2012 Boise State Broncos Football: Statistical Profile

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2011 Schedule & Results

Record: 12-1 | Adj. Record: 12-1 | Final F/+ Rk: 4
Date Opponent Score W-L Adj. Score Adj. W-L
3-Sep vs Georgia 35-21 W 38.9 - 26.5 W
16-Sep at Toledo 40-15 W 32.7 - 22.1 W
24-Sep Tulsa 41-21 W 32.0 - 24.6 W
1-Oct Nevada 30-10 W 27.1 - 11.0 W
7-Oct at Fresno State 57-7 W 29.5 - 10.7 W
15-Oct at Colorado State 63-13 W 38.0 - 24.6 W
22-Oct Air Force 37-26 W 35.9 - 25.4 W
5-Nov at UNLV 48-21 W 28.1 - 30.8 L
12-Nov TCU 35-36 L 32.2 - 29.1 W
19-Nov at San Diego State 52-35 W 33.5 - 28.5 W
26-Nov Wyoming 36-14 W 30.9 - 19.8 W
3-Dec New Mexico 45-0 W 28.1 - 19.7 W
22-Dec vs Arizona State 56-24 W 33.4 - 26.0 W
Category Offense Rk Defense Rk
Points Per Game 44.2 5 18.7 12
Adj. Points Per Game 32.3 9 23.0 11

2012 Schedule & Projection Factors

2012 Schedule
Date Opponent Proj. Rk
31-Aug at Michigan State 19
15-Sep Miami (Ohio) 77
20-Sep BYU 34
29-Sep at New Mexico 124
6-Oct at Southern Miss 46
13-Oct Fresno State 81
20-Oct UNLV 119
27-Oct at Wyoming 108
3-Nov San Diego State 86
10-Nov at Hawaii 93
17-Nov Colorado State 102
1-Dec at Nevada 63
Five-Year F/+ Rk 4
Two-Year Recruiting Rk 83
TO Margin/Adj. TO Margin* +8 / +5.0
TO Luck/Game 1.2
Approx. Ret. Starters (Off. / Def.) 5 (3, 2)
Yds/Pt Margin** -6.3

Offense

Category Yards/
Game Rk
S&P+ Rk Success
Rt. Rk
PPP+ Rk
OVERALL 9 10 9 10
RUSHING 40 31 70 17
PASSING 11 7 2 14
Standard Downs 19 17 20
Passing Downs 15 11 22
Redzone 36 46 35
Q1 Rk 28 1st Down Rk 26
Q2 Rk 27 2nd Down Rk 13
Q3 Rk 14 3rd Down Rk 15
Q4 Rk 41
Adj. Line Yards Rk 65
Adj. Sack Rate Rk 1

Quarterback

Note: players in bold below are 2012 returnees. Players in italics are questionable with injury/suspension.

Player Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Rivals Comp Att Yards Comp
Rate
TD INT Sacks Sack Rate Yards/
Att.
Kellen Moore 326 439 3,800 74.3% 43 9 7 1.6% 8.4
Joe Southwick 6'1, 191 Jr. *** (5.6) 23 30 198 76.7% 1 1 1 3.2% 6.1
Grant Hedrick 6'0, 186 So. *** (5.7) 2 3 19 66.7% 0 0 0 0.0% 6.3
Jimmy Laughrea 6'2, 192 RSFr. *** (5.7)








Nick Patti 5'11, 195 Fr. *** (5.7)








Running Back

Player Pos. Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Rivals Rushes Yards Yards/
Carry
Hlt Yds/
Carry
TD Adj.
POE
Doug Martin RB 263 1,299 4.9 2.0 16 +12.2
D.J. Harper RB 5'9, 201 Sr. *** (5.5) 115 557 4.8 1.6 9 +10.2
Drew Wright RB 5'9, 201 Sr. NR 43 218 5.1 1.4 3 +0.6
Mitch Burroughs WR-Z 5'9, 186 Sr. ** (5.4) 17 94 5.5 2.4 2 +3.0
Kellen Moore QB 13 -27 -2.1 0.5 0 -6.5
Phillip Hogan RB 5'6, 163 RSFr. *** (5.5)





Shane Rhodes RB 5'6, 160 Fr. *** (5.6)





Devan Demas RB 5'9, 165 Fr. *** (5.5)





Jack Fields RB 5'11, 200 Fr. *** (5.5)





Receiving Corps

Player Pos. Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Rivals Targets Catches Yards Catch Rate Target
Rate
%SD Adj. Yds/
Target
Tyler Shoemaker WR-H 95 62 994 65.3% 20.7% 57.9% 10.0
Matt Miller WR-X 6'3, 213 So. *** (5.7) 81 62 679 76.5% 17.7% 64.2% 8.8
Mitch Burroughs WR-Z 5'9, 186 Sr. ** (5.4) 64 49 500 76.6% 14.0% 51.6% 8.2
Kyle Efaw TE 41 31 264 75.6% 9.0% 61.0% 6.8
Doug Martin RB 33 28 255 84.8% 7.2% 51.5% 9.3
Gabe Linehan TE 6'3, 240 Jr. ** (5.4) 29 23 252 79.3% 6.3% 89.7% 12.3
Geraldo Boldewijn WR 6'4, 204 Jr. NR 26 19 266 73.1% 5.7% 69.2% 10.9
Kirby Moore WR-Z 6'2, 204 Jr. *** (5.5) 24 22 247 91.7% 5.2% 58.3% 12.7
D.J. Harper RB 5'9, 201 Sr. *** (5.5) 20 19 140 95.0% 4.4% 55.0% 8.7
Dallas Burroughs WR-X 5'9, 172 So. ** (5.4) 14 9 175 64.3% 3.1% 92.9% 30.0
Connor Peters TE 6'4, 245 So. *** (5.6)






Hayden Plinke TE 6'4, 230 Fr. ** (5.3)






Offensive Line

Player Pos. Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Rivals Career Starts/Honors/Notes
Thomas Byrd C 44 career starts, 2010 1st-All WAC
Nate Potter LT 33 career starts, 2011 1st All-MWC
Joe Kellogg LG 6'2, 303 Sr. ** (5.1) 22 career starts
Charles Leno, Jr. RT 6'3, 294 Jr. *** (5.5) 13 career starts
Chuck Hayes RG 10 career starts
Cory Yriarte C 10 career starts
Jake Broyles RG 6'4, 298 So. ** (5.4) 3 career starts
Spencer Gerke LG 6'3, 289 Jr. ** (5.3) 2 career starts
Matt Paradis C 6'1, 280 Jr. NR 1 career start
Travis Averill OL 6'4, 270 Fr. *** (5.7)

Defense

Category Yards/
Game Rk
S&P+ Rk Success
Rt. Rk
PPP+ Rk
OVERALL 16 4 4 6
RUSHING 17 5 5 5
PASSING 43 5 2 10
Standard Downs 11 6 19
Passing Downs 18 13 24
Redzone 52 62 46
Q1 Rk 2 1st Down Rk 14
Q2 Rk 19 2nd Down Rk 15
Q3 Rk 5 3rd Down Rk 7
Q4 Rk 74
Adj. Line Yards Rk 2
Adj. Sack Rate Rk 11

Defensive Line

Name Pos Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Rivals GP Tackles % of Team TFL Sacks Int PBU FF FR
Shea McClellin DE 13 40.0 6.1% 12.5 7 2 1
Tyrone Crawford DE 12 32.0 4.9% 13.5 6.5 3 2
Billy Winn DT 13 25.5 3.9% 8 3 1 1
Mike Atkinson DT 6'0, 312 Sr. NR 13 21.5 3.3% 2.5 2
Jarrell Root DE 13 17.0 2.6% 5 2 1 1
Chase Baker NT 10 15.0 2.3% 2.5 1 1
Ricky Tjong-A-Tjoe DT 6'3, 303 Jr. ** (5.1) 7 11.0 1.7% 3 2
Greg Grimes DT 6'0, 268 Sr. *** (5.5) 11 9.5 1.4% 1 0.5
Tyler Horn DE 6'4, 253 So. *** (5.5) 8 5.0 0.8% 2.5 1.5
Demarcus Lawrence DE 6'4, 248 So. *** (5.7)




Darien Barrett DE 6'3, 230 Fr. *** (5.6)




Elliot Hoyte DT 6'4, 275 Fr. ** (5.2)




Linebackers

Name Pos Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Rivals GP Tackles % of Team TFL Sacks Int PBU FF FR
Byron Hout MLB 13 50.5 7.7% 4 6 2
J.C. Percy LB 6'0, 221 Sr. NR 13 33.5 5.1% 1 1 1 1 1
Aaron Tevis WLB 13 33.0 5.0% 2.5 1 6 1
Tommy Smith LB 6'1, 236 Sr. ** (4.9) 12 16.0 2.4% 3
Blake Renaud LB 6'2, 242 So. *** (5.7) 10 7.5 1.1% 1
Ben Weaver LB 6'1, 225 Fr. *** (5.6)





Tyler Tray LB 6'3, 215 Fr. NR





Secondary

Name Pos Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Rivals GP Tackles % of Team TFL Sacks Int PBU FF FR
George Iloka CB 13 50.0 7.6% 3 1 1
Cedric Febis S 12 41.5 6.3% 3 1 2 1 1
Travis Stanaway S 13 34.5 5.2% 2 1 1 1
Hunter White NB 13 27.5 4.2% 2 2 1
Jamar Taylor CB 5'11, 196 Sr. *** (5.5) 9 22.5 3.4% 2 0.5 2 6
Lee Hightower CB 6'1, 183 So. ** (5.2) 8 21.5 3.3% 2 1 4
Jerrell Gavins (2010^) CB 5'9, 167 Sr. NR 13 22.5 3.2% 1.5 0.5 1 3
Quaylon Ewing-Burton CB 13 21.0 3.2% 0.5 1
Jonathan Brown NB 5'10, 212 Jr. *** (5.5) 10 14.0 2.1% 2.5 1 1
Josh Borgman CB 5'7, 167 Sr. NR 13 13.0 2.0% 1
Dextrell Simmons NB 5'10, 202 Sr. *** (5.6) 13 13.0 2.0% 1 2 1
Ebenezer Makinde CB 5'11, 175 Jr. *** (5.6) 7 12.5 1.9% 1 1 3 1
Bryan Douglas CB 5'9, 163 So. *** (5.5) 7 9.0 1.4% 1
Hazen Moss DB 5'11, 200 Sr. NR 13 9.0 1.4%
Corey Bell NB 5'11, 199 So. ** (5.4) 8 7.0 1.1% 1 1
Jeremy Ioane FS 5'10, 192 So. *** (5.6) 10 5.0 0.8%
Darian Thompson DB 6'1, 179 RSFr. *** (5.5)




Deontae Florence DB 5'10, 180 So. NR




Chaz Anderson DB 6'0, 175 Fr. *** (5.7)




Chris Santini DB 6'1, 213 Fr. *** (5.7)




^ Gavins played only three games in 2011 because of injury and earned a medical redshirt. He did, however, intercept three passes and break up three more in those games.

Special Teams

Punter Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Punts Avg TB FC I20 FC/I20
Ratio
Brad Elkin 43 42.0 3 6 25 72.1%
Kicker Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Kickoffs Avg TB TB%
Trevor Harman 6'2, 216 Jr. 97 65.2 17 17.5%
Place-Kicker Ht, Wt 2012
Year
PAT FG
(0-39)
Pct FG
(40+)
Pct
Dan Goodale 5'9, 184 So. 50-56 3-5 60.0% 0-0 N/A
Michael Frisina 5'5, 159 Sr. 21-23 3-4 75.0% 0-0 N/A
Returner Pos. Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Returns Avg. TD
Doug Martin KR 10 33.8 1
Dallas Burroughs KR 5'9, 172 So. 8 17.2 0
Mitch Burroughs PR 5'9, 186 Sr. 18 13.3 0
Chris Potter PR 5'9, 156 Sr. 14 10.5 0
Category Rk
Special Teams F/+ 1
Net Punting 35
Net Kickoffs 10
Touchback Pct 44
Field Goal Pct 70
Kick Returns Avg 30
Punt Returns Avg 18

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Glossary

Adj. Line Yards: A line measure derived from the formula found here. The idea is to divvy credit for a given rush between both the runner and the blockers.

Adj. Pace: Part of the offensive footprint, this takes into account both the number of plays a team attempts and the type of play. Since passes, on average, take up less time (thanks to the fact that 30-50 percent of them are incomplete and stop the clock), pass-heavy offenses are prone to run more plays, therefore limiting the effectiveness of a general plays-per-game measure. Adj. Pace takes a team's run-pass ratio into account.

Adj. POE: An opponent-adjusted "Points Over Expected" measure for running backs that looks both at what a runner gained and what would have been expected given the opponents involved. For more information, start here.

Adj. Points: A look at how a team would have performed in a given week if playing a perfectly average team, with a somewhat average number of breaks and turnovers. The idea for the measure is simple: what if everybody in the country played exactly the same opponent every single week? Who would have done the best? It is an attempt to look at offensive and defensive consistency without getting sidetracked by easy or difficult schedules. And yes, with adjusted score you can allow a negative number of points. For more, start here.

Adj. Record: See Adj. Points.

Adj. Sack Rate: An opponent-adjusted measure of sack rates.

Adj. Score: See Adj. Points.

Adj. TO Margin: What a team's turnover margin would have been if they had recovered exactly 50 percent of all the fumbles that occurred in their games. If there is a huge difference between TO Margin and Adj. TO Margin (in other words, if fumbles, dropped interceptions, or other unlucky bounces were the main source of a good/bad TO margin), that suggests that a team's luck was particularly good or bad and might even out the next season.

Adj. Yards Per Target: A look at a receiver's total receiving yards divided by the number of times he was targeted. Slight adjustments are made for the percentage of times a receiver was targeted on standard ("%SD") and passing downs. Players targeted more on passing downs are likely to have a lower overall per-target average, since passing is more difficult on passing downs.

Bend-Don't-Break: Part of the defensive footprint, this is a comparison of a team's Def. Success Rate (efficiency) to its Def. PPP (explosiveness). The higher the number, the higher percentage of a team's overall S&P was made up by success rate, i.e. the more willing a team was to sacrifice efficiency to prevent big plays. (The lower the number, the more likely a team was to take aggressive risks.)

Covariance: Covariance is a statistical tool that provides a measure of the strength of the correlation between two or more sets of random variates. For these purposes, it is used to compare a team's performance (using opponent-adjusted Adj. Score) to the quality of the opponent at hand. Some teams play their best games against their worst opponents, and some teams do the opposite. This measure is used for both the offensive and defensive footprint. For more, go here.

Go After the Ball: Part of the defensive footprint, this looks at a team's forced fumbles, interceptions and passes broken up. In other words, it looks at their ability to go after the ball. The higher the number, the more they got their hands on the football.

Highlight Yards: The portion of a given run that is credit only to the running back; after a certain number of yards, the line has done its job, and most of the rest of the run will be determined by the running back himself. For more information, start here.

Need for Blitzes: Part of the defensive footprint, this compares a team's standard downs sack rate to its passing downs sack rate. The lower the number, the more they were able to generate pressure on standard downs, and the less need for blitzes.

Turnovers Luck: Presented in Points Per Game fashion, Turnovers Luck looks at the difference between a team's Turnover and Adj. TO Margins and, using the average point value of a turnover (~5.0 points), projects how many points a team gained or lost per game last season.

Yards Per Point: A measure long tracked by Phil Steele as a means of looking at teams that were a little too efficient or inefficient the previous season. A positive YPP Margin means a team's offense was less efficient than opponents' offenses, and to the extent that luck was involved, their luck might even out the next year.

In This Article

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