2012 Hawaii Warriors Football: Statistical Profile

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2011 Schedule & Results

Record: 6-7 | Adj. Record: 5-8 | Final F/+ Rk: 74
Date Opponent Score W-L Adj. Score Adj. W-L
3-Sep Colorado 34-17 W 23.8 - 25.4 L
10-Sep at Washington 32-40 L 29.1 - 31.3 L
17-Sep at UNLV 20-40 L 23.2 - 32.5 L
24-Sep UC Davis 56-14 W 30.8 - 23.8 W
1-Oct at Louisiana Tech 44-26 W 32.8 - 29.6 W
14-Oct at San Jose State 27-28 L 27.8 - 28.2 L
22-Oct New Mexico State 45-34 W 30.8 - 30.5 W
29-Oct at Idaho 16-14 W 22.2 - 27.6 L
5-Nov Utah State 31-35 L 31.2 - 30.2 W
12-Nov at Nevada 28-42 L 24.1 - 29.9 L
19-Nov Fresno State 21-24 L 24.7 - 28.1 L
26-Nov Tulane 35-23 W 28.7 - 28.2 W
3-Dec BYU 20-41 L 28.4 - 31.0 L
Category Offense Rk Defense Rk
Points Per Game 31.5 36 29.1 80
Adj. Points Per Game 27.5 58 28.9 83

2012 Schedule & Projection Factors

2012 Schedule
Date Opponent Proj. Rk
1-Sep at USC 6
15-Sep Lamar NR
22-Sep Nevada 63
29-Sep at BYU 34
6-Oct at San Diego State 86
13-Oct New Mexico 124
27-Oct at Colorado State 102
3-Nov at Fresno State 81
10-Nov Boise State 39
16-Nov at Air Force 103
24-Nov UNLV 119
1-Dec South Alabama 120
Five-Year F/+ Rk 72
Two-Year Recruiting Rk 91
TO Margin/Adj. TO Margin* -2 / +3.9
TO Luck/Game -2.3
Approx. Ret. Starters (Off. / Def.) 10 (6, 4)
Yds/Pt Margin** -0.5

Offense

Category Yards/
Game Rk
S&P+ Rk Success
Rt. Rk
PPP+ Rk
OVERALL 43 82 82 80
RUSHING 113 55 86 41
PASSING 12 83 69 91
Standard Downs 70 75 67
Passing Downs 88 54 104
Redzone 62 84 47
Q1 Rk 79 1st Down Rk 44
Q2 Rk 49 2nd Down Rk 113
Q3 Rk 97 3rd Down Rk 65
Q4 Rk 68
Adj. Line Yards Rk 92
Adj. Sack Rate Rk 96

Quarterback

Note: players in bold below are 2012 returnees. Players in italics are questionable with injury/suspension.

Player Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Rivals Comp Att Yards Comp
Rate
TD INT Sacks Sack Rate Yards/
Att.
Bryant Moniz 248 397 2,733 62.5% 22 5 29 6.8% 6.0
David Graves 6'0, 195 Jr. ** (5.3) 63 110 768 57.3% 5 2 7 6.0% 6.1
Shane Austin


47 88 500 53.4% 2 3 23 4.3% 5.2
Jeremy Higgins (2010^) 6'1, 200 So. ** (5.2) 4 6 22 66.7% 0 1 1 14.3% 2.7
Ikaika Woolsey 6'0, 210 Fr. **








^ Higgins is a Utah State transfer who will be eligible this fall.

Running Back

Player Pos. Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Rivals Rushes Yards Yards/
Carry
Hlt Yds/
Carry
TD Adj.
POE
Joey Iosefa RB 6'0, 240 So. ** (5.2) 110 556 5.1 2.3 7 +3.7
Sterling Jackson RB 6'0, 220 Sr. NR 57 246 4.3 1.8 2 -5.0
Bryant Moniz QB 52 462 8.9 5.2 8 +16.6
David Graves QB 6'0, 195 Jr. ** (5.3) 23 209 9.1 5.2 5 +10.1
Steven Lakalaka RB 5'10, 200 Fr. *** (5.7)





Receiving Corps

Player Pos. Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Rivals Targets Catches Yards Catch Rate Target
Rate
%SD Adj. Yds/
Target
Billy Ray Stutzmann WR 6'0, 175 Jr. *** (5.5) 139 78 910 56.1% 24.0% 69.1% 4.8
Royce Pollard WR 127 71 1,011 55.9% 21.9% 63.8% 6.1
Jeremiah Ostrowski WR 5'9, 175 Sr. ** (5.1) 94 65 687 69.1% 16.2% 54.3% 7.1
Trevor Davis WR 6'1, 170 So. *** (5.5) 52 28 366 53.8% 9.0% 59.6% 5.4
Justin Clapp WR 6'2, 195 Jr. NR 44 38 356 86.4% 7.6% 56.8% 9.5
Darius Bright TE 6'4, 230 Sr. *** (5.6) 36 19 206 52.8% 6.2% 52.8% 3.8
Allen Sampson WR 5'7, 145 Jr. ** (5.3) 32 18 186 56.3% 5.5% 71.9% 4.3
Joey Iosefa RB 6'0, 240 So. ** (5.2) 24 20 122 83.3% 4.1% 50.0% 5.5
Scott Harding WR 5'11, 195 So. NR 8 6 67 75.0% 1.4% 62.5% 8.4
Corey Paclebar WR 5'7, 170 Jr. NR 8 5 40 62.5% 1.4% 75.0% 3.7
Cecil Doe WR 6'4, 205 Jr. *** (5.5)






Chris Gant WR 6'0, 180 Jr. ** (5.4)






Tavita Woodard TE 6'1, 250 Jr. ** (5.2)






Craig Cofer TE 6'5, 250 Jr. ** (5.2)






Clark Evans TE 6'4, 250 Jr. *** (5.5)






Offensive Line

Player Pos. Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Rivals Career Starts/Honors/Notes
Brett Leonard LT 12 career starts
Levi Legay RT 6'3, 285 Sr. ** (5.0) 11 career starts
Andrew Faaumu LG 10 career starts
Clayton Laurel LT 9 career starts
London Sapolu C 8 career starts
Dave Lefotu RG 6'3, 305 So. ** (5.2) 7 career starts
Matagisila Lefiti LG 6 career starts
Sean Shigematsu RT 6'4, 305 So. ** (5.2) 2 career starts
Jordan Loeffler LT 6'5, 315 So. ** (5.2)
Kody Afusia C 6'2, 305 So. ** (5.2)
Mike Milovale OL 6'4, 310 Jr.
Ben Clarke C 6'3, 275 Fr. **
Blake Muir LT 6'5, 290 RSFr. ** (5.4)
Ben Dew LG 6'3, 305 RSFr. ** (5.2)
Kiha Sai OL 6'4, 300 Fr. *** (5.6)
Dejon Allen OL 6'3, 265 Fr. *** (5.6)

Defense

Category Yards/
Game Rk
S&P+ Rk Success
Rt. Rk
PPP+ Rk
OVERALL 66 92 86 92
RUSHING 53 86 85 86
PASSING 85 97 86 98
Standard Downs 107 99 108
Passing Downs 69 70 70
Redzone 98 110 95
Q1 Rk 91 1st Down Rk 101
Q2 Rk 61 2nd Down Rk 94
Q3 Rk 112 3rd Down Rk 63
Q4 Rk 91
Adj. Line Yards Rk 93
Adj. Sack Rate Rk 13

Defensive Line

Name Pos Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Rivals GP Tackles % of Team TFL Sacks Int PBU FF FR
Paipai Falemalu DE 6'3, 245 Sr. ** (5.4) 13 38.0 5.3% 6 4.5 1
Zach Masch DE 13 31.5 4.4% 4 1.5 1 2
Vaughn Meatoga DT 13 28.5 3.9% 4 3 1
Kaniela Tuipulotu DT 13 24.5 3.4% 4 1
Liko Satele DE 13 14.5 2.0% 4 3
Geordon Hanohano DT 6'1, 300 Sr. *** (5.7) 12 14.5 2.0% 1 1
Moses Samia DT 6'1, 295 So. ** (5.2) 12 7.0 1.0% 0.5 1
Marcus Malepeai DE 6'1, 260 So. ** (5.3) 11 5.5 0.8% 0.5
Beau Yap DE 6'1, 260 So. *** (5.5) 8 2.5 0.3% 1 1 1
Haku Correa DT 6'2, 305 Sr. *** (5.5) 3 0.0 0.0%
Moses Samia DT 6'1, 295 So. ** (5.2)

Quenton Brown DE 6'4, 230 Jr. *** (5.6)

Linebackers

Name Pos Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Rivals GP Tackles % of Team TFL Sacks Int PBU FF FR
Aaron Brown WLB 12 86.5 12.0% 13 4.5 3 3 1 3
Corey Paredes MLB 13 82.5 11.4% 6.5 0.5 1 1 3 1
Art Laurel SLB 6'0, 235 Jr. ** (4.9) 13 52.5 7.3% 14.5 9 1 1 3 1
Kamalani Alo LB 6'2, 215 Jr. ** (5.9) 13 9.5 1.3% 1
George Daily-Lyles MLB 5'11, 230 Jr. ** (5.3) 8 9.5 1.3% 1
T.J. Taimatula MLB 6'3, 235 So. NR 11 1.0 0.1% 1 1 1

Secondary

Name Pos Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Rivals GP Tackles % of Team TFL Sacks Int PBU FF FR
John Hardy-Tuliau FS 5'11, 165 Jr. ** (5.2) 13 65.5 9.1% 1 1 3 11 3
Richard Torres SS 13 53.0 7.3% 2.5 3 4 1 1
Mike Edwards CB 5'10, 180 Jr. ** (5.2) 13 38.5 5.3% 1.5 1 11
Tank Hopkins CB 13 36.0 5.0% 1 1 12 2
Mike Sellers CB 5'11, 175 So. ** (5.2) 13 24.5 3.4% 3 2 3 1
Kenny Estes FS 13 11.5 1.6% 2 1 1 1
Kawika Ornellas CB 5'9, 175 Sr. NR 13 11.0 1.5% 1 1
Dee Maggitt CB 5'8, 170 So. ** (5.4) 9 6.5 0.9% 1 1
Leroy Lutu S 6'2, 205 Jr. NR 11 6.5 0.9%
Bubba Poueu-Luna S 5'11, 175 So. *** (5.5) 7 1.0 0.1%
Charles Clay S 5'11, 190 Jr. NR

Dante Johnson S 6'1, 180 RSFr. NR

Ryan Pasoquen DB 6'0, 190 RSFr. NR

J.T. Turner^ DB 6'2, 200 Jr. **** (6.0)

Demar Dorsey^ DB 6'1, 190 So. **** (5.8)

^ Turner is a former Michigan signee who committed to Hawaii from junior college last year. He might or might not be eligible this fall.
^^ In May, Dorsey, originally a Michigan signee, announced that he would be eligible to play at Hawaii this fall. He recorded 10.5 tackles and defended five passes in 2011 at Grand Rapids Community College.

Special Teams

Punter Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Punts Avg TB FC I20 FC/I20
Ratio
Alex Dunnachie 6'4, 220 Sr. 56 39.7 1 31 18 87.5%
Kicker Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Kickoffs Avg TB TB%
Tyler Hadden 5'11, 180 So. 73 57.1 2 2.7%
Place-Kicker Ht, Wt 2012
Year
PAT FG
(0-39)
Pct FG
(40+)
Pct
Kenton Chun 26-29 4-4 100.0% 0-0 N/A
Tyler Hadden 5'11, 180 So. 18-21 4-6 66.7% 1-4 25.0%
Returner Pos. Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Returns Avg. TD
Mike Edwards KR 5'10, 180 Jr. 44 24.7 0
Scott Harding KR 5'11, 195 So. 12 21.1 0
Scott Harding PR 5'11, 195 So. 19 7.4 0
John Hardy-Tuliau PR 5'11, 165 Jr. 2 19.5 1
Category Rk
Special Teams F/+ 30
Net Punting 26
Net Kickoffs 99
Touchback Pct 109
Field Goal Pct 81
Kick Returns Avg 22
Punt Returns Avg 57

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Glossary

Adj. Line Yards: A line measure derived from the formula found here. The idea is to divvy credit for a given rush between both the runner and the blockers.

Adj. Pace: Part of the offensive footprint, this takes into account both the number of plays a team attempts and the type of play. Since passes, on average, take up less time (thanks to the fact that 30-50 percent of them are incomplete and stop the clock), pass-heavy offenses are prone to run more plays, therefore limiting the effectiveness of a general plays-per-game measure. Adj. Pace takes a team's run-pass ratio into account.

Adj. POE: An opponent-adjusted "Points Over Expected" measure for running backs that looks both at what a runner gained and what would have been expected given the opponents involved. For more information, start here.

Adj. Points: A look at how a team would have performed in a given week if playing a perfectly average team, with a somewhat average number of breaks and turnovers. The idea for the measure is simple: what if everybody in the country played exactly the same opponent every single week? Who would have done the best? It is an attempt to look at offensive and defensive consistency without getting sidetracked by easy or difficult schedules. And yes, with adjusted score you can allow a negative number of points. For more, start here.

Adj. Record: See Adj. Points.

Adj. Sack Rate: An opponent-adjusted measure of sack rates.

Adj. Score: See Adj. Points.

Adj. TO Margin: What a team's turnover margin would have been if they had recovered exactly 50 percent of all the fumbles that occurred in their games. If there is a huge difference between TO Margin and Adj. TO Margin (in other words, if fumbles, dropped interceptions, or other unlucky bounces were the main source of a good/bad TO margin), that suggests that a team's luck was particularly good or bad and might even out the next season.

Adj. Yards Per Target: A look at a receiver's total receiving yards divided by the number of times he was targeted. Slight adjustments are made for the percentage of times a receiver was targeted on standard ("%SD") and passing downs. Players targeted more on passing downs are likely to have a lower overall per-target average, since passing is more difficult on passing downs.

Bend-Don't-Break: Part of the defensive footprint, this is a comparison of a team's Def. Success Rate (efficiency) to its Def. PPP (explosiveness). The higher the number, the higher percentage of a team's overall S&P was made up by success rate, i.e. the more willing a team was to sacrifice efficiency to prevent big plays. (The lower the number, the more likely a team was to take aggressive risks.)

Covariance: Covariance is a statistical tool that provides a measure of the strength of the correlation between two or more sets of random variates. For these purposes, it is used to compare a team's performance (using opponent-adjusted Adj. Score) to the quality of the opponent at hand. Some teams play their best games against their worst opponents, and some teams do the opposite. This measure is used for both the offensive and defensive footprint. For more, go here.

Go After the Ball: Part of the defensive footprint, this looks at a team's forced fumbles, interceptions and passes broken up. In other words, it looks at their ability to go after the ball. The higher the number, the more they got their hands on the football.

Highlight Yards: The portion of a given run that is credit only to the running back; after a certain number of yards, the line has done its job, and most of the rest of the run will be determined by the running back himself. For more information, start here.

Need for Blitzes: Part of the defensive footprint, this compares a team's standard downs sack rate to its passing downs sack rate. The lower the number, the more they were able to generate pressure on standard downs, and the less need for blitzes.

Turnovers Luck: Presented in Points Per Game fashion, Turnovers Luck looks at the difference between a team's Turnover and Adj. TO Margins and, using the average point value of a turnover (~5.0 points), projects how many points a team gained or lost per game last season.

Yards Per Point: A measure long tracked by Phil Steele as a means of looking at teams that were a little too efficient or inefficient the previous season. A positive YPP Margin means a team's offense was less efficient than opponents' offenses, and to the extent that luck was involved, their luck might even out the next year.

In This Article

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