2012 Cincinnati Bearcats Football: Statistical Profile

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2011 Schedule & Results

Record: 10-3 | Adj. Record: 9-4 | Final F/+ Rk: 27
Date Opponent Score W-L Adj. Score Adj. W-L
3-Sep Austin Peay 72-10 W 33.9 - 33.4 W
10-Sep at Tennessee 23-45 L 29.9 - 34.7 L
17-Sep Akron 59-14 W 30.0 - 28.5 W
22-Sep N.C. State 44-14 W 33.9 - 24.3 W
1-Oct at Miami (Ohio) 27-0 W 26.6 - 15.5 W
15-Oct Louisville 25-16 W 31.4 - 25.1 W
22-Oct at South Florida 37-34 W 35.8 - 29.1 W
5-Nov at Pittsburgh 26-23 W 26.0 - 27.2 L
12-Nov West Virginia 21-24 L 29.0 - 23.7 W
19-Nov at Rutgers 3-20 L 18.9 - 29.5 L
26-Nov at Syracuse 30-13 W 26.9 - 26.3 W
3-Dec Connecticut 35-27 W 24.4 - 24.8 L
31-Dec vs Vanderbilt 31-24 W 26.4 - 24.6 W
Category Offense Rk Defense Rk
Points Per Game 33.3 26 20.3 20
Adj. Points Per Game 28.7 44 26.7 45

2012 Schedule & Projection Factors

2012 Schedule
Date Opponent Proj. Rk
6-Sep Pittsburgh 41
15-Sep Delaware State NR
29-Sep vs. Virginia Tech 22
6-Oct Miami (Ohio) 77
13-Oct Fordham NR
20-Oct at Toledo 71
26-Oct at Louisville 50
3-Nov Syracuse 78
10-Nov at Temple 73
17-Nov Rutgers 40
23-Nov South Florida 25
1-Dec at Connecticut 53
Five-Year F/+ Rk 23
Two-Year Recruiting Rk 45
TO Margin/Adj. TO Margin* +12 / +3.9
TO Luck/Game 3.1
Approx. Ret. Starters (Off. / Def.) 10 (4, 6)
Yds/Pt Margin** -6.0

Offense

Category Yards/
Game Rk
S&P+ Rk Success
Rt. Rk
PPP+ Rk
OVERALL 61 44 70 26
RUSHING 36 17 32 10
PASSING 78 65 86 46
Standard Downs 50 63 41
Passing Downs 23 39 18
Redzone 33 45 25
Q1 Rk 65 1st Down Rk 54
Q2 Rk 38 2nd Down Rk 32
Q3 Rk 31 3rd Down Rk 31
Q4 Rk 40
Adj. Line Yards Rk 16
Adj. Sack Rate Rk 41

Quarterback

Note: players in bold below are 2012 returnees. Players in italics are questionable with injury/suspension.

Player Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Rivals Comp Att Yards Comp
Rate
TD INT Sacks Sack Rate Yards/
Att.
Zach Collaros 166 272 1,940 61.0% 15 10 16 5.6% 6.3
Munchie Legaux 6'5, 197 Jr. *** (5.7) 55 116 749 47.4% 5 4 6 4.9% 5.8
Jordan Luallen^ 6'3, 215 Jr. *** (5.7) 2 4 10 50.0% 0 0 0 0.0% 2.5
Brendon Kay 6'4, 229 Sr. ** (5.3)








Patrick Coyne 6'1, 233 RSFr. *** (5.7)








Bennie Coney 6'2, 210 Fr. *** (5.7)








^ Luallen moved to receiver this spring.

Running Back

Player Pos. Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Rivals Rushes Yards Yards/
Carry
Hlt Yds/
Carry
TD Adj.
POE
Isaiah Pead RB 237 1,259 5.3 2.5 12 +14.2
Zach Collaros QB 68 347 5.1 1.4 8 +10.9
George Winn RB 5'11, 195 Sr. ** (5.2) 40 219 5.5 2.2 2 +2.9
Munchie Legaux QB 6'5, 197 Sr. *** (5.7) 35 232 6.6 3.3 2 +3.4
Jameel Poteat RB 5'10, 202 So. **** (5.8) 23 108 4.7 1.0 1 0.0
Jordan Luallen WR 6'3, 215 Jr. *** (5.7) 22 135 6.1 3.4 1 +3.7
Ralph David Abernathy IV RB 5'7, 160 So. *** (5.5) 14 38 2.7 0.8 0 -2.5
Aaron Harris RB 6'0, 200 Jr. *** (5.6)




Ti'on Green RB 6'0, 210 Fr. *** (5.7)



Delonte Buckley RB 5'9, 195 Fr. *** (5.7)



Receiving Corps

Player Pos. Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Rivals Targets Catches Yards Catch Rate Target
Rate
%SD Adj. Yds/
Target
Anthony McClung WR 6'0, 164 Jr. *** (5.5) 87 49 683 56.3% 23.8% 56.3% 6.0
D.J. Woods WR 79 37 450 46.8% 21.6% 58.2% 2.9
Kenbrell Thompkins WR 6'1, 196 Sr. **** (5.9) 75 44 536 58.7% 20.5% 60.0% 5.8
Isaiah Pead RB 48 39 319 81.3% 13.2% 52.1% 7.3
Alex Chisum WR 6'3, 178 So. *** (5.6) 30 19 302 63.3% 8.2% 36.7% 9.0
Adrien Robinson TE 17 12 183 70.6% 4.7% 47.1% 10.3
Travis Kelce TE 6'6, 252 Sr. ** (5.2) 14 13 150 92.9% 3.8% 71.4% 14.2
Shaq Washington WR 5'9, 165 So. *** (5.7) 6 3 14 50.0% 1.6% 83.3% 1.3
Danny Milligan WR 5'9, 172 Sr. ** (5.2) 2 1 15 50.0% 0.5% 50.0% 7.5
Damon Julian WR 6'2, 209 Sr. *** (5.5)



Demetrius Richardson TE 6'2, 243 Sr. ** (5.1)



Chris Moore WR 6'1, 175 RSFr. *** (5.6)



Nathan Cole WR 5'11, 170 Fr. *** (5.7)



DeShawn Dowdy TE 6'4, 222 Fr. *** (5.7)



Offensive Line

Player Pos. Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Rivals Career Starts/Honors/Notes
Randy Martinez LG 24 career starts, 2011 1st All-Big East
Alex Hoffman LT 38 career starts, 2011 2nd All-Big East
Evan Davis C 14 career starts
Austen Bujnoch LG 6'5, 280 Jr. *** (5.6) 13 career starts
Sean Hooey RT 6'9, 300 Sr. ** (5.4) 9 career starts
Eric Lefeld LT 6'6, 281 So. ** (5.4) 7 career starts
Cory Keebler LT 6'7, 286 So. ** (5.2)
Sean McClellan LG 6'4, 272 Jr. ** (5.3)
Dan Sprague C 6'3, 285 Jr. ** (5.3)
Andre Cureton RG 6'6, 301 Jr. ** (5.3)
Sam Longo C 6'5, 289 Jr. *** (5.7) Ohio State transfer
Sean McClellan RG 6'4, 281 Jr. ** (5.3)
Kevin Schloemer RG 6'7, 303 So. *** (5.7)
Daniel Murray LG 6'3, 284 RSFr. *** (5.5)
Parker Ehinger RT 6'7, 278 RSFr. *** (5.5)
Caleb Stacy OL 6'4, 275 Fr. *** (5.7)

Defense

Category Yards/
Game Rk
S&P+ Rk Success
Rt. Rk
PPP+ Rk
OVERALL 42 56 53 51
RUSHING 6 35 37 34
PASSING 99 69 73 66
Standard Downs 100 104 92
Passing Downs 17 15 14
Redzone 56 60 55
Q1 Rk 41 1st Down Rk 77
Q2 Rk 49 2nd Down Rk 74
Q3 Rk 102 3rd Down Rk 54
Q4 Rk 53
Adj. Line Yards Rk 28
Adj. Sack Rate Rk 26

Defensive Line

Name Pos Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Rivals GP Tackles % of Team TFL Sacks Int PBU FF FR
Derek Wolfe DT 13 53.5 7.1% 21.5 9.5 1 2 2
John Hughes NT 12 37.5 5.0% 12.5 5 1
Walter Stewart DE 6'5, 244 Sr. ** (5.0) 13 35.0 4.6% 11 6 8 4 3
Jordan Stepp NT 6'1, 273 Jr. *** (5.7) 13 27.0 3.6% 2 0.5
Dan Giordano DE 6'4, 260 Sr. ** (5.4) 13 24.0 3.2% 9 5 1 1 1
Brandon Mills DE 5'10, 245 Sr. ** (5.2) 12 23.5 3.1% 7 5.5 1
Monte Taylor DE 13 11.5 1.5% 4 4 3
Rob Trigg DE 13 9.5 1.3% 4 2.5 2
Mitch Meador DT 6'4, 270 Jr. ** (5.3) 13 3.5 0.5% 0.5 0.5
Camaron Beard DT 6'5, 279 So. *** (5.5) 5 3.0 0.4%
Brad Harrah DE 6'5, 250 So. *** (5.5) 5 2.0 0.3% 1
Steve Hancock DE 4 1.5 0.2% 0.5
Silverberry Mouhon DE 6'4, 233 RSFr. *** (5.5)
Elijah Shuler DE 6'4, 255 Jr. ** (5.2)

Linebackers

Name Pos Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Rivals GP Tackles % of Team TFL Sacks Int PBU FF FR
J.K. Schaffer MLB 13 83.0 11.0% 13 4.5 3 6 3 3
Maalik Bomar WLB 6'2, 219 Sr. *** (5.6) 13 45.5 6.0% 3.5 1 3 2
Nick Temple SLB 5'11, 214 So. *** (5.7) 13 27.0 3.6% 2.5 1 1
Dwight Jackson WLB 6'1, 205 So. *** (5.5) 10 10.5 1.4% 1.5 1
Ben Pooler LB 6 8.5 1.1% 1 2
Clemente Casseus WLB 6'1, 205 So. NR 2 6.5 0.9% 2
Solomon Tentman MLB 6'2, 222 So. *** (5.7) 5 2.5 0.3%
Greg Blair MLB 6'2, 240 Sr. ** (5.2) 1 1.0 0.1% 1
Corey Mason SLB 6'3, 229 So. ** (5.4)

Secondary

Name Pos Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Rivals GP Tackles % of Team TFL Sacks Int PBU FF FR
Drew Frey SS 6'3, 203 Sr. ** (5.0) 13 58.0 7.7% 2.5 2 8
Wesley Richardson FS 13 54.0 7.1% 1 4 1
Camerron Cheatham CB 5'9, 190 Sr. ** (5.3) 13 49.5 6.5% 0.5 3 7
Deven Drane CB 5'11, 180 Jr. ** (5.4) 13 36.0 4.8% 2 3 9 1
Chris Williams NB 5'11, 194 Sr. **** (5.8) 13 34.0 4.5% 4.5 2 1 1
Dominique Battle CB 5'11, 185 Sr. *** (5.5) 6 18.0 2.4% 3.5 2 1
Adrian Witty SS 5'10, 181 Jr. ** (5.3) 12 12.5 1.7% 1 1
Pat Lambert FS 6'1, 198 Sr. *** (5.5) 12 11.5 1.5% 1
Arryn Chenault FS 6'0, 197 Jr. *** (5.6) 13 6.5 0.9% 1
Reuben Johnson NB 5'10, 191 Sr. ** (5.4) 8 4.5 0.6% 1.5
Aaron Roberson CB 5'11, 183 Sr. NR 11 3.5 0.5%
1
Trenier Orr CB 5'11, 180 So. *** (5.5)
Malcolm Murray FS 6'1, 195 Sr. *** (5.7)

Special Teams

Punter Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Punts Avg TB FC I20 FC/I20
Ratio
Pat O'Donnell 6'5, 217 Jr. 63 43.8 8 9 26 55.6%
Kicker Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Kickoffs Avg TB TB%
Pat O'Donnell 6'5, 217 Jr. 61 64.2 7 11.5%
Tony Miliano 6'2, 298 So. 22 63.6 2 9.1%
Place-Kicker Ht, Wt 2012
Year
PAT FG
(0-39)
Pct FG
(40+)
Pct
Tony Miliano 6'2, 298 So. 47-50 9-13 69.2% 8-12 66.7%
Shane Popham 3-3 0-0 N/A 0-0 N/A
Returner Pos. Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Returns Avg. TD
Ralph David Abernathy IV KR 39 26.5 1
Jameel Poteat KR 5'10, 202 So. 3 22.3 0
D.J. Woods PR 11 6.5 0
Isaiah Pead PR 8 9.2 0
Category Rk
Special Teams F/+ 18
Net Punting 19
Net Kickoffs 17
Touchback Pct 79
Field Goal Pct 68
Kick Returns Avg 18
Punt Returns Avg 78

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Glossary

Adj. Line Yards: A line measure derived from the formula found here. The idea is to divvy credit for a given rush between both the runner and the blockers.

Adj. Pace: Part of the offensive footprint, this takes into account both the number of plays a team attempts and the type of play. Since passes, on average, take up less time (thanks to the fact that 30-50 percent of them are incomplete and stop the clock), pass-heavy offenses are prone to run more plays, therefore limiting the effectiveness of a general plays-per-game measure. Adj. Pace takes a team's run-pass ratio into account.

Adj. POE: An opponent-adjusted "Points Over Expected" measure for running backs that looks both at what a runner gained and what would have been expected given the opponents involved. For more information, start here.

Adj. Points: A look at how a team would have performed in a given week if playing a perfectly average team, with a somewhat average number of breaks and turnovers. The idea for the measure is simple: what if everybody in the country played exactly the same opponent every single week? Who would have done the best? It is an attempt to look at offensive and defensive consistency without getting sidetracked by easy or difficult schedules. And yes, with adjusted score you can allow a negative number of points. For more, start here.

Adj. Record: See Adj. Points.

Adj. Sack Rate: An opponent-adjusted measure of sack rates.

Adj. Score: See Adj. Points.

Adj. TO Margin: What a team's turnover margin would have been if they had recovered exactly 50 percent of all the fumbles that occurred in their games. If there is a huge difference between TO Margin and Adj. TO Margin (in other words, if fumbles, dropped interceptions, or other unlucky bounces were the main source of a good/bad TO margin), that suggests that a team's luck was particularly good or bad and might even out the next season.

Adj. Yards Per Target: A look at a receiver's total receiving yards divided by the number of times he was targeted. Slight adjustments are made for the percentage of times a receiver was targeted on standard ("%SD") and passing downs. Players targeted more on passing downs are likely to have a lower overall per-target average, since passing is more difficult on passing downs.

Bend-Don't-Break: Part of the defensive footprint, this is a comparison of a team's Def. Success Rate (efficiency) to its Def. PPP (explosiveness). The higher the number, the higher percentage of a team's overall S&P was made up by success rate, i.e. the more willing a team was to sacrifice efficiency to prevent big plays. (The lower the number, the more likely a team was to take aggressive risks.)

Covariance: Covariance is a statistical tool that provides a measure of the strength of the correlation between two or more sets of random variates. For these purposes, it is used to compare a team's performance (using opponent-adjusted Adj. Score) to the quality of the opponent at hand. Some teams play their best games against their worst opponents, and some teams do the opposite. This measure is used for both the offensive and defensive footprint. For more, go here.

Go After the Ball: Part of the defensive footprint, this looks at a team's forced fumbles, interceptions and passes broken up. In other words, it looks at their ability to go after the ball. The higher the number, the more they got their hands on the football.

Highlight Yards: The portion of a given run that is credit only to the running back; after a certain number of yards, the line has done its job, and most of the rest of the run will be determined by the running back himself. For more information, start here.

Need for Blitzes: Part of the defensive footprint, this compares a team's standard downs sack rate to its passing downs sack rate. The lower the number, the more they were able to generate pressure on standard downs, and the less need for blitzes.

Turnovers Luck: Presented in Points Per Game fashion, Turnovers Luck looks at the difference between a team's Turnover and Adj. TO Margins and, using the average point value of a turnover (~5.0 points), projects how many points a team gained or lost per game last season.

Yards Per Point: A measure long tracked by Phil Steele as a means of looking at teams that were a little too efficient or inefficient the previous season. A positive YPP Margin means a team's offense was less efficient than opponents' offenses, and to the extent that luck was involved, their luck might even out the next year.

In This Article

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