2012 Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets Football: Statistical Profile

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2011 Schedule & Results

Record: 8-5 | Adj. Record: 8-5 | Final F/+ Rk: 48
Date Opponent Score W-L Adj. Score Adj. W-L
1-Sep Western Carolina 63-21 W 33.5 - 27.1 W
10-Sep at Middle Tennessee 49-21 W 36.1 - 31.6 W
17-Sep Kansas 66-24 W 39.7 - 28.8 W
24-Sep North Carolina 35-28 W 34.2 - 28.7 W
1-Oct at N.C. State 45-35 W 33.9 - 31.2 W
8-Oct Maryland 21-16 W 23.8 - 27.7 L
15-Oct at Virginia 21-24 L 26.6 - 32.5 L
22-Oct at Miami 7-24 L 20.1 - 21.5 L
29-Oct Clemson 31-17 W 31.2 - 27.3 W
10-Nov Virginia Tech 26-37 L 32.6 - 31.3 W
19-Nov at Duke 38-31 W 31.9 - 30.0 W
26-Nov Georgia 17-31 L 31.1 - 31.4 L
31-Dec vs. Utah 27-30 L 28.8 - 30.1 L
Category Offense Rk Defense Rk
Points Per Game 34.3 21 26.1 60
Adj. Points Per Game 31.0 16 29.2 85

2012 Schedule & Projection Factors

2012 Schedule
Date Opponent Proj. Rk
3-Sep at Virginia Tech 18
8-Sep Presbyterian NR
15-Sep Virginia 52
22-Sep Miami 36
29-Sep Middle Tennessee 112
6-Oct at Clemson 21
20-Oct Boston College 45
27-Oct BYU 39
3-Nov at Maryland 72
10-Nov at North Carolina 33
17-Nov Duke 73
24-Nov at Georgia 8
Five-Year F/+ Rk 37
Two-Year Recruiting Rk 42
TO Margin/Adj. TO Margin* +2 / +1.2
TO Luck/Game +0.3
Approx. Ret. Starters (Off. / Def.) 15 (8, 7)
Yds/Pt Margin** -0.4

Offense

Category Yards/
Game Rk
S&P+ Rk Success
Rt. Rk
PPP+ Rk
OVERALL 18 17 28 16
RUSHING 2 11 19 8
PASSING 112 25 94 10
Standard Downs 24 37 17
Passing Downs 17 31 14
Redzone 8 3 22
Q1 Rk 13 1st Down Rk 33
Q2 Rk 10 2nd Down Rk 17
Q3 Rk 25 3rd Down Rk 11
Q4 Rk 100
Adj. Line Yards Rk 13
Adj. Sack Rate Rk 93

Quarterback

Note: players in bold below are 2012 returnees. Players in italics are questionable with injury/suspension.

Player Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Rivals Comp Att Yards Comp
Rate
TD INT Sacks Sack Rate Yards/
Att.
Tevin Washington 6'0, 205 Sr. ** (5.2) 74 150 1,652 49.3% 11 8 12 7.4% 9.8
Synjyn Days 6'1, 212 So. *** (5.7) 8 12 198 66.7% 0 0 1 7.7% 14.8
Justin Thomas 5'11, 175 Fr. **** (5.8)






Running Back

Player Pos. Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Rivals Rushes Yards Yards/
Carry
Hlt Yds/
Carry
TD Adj.
POE
Tevin Washington QB 6'0, 205 Sr. ** (5.2) 231 1,059 4.6 1.9 14 +8.2
David Sims BB 6'0, 218 Jr. *** (5.7) 135 698 5.2 1.5 7 +6.4
Orwin Smith AB 6'0, 202 Sr. *** (5.7) 61 615 10.1 5.6 11 +26.2
Roddy Jones AB 57 458 8.0 3.8 3 +9.9
Preston Lyons BB 57 340 6.0 2.4 2 +5.8
Embry Peeples AB 47 481 10.2 5.9 2 +10.9
Synjyn Days QB 6'1, 212 So. *** (5.7) 47 242 5.1 2.1 4 +0.2
Charles Perkins BB 6'0, 219 So. *** (5.7) 28 95 3.4 0.4 1 -6.4
Tony Zenon AB 5'8, 182 So. ** (5.4) 15 86 5.7 2.1 0 +0.1
B.J. Bostic (2010^) AB 5'11, 170 So. **** (5.8) 13 130 10.0 5.3 0 +1.5
Marcus Allen RB 6'2, 210 Fr. *** (5.7)





^ Bostic missed the 2011 season.

Receiving Corps

Player Pos. Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Rivals Targets Catches Yards Catch Rate Target
Rate
%SD Adj. Yds/
Target
Stephen Hill WR 54 28 820 51.9% 37.2% 48.1% 12.8
Orwin Smith AB 6'0, 202 Sr. *** (5.7) 23 13 306 56.5% 15.9% 26.1% 11.1
Roddy Jones AB 23 8 139 34.8% 15.9% 73.9% 0.5
Tyler Melton WR 20 17 263 85.0% 13.8% 55.0% 15.6
Embry Peeples AB 12 6 143 50.0% 8.3% 33.3% 11.6
Tony Zenon AB 5'8, 182 So. ** (5.4) 5 3 104 60.0% 3.4% 40.0% 27.8
David Sims BB 6'0, 218 Jr. *** (5.7) 3 3 29 100.0% 2.1% 0.0% 9.7
Preston Lyons BB 3 2 8 66.7% 2.1% 66.7% 2.7
Charles Perkins BB 6'0, 219 So. *** (5.7) 2 2 38 100.0% 1.4% 0.0% 19.0
Jeff Greene WR 6'4, 210 So. *** (5.5)
Chris Jackson WR 6'1, 205 Sr. *** (5.6)
Jeremy Moore WR 6'3, 180 Jr. *** (5.5)
Darren Waller WR 6'5, 220 So. *** (5.5)
Anthony Autry WR 6'2, 173 Fr. *** (5.5)
Travin Henry WR 6'3, 227 Fr. *** (5.5)

Offensive Line

Player Pos. Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Rivals Career Starts/Honors/Notes
Omoregie Uzzi RG 6'3, 300 Sr. **** (5.8) 25 career starts, 2011 1st All-ACC
Will Jackson LG 6'3, 285 Jr. *** (5.7) 22 career starts
Phil Smith RT 20 career starts
Jay Finch C 6'3, 283 Jr. *** (5.5) 14 career starts
Ray Beno LT 6'2, 290 Jr. *** (5.6) 12 career starts
Tyler Kidney RT 6'2, 262 Jr. NR 6 career starts
Nick McRae C 6'3, 291 Sr. *** (5.5) 2 career starts
Shaquille Mason LG 6'1, 295 So. *** (5.6) 1 career start
Catlin Alford LT 6'3, 295 So. *** (5.6)
J.C. Lanier RG 6'4, 298 Jr. **** (5.8)
Bryan Chamberlain LT 6'4, 295 RSFr. *** (5.6)
Trey Braun LG 6'5, 292 RSFr. *** (5.6)

Defense

Category Yards/
Game Rk
S&P+ Rk Success
Rt. Rk
PPP+ Rk
OVERALL 44 74 57 85
RUSHING 66 101 98 99
PASSING 28 43 22 62
Standard Downs 93 80 95
Passing Downs 79 78 79
Redzone 105 102 105
Q1 Rk 60 1st Down Rk 76
Q2 Rk 101 2nd Down Rk 98
Q3 Rk 59 3rd Down Rk 71
Q4 Rk 94
Adj. Line Yards Rk 109
Adj. Sack Rate Rk 33

Defensive Line

Name Pos Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Rivals GP Tackles % of Team TFL Sacks Int PBU FF FR
Jason Peters DE 13 29.0 4.3% 2.5 2 2 1
Logan Walls DT 13 26.5 3.9% 2
Izaan Cross DE 6'4, 292 Sr. *** (5.7) 13 23.0 3.4% 1 4 1
Euclid Cummings DE 6'4, 270 Jr. *** (5.5) 13 16.5 2.5% 2 1
Emmanuel Dieke DE 6'6, 264 Jr. *** (5.7) 13 15.5 2.3% 2 2
Christopher Crenshaw DE 6'3, 256 Jr. *** (5.6) 8 7.0 1.0% 1 1
T.J. Barnes DT 6'7, 347 Sr. *** (5.7) 13 7.0 1.0% 1.5 1
Shawn Green DT 6'0, 280 So. *** (5.7) 5 0.5 0.1%
Jimmie Kitchen DE 6'3, 270 RSFr. ** (5.2)
Francis Kallon DE 6'5, 260 Fr. **** (5.8)
Pat Gamble DT 6'5, 275 Fr. *** (5.7)

Linebackers

Name Pos Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Rivals GP Tackles % of Team TFL Sacks Int PBU FF FR
Julian Burnett ILB 13 90.0 13.4% 9.5 1 3 1 1
Jeremiah Attaochu OLB 6'3, 223 Jr. *** (5.5) 11 47.0 7.0% 11.5 6 1 2 2 1
Quayshawn Nealy ILB 6'1, 220 So. *** (5.6) 13 38.0 5.7% 3 2 3 1
Daniel Drummond ILB 6'3, 248 Jr. *** (5.5) 11 32.0 4.8% 0.5 1 1
Steven Sylvester OLB 13 31.5 4.7% 5 1 2 1
Brandon Watts OLB 6'2, 234 Jr. *** (5.6) 11 10.5 1.6% 3 3 1 1
B.J. Machen LB 12 10.0 1.5% 1
Malcolm Munroe OLB 6'3, 232 Sr. *** (5.7) 13 8.5 1.3% 1 1
Nick Menocal LB 6'3, 240 So. *** (5.6) 10 3.0 0.4% 1.5 1
Tremayne McNair OLB 6'2, 225 So. *** (5.7)
Jabari Hunt-Days ILB 6'3, 244 RSFr. **** (5.8)
Anthony Harrell ILB 6'2, 235 RSFr. *** (5.6)
Tyler Marcordes OLB 6'4, 234 RSFr. *** (5.5)

Secondary

Name Pos Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Rivals GP Tackles % of Team TFL Sacks Int PBU FF FR
Isaiah Johnson S 6'2, 205 Jr. ** (5.1) 13 63.0 9.4% 3 1 3 3 2
Rod Sweeting CB 6'0, 184 Sr. *** (5.7) 13 46.5 6.9% 3 3 10 2 1
Jemea Thomas CB 5'10, 190 Jr. *** (5.7) 13 41.5 6.2% 4 2 3 6 1
Louis Young CB 6'1, 201 Jr. **** (5.8) 12 38.0 5.7% 3 1 5 1
Rashaad Reid S 13 36.0 5.4% 1.5 2 1
Fred Holton (2010^) S 6'1, 209 So. *** (5.7) 13 8.5 1.2% 1
Jamal Golden CB 6'0, 185 So. *** (5.5) 11 7.0 1.0% 1
Michael Peterson CB 12 7.0 1.0% 0.5
Corey Dennis S 6'2, 205 So. *** (5.5) 13 6.0 0.9%
Lance Richardson S 4 2.0 0.3% 1
Domonique Noble CB 6'2, 191 RSFr. *** (5.7)
Demond Smith S 6'0, 185 RSFr. *** (5.5)
D.J. White DB 5'10, 180 Fr. *** (5.7)

Special Teams

Punter Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Punts Avg TB FC I20 FC/I20
Ratio
Sean Poole 6'1, 161 Jr. 36 39.7 1 8 6 38.9%
Chandler Anderson 4 37.5 0 2 1 75.0%
Kicker Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Kickoffs Avg TB TB%
David Scully 6'2, 201 Jr. 43 64.3 7 16.3%
Justin Moore 5'10, 171 Jr. 29 61.9 1 3.4%
Place-Kicker Ht, Wt 2012
Year
PAT FG
(0-39)
Pct FG
(40+)
Pct
Justin Moore 5'10, 171 Jr. 56-56 8-10 80.0% 3-7 42.9%
David Scully 6'2, 201 Jr. 1-1 0-0 N/A 0-1 0.0%
Returner Pos. Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Returns Avg. TD
Orwin Smith KR 6'0, 202 Sr. 18 19.6 0
Tony Zenon KR 5'8, 182 So. 9 22.4 0
Zach Laskey PR 6'1, 201 So. 11 8.5 0
Jemea Thomas PR 5'10, 190 Jr. 3 10.3 0
Category Rk
Special Teams F/+ 100
Net Punting 54
Net Kickoffs 70
Touchback Pct 83
Field Goal Pct 95
Kick Returns Avg 108
Punt Returns Avg 61

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Glossary

Adj. Line Yards: A line measure derived from the formula found here. The idea is to divvy credit for a given rush between both the runner and the blockers.

Adj. Pace: Part of the offensive footprint, this takes into account both the number of plays a team attempts and the type of play. Since passes, on average, take up less time (thanks to the fact that 30-50 percent of them are incomplete and stop the clock), pass-heavy offenses are prone to run more plays, therefore limiting the effectiveness of a general plays-per-game measure. Adj. Pace takes a team's run-pass ratio into account.

Adj. POE: An opponent-adjusted "Points Over Expected" measure for running backs that looks both at what a runner gained and what would have been expected given the opponents involved. For more information, start here.

Adj. Points: A look at how a team would have performed in a given week if playing a perfectly average team, with a somewhat average number of breaks and turnovers. The idea for the measure is simple: what if everybody in the country played exactly the same opponent every single week? Who would have done the best? It is an attempt to look at offensive and defensive consistency without getting sidetracked by easy or difficult schedules. And yes, with adjusted score you can allow a negative number of points. For more, start here.

Adj. Record: See Adj. Points.

Adj. Sack Rate: An opponent-adjusted measure of sack rates.

Adj. Score: See Adj. Points.

Adj. TO Margin: What a team's turnover margin would have been if they had recovered exactly 50 percent of all the fumbles that occurred in their games. If there is a huge difference between TO Margin and Adj. TO Margin (in other words, if fumbles, dropped interceptions, or other unlucky bounces were the main source of a good/bad TO margin), that suggests that a team's luck was particularly good or bad and might even out the next season.

Adj. Yards Per Target: A look at a receiver's total receiving yards divided by the number of times he was targeted. Slight adjustments are made for the percentage of times a receiver was targeted on standard ("%SD") and passing downs. Players targeted more on passing downs are likely to have a lower overall per-target average, since passing is more difficult on passing downs.

Bend-Don't-Break: Part of the defensive footprint, this is a comparison of a team's Def. Success Rate (efficiency) to its Def. PPP (explosiveness). The higher the number, the higher percentage of a team's overall S&P was made up by success rate, i.e. the more willing a team was to sacrifice efficiency to prevent big plays. (The lower the number, the more likely a team was to take aggressive risks.)

Covariance: Covariance is a statistical tool that provides a measure of the strength of the correlation between two or more sets of random variates. For these purposes, it is used to compare a team's performance (using opponent-adjusted Adj. Score) to the quality of the opponent at hand. Some teams play their best games against their worst opponents, and some teams do the opposite. This measure is used for both the offensive and defensive footprint. For more, go here.

Go After the Ball: Part of the defensive footprint, this looks at a team's forced fumbles, interceptions and passes broken up. In other words, it looks at their ability to go after the ball. The higher the number, the more they got their hands on the football.

Highlight Yards: The portion of a given run that is credit only to the running back; after a certain number of yards, the line has done its job, and most of the rest of the run will be determined by the running back himself. For more information, start here.

Need for Blitzes: Part of the defensive footprint, this compares a team's standard downs sack rate to its passing downs sack rate. The lower the number, the more they were able to generate pressure on standard downs, and the less need for blitzes.

Turnovers Luck: Presented in Points Per Game fashion, Turnovers Luck looks at the difference between a team's Turnover and Adj. TO Margins and, using the average point value of a turnover (~5.0 points), projects how many points a team gained or lost per game last season.

Yards Per Point: A measure long tracked by Phil Steele as a means of looking at teams that were a little too efficient or inefficient the previous season. A positive YPP Margin means a team's offense was less efficient than opponents' offenses, and to the extent that luck was involved, their luck might even out the next year.

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