2012 Iowa State Cyclones Football: Statistical Profile

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2011 Schedule & Results

Record: 6-7 | Adj. Record: 4-9 | Final F/+ Rk: 72
Date Opponent Score W-L Adj. Score Adj. W-L
3-Sep Northern Iowa 20-19 W 19.5 - 30.9 L
10-Sep Iowa 44-41 W 31.3 - 27.7 W
16-Sep at Connecticut 24-20 W 25.1 - 25.9 L
1-Oct Texas 14-37 L 29.8 - 29.2 W
8-Oct at Baylor 26-49 L 23.0 - 28.4 L
15-Oct at Missouri 17-52 L 21.6 - 31.1 L
22-Oct Texas A&M 17-33 L 22.5 - 27.6 L
29-Oct at Texas Tech 41-7 W 24.8 - 21.5 W
5-Nov Kansas 13-10 W 19.2 - 28.7 L
18-Nov Oklahoma State 37-31 W 29.0 - 25.6 W
26-Nov at Oklahoma 6-26 L 22.0 - 25.9 L
3-Dec at Kansas State 23-30 L 26.2 - 31.1 L
30-Dec vs Rutgers 13-27 L 25.2 - 30.3 L
Category Offense Rk Defense Rk
Points Per Game 22.7 90 29.4 82
Adj. Points Per Game 24.6 106 28.0 62

2012 Schedule & Projection Factors

2012 Schedule
Date Opponent Proj. Rk
1-Sep Tulsa 54
8-Sep at Iowa 34
15-Sep Western Illinois NR
29-Sep Texas Tech 31
6-Oct at TCU 12
13-Oct Kansas State 47
20-Oct at Oklahoma State 5
27-Oct Baylor 46
3-Nov Oklahoma 3
10-Nov at Texas 9
17-Nov at Kansas 91
24-Nov West Virginia 20
Five-Year F/+ Rk 92
Two-Year Recruiting Rk 72
TO Margin/Adj. TO Margin* -11 / -9.4
TO Luck/Game -0.6
Approx. Ret. Starters (Off. / Def.) 12 (7, 5)
Yds/Pt Margin** +2.5

Offense

Category Yards/
Game Rk
S&P+ Rk Success
Rt. Rk
PPP+ Rk
OVERALL 60 98 90 98
RUSHING 39 68 50 83
PASSING 73 104 104 95
Standard Downs 103 99 101
Passing Downs 69 64 73
Redzone 99 66 107
Q1 Rk 78 1st Down Rk 114
Q2 Rk 108 2nd Down Rk 83
Q3 Rk 100 3rd Down Rk 56
Q4 Rk 82
Adj. Line Yards Rk 45
Adj. Sack Rate Rk 39

Quarterback

Note: players in bold below are 2012 returnees. Players in italics are questionable with injury/suspension.

Player Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Rivals Comp Att Yards Comp
Rate
TD INT Sacks Sack Rate Yards/
Att.
Steele Jantz 6'3, 224 Sr. *** (5.6) 138 259 1,519 53.3% 10 11 16 5.8% 5.2
Jared Barnett 6'0, 200 So. *** (5.6) 110 220 1,201 50.0% 6 6 9 3.9% 5.0
Sam Richardson 6'2, 204 RSFr. *** (5.5)








Running Back

Player Pos. Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Rivals Rushes Yards Yards/
Carry
Hlt Yds/
Carry
TD Adj.
POE
James White RB 5'8, 184 Jr. *** (5.5) 157 743 4.7 2.1 8 -2.6
Jared Barnett QB 6'0, 200 So. *** (5.6) 95 493 5.2 2.1 1 -8.1
Jeff Woody RB 6'0, 235 Jr. NR 91 380 4.2 1.2 6 +1.1
Steele Jantz QB 6'3, 224 Sr. *** (5.6) 68 309 4.5 1.6 2 -4.0
Shontrelle Johnson RB 5'9, 187 Jr. *** (5.5) 51 247 4.8 1.4 0 -4.5
Duran Hollis RB

32 213 6.7 4.0 2 +4.1
DeVondrick Nealy RB 5'10, 180 RSFr. *** (5.7)





Rob Standard RB 5'10, 187 RSFr. *** (5.6)





Receiving Corps

Player Pos. Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Rivals Targets Catches Yards Catch Rate Target
Rate
%SD Adj. Yds/
Target
Darius Reynolds WR 95 43 695 45.3% 21.7% 40.0% 4.2
Aaron Horne WR 5'9, 175 Sr. ** (5.4) 65 38 431 58.5% 14.9% 61.5% 5.7
Josh Lenz WR 6'0, 197 Sr. ** (5.2) 62 39 510 62.9% 14.2% 50.0% 7.3
Darius Darks WR 47 21 211 44.7% 10.8% 53.2% 2.1
Jarvis West WR 5'7, 164 So. *** (5.6) 40 25 141 62.5% 9.2% 62.5% 2.9
Albert Gary WR 5'10, 196 Jr. ** (5.2) 38 23 287 60.5% 8.7% 57.9% 6.2
James White RB 5'8, 184 Jr. *** (5.5) 29 21 165 72.4% 6.6% 58.6% 5.5
Kurt Hammerschmidt TE 6'6, 265 Sr. ** (4.9) 20 13 126 65.0% 4.6% 55.0% 5.5
Reid Branderhorst TE 18 10 55 55.6% 4.1% 61.1% 2.2
Chris Young WR 5'11, 197 Sr. **** (5.8) 12 6 68 50.0% 2.7% 66.7% 4.0
Ricky Howard TE 6'4, 257 Sr. *** (5.6)

Ernst Brun TE 6'3, 240 Jr. *** (5.5)
Quenton Bundrage WR 6'2, 184 RSFr. *** (5.6)
Ja'Quarius Daniels WR 6'3, 227 RSFr. *** (5.5)
Tad Ecby WR 6'0, 201 RSFr. ** (5.4)
Quan West WR 6'4, 208 Fr. *** (5.7)

Offensive Line

2011 Two-Deep Pos. Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Rivals Career Starts/Honors/Notes
Kelechi Osemele LT 44 career starts, 2011 1st All-Big 12
Hayworth Hicks RG 24 career starts, 2011 2nd All-Big 12
Brayden Burris RT 6'6, 298 Sr. ** (5.4) 19 career starts
Tom Farniok C 6'3, 280 So. ** (5.4) 13 career starts
Ethan Tuftee LG 6'4, 318 Jr. ** (5.4) 10 career starts
Carter Bykowski LT 6'8, 303 Sr. ** (5.1) 5 career starts
Kyle Lichtenberg RG 6'6, 294 Jr. *** (5.5) 3 career starts
Jacob Gannon RG 6'7, 286 So. ** (5.3) 2 career starts
Sam Tautolo C 6'3, 312 Sr. ** (5.4)
Bob Graham LG 6'5, 293 So. *** (5.5)
Oni Omoile LG 6'3, 284 RSFr. *** (5.5)
Brock Dagel LT 6'8, 284 RSFr. ** (5.4)
Jamison Lalk RT 6'6, 275 RSFr. ** (5.2)

Defense

Category Yards/
Game Rk
S&P+ Rk Success
Rt. Rk
PPP+ Rk
OVERALL 95 49 61 41
RUSHING 98 59 91 44
PASSING 73 39 30 48
Standard Downs 38 47 33
Passing Downs 56 55 53
Redzone 25 35 22
Q1 Rk 44 1st Down Rk 57
Q2 Rk 75 2nd Down Rk 34
Q3 Rk 23 3rd Down Rk 52
Q4 Rk 33
Adj. Line Yards Rk 91
Adj. Sack Rate Rk 96

Defensive Line

Name Pos Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Rivals GP Tackles % of Team TFL Sacks Int PBU FF FR
Jake Lattimer DE 13 33.5 4.2% 6 3 4 1
Patrick Neal DE 13 32.0 4.0% 4.5 3.5 1 2
Jake McDonough NG 6'5, 290 Sr. *** (5.5) 13 27.5 3.5% 4.5 2 1
Stephen Ruempolhamer NG 12 26.5 3.3% 5 2.5 1 1 2 1
Roosevelt Maggitt (2010^) DE 6'3, 246 Sr. ** (5.3) 12 24.5 3.3% 2 1 2 1
Willie Scott DE 6'2, 231 Jr. ** (5.2) 13 23.5 3.0% 4.5 1 1
Ben Durbin^^ NG 6'3, 272 Sr. ** (5.2) 13 20.0 2.6% 3.5 2 2 1
Cleyon Laing DT 6'4, 291 Sr. ** (5.2) 12 9.0 1.1% 0.5 0.5 1
Rony Nelson DE 6'1, 248 Sr. *** (5.5) 12 6.5 0.8% 1 1 1
Henry Simon DT 6'3, 289 Sr. ** (5.2) 10 4.5 0.6% 0.5
Walter Woods III NG 6'0, 308 Jr. ** (5.4) 12 3.5 0.4% 2 1
David Irving DE 6'7, 262 So. ** (5.4) 9 3.0 0.4% 2
Brandon Jensen DT 6'5, 280 So. ** (5.4) 11 2.5 0.3% 1
Cory Morrisey DE 6'4, 242 Jr. *** (5.5)
Devin Lemke DE 6'4, 225 RSFr. *** (5.5)
Nick Kron DE 6'2, 237 RSFr. ** (5.1)

^ Maggitt missed most of 2011 with a knee injury sustained in the opening game.
^^ Durbin was Wyoming's starting defensive end last year and is eligible to play immediately at Iowa State.

Linebackers

Name Pos Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Rivals GP Tackles % of Team TFL Sacks Int PBU FF FR
Jake Knott WLB 6'3, 239 Sr. ** (5.4) 13 94.5 11.9% 4 2 3 4 1
A.J. Klein SLB 6'2, 244 Sr. *** (5.5) 13 91.0 11.5% 7.5 2 1 6
Matt Tau'fo'ou MLB 12 52.0 6.6% 4
Deon Broomfield SLB 6'0, 194 Jr. ** (5.2) 13 18.0 2.3%
C.J. Morgan SLB 6'3, 213 So. ** (5.4) 8 13.0 1.6% 2 1
Matt Morton LB 6'0, 202 Sr. NR 13 11.5 1.4% 1 1
Jevohn Miller WLB 6'1, 242 So. ** (5.4) 12 1.5 0.2%
Jeremiah George MLB 5'11, 225 Jr. *** (5.6) 13 1.0 0.1%
Darius White LB 6'1, 230 Fr. *** (5.6)
Adam Pavlenko LB 5'10, 210 Fr. *** (5.6)

Secondary

Name Pos Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Rivals GP Tackles % of Team TFL Sacks Int PBU FF FR
Jacques Washington FS 6'1, 213 Jr. ** (5.2) 13 76.0 9.6% 1 1 1 8 1 1
Leonard Johnson CB 13 65.5 8.3% 2 1 8 1 3
Jeremy Reeves CB 5'7, 176 Sr. ** (5.1) 13 62.0 7.8% 3 2 7 1
Ter'Ran Benton SS 13 59.0 7.4% 4 0.5 3 3 1
Durrell Givens SS 6'0, 211 Sr. *** (5.6) 11 27.0 3.4% 2 1 1
Deon Broomfield FS 6'0, 196 Jr. ** (5.2) 13 18.0 2.3%
Jansen Watson CB 5'9, 185 Jr. ** (5.3) 13 10.0 1.3%
Jace Hawley DB 5'10, 204 Sr. NR 13 6.5 0.8%
Jared Brackens SS 6'1, 205 So. *** (5.5) 12 6.0 0.8%
Cliff Stokes CB 6'1, 175 Jr. *** (5.5)
Matthew Thomas CB 5'10, 167 So. ** (5.2)
Kenneth Lynn CB 5'10, 161 RSFr. *** (5.5)
Darian Cotton FS 5'11, 172 RSFr. *** (5.5)
Sam Richardson CB 5'7, 186 RSFr. ** (5.3)
T.J. Mutcherson SS 5'11, 192 Fr. ** (5.3)

Special Teams

Punter Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Punts Avg TB FC I20 FC/I20
Ratio
Kirby Van Der Kamp 6'4, 193 Jr. 68 42.7 10 11 21 47.1%
Kicker Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Kickoffs Avg TB TB%
Grant Mahoney 56 64 10 17.9%
Place-Kicker Ht, Wt 2012
Year
PAT FG
(0-39)
Pct FG
(40+)
Pct
Zach Guyer 29-31 5-8 62.5% 6-8 75.0%
Grant Mahoney 2-4 0-0 N/A 1-4 25.0%
Returner Pos. Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Returns Avg. TD
Josh Lenz KR 6'0, 197 Sr. 24 21.9 0
Jarvis West KR 5'7, 164 So. 22 26.0 0
Josh Lenz PR 6'0, 197 Sr. 12 5.7 0
Aaron Horne PR 5'9, 175 Sr. 4 13.2 0
Category Rk
Special Teams F/+ 64
Net Punting 51
Net Kickoffs 35
Touchback Pct 39
Field Goal Pct 97
Kick Returns Avg 23
Punt Returns Avg 74

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Glossary

Adj. Line Yards: A line measure derived from the formula found here. The idea is to divvy credit for a given rush between both the runner and the blockers.

Adj. Pace: Part of the offensive footprint, this takes into account both the number of plays a team attempts and the type of play. Since passes, on average, take up less time (thanks to the fact that 30-50 percent of them are incomplete and stop the clock), pass-heavy offenses are prone to run more plays, therefore limiting the effectiveness of a general plays-per-game measure. Adj. Pace takes a team's run-pass ratio into account.

Adj. POE: An opponent-adjusted "Points Over Expected" measure for running backs that looks both at what a runner gained and what would have been expected given the opponents involved. For more information, start here.

Adj. Points: A look at how a team would have performed in a given week if playing a perfectly average team, with a somewhat average number of breaks and turnovers. The idea for the measure is simple: what if everybody in the country played exactly the same opponent every single week? Who would have done the best? It is an attempt to look at offensive and defensive consistency without getting sidetracked by easy or difficult schedules. And yes, with adjusted score you can allow a negative number of points. For more, start here.

Adj. Record: See Adj. Points.

Adj. Sack Rate: An opponent-adjusted measure of sack rates.

Adj. Score: See Adj. Points.

Adj. TO Margin: What a team's turnover margin would have been if they had recovered exactly 50 percent of all the fumbles that occurred in their games. If there is a huge difference between TO Margin and Adj. TO Margin (in other words, if fumbles, dropped interceptions, or other unlucky bounces were the main source of a good/bad TO margin), that suggests that a team's luck was particularly good or bad and might even out the next season.

Adj. Yards Per Target: A look at a receiver's total receiving yards divided by the number of times he was targeted. Slight adjustments are made for the percentage of times a receiver was targeted on standard ("%SD") and passing downs. Players targeted more on passing downs are likely to have a lower overall per-target average, since passing is more difficult on passing downs.

Bend-Don't-Break: Part of the defensive footprint, this is a comparison of a team's Def. Success Rate (efficiency) to its Def. PPP (explosiveness). The higher the number, the higher percentage of a team's overall S&P was made up by success rate, i.e. the more willing a team was to sacrifice efficiency to prevent big plays. (The lower the number, the more likely a team was to take aggressive risks.)

Covariance: Covariance is a statistical tool that provides a measure of the strength of the correlation between two or more sets of random variates. For these purposes, it is used to compare a team's performance (using opponent-adjusted Adj. Score) to the quality of the opponent at hand. Some teams play their best games against their worst opponents, and some teams do the opposite. This measure is used for both the offensive and defensive footprint. For more, go here.

Go After the Ball: Part of the defensive footprint, this looks at a team's forced fumbles, interceptions and passes broken up. In other words, it looks at their ability to go after the ball. The higher the number, the more they got their hands on the football.

Highlight Yards: The portion of a given run that is credit only to the running back; after a certain number of yards, the line has done its job, and most of the rest of the run will be determined by the running back himself. For more information, start here.

Need for Blitzes: Part of the defensive footprint, this compares a team's standard downs sack rate to its passing downs sack rate. The lower the number, the more they were able to generate pressure on standard downs, and the less need for blitzes.

Turnovers Luck: Presented in Points Per Game fashion, Turnovers Luck looks at the difference between a team's Turnover and Adj. TO Margins and, using the average point value of a turnover (~5.0 points), projects how many points a team gained or lost per game last season.

Yards Per Point: A measure long tracked by Phil Steele as a means of looking at teams that were a little too efficient or inefficient the previous season. A positive YPP Margin means a team's offense was less efficient than opponents' offenses, and to the extent that luck was involved, their luck might even out the next year.

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