *** (5.6)

^ Patterson missed most of 2011 with injury.
^^ Ragone is a Notre Dame transfer, eligible immediately. His career has been plagued by injuries to date.

Offensive Line

2011 Two-Deep Pos. Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Rivals Career Starts/Honors/Notes
Jeremiah Hatch C 47 career starts, 2011 2nd All-Big 12
Tanner Hawkinson RT 6'6, 300 Sr. *** (5.7) 36 career starts
Jeff Spikes LT 35 career starts
Duane Zlatnik RG 6'4, 312 Sr. *** (5.6) 21 career starts
Trevor Marrongelli C 6'3, 303 Sr. *** (5.5) 18 career starts
Riley Spencer LT 6'6, 305 Jr. ** (5.4)
Tom Mabry LG
Dylan Admire C 6'3, 277 RSFr. *** (5.6)
Travis Bodenstein RG
Gavin Howard LG 6'4, 300 Jr. *** (5.6)
Bryan Peters LT 6'4, 300 RSFr. *** (5.6)
Damon Martin RG 6'3, 295 RSFr. *** (5.5)
Luke Luhrsen LG 6'4, 300 RSFr. *** (5.5)
Aslam Sterling OL 6'5, 360 Jr. ** (5.3)
Brian Beckmann OL 6'6, 300 Fr. *** (5.6)

Defense

Category Yards/
Game Rk
S&P+ Rk Success
Rt. Rk
PPP+ Rk
OVERALL 120 106 100 104
RUSHING 117 89 83 88
PASSING 110 103 108 97
Standard Downs 99 97 94
Passing Downs 104 110 92
Redzone 78 72 85
Q1 Rk 109 1st Down Rk 111
Q2 Rk 74 2nd Down Rk 64
Q3 Rk 89 3rd Down Rk 92
Q4 Rk 112
Adj. Line Yards Rk 81
Adj. Sack Rate Rk 115

Defensive Line

Name Pos Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Rivals GP Tackles % of Team TFL Sacks Int PBU FF FR
Toben Opurum DE 6'2, 250 Sr. **** (5.8) 12 36.0 5.0% 10.5 4 1 1
Keba Agostinho DE 6'2, 280 Jr. *** (5.5) 12 24.5 3.4% 2 1 2
Malcolm Walker DE 11 17.5 2.5% 2 1 1
Richard Johnson, Jr. DT 12 13.0 1.8% 2
Patrick Dorsey NT 9 10.5 1.5% 3 1
Josh Williams^ DE 6'4, 255 Sr. *** (5.7) 13 10.0 1.4% 1
John Williams (2010^^) DT 6'3, 300 Sr. *** (5.7) 12 9.0 1.3% 1 1 1
Shane Smith DT 6'6, 295 Jr. NR 12 5.5 0.8% 1
Randall Dent NT 6'4, 300 Jr. *** (5.6) 11 5.0 0.7% 2 1
Pat Lewandowski DT 6'6, 285 So. *** (5.6) 12 4.0 0.6% 2 1 2
Kevin Young DT 6'3, 285 Jr. *** (5.6) 9 2.0 0.3% 1
Ty McKinney DT 6'3, 310 Jr. *** (5.6)

Josh Richardson DE 6'4, 245 Sr. *** (5.5)
Ben Goodman DE 6'3, 260 RSFr. *** (5.6)
Jordan Tavai DT 6'3, 290 Jr. *** (5.5)

^ Josh Williams is a Nebraska transfer, eligible immediately.
^^ John Williams missed most of 2011 with injury.

Linebackers

Name Pos Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Rivals GP Tackles % of Team TFL Sacks Int PBU FF FR
Steven Johnson WLB 12 95.0 13.3% 6 1 2 2 1
Darius Willis MLB 6'2, 40 Jr. ** (5.4) 12 64.5 9.0% 8 1
Tunde Bakare SLB 5'10, 205 Sr. *** (5.6) 12 37.5 5.3% 1 1
Isaac Wright MLB 12 24.5 3.4% 1
Huldon Tharp WLB 6'0, 227 Jr. *** (5.5) 10 18.0 2.5%
Prinz Kande SLB 5'11, 205 Jr. **** (5.8) 11 13.5 1.9%
Anthony McDonald (2010^) LB 6'2, 235 Sr. **** (5.8) 11 8.5 1.2%
Michael Reynolds SLB 6'1, 240 So. *** (5.5) 11 7.0 1.0% 1 2
Ben Heeney LB 6'0, 225 So. *** (5.6) 12 6.5 0.9%
Schyler Miles LB 6'2, 225 Fr. *** (5.7)
Courtney Arnick LB 6'2, 195 Fr. *** (5.6)
Tyler Hunt MLB 6'2, 230 Jr. NR
Jon Shelby LB 6'2, 190 Jr. NR

^ McDonald is a Notre Dame transfer, eligible immediately.

Secondary

Name Pos Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Rivals GP Tackles % of Team TFL Sacks Int PBU FF FR
Bradley McDougald FS 6'1, 209 Sr. **** (5.8) 12 77.5 10.9% 5 1 2 5 1
Keeston Terry FS 11 50.5 7.1% 1 1 2
Tyler Patmon CB 5'11, 168 Jr. *** (5.6) 11 35.5 5.0% 2 1 4
Greg Brown CB 5'11, 185 Sr. *** (5.6) 12 33.0 4.6% 1.5 2 3 1
Isiah Barfield CB 12 30.0 4.2% 1 5 1
Lubbock Smith SS 5'10, 200 Sr. *** (5.6) 11 21.5 3.0% 2
Anthony Davis CB 12 13.5 1.9% 1 2 1 3
Dexter McDonald S 7 13.0 1.8%
Victor Simmons FS 6'2, 206 So. *** (5.5) 11 11.0 1.5% 1 1
Dexter Linton CB 5'11, 195 Jr. *** (5.7) 12 7.0 1.0%
Ray Mitchell SS 6'0, 190 So. ** (5.4) 10 6.5 0.9%
Nasir Moore CB 6'1, 185 Jr. ** (5.2)
Greg Allen CB 5'11, 199 Fr. *** (5.5)

Special Teams

Punter Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Punts Avg TB FC I20 FC/I20
Ratio
Ron Doherty 6'0, 209 Jr. 64 42.8 5 15 15 46.9%
Kicker Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Kickoffs Avg TB TB%
Alex Mueller 5'8, 162 So. 30 60.1 0 0.0%
Ron Doherty 6'0, 209 Jr. 22 56.5 4 18.2%
Place-Kicker Ht, Wt 2012
Year
PAT FG
(0-39)
Pct FG
(40+)
Pct
Alex Mueller 5'8, 162 So. 34-35 3-5 60.0% 0-3 0.0%
Ron Doherty 6'0, 209 Jr. 0-0 3-4 75.0% 0-0 N/A
Returner Pos. Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Returns Avg. TD
D.J. Beshears KR 5'9, 185 Sr. 49 20.7 0
Brandon Bourbon KR 6'2, 218 So. 14 19.5 0
D.J. Beshears PR 5'9, 185 Sr. 10 7.2 0
Bradley McDougald PR 6'1, 209 Sr. 2 11.5 0
Category Rk
Special Teams F/+ 111
Net Punting 72
Net Kickoffs 100
Touchback Pct 94
Field Goal Pct 112
Kick Returns Avg 104
Punt Returns Avg 65

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Glossary

Adj. Line Yards: A line measure derived from the formula found here. The idea is to divvy credit for a given rush between both the runner and the blockers.

Adj. Pace: Part of the offensive footprint, this takes into account both the number of plays a team attempts and the type of play. Since passes, on average, take up less time (thanks to the fact that 30-50 percent of them are incomplete and stop the clock), pass-heavy offenses are prone to run more plays, therefore limiting the effectiveness of a general plays-per-game measure. Adj. Pace takes a team's run-pass ratio into account.

Adj. POE: An opponent-adjusted "Points Over Expected" measure for running backs that looks both at what a runner gained and what would have been expected given the opponents involved. For more information, start here.

Adj. Points: A look at how a team would have performed in a given week if playing a perfectly average team, with a somewhat average number of breaks and turnovers. The idea for the measure is simple: what if everybody in the country played exactly the same opponent every single week? Who would have done the best? It is an attempt to look at offensive and defensive consistency without getting sidetracked by easy or difficult schedules. And yes, with adjusted score you can allow a negative number of points. For more, start here.

Adj. Record: See Adj. Points.

Adj. Sack Rate: An opponent-adjusted measure of sack rates.

Adj. Score: See Adj. Points.

Adj. TO Margin: What a team's turnover margin would have been if they had recovered exactly 50 percent of all the fumbles that occurred in their games. If there is a huge difference between TO Margin and Adj. TO Margin (in other words, if fumbles, dropped interceptions, or other unlucky bounces were the main source of a good/bad TO margin), that suggests that a team's luck was particularly good or bad and might even out the next season.

Adj. Yards Per Target: A look at a receiver's total receiving yards divided by the number of times he was targeted. Slight adjustments are made for the percentage of times a receiver was targeted on standard ("%SD") and passing downs. Players targeted more on passing downs are likely to have a lower overall per-target average, since passing is more difficult on passing downs.

Bend-Don't-Break: Part of the defensive footprint, this is a comparison of a team's Def. Success Rate (efficiency) to its Def. PPP (explosiveness). The higher the number, the higher percentage of a team's overall S&P was made up by success rate, i.e. the more willing a team was to sacrifice efficiency to prevent big plays. (The lower the number, the more likely a team was to take aggressive risks.)

Covariance: Covariance is a statistical tool that provides a measure of the strength of the correlation between two or more sets of random variates. For these purposes, it is used to compare a team's performance (using opponent-adjusted Adj. Score) to the quality of the opponent at hand. Some teams play their best games against their worst opponents, and some teams do the opposite. This measure is used for both the offensive and defensive footprint. For more, go here.

Go After the Ball: Part of the defensive footprint, this looks at a team's forced fumbles, interceptions and passes broken up. In other words, it looks at their ability to go after the ball. The higher the number, the more they got their hands on the football.

Highlight Yards: The portion of a given run that is credit only to the running back; after a certain number of yards, the line has done its job, and most of the rest of the run will be determined by the running back himself. For more information, start here.

Need for Blitzes: Part of the defensive footprint, this compares a team's standard downs sack rate to its passing downs sack rate. The lower the number, the more they were able to generate pressure on standard downs, and the less need for blitzes.

Turnovers Luck: Presented in Points Per Game fashion, Turnovers Luck looks at the difference between a team's Turnover and Adj. TO Margins and, using the average point value of a turnover (~5.0 points), projects how many points a team gained or lost per game last season.

Yards Per Point: A measure long tracked by Phil Steele as a means of looking at teams that were a little too efficient or inefficient the previous season. A positive YPP Margin means a team's offense was less efficient than opponents' offenses, and to the extent that luck was involved, their luck might even out the next year.

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