2012 Colorado Buffaloes Football: Statistical Profile

Back to Profiles home page.

Confused? See the glossary at the bottom.

2011 Schedule & Results

Record: 3-10 | Adj. Record: 3-10 | Final F/+ Rk: 108
Date Opponent Score W-L Adj. Score Adj. W-L
3-Sep at Hawaii 17-34 L 21.7 - 27.4 L
10-Sep California 33-36 L 32.4 - 29.6 W
17-Sep vs. Colorado State 28-14 W 27.3 - 25.0 W
24-Sep at Ohio State 17-37 L 25.5 - 32.2 L
1-Oct Washington State 27-31 L 27.2 - 30.7 L
8-Oct at Stanford 7-48 L 21.2 - 30.5 L
15-Oct at Washington 24-52 L 22.3 - 33.4 L
22-Oct Oregon 2-45 L 16.4 - 28.7 L
29-Oct at Arizona State 14-48 L 22.2 - 32.0 L
4-Nov USC 17-42 L 27.0 - 30.4 L
12-Nov Arizona 48-29 W 30.8 - 25.5 W
19-Nov at UCLA 6-45 L 18.6 - 34.0 L
25-Nov at Utah 17-14 W 29.5 - 30.3 L
Category Offense Rk Defense Rk
Points Per Game 19.8 109 36.5 109
Adj. Points Per Game 24.8 100 30.0 99

2012 Schedule & Projection Factors

2012 Schedule
Date Opponent Proj. Rk
2-Sep vs. Colorado State 102
8-Sep Sacramento State NR
15-Sep at Fresno State 81
22-Sep at Washington State 97
29-Sep UCLA 58
11-Oct Arizona State 60
20-Oct at USC 6
27-Oct at Oregon 5
3-Nov Stanford 9
10-Nov at Arizona 67
17-Nov Washington 59
23-Nov Utah 33
Five-Year F/+ Rk 87
Two-Year Recruiting Rk 67
TO Margin/Adj. TO Margin* -4 / -1.9
TO Luck/Game -0.8
Approx. Ret. Starters (Off. / Def.) 12 (6, 6)
Yds/Pt Margin** +5.5

Offense

Category Yards/
Game Rk
S&P+ Rk Success
Rt. Rk
PPP+ Rk
OVERALL 92 83 96 73
RUSHING 106 90 79 95
PASSING 57 77 93 63
Standard Downs 101 101 97
Passing Downs 70 89 56
Redzone 64 57 67
Q1 Rk 85 1st Down Rk 112
Q2 Rk 95 2nd Down Rk 78
Q3 Rk 75 3rd Down Rk 58
Q4 Rk 103
Adj. Line Yards Rk 79
Adj. Sack Rate Rk 60

Quarterback

Note: players in bold below are 2012 returnees. Players in italics are questionable with injury/suspension.

Player Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Rivals Comp Att Yards Comp
Rate
TD INT Sacks Sack Rate Yards/
Att.
Tyler Hansen 231 412 2,883 56.1% 20 11 26 5.9% 6.2
Nick Hirschman 6'3, 230 So. *** (5.6) 18 35 192 51.4% 0 0 5 12.5% 3.7
Connor Wood 6'3, 235 So. **** (5.9)







John Schrock 6'4, 215 RSFr. ** (5.2)







Shane Dillon 6'5, 185 Fr. *** (5.7)







Running Back

Player Pos. Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Rivals Rushes Yards Yards/
Carry
Hlt Yds/
Carry
TD Adj.
POE
Rodney Stewart RB 189 854 4.5 1.6 4 -13.1
Tony Jones RB 5'7, 175 So. *** (5.7) 78 297 3.8 1.4 2 -8.1
Tyler Hansen QB 55 289 5.3 2.0 3 +1.0
Josh Ford RB 5'9, 195 Jr. NR 22 128 5.8 2.2 1 -0.6
Malcolm Creer RB 5'11, 200 So. *** (5.5) 15 43 2.9 0.4 0 -2.6
D.D. Goodson RB 5'7, 170 So. NR





Receiving Corps

Player Pos. Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Rivals Targets Catches Yards Catch Rate Target
Rate
%SD Adj. Yds/
Target
Toney Clemons WR-X 79 43 680 54.4% 18.8% 48.1% 6.6
Paul Richardson WR-Z 6'1, 175 Jr. **** (5.8) 74 40 569 54.1% 17.6% 62.2% 5.5
Rodney Stewart RB 71 45 571 63.4% 16.9% 46.5% 7.0
Ryan Deehan TE 38 24 322 63.2% 9.0% 52.6% 7.7
Tony Jones RB 5'7, 175 So. *** (5.7) 33 27 168 81.8% 7.8% 48.5% 5.5
Logan Gray WR-Z 31 18 300 58.1% 7.4% 35.5% 7.3
Keenan Canty WR-Z 5'9, 155 So. ** (5.3) 31 14 161 45.2% 7.4% 58.1% 2.3
Tyler McCulloch WR-X 6'5, 205 So. ** (5.2) 20 9 82 45.0% 4.8% 65.0% 1.1
Kyle Cefalo WR-X 13 10 85 76.9% 3.1% 53.8% 6.9
DaVaughn Thornton WR-X 6'4, 225 Jr. ** (5.4) 12 6 69 50.0% 2.9% 33.3% 9.6
Nick Kasa TE 6'6, 260 Sr. **** (6.0) 1 1 8 100.0% 0.5% 0.0% 8.0
Dustin Ebner WR-Z 6'1, 190 Sr. NR






Jarrod Darden WR-X 6'5, 210 Jr. *** (5.6)






Kyle Slavin TE 6'4, 245 So. *** (5.5)






Nelson Spruce WR-Z 6'2, 195 RSFr. *** (5.5)






Offensive Line

Player Pos. Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Rivals Career Starts/Honors/Notes
David Bakhtiari LT 6'4, 295 Jr. ** (5.3) 23 career starts; 2011 2nd All-Pac-12
Ryan Miller RG 49 career starts
Ethan Adkins LG 34 career starts
Ryan Dannewitz RG 6'6, 295 Sr. *** (5.7) 12 career starts
Gus Handler C 6'3, 290 Jr. ** (5.4) 11 career starts
Alexander Lewis LG 6'6, 270 So. *** (5.5) 3 career starts
Daniel Munyer RG 6'2, 290 So. *** (5.5) 3 career starts
Jack Harris RT 6'5, 305 Jr. **** (5.8) 2 career starts
Sione Tau RT 1 career start
Shawn Daniels LG
Kaiwi Crabb LG 6'3, 285 So. *** (5.6)
Marc Mustoe LT 6'7, 280 RSFr. *** (5.7)
Stephane Nembot RT 6'8, 305 RSFr. *** (5.6)

Defense

Category Yards/
Game Rk
S&P+ Rk Success
Rt. Rk
PPP+ Rk
OVERALL 102 93 79 99
RUSHING 89 98 84 104
PASSING 97 88 72 85
Standard Downs 49 41 65
Passing Downs 118 115 116
Redzone 103 105 100
Q1 Rk 112 1st Down Rk 46
Q2 Rk 47 2nd Down Rk 100
Q3 Rk 64 3rd Down Rk 110
Q4 Rk 90
Adj. Line Yards Rk 105
Adj. Sack Rate Rk 32

Defensive Line

Name Pos Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Rivals GP Tackles % of Team TFL Sacks Int PBU FF FR
Will Pericak DT 6'4, 285 Sr. *** (5.6) 13 48.5 6.0% 2.5 0.5 2 1
David Goldberg DE 12 25.5 3.2% 3 2 1 1
Conrad Obi NT 13 22.5 2.8% 1 3 1
Chidera Uzo-Diribe DE 6'3, 240 Jr. *** (5.7) 13 18.0 2.2% 6.5 5.5 3
Curtis Cunningham NT 13 15.5 1.9% 3 1
Juda Parker DE 6'3, 250 So. *** (5.7) 9 6.0 0.7% 2
Nick Kasa^ DE 8 6.0 0.7%
Tony Poremba DE 5 2.5 0.3% 0.5 0.5
Eric Richter DT 6'3, 315 Sr. *** (5.7)
Kirk Poston DT 6'2, 255 So. *** (5.5)
Andre Nichols DE 6'4, 225 So. NR
John Tuso DT 6'4, 270 RSFr. NR
Kisima Joane DE 6'5, 235 Fr. *** (5.7)
Thor Eaton DE 6'3, 200 Fr. NR

^ Kasa moved to tight end.

Linebackers

Name Pos Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Rivals GP Tackles % of Team TFL Sacks Int PBU FF FR
Jon Major SAM 6'2, 230 Sr. **** (5.9) 13 70.5 8.7% 7 3 1 3
Douglas Rippy MIKE 6'3, 230 Sr. *** (5.6) 7 52.5 6.5% 5 3
Patrick Mahnke OLB 13 49.0 6.1% 7.5 2.5 1 2
Derrick Webb WILL 6'0, 220 Jr. *** (5.6) 13 44.5 5.5% 4 1
Josh Hartigan OLB 12 27.5 3.4% 10 8 1
Tyler Ahles OLB 10 22.0 2.7% 2
Brady Daigh MIKE 6'2, 235 So. *** (5.6) 9 15.5 1.9%
Woodson Greer III SAM 6'3, 235 So. *** (5.6) 3 2.5 0.3% 1

Secondary

Name Pos Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Rivals GP Tackles % of Team TFL Sacks Int PBU FF FR
Ray Polk FS 6'1, 205 Sr. **** (5.8) 11 69.5 8.6% 1 6 1
Anthony Perkins SS 9 64.5 8.0% 1 1
Greg Henderson CB 5'11, 185 So. ** (5.4) 13 51.0 6.3% 4 1 1 9 1 1
Travis Sandersfeld CB 7 47.5 5.9% 7 3 1 4 1
Terrel Smith FS 5'8, 180 Jr. ** (5.4) 11 32.5 4.0% 1
Parker Orms SS 5'11, 190 Jr. *** (5.5) 6 32.0 4.0% 2 1 3
Jason Espinoza CB 6 20.5 2.5% 1 2
Kyle Washington SS 6'1, 200 So. ** (5.4) 8 16.5 2.0% 1
Ayodeji Olatoye DB 4 9.5 1.2% 1
Josh Moten CB 6'0, 195 So. *** (5.5) 5 8.5 1.1% 2 1 1
K.T. Tu'umalo FS 6'2, 195 So. *** (5.6) 6 6.0 0.7% 1
Brian Lockridge CB 1 4.5 0.6% 1 1
Paul Vigo FS 6'1, 195 Jr. ** (5.4)
Jered Bell CB 6'0, 195 So. *** (5.7)
Josh Moten CB 6'0, 195 So. *** (5.5)
Harrison Hunter CB 5'10, 175 So. NR
Sherrard Harrington CB 6'1, 175 RSFr. *** (5.5)
Yuri Wright DB 6'2, 180 Fr. **** (5.9)
Kenneth Crawley DB 6'1, 170 Fr. **** (5.8)
Will Harlos SS 6'3, 205 Fr. ** (5.4)

Special Teams

Punter Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Punts Avg TB FC I20 FC/I20
Ratio
Darragh O'Neill 6'2, 180 So. 74 42.6 2 N/A 21 N/A
Kicker Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Kickoffs Avg TB TB%
Justin Castor 6'4, 200 Jr. 35 N/A 7 20.0%
Will Oliver 5'10, 195 So. 16 N/A 3 18.8%
Place-Kicker Ht, Wt 2012
Year
PAT FG
(0-39)
Pct FG
(40+)
Pct
Will Oliver 5'10, 195 So. 29-31 6-10 60.0% 5-6 83.3%
Returner Pos. Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Returns Avg. TD
Rodney Stewart KR 11 21.7 0
Justin Gorman KR 6'0, 195 So. 9 20.3 0
Keenan Canty PR 5'9, 155 So. 12 5.7 0
Logan Gray PR 12 3.3 0
Category Rk
Special Teams F/+ 115
Net Punting 45
Net Kickoffs 96
Touchback Pct 35
Field Goal Pct 62
Kick Returns Avg 115
Punt Returns Avg 105

---

Glossary

Adj. Line Yards: A line measure derived from the formula found here. The idea is to divvy credit for a given rush between both the runner and the blockers.

Adj. Pace: Part of the offensive footprint, this takes into account both the number of plays a team attempts and the type of play. Since passes, on average, take up less time (thanks to the fact that 30-50 percent of them are incomplete and stop the clock), pass-heavy offenses are prone to run more plays, therefore limiting the effectiveness of a general plays-per-game measure. Adj. Pace takes a team's run-pass ratio into account.

Adj. POE: An opponent-adjusted "Points Over Expected" measure for running backs that looks both at what a runner gained and what would have been expected given the opponents involved. For more information, start here.

Adj. Points: A look at how a team would have performed in a given week if playing a perfectly average team, with a somewhat average number of breaks and turnovers. The idea for the measure is simple: what if everybody in the country played exactly the same opponent every single week? Who would have done the best? It is an attempt to look at offensive and defensive consistency without getting sidetracked by easy or difficult schedules. And yes, with adjusted score you can allow a negative number of points. For more, start here.

Adj. Record: See Adj. Points.

Adj. Sack Rate: An opponent-adjusted measure of sack rates.

Adj. Score: See Adj. Points.

Adj. TO Margin: What a team's turnover margin would have been if they had recovered exactly 50 percent of all the fumbles that occurred in their games. If there is a huge difference between TO Margin and Adj. TO Margin (in other words, if fumbles, dropped interceptions, or other unlucky bounces were the main source of a good/bad TO margin), that suggests that a team's luck was particularly good or bad and might even out the next season.

Adj. Yards Per Target: A look at a receiver's total receiving yards divided by the number of times he was targeted. Slight adjustments are made for the percentage of times a receiver was targeted on standard ("%SD") and passing downs. Players targeted more on passing downs are likely to have a lower overall per-target average, since passing is more difficult on passing downs.

Bend-Don't-Break: Part of the defensive footprint, this is a comparison of a team's Def. Success Rate (efficiency) to its Def. PPP (explosiveness). The higher the number, the higher percentage of a team's overall S&P was made up by success rate, i.e. the more willing a team was to sacrifice efficiency to prevent big plays. (The lower the number, the more likely a team was to take aggressive risks.)

Covariance: Covariance is a statistical tool that provides a measure of the strength of the correlation between two or more sets of random variates. For these purposes, it is used to compare a team's performance (using opponent-adjusted Adj. Score) to the quality of the opponent at hand. Some teams play their best games against their worst opponents, and some teams do the opposite. This measure is used for both the offensive and defensive footprint. For more, go here.

Go After the Ball: Part of the defensive footprint, this looks at a team's forced fumbles, interceptions and passes broken up. In other words, it looks at their ability to go after the ball. The higher the number, the more they got their hands on the football.

Highlight Yards: The portion of a given run that is credit only to the running back; after a certain number of yards, the line has done its job, and most of the rest of the run will be determined by the running back himself. For more information, start here.

Need for Blitzes: Part of the defensive footprint, this compares a team's standard downs sack rate to its passing downs sack rate. The lower the number, the more they were able to generate pressure on standard downs, and the less need for blitzes.

Turnovers Luck: Presented in Points Per Game fashion, Turnovers Luck looks at the difference between a team's Turnover and Adj. TO Margins and, using the average point value of a turnover (~5.0 points), projects how many points a team gained or lost per game last season.

Yards Per Point: A measure long tracked by Phil Steele as a means of looking at teams that were a little too efficient or inefficient the previous season. A positive YPP Margin means a team's offense was less efficient than opponents' offenses, and to the extent that luck was involved, their luck might even out the next year.

X
Log In Sign Up

forgot?
Log In Sign Up

Forgot password?

We'll email you a reset link.

If you signed up using a 3rd party account like Facebook or Twitter, please login with it instead.

Forgot password?

Try another email?

Almost done,

Join Football Study Hall

You must be a member of Football Study Hall to participate.

We have our own Community Guidelines at Football Study Hall. You should read them.

Join Football Study Hall

You must be a member of Football Study Hall to participate.

We have our own Community Guidelines at Football Study Hall. You should read them.

Spinner.vc97ec6e

Authenticating

Great!

Choose an available username to complete sign up.

In order to provide our users with a better overall experience, we ask for more information from Facebook when using it to login so that we can learn more about our audience and provide you with the best possible experience. We do not store specific user data and the sharing of it is not required to login with Facebook.

tracking_pixel_9341_tracker