2012 Arizona State Sun Devils: Statistical Profile

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Confused? See the glossary at the bottom.

2011 Schedule & Results

Record: 6-7 | Adj. Record: 7-6 | Final F/+ Rk: 41
Date Opponent Score W-L Adj. Score Adj. W-L
1-Sep UC Davis 48-14 W 30.3 - 28.2 W
9-Sep Missouri 37-30 W 37.8 - 26.0 W
17-Sep at Illinois 14-17 L 27.5 - 27.8 L
24-Sep USC 43-22 W 32.0 - 25.1 W
1-Oct Oregon State 35-20 W 24.4 - 26.1 L
8-Oct at Utah 35-14 W 30.7 - 26.8 W
15-Oct at Oregon 27-41 L 28.4 - 28.1 W
29-Oct Colorado 48-14 W 30.2 - 26.8 W
5-Nov at UCLA 28-29 L 28.9 - 31.3 L
12-Nov at Washington State 27-37 L 27.5 - 31.3 L
19-Nov Arizona 27-31 L 24.1 - 28.4 L
25-Nov California 38-47 L 33.0 - 33.4 L
22-Dec vs. Boise State 24-56 L 30.1 - 29.3 W
Category Offense Rk Defense Rk
Points Per Game 33.2 28 28.6 74
Adj. Points Per Game 29.6 32 28.3 73

2012 Schedule & Projection Factors

2012 Schedule
Date Opponent Proj. Rk
30-Aug Northern Arizona NR
8-Sep Illinois 51
15-Sep at Missouri 30
22-Sep Utah 33
29-Sep at California 55
11-Oct at Colorado 101
18-Oct Oregon 5
27-Oct UCLA 58
3-Nov at Oregon State 74
10-Nov at USC 6
17-Nov Washington State 97
23-Nov at Arizona 67
Five-Year F/+ Rk 45
Two-Year Recruiting Rk 55
TO Margin/Adj. TO Margin* +9 / +3.8
TO Luck/Game +2.0
Approx. Ret. Starters (Off. / Def.) 8 (4, 4)
Yds/Pt Margin** -1.3

Offense

Category Yards/
Game Rk
S&P+ Rk Success
Rt. Rk
PPP+ Rk
OVERALL 24 28 30 28
RUSHING 85 26 28 22
PASSING 10 42 36 50
Standard Downs 31 44 29
Passing Downs 26 14 29
Redzone 48 68 44
Q1 Rk 7 1st Down Rk 24
Q2 Rk 29 2nd Down Rk 30
Q3 Rk 45 3rd Down Rk 63
Q4 Rk 74
Adj. Line Yards Rk 81
Adj. Sack Rate Rk 51

Quarterback

Note: players in bold below are 2012 returnees. Players in italics are questionable with injury/suspension.

Player Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Rivals Comp Att Yards Comp
Rate
TD INT Sacks Sack Rate Yards/
Att.
Brock Osweiler 326 516 2,036 63.2% 26 13 28 5.1% 3.4
Taylor Kelly 6'1, 203 So. ** (5.4) 4 4 31 100.0% 0 0 0 0.0% 7.8
Mike Bercovici 6'1, 202 So. *** (5.7) 2 3 15 66.7% 0 0 0 0.0% 5.0
Michael Eubank 6'5, 242 RSFr. **** (5.8)








Running Back

Player Pos. Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Rivals Rushes Yards Yards/
Carry
Hlt Yds/
Carry
TD Adj.
POE
Cameron Marshall TB 5'11, 223 Sr. *** (5.6) 230 1,050 4.6 1.8 18 +18.3
Deantre Lewis (2010^) TB 5'10, 193 So. **** (5.8) 92 539 5.9 2.4 4 +1.8
Brock Osweiler QB 55 256 4.7 1.7 3 +2.5
Kyle Middlebrooks TB 5'8, 182 Jr. *** (5.6) 42 150 3.6 1.1 0 -7.6
Jamal Miles WR-Z 5'10, 180 Sr. **** (5.8) 29 237 8.2 4.4 0 +2.5
Marcus Washington HB 5'11, 224 So. *** (5.7) 13 41 3.2 0.5 1 -0.8
James Morrison TB 5'11, 213 Sr. NR 11 59 5.4 1.4 1 +1.2
Marlon Grice TB 6'0, 215 Jr. **** (5.9)





D.J. Foster TB 5'11, 190 Fr. **** (5.9)





^ Lewis missed 2011 with injury.

Receiving Corps

Player Pos. Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Rivals Targets Catches Yards Catch Rate Target
Rate
%SD Adj. Yds/
Target
Gerell Robinson WR-Y 113 77 1,397 68.1% 22.4% 54.0% 12.6
Jamal Miles WR-Z 5'10, 183 Sr. **** (5.8) 85 60 361 70.6% 16.9% 69.4% 3.9
Mike Willie WR-Z 69 36 455 52.2% 13.7% 55.1% 4.4
Aaron Pflugrad WR-X 68 44 665 64.7% 13.5% 57.4% 9.3
Cameron Marshall TB 5'11, 223 Sr. *** (5.6) 38 24 188 63.2% 7.5% 65.8% 4.3
Rashad Ross WR-X 6'0, 164 Jr. ** (5.2) 32 18 254 56.3% 6.3% 65.6% 6.4
George Bell WR-X 28 18 211 64.3% 5.6% 50.0% 6.6
Kyle Middlebrooks TB 5'8, 182 Jr. *** (5.6) 23 19 135 82.6% 4.6% 78.3% 6.0
A.J. Pickens WR-Z 5'10, 176 Sr. *** (5.6) 16 12 140 75.0% 3.2% 56.3% 9.0
Kevin Ozier WR-Y 6'0, 201 Jr. NR 14 11 169 78.6% 2.8% 35.7% 13.8
Chris Coyle HB 6'3, 235 Jr. *** (5.5) 9 6 73 66.7% 1.8% 44.4% 8.4
J.J. Holliday WR-X 6'0, 170 Jr. ** (5.3)
Darwin Rogers TE 6'4, 240 Jr. ** (5.4)
Daniel Masifilo WR-X 6'2, 205 So. NR
Kevin Anderson WR-Z 5'9, 175 RSFr. *** (5.7)
Alonzo Agwuenu WR 6'4, 210 Jr. *** (5.6)

Offensive Line

Player Pos. Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Rivals Career Starts/Honors/Notes
Garth Gerhart C 35 career starts, 2011 2nd All-Pac-12
Dan Knapp RT 28 career starts
Andrew Sampson RG 6'3, 300 Sr. *** (5.6) 22 career starts
Mike Marcisz LG 21 career starts
Evan Finkenberg LT 6'6, 292 Jr. *** (5.6) 20 career starts
Adam Tello LG 9 career starts
Aderious Simmons RT 9 career starts
Tyler Sulka RT 6'4, 270 So. ** (5.4) 1 career start
Jamil Douglas LG 6'4, 284 So. *** (5.5)
Sil Ajawara LG 6'3, 297 So. *** (5.7)
Brice Schwab RT 6'7, 303 Sr. **** (5.9)
Kyle Johnson LT 6'7, 284 Sr. *** (5.6)
Kody Koebensky C 6'4, 294 Jr. *** (5.5)
Mo Latu C 6'3, 336 RSFr. **** (5.8)
Vi Teofilo RG 6'3, 306 RSFr. *** (5.5)
William McGehee OL 6'5, 310 So. ** (5.3)
Evan Goodman OL 6'4, 290 Fr. **** (5.8)

Defense

Category Yards/
Game Rk
S&P+ Rk Success
Rt. Rk
PPP+ Rk
OVERALL 91 54 51 50
RUSHING 57 66 68 67
PASSING 108 40 44 39
Standard Downs 62 72 58
Passing Downs 50 36 58
Redzone 47 50 44
Q1 Rk 95 1st Down Rk 49
Q2 Rk 35 2nd Down Rk 57
Q3 Rk 52 3rd Down Rk 58
Q4 Rk 63
Adj. Line Yards Rk 67
Adj. Sack Rate Rk 63

Defensive Line

Name Pos Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Rivals GP Tackles % of Team TFL Sacks Int PBU FF FR
Davon Coleman DE 6'3, 269 Jr. *** (5.6) 13 32.5 4.4% 5 2.5 1 1
Bo Moos DT 13 29.5 4.0% 7 2 1 2
Jamaar Jarrett DE 13 28.0 3.8% 5.5 2 2 1
Will Sutton DT 6'2, 271 Jr. *** (5.7) 13 26.0 3.5% 5.5 2.5 1
Corey Adams DT 6'3, 285 Sr. **** (5.9) 13 12.0 1.6% 2 0.5 1
Junior Onyeali DE 5'11, 245 Jr. **** (5.8) 8 10.0 1.3% 3.5 1 1
Toa Tuitea DT 6'3, 274 Sr. *** (5.5) 13 10.0 1.3% 3.5 1
Carl Bradford DE 6'0, 237 So. *** (5.7) 13 9.5 1.3% 3.5 1.5
Greg Smith DE 6'3, 241 Sr. *** (5.5) 13 5.0 0.7% 1.5 1 1 1 1
Gannon Conway DE 6'4, 260 Jr. NR 6 3.5 0.5% 1 1
Joita Te'i DT 6'4, 274 So. *** (5.7) 6 1.5 0.2% 0.5 0.5
Jake Sheffield DT 6'4, 280 Jr. *** (5.5)
Derrick Nsuburga DT 6'0, 270 Jr. NR
Mike Pennel DT 6'5, 340 Jr. *** (5.7)
Shaq Jenkins DT 6'2, 283 RSFr. ** (5.3)

Linebackers

Name Pos Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Rivals GP Tackles % of Team TFL Sacks Int PBU FF FR
Brandon Magee (2010^) WLB 5'11, 230 Sr. *** (5.7) 13 60.5 8.5% 5 1.5 2 1
Colin Parker WLB 13 61.0 8.2% 6 2.5 1 3 4 2
Vontaze Burfict MLB 13 54.5 7.4% 7 5 1 3 1
Oliver Aaron SLB 13 48.0 6.5% 8 2 1 2 1
Shelly Lyons SLB 13 44.0 5.9% 5 2 3 2 1
Matt Tucker SLB 6'1, 195 Jr. **** (5.8) 13 10.0 1.3% 0.5
Brandon Johnson MLB 6'2, 214 Jr. NR 13 9.0 1.2% 1 2
Kipeli Koniseti MLB 6'3, 244 Jr. ** (5.1) 9 5.5 0.7%
Anthony Jones SLB 6'2, 217 Jr. *** (5.7) 13 5.0 0.7% 1 1
Grandville Taylor WLB 6'0, 215 Jr. NR 13 3.5 0.5% 1
Steffon Martin LB 6'2, 230 Jr. *** (5.7)


^ Magee missed 2011 with injury.

Secondary

Name Pos Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Rivals GP Tackles % of Team TFL Sacks Int PBU FF FR
Clint Floyd FS 13 61.5 8.3% 2.5 4 3 2
Eddie Elder SS 13 55.5 7.5% 1 4 1
Alden Darby SS 5'10, 187 Jr. ** (5.2) 13 45.5 6.1% 1 3 3 1
Osahon Irabor CB 5'11, 176 Jr. **** (5.8) 13 42.5 5.7% 1 6
Deveron Carr CB 5'11, 193 Sr. ** (5.3) 13 41.0 5.5% 1.5 10 1
Keelan Johnson FS 6'0, 201 Sr. *** (5.5) 13 39.0 5.3% 2 1 2 1 1
Kevin Ayers FS 6'0, 200 Sr. ** (5.2) 13 13.0 1.8% 1
Rashad Wadood CB 5'10, 180 So. *** (5.5) 10 3.5 0.5%
Steve Gallon SS 5'10, 161 Sr. NR 5 2.5 0.3%
Robert Nelson CB 5'10, 167 Jr. ** (4.9)
Ezekiel Bishop SS 6'1, 191 So. *** (5.6)
Oliver Johnson DB 6'2, 200 Jr. *** (5.6)
Chris Young DB 6'2, 220 Jr. *** (5.5)

Special Teams

Punter Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Punts Avg TB FC I20 FC/I20
Ratio
Josh Hubner 6'4, 230 Sr. 62 41.3 7 29 24 85.5%
Kicker Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Kickoffs Avg TB TB%
Alex Garoutte 6'1, 190 So. 82 63 9 11.0%
Place-Kicker Ht, Wt 2012
Year
PAT FG
(0-39)
Pct FG
(40+)
Pct
Alex Garoutte 6'1, 190 So. 52-53 11-15 73.3% 4-7 57.1%
Returner Pos. Ht, Wt 2012
Year
Returns Avg. TD
Jamal Miles KR 5'10, 183 Sr. 30 26.3 2
Kyle Middlebrooks KR 5'8, 175 Jr. 17 23.2 0
Jamal Miles PR 5'10, 183 Sr. 14 16.6 1
Rashad Ross PR 6'0, 164 Sr. 3 13.0 0
Category Rk
Special Teams F/+ 32
Net Punting 47
Net Kickoffs 72
Touchback Pct 77
Field Goal Pct 66
Kick Returns Avg 9
Punt Returns Avg 5

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Glossary

Adj. Line Yards: A line measure derived from the formula found here. The idea is to divvy credit for a given rush between both the runner and the blockers.

Adj. Pace: Part of the offensive footprint, this takes into account both the number of plays a team attempts and the type of play. Since passes, on average, take up less time (thanks to the fact that 30-50 percent of them are incomplete and stop the clock), pass-heavy offenses are prone to run more plays, therefore limiting the effectiveness of a general plays-per-game measure. Adj. Pace takes a team's run-pass ratio into account.

Adj. POE: An opponent-adjusted "Points Over Expected" measure for running backs that looks both at what a runner gained and what would have been expected given the opponents involved. For more information, start here.

Adj. Points: A look at how a team would have performed in a given week if playing a perfectly average team, with a somewhat average number of breaks and turnovers. The idea for the measure is simple: what if everybody in the country played exactly the same opponent every single week? Who would have done the best? It is an attempt to look at offensive and defensive consistency without getting sidetracked by easy or difficult schedules. And yes, with adjusted score you can allow a negative number of points. For more, start here.

Adj. Record: See Adj. Points.

Adj. Sack Rate: An opponent-adjusted measure of sack rates.

Adj. Score: See Adj. Points.

Adj. TO Margin: What a team's turnover margin would have been if they had recovered exactly 50 percent of all the fumbles that occurred in their games. If there is a huge difference between TO Margin and Adj. TO Margin (in other words, if fumbles, dropped interceptions, or other unlucky bounces were the main source of a good/bad TO margin), that suggests that a team's luck was particularly good or bad and might even out the next season.

Adj. Yards Per Target: A look at a receiver's total receiving yards divided by the number of times he was targeted. Slight adjustments are made for the percentage of times a receiver was targeted on standard ("%SD") and passing downs. Players targeted more on passing downs are likely to have a lower overall per-target average, since passing is more difficult on passing downs.

Bend-Don't-Break: Part of the defensive footprint, this is a comparison of a team's Def. Success Rate (efficiency) to its Def. PPP (explosiveness). The higher the number, the higher percentage of a team's overall S&P was made up by success rate, i.e. the more willing a team was to sacrifice efficiency to prevent big plays. (The lower the number, the more likely a team was to take aggressive risks.)

Covariance: Covariance is a statistical tool that provides a measure of the strength of the correlation between two or more sets of random variates. For these purposes, it is used to compare a team's performance (using opponent-adjusted Adj. Score) to the quality of the opponent at hand. Some teams play their best games against their worst opponents, and some teams do the opposite. This measure is used for both the offensive and defensive footprint. For more, go here.

Go After the Ball: Part of the defensive footprint, this looks at a team's forced fumbles, interceptions and passes broken up. In other words, it looks at their ability to go after the ball. The higher the number, the more they got their hands on the football.

Highlight Yards: The portion of a given run that is credit only to the running back; after a certain number of yards, the line has done its job, and most of the rest of the run will be determined by the running back himself. For more information, start here.

Need for Blitzes: Part of the defensive footprint, this compares a team's standard downs sack rate to its passing downs sack rate. The lower the number, the more they were able to generate pressure on standard downs, and the less need for blitzes.

Turnovers Luck: Presented in Points Per Game fashion, Turnovers Luck looks at the difference between a team's Turnover and Adj. TO Margins and, using the average point value of a turnover (~5.0 points), projects how many points a team gained or lost per game last season.

Yards Per Point: A measure long tracked by Phil Steele as a means of looking at teams that were a little too efficient or inefficient the previous season. A positive YPP Margin means a team's offense was less efficient than opponents' offenses, and to the extent that luck was involved, their luck might even out the next year.

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