2012 BYU Cougars Football: Statistical Profile

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2011 Schedule & Results

Record: 10-3 | Adj. Record: 10-3 | Final F/+ Rk: 37
Date Opponent Score W-L Adj. Score Adj. W-L
3-Sep at Ole Miss 14-13 W 22.0 - 23.6 L
10-Sep at Texas 16-17 L 23.5 - 24.9 L
17-Sep Utah 10-54 L 25.6 - 31.8 L
23-Sep Central Florida 24-17 W 26.0 - 25.4 W
30-Sep Utah State 27-24 W 28.3 - 26.7 W
8-Oct San Jose State 29-16 W 31.8 - 29.1 W
15-Oct at Oregon State 38-28 W 30.3 - 27.9 W
22-Oct Idaho State 56-3 W 28.6 - 26.9 W
28-Oct at TCU 28-38 L 27.1 - 24.8 W
12-Nov Idaho 42-7 W 34.9 - 25.6 W
19-Nov New Mexico State 42-7 W 28.6 - 23.8 W
3-Dec at Hawaii 41-20 W 32.1 - 24.7 W
30-Dec vs Tulsa 24-21 W 25.8 - 24.2 W
Category Offense Rk Defense Rk
Points Per Game 30.1 42 20.4 22
Adj. Points Per Game 28.1 54 26.1 36

2012 Schedule & Projection Factors

2012 Schedule
Date Opponent Proj. Rk
1-Sep Washington State 97
8-Sep Weber State NR
15-Sep at Utah 33
22-Sep at Boise State 39
29-Sep Hawaii 93
5-Oct Utah State 79
13-Oct Oregon State 74
20-Oct at Notre Dame 11
27-Oct at Georgia Tech 26
10-Nov Idaho 118
17-Nov at San Jose State 110
24-Nov at New Mexico State 121
Five-Year F/+ Rk 30
Two-Year Recruiting Rk 68
TO Margin/Adj. TO Margin* -2 / -0.4
TO Luck/Game -0.6
Approx. Ret. Starters (Off. / Def.) 15 (8, 7)
Yds/Pt Margin** -1.9

Offense

Category Yards/
Game Rk
S&P+ Rk Success
Rt. Rk
PPP+ Rk
OVERALL 41 53 41 59
RUSHING 56 53 37 65
PASSING 47 53 46 57
Standard Downs 56 42 65
Passing Downs 42 32 46
Redzone 74 76 71
Q1 Rk 46 1st Down Rk 79
Q2 Rk 59 2nd Down Rk 53
Q3 Rk 85 3rd Down Rk 16
Q4 Rk 16
Adj. Line Yards Rk 61
Adj. Sack Rate Rk 34

Quarterback

Note: players in bold below are 2012 returnees. Players in italics are questionable with injury/suspension.

Player Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Rivals Comp Att Yards Comp
Rate
TD INT Sacks Sack Rate Yards/
Att.
Riley Nelson 6'0, 196 Sr. ** (5.4) 116 202 1,717 57.4% 19 7 12 5.6% 7.7
Jake Heaps


144 252 1,452 57.1% 9 8 4 1.6% 5.5
James Lark 6'2, 200 Sr. *** (5.5)






Taysom Hill 6'2, 210 Fr. *** (5.6)






Tanner Mangum 6'3, 195 Fr. **** (6.0)






Running Back

Player Pos. Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Rivals Rushes Yards Yards/
Carry
Hlt Yds/
Carry
TD Adj.
POE
J.J. Di Luigi RB 116 584 5.0 1.7 3 -3.0
Josh Quezada RB 5'11, 202 Jr. *** (5.6) 86 298 3.5 0.7 1 -10.4
Michael Alisa RB 6'1, 213 Jr. ** (5.4) 85 455 5.4 1.8 3 +2.8
Riley Nelson QB 6'0, 196 Sr. ** (5.4) 76 452 5.9 2.5 1 +1.4
Bryan Kariya FB 74 298 4.0 0.8 6 +1.0
David Foote RB 5'11, 200 Sr. NR 13 146 11.2 7.4 0 +2.2
Jake Heaps QB 10 -14 -1.4 0.5 1 -1.4
Iona Pritchard RB 6'0, 240 So. ** (5.1)




Paul Lasike RB 6'0, 225 So. NR





Receiving Corps

Player Pos. Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Rivals Targets Catches Yards Catch Rate Target
Rate
%SD Adj. Yds/
Target
Cody Hoffman WR 6'4, 208 Jr. ** (5.0) 92 61 943 66.3% 21.3% 54.3% 9.7
Ross Apo WR 6'3, 206 So. **** (5.9) 72 34 453 47.2% 16.7% 56.9% 3.0
J.J. Di Luigi RB 52 27 274 51.9% 12.0% 55.8% 3.4
McKay Jacobson WR 50 25 323 50.0% 11.6% 58.0% 3.7
J.D. Falslev WR 5'8, 184 Jr. NR 47 31 330 66.0% 10.9% 57.4% 6.2
Marcus Mathews TE 6'4, 208 Jr. ** (5.4) 44 27 299 61.4% 10.2% 59.1% 5.4
Bryan Kariya FB 17 13 88 76.5% 3.9% 64.7% 5.9
Richard Wilson TE 6'2, 232 Jr. *** (5.7) 17 11 130 64.7% 3.9% 76.5% 9.8
Austin Holt TE 6'5, 247 Jr. *** (5.7) 15 11 180 73.3% 3.5% 73.3% 11.2
Kaneakua Friel TE 6'5, 244 Jr. ** (5.4) 8 7 55 87.5% 1.9% 75.0% 7.0
Dallin Cutler WR 5'9, 170 Jr. NR
Brett Thompson WR 6'3, 214 So. *** (5.6)
Mitch Mathews WR 6'6, 215 RSFr. *** (5.5)
Josh Weeks WR 6'4, 200 Fr. *** (5.7)
Dylan Collie WR 5'11, 175 Fr. *** (5.6)

Offensive Line

2011 Two-Deep Pos. Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Rivals Career Starts/Honors/Notes
Matt Reynolds LT 52 career starts, 2011 1st All-Indy
Braden Hansen RG 6'6, 313 Sr. ** (5.3) 39 career starts, 2011 1st All-Indy
Terence Brown C 39 career starts
Braden Brown RT 6'6, 301 Sr. *** (5.5) 28 career starts, 2011 2nd All-Indy
Houston Reynolds C 6'2, 296 Jr. ** (5.4) 10 career starts
Marco Thorson LG 3 career starts
Ryker Mathews LT 6'6, 313 So. **** (5.8)
Brock Stringham LG 6'6, 274 So. *** (5.5)
Blair Tushaus C 6'2, 280 So. *** (5.5)
Michael Yeck LT 6'8, 286 So. ** (5.4)
Famika Anae LG 6'6, 318 So. ** (5.4)

Defense

Category Yards/
Game Rk
S&P+ Rk Success
Rt. Rk
PPP+ Rk
OVERALL 14 36 32 44
RUSHING 19 18 16 24
PASSING 32 64 50 67
Standard Downs 34 24 46
Passing Downs 49 68 40
Redzone 43 87 24
Q1 Rk 39 1st Down Rk 31
Q2 Rk 38 2nd Down Rk 39
Q3 Rk 67 3rd Down Rk 60
Q4 Rk 37
Adj. Line Yards Rk 16
Adj. Sack Rate Rk 107

Defensive Line

Name Pos Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Rivals GP Tackles % of Team TFL Sacks Int PBU FF FR
Eathyn Manumaleuna DE 6'2, 294 Sr. ** (5.3) 13 24.5 3.7%
Romney Fuga NT 6'2, 321 Sr. *** (5.5) 12 20.5 3.1% 2
Hebron Fangupo DE 13 19.0 2.9% 6 2
Ian Dulan (2008)^ DE 6'1, 270 Sr. ** (5.2) 12 13.5 1.9% 4 3 1
Graham Rowley DE 13 12.0 1.8% 3 1.5 1
Travis Tuiloma NT 13 10.0 1.5% 1.5 1
Russell Tialavea (2009)^ NT 6'3, 266 Sr. *** (5.6) 9 7.5 1.1% 0.5 1
Matt Putnam DE 7 5.0 0.8% 2 3 1 1
Simote Vea DE 13 3.5 0.5% 2 1
Mike Muehlmann DE 6'4, 253 Jr. ** (5.3) 8 3.0 0.5% 2 2 1
Ziggy Ansah DE 6'6, 270 Sr. NR

Marques Johnson DT 6'2, 310 Jr. *** (5.5)

Troy Hinds DE 6'4, 235 Fr. **** (5.8)

^ Dulan and Tialavea each return to the two-deep after two-year missions.

Linebackers

Name Pos Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Rivals GP Tackles % of Team TFL Sacks Int PBU FF FR
Kyle Van Noy WLB 6'3, 235 Jr. **** (5.8) 13 59.0 9.0% 15 7 3 3 3 1
Brandon Ogletree BLB 5'11, 228 Sr. ** (5.1) 12 56.0 8.5% 4 1 2 1
Uona Kaveinga MLB 5'11, 236 Sr. NR 13 44.0 6.7% 4.5 1 4 1
Spencer Hadley SLB 6'1, 230 Jr. ** (5.2) 13 34.5 5.2% 1.5 1
Jadon Wagner WLB 13 28.5 4.3% 5 2 1 1 1
Jordan Pendleton LB 7 27.0 4.1% 8.5 4 1
Jameson Frazier SLB 13 22.0 3.3% 6 2.5 2
Tyler Beck BLB 6'1, 212 Jr. ** (5.3) 9 8.0 1.2%
Austin Jorgensen SLB 6'2, 237 Sr. ** (5.4) 9 5.5 0.8%
Alani Fua SLB 6'5, 206 So. *** (5.7) 8 5.0 0.8% 2 2 1
Zac Stout MLB 6'1, 229 So. *** (5.6)

Kevan Bills WLB 6'3, 245 RSFr. ** (5.2)

Butch Pau-u LB 6'0, 220 Fr. *** (5.7)

Secondary

Name Pos Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Rivals GP Tackles % of Team TFL Sacks Int PBU FF FR
Daniel Sorensen KAT 6'2, 206 Jr. *** (5.6) 13 50.5 7.7% 2 2 6 1
Corby Eason CB 13 43.0 6.5% 2 14 1
Preston Hadley CB 6'0, 200 Sr. ** (5.2) 13 41.5 6.3% 2.5 1 14
Travis Uale FS 13 41.5 6.3% 3 4 1
Joe Sampson FS 5'10, 213 Sr. ** (5.3) 12 19.5 3.0% 5 1 1 3 1
Carter Mees KAT 13 13.5 2.1%
Jordan Johnson CB 5'10, 185 So. ** (5.3) 13 11.5 1.7% 2 1
Robbie Buckner CB 5'10, 176 Sr. ** (5.1)

Mike Hague FS 5'10, 190 Sr. ** (5.4)

DeQuan Everett CB 6'3, 205 Sr. NR

Chase Pendley KAT 6'1, 204 Jr. NR

Special Teams

Punter Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Punts Avg TB FC I20 FC/I20
Ratio
Riley Stephenson 6'0, 196 Sr. 47 42.2 6 9 20 61.7%
Kicker Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Kickoffs Avg TB TB%
Justin Sorensen 6'1, 232 Jr. 67 66.6 17 25.4%
Brian Smith 6'3, 179 Jr. 6 58.8 0 0.0%
Place-Kicker Ht, Wt 2012
Year
PAT FG
(0-39)
Pct FG
(40+)
Pct
Justin Sorensen 6'1, 232 Jr. 48-48 10-14 71.4% 5-11 45.5%
Returner Pos. Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Returns Avg. TD
Cody Hoffman KR 6'4, 208 Jr. 36 24.4 1
Jordan Johnson KR 5'10, 185 So. 5 19.8 0
J.D. Falslev PR 5'8, 184 Jr. 22 10.0 1
McKay Jacobson PR 2 12.0 0
Category Rk
Special Teams F/+ 21
Net Punting 50
Net Kickoffs 7
Touchback Pct 27
Field Goal Pct 97
Kick Returns Avg 40
Punt Returns Avg 25

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Glossary

Adj. Line Yards: A line measure derived from the formula found here. The idea is to divvy credit for a given rush between both the runner and the blockers.

Adj. Pace: Part of the offensive footprint, this takes into account both the number of plays a team attempts and the type of play. Since passes, on average, take up less time (thanks to the fact that 30-50 percent of them are incomplete and stop the clock), pass-heavy offenses are prone to run more plays, therefore limiting the effectiveness of a general plays-per-game measure. Adj. Pace takes a team's run-pass ratio into account.

Adj. POE: An opponent-adjusted "Points Over Expected" measure for running backs that looks both at what a runner gained and what would have been expected given the opponents involved. For more information, start here.

Adj. Points: A look at how a team would have performed in a given week if playing a perfectly average team, with a somewhat average number of breaks and turnovers. The idea for the measure is simple: what if everybody in the country played exactly the same opponent every single week? Who would have done the best? It is an attempt to look at offensive and defensive consistency without getting sidetracked by easy or difficult schedules. And yes, with adjusted score you can allow a negative number of points. For more, start here.

Adj. Record: See Adj. Points.

Adj. Sack Rate: An opponent-adjusted measure of sack rates.

Adj. Score: See Adj. Points.

Adj. TO Margin: What a team's turnover margin would have been if they had recovered exactly 50 percent of all the fumbles that occurred in their games. If there is a huge difference between TO Margin and Adj. TO Margin (in other words, if fumbles, dropped interceptions, or other unlucky bounces were the main source of a good/bad TO margin), that suggests that a team's luck was particularly good or bad and might even out the next season.

Adj. Yards Per Target: A look at a receiver's total receiving yards divided by the number of times he was targeted. Slight adjustments are made for the percentage of times a receiver was targeted on standard ("%SD") and passing downs. Players targeted more on passing downs are likely to have a lower overall per-target average, since passing is more difficult on passing downs.

Bend-Don't-Break: Part of the defensive footprint, this is a comparison of a team's Def. Success Rate (efficiency) to its Def. PPP (explosiveness). The higher the number, the higher percentage of a team's overall S&P was made up by success rate, i.e. the more willing a team was to sacrifice efficiency to prevent big plays. (The lower the number, the more likely a team was to take aggressive risks.)

Covariance: Covariance is a statistical tool that provides a measure of the strength of the correlation between two or more sets of random variates. For these purposes, it is used to compare a team's performance (using opponent-adjusted Adj. Score) to the quality of the opponent at hand. Some teams play their best games against their worst opponents, and some teams do the opposite. This measure is used for both the offensive and defensive footprint. For more, go here.

Go After the Ball: Part of the defensive footprint, this looks at a team's forced fumbles, interceptions and passes broken up. In other words, it looks at their ability to go after the ball. The higher the number, the more they got their hands on the football.

Highlight Yards: The portion of a given run that is credit only to the running back; after a certain number of yards, the line has done its job, and most of the rest of the run will be determined by the running back himself. For more information, start here.

Need for Blitzes: Part of the defensive footprint, this compares a team's standard downs sack rate to its passing downs sack rate. The lower the number, the more they were able to generate pressure on standard downs, and the less need for blitzes.

Turnovers Luck: Presented in Points Per Game fashion, Turnovers Luck looks at the difference between a team's Turnover and Adj. TO Margins and, using the average point value of a turnover (~5.0 points), projects how many points a team gained or lost per game last season.

Yards Per Point: A measure long tracked by Phil Steele as a means of looking at teams that were a little too efficient or inefficient the previous season. A positive YPP Margin means a team's offense was less efficient than opponents' offenses, and to the extent that luck was involved, their luck might even out the next year.

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