Study Hall: Florida Atlantic 28, South Florida 10

Kim Klement-USA TODAY Sports

Confused? Visit the Advanced Stats glossary here. Or just skip to the words. I won't be offended. (Okay, I'll only be a little offended.)

Florida Atlantic 28, South Florida 10

FAU USF FAU USF
Close % 93.2% STANDARD DOWNS
Field Position % 30.2% 30.8% Success Rate 43.3% 33.3%
Leverage % 60.0% 55.0% PPP 0.37 0.34
S&P 0.799 0.672
TOTAL
EqPts 19.5 25.7 PASSING DOWNS
Close Success Rate 32.0% 28.3% Success Rate 15.0% 22.2%
Close PPP 0.37 0.42 PPP 0.37 0.51
Close S&P 0.688 0.699 S&P 0.522 0.731
RUSHING TURNOVERS
EqPts 11.1 15.6 Number 1 3
Close Success Rate 30.3% 30.6% Turnover Pts 4.0 20.7
Close PPP 0.30 0.43 Turnover Pts Margin +16.7 -16.7
Close S&P 0.607 0.736
Line Yards/carry 2.15 2.09 Q1 S&P 0.311 0.771
Q2 S&P 0.998 0.752
PASSING Q3 S&P 0.743 0.595
EqPts 8.4 10.2 Q4 S&P 0.569 0.567
Close Success Rate 35.3% 25.0%
Close PPP 0.49 0.39 1st Down S&P 0.774 0.631
Close S&P 0.847 0.644 2nd Down S&P 0.524 0.737
SD/PD Sack Rate 0.0% / 0.0% 0.0% / 18.8% 3rd Down S&P 0.737 0.794
Projected Pt. Margin: Florida Atlantic +10.5 | Actual Pt. Margin: Florida Atlantic +18

It is incredible how bad USF is at passing the ball. Against FAU, the Bulls went 9-for-25 passing with a touchdown, a pick, and three sacks. Average yards per pass attempt: 4.2. That is actually more than 3x better than the average against Michigan State -- improvement! -- but my goodness. It's perhaps worth it to point out that USF was really unlucky here, recovering zero of four fumbles in the game and watching FAU score twice on turnover returns. But ... guh. A 25 percent success rate passing? A 33 percent success rate on standard downs? I knew the offense would struggle, but I didn't know it was going to be laughably bad.

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