2012 Clemson Tigers Football: Statistical Profile

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2011 Schedule & Results

Record: 10-4 | Adj. Record: 9-5 | Final F/+ Rk: 36
Date Opponent Score W-L Adj. Score Adj. W-L
3-Sep Troy 43-19 W 28.2 - 27.7 W
10-Sep Wofford 35-27 W 26.1 - 30.8 L
17-Sep Auburn 38-24 W 32.4 - 31.1 W
24-Sep Florida State 35-30 W 36.8 - 29.1 W
1-Oct at Virginia Tech 23-3 W 29.8 - 19.8 W
8-Oct Boston College 36-14 W 30.1 - 29.2 W
15-Oct at Maryland 56-45 W 32.1 - 30.6 W
22-Oct North Carolina 59-38 W 30.9 - 28.0 W
29-Oct at Georgia Tech 17-31 L 26.7 - 29.0 L
12-Nov Wake Forest 31-28 W 30.7 - 30.2 W
19-Nov at N.C. State 13-37 L 23.4 - 30.6 L
26-Nov at South Carolina 13-34 L 21.1 - 28.8 L
3-Dec vs. Virginia Tech 38-10 W 39.7 - 19.6 W
4-Jan vs. West Virginia 33-70 L 30.1 - 31.7 L
Category Offense Rk Defense Rk
Points Per Game 33.6 24 29.3 81
Adj. Points Per Game 29.9 28 28.3 71

2012 Schedule & Projection Factors

2012 Schedule
Date Opponent Proj. Rk
1-Sep at Auburn 22
8-Sep Ball State 97
15-Sep Furman NR
22-Sep at Florida State 7
29-Sep at Boston College 45
6-Oct Georgia Tech 30
20-Oct Virginia Tech 18
25-Oct at Wake Forest 81
3-Nov at Duke 73
10-Nov Maryland 72
17-Nov N.C. State 53
24-Nov South Carolina 17
Five-Year F/+ Rk 18
Two-Year Recruiting Rk 9
TO Margin/Adj. TO Margin* -1 / +2.2
TO Luck/Game -1.1
Approx. Ret. Starters (Off. / Def.) 13 (6, 7)
Yds/Pt Margin** -0.3

Offense

Category Yards/
Game Rk
S&P+ Rk Success
Rt. Rk
PPP+ Rk
OVERALL 26 20 20 21
RUSHING 59 47 38 57
PASSING 21 12 12 15
Standard Downs 25 23 30
Passing Downs 19 13 21
Redzone 57 55 61
Q1 Rk 31 1st Down Rk 18
Q2 Rk 52 2nd Down Rk 22
Q3 Rk 15 3rd Down Rk 48
Q4 Rk 33
Adj. Line Yards Rk 66
Adj. Sack Rate Rk 42

Quarterback

Note: players in bold below are 2012 returnees. Players in italics are questionable with injury/suspension.

Player Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Rivals Comp Att Yards Comp
Rate
TD INT Sacks Sack Rate Yards/
Att.
Tajh Boyd 6'1, 225 Jr. **** (6.0) 298 499 3,828 59.7% 33 12 31 5.8% 6.8
Cole Stoudt 6'4, 200 So. *** (5.6) 12 21 115 57.1% 0 0 2 8.7% 4.7
Morgan Roberts 6'2, 200 RSFr. *** (5.5)







Chad Kelly 6'3, 208 Fr. **** (5.8)







Running Back

Player Pos. Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Rivals Rushes Yards Yards/
Carry
Hlt Yds/
Carry
TD Adj.
POE
Andre Ellington RB 5'10, 190 Sr. **** (5.9) 223 1,178 5.3 2.4 11 +7.3
Tajh Boyd QB 6'1, 225 Jr. **** (6.0) 111 436 3.9 1.0 5 -0.1
Mike Bellamy RB


57 343 6.0 3.0 3 +0.2
D.J. Howard RB 5'11, 195 So. *** (5.7) 41 230 5.6 2.0 1 +1.4
Sammy Watkins WR 6'1, 200 So. ***** (6.1) 32 231 7.2 3.5 0 +2.2
Roderick McDowell RB 5'9, 190 Jr. **** (5.9) 14 63 4.5 1.2 1 +1.5
Zac Brooks RB 6'2, 180 Fr. **** (5.8)





Receiving Corps

Player Pos. Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Rivals Targets Catches Yards Catch Rate Target
Rate
%SD Adj. Yds/
Target
Sammy Watkins WR 6'1, 200 So. ***** (6.1) 124 84 1,225 67.7% 24.8% 62.1% 9.9
DeAndre Hopkins WR 6'1, 200 Jr. **** (5.8) 107 71 961 66.4% 21.4% 58.9% 8.6
Dwayne Allen TE 91 49 592 53.8% 18.2% 49.5% 4.4
Jaron Brown WR 6'2, 200 Sr. *** (5.6) 49 31 406 63.3% 9.8% 57.1% 7.5
Andre Ellington RB 5'10, 190 Sr. **** (5.9) 37 22 109 59.5% 7.4% 51.4% 2.2
Brandon Ford TE 6'4, 235 Sr. **** (5.8) 21 14 166 66.7% 4.2% 57.1% 7.6
Adam Humphries WR 6'0, 190 So. ** (5.4) 17 15 130 88.2% 3.4% 76.5% 8.3
Martavis Bryant WR 6'5, 205 So. **** (5.9) 17 9 221 52.9% 3.4% 58.8% 9.9
Charone Peake WR 6'3, 205 So. **** (5.9) 10 4 71 40.0% 2.0% 50.0% 2.1
Mike Bellamy RB


6 2 4 33.3% 1.2% 33.3% 0.6
Sam Cooper TE 6'4, 240 So. ** (5.4) 1 3 18 33.3% 0.6% 33.3% 6.0
Germone Hopper WR 6'0, 165 Fr. **** (5.9)

Offensive Line

Player Pos. Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Rivals Career Starts/Honors/Notes
Dalton Freeman C 6'5, 285 Sr. **** (5.8) 36 career starts, 2011 1st All-ACC
Landon Walker RT 49 career starts
Antoine McClain RG 41 career starts
Mason Cloy C 20 career starts
David Smith LG 18 career starts
Phillip Price LT 14 career starts
Brandon Thomas LT 6'3, 300 Jr. **** (5.8) 10 career starts
Kalon Davis LG 6'5, 335 So. *** (5.6)
Reid Webster RG 6'4, 295 So. *** (5.7)
Gifford Timothy RT 6'6, 315 So. *** (5.5)
Tyler Shatley RG 6'3, 295 Jr. *** (5.6)
David Beasley LG 6'4, 315 So. *** (5.7)
Shaq Anthony LT 6'4, 275 RSFr. *** (5.7)
Joe Gore RT 6'6, 260 RSFr. *** (5.7)
Ryan Norton C 6'3, 265 RSFr. *** (5.6)
Isaiah Battle LT 6'7, 265 Fr. **** (5.6)

Defense

Category Yards/
Game Rk
S&P+ Rk Success
Rt. Rk
PPP+ Rk
OVERALL 71 65 84 61
RUSHING 83 82 99 59
PASSING 50 65 48 69
Standard Downs 80 90 72
Passing Downs 31 27 35
Redzone 83 97 72
Q1 Rk 94 1st Down Rk 91
Q2 Rk 78 2nd Down Rk 48
Q3 Rk 54 3rd Down Rk 39
Q4 Rk 10
Adj. Line Yards Rk 94
Adj. Sack Rate Rk 101

Defensive Line

Name Pos Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Rivals GP Tackles % of Team TFL Sacks Int PBU FF FR
Andre Branch DE 14 74.5 7.8% 17 10.5 1 1 1
Brandon Thompson DT 14 61.5 6.5% 8 2.5 1
Malliciah Goodman DE 6'4, 280 Sr. **** (6.0) 14 51.0 5.4% 4 2 1 1
Rennie Moore DT 14 49.5 5.2% 10 4 2 1 1
Corey Crawford DE 6'5, 280 So. **** (5.9) 14 23.0 2.4% 2 2
Kourtnei Brown DE 14 22.0 2.3% 4 2 1 2 1
Tyler Shatley DT 14 19.5 2.1% 1 1
DeShawn Williams DT 6'1, 290 So. *** (5.6) 14 16.0 1.7% 2
Tavaris Barnes NG 6'4, 270 So. **** (5.8) 9 5.5 0.6%
Vic Beasley DE 6'3, 235 So. *** (5.7) 9 1.5 0.2%
Grady Jarrett NG 6'0, 295 So. *** (5.5) 9 1.5 0.2%
Tra Thomas DT 6'0, 290 So. *** (5.5) 2 0.5 0.1%
Josh Watson DT 6'4, 290 So. **** (6.0)
Roderick Byers DE 6'3, 275 RSFr. *** (5.6)
Carlos Watkins DT 6'4, 275 Fr. **** (5.9)
Kevin Dodd DT 6'5, 277 Fr. **** (5.8)
Shaq Lawson DE 6'3, 240 Fr. **** (5.8)

Linebackers

Name Pos Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Rivals GP Tackles % of Team TFL Sacks Int PBU FF FR
Corico Hawkins WLB 5'11, 230 Sr. *** (5.6) 14 71.0 7.5% 5 2
Jonathan Willard WLB 6'2, 220 Sr. **** (5.8) 14 64.5 6.8% 2.5 4 1
Quandon Christian SLB 6'2, 220 Jr. *** (5.6) 14 32.5 3.4% 1.5 1 1
Stephone Anthony MLB 6'3, 235 So. ***** (6.1) 13 28.5 3.0% 6 2 1 2
Spencer Shuey MLB 6'3, 250 Jr. *** (5.7) 14 23.0 2.4%
Lateek Townsend SLB 6'2, 215 So. **** (5.8) 10 12.5 1.3%
Justin Parker WLB 6'1, 225 Jr. **** (5.8) 14 7.5 0.8%
Tony Steward WLB 6'1, 245 So. ***** (6.1) 5 4.0 0.4% 1
Daniel Andrews LB 14 3.5 0.4%
B.J. Goodson MLB 6'1, 235 RSFr. *** (5.6)
Travis Blanks LB 6'1, 195 Fr. **** (6.0)

Secondary

Name Pos Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Rivals GP Tackles % of Team TFL Sacks Int PBU FF FR
Rashard Hall S 6'1, 210 Sr. *** (5.7) 13 73.5 7.7% 3 1 2 1 1 2
Jonathan Meeks SS 6'1, 210 Sr. **** (5.8) 14 53.0 5.6% 1 3 5 2
Xavier Brewer FS 5'11, 190 Sr. *** (5.7) 13 52.5 5.5% 3 1 7
Bashaud Breeland CB 6'0, 185 Sr. *** (5.7) 14 47.5 5.0% 1 2 4
Coty Sensabaugh CB 14 38.0 4.0% 1 1 13
Martin Jenkins CB 5'9, 175 Jr. *** (5.5) 14 22.0 2.3% 1 6
Darius Robinson CB 5'11, 170 Jr. **** (5.8) 11 17.0 1.8% 1 1 1
Kantrell Brown S 14 9.0 0.9% 1
Robert Smith FS 5'11, 210 So. *** (5.6) 14 8.0 0.8% 1 1
Carlton Lewis S 12 8.0 0.8% 2 1
Garry Peters SS 5'11, 190 So. **** (5.8) 11 5.0 0.5% 1
Cortez Davis CB 6'3, 195 Fr. **** (5.8)
Ronald Geohaghan DB 6'0, 185 Fr. **** (5.8)

Special Teams

Punter Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Punts Avg TB FC I20 FC/I20
Ratio
Dawson Zimmerman 65 41.8 9 N/A 20 N/A
Spencer Benton 6'2, 195 Sr. 2 33.0 0 N/A 1 N/A
Kicker Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Kickoffs Avg TB TB%
Spencer Benton 6'2, 195 Sr. 54 N/A 12 22.2%
Chandler Catanzaro 6'2, 200 Jr. 20 N/A 0 0.0%
Place-Kicker Ht, Wt 2012
Year
PAT FG
(0-39)
Pct FG
(40+)
Pct
Chandler Catanzaro 6'2, 200 Jr. 52-53 13-15 86.7% 9-12 75.0%
Returner Pos. Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Returns Avg. TD
Sammy Watkins KR 6'1, 200 So. 33 25.0 1
Jaron Brown KR 6'2, 200 Sr. 15 20.5 0
DeAndre Hopkins PR 6'1, 200 Jr. 10 4.9 0
Sammy Watkins PR 6'1, 200 So. 2 6.0 0
Category Rk
Special Teams F/+ 37
Net Punting 83
Net Kickoffs 32
Touchback Pct 61
Field Goal Pct 20
Kick Returns Avg 49
Punt Returns Avg 87

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Glossary

Adj. Line Yards: A line measure derived from the formula found here. The idea is to divvy credit for a given rush between both the runner and the blockers.

Adj. Pace: Part of the offensive footprint, this takes into account both the number of plays a team attempts and the type of play. Since passes, on average, take up less time (thanks to the fact that 30-50 percent of them are incomplete and stop the clock), pass-heavy offenses are prone to run more plays, therefore limiting the effectiveness of a general plays-per-game measure. Adj. Pace takes a team's run-pass ratio into account.

Adj. POE: An opponent-adjusted "Points Over Expected" measure for running backs that looks both at what a runner gained and what would have been expected given the opponents involved. For more information, start here.

Adj. Points: A look at how a team would have performed in a given week if playing a perfectly average team, with a somewhat average number of breaks and turnovers. The idea for the measure is simple: what if everybody in the country played exactly the same opponent every single week? Who would have done the best? It is an attempt to look at offensive and defensive consistency without getting sidetracked by easy or difficult schedules. And yes, with adjusted score you can allow a negative number of points. For more, start here.

Adj. Record: See Adj. Points.

Adj. Sack Rate: An opponent-adjusted measure of sack rates.

Adj. Score: See Adj. Points.

Adj. TO Margin: What a team's turnover margin would have been if they had recovered exactly 50 percent of all the fumbles that occurred in their games. If there is a huge difference between TO Margin and Adj. TO Margin (in other words, if fumbles, dropped interceptions, or other unlucky bounces were the main source of a good/bad TO margin), that suggests that a team's luck was particularly good or bad and might even out the next season.

Adj. Yards Per Target: A look at a receiver's total receiving yards divided by the number of times he was targeted. Slight adjustments are made for the percentage of times a receiver was targeted on standard ("%SD") and passing downs. Players targeted more on passing downs are likely to have a lower overall per-target average, since passing is more difficult on passing downs.

Bend-Don't-Break: Part of the defensive footprint, this is a comparison of a team's Def. Success Rate (efficiency) to its Def. PPP (explosiveness). The higher the number, the higher percentage of a team's overall S&P was made up by success rate, i.e. the more willing a team was to sacrifice efficiency to prevent big plays. (The lower the number, the more likely a team was to take aggressive risks.)

Covariance: Covariance is a statistical tool that provides a measure of the strength of the correlation between two or more sets of random variates. For these purposes, it is used to compare a team's performance (using opponent-adjusted Adj. Score) to the quality of the opponent at hand. Some teams play their best games against their worst opponents, and some teams do the opposite. This measure is used for both the offensive and defensive footprint. For more, go here.

Go After the Ball: Part of the defensive footprint, this looks at a team's forced fumbles, interceptions and passes broken up. In other words, it looks at their ability to go after the ball. The higher the number, the more they got their hands on the football.

Highlight Yards: The portion of a given run that is credit only to the running back; after a certain number of yards, the line has done its job, and most of the rest of the run will be determined by the running back himself. For more information, start here.

Need for Blitzes: Part of the defensive footprint, this compares a team's standard downs sack rate to its passing downs sack rate. The lower the number, the more they were able to generate pressure on standard downs, and the less need for blitzes.

Turnovers Luck: Presented in Points Per Game fashion, Turnovers Luck looks at the difference between a team's Turnover and Adj. TO Margins and, using the average point value of a turnover (~5.0 points), projects how many points a team gained or lost per game last season.

Yards Per Point: A measure long tracked by Phil Steele as a means of looking at teams that were a little too efficient or inefficient the previous season. A positive YPP Margin means a team's offense was less efficient than opponents' offenses, and to the extent that luck was involved, their luck might even out the next year.

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