Study Hall: Duke 27, UNC 25

Bob Donnan-USA TODAY Sports

Advanced stats from Duke's 27-25 win over North Carolina in Chapel Hill.

Confused? Visit the Advanced Stats glossary here. Or just skip to the words. I won't be offended. (Okay, I'll only be a little offended.)

Third Downs: Duke 8-for-15, UNC 2-for-12.

Both teams did a pretty good job of staying out of passing downs, but Duke was infinitely more effective when falling behind schedule, and the Blue Devils figured out ways to move the chains when UNC couldn't, usually via air.

Duke 27, North Carolina 25

Duke UNC Duke UNC
Close % 100.0% STANDARD DOWNS
Field Position % 48.2% 46.7% Success Rate 51.7% 62.0%
Leverage % 71.6% 66.7% PPP 0.48 0.63
S&P 0.997 1.250
TOTAL
EqPts 41.3 40.7 PASSING DOWNS
Close Success Rate 48.2% 48.0% Success Rate 39.1% 20.0%
Close PPP 0.51 0.54 PPP 0.58 0.37
Close S&P 0.991 1.023 S&P 0.976 0.567
RUSHING TURNOVERS
EqPts 16.5 20.2 Number 1 2
Close Success Rate 43.5% 61.5% Turnover Pts 4.1 6.6
Close PPP 0.36 0.52 Turnover Pts Margin +2.5 -2.5
Close S&P 0.793 1.132
Line Yards/carry 3.20 4.30 Q1 S&P 0.948 1.747
Q2 S&P 1.160 0.753
PASSING Q3 S&P 0.922 1.020
EqPts 24.8 20.5 Q4 S&P 0.925 0.747
Close Success Rate 54.3% 33.3%
Close PPP 0.71 0.57 1st Down S&P 0.933 1.142
Close S&P 1.252 0.904 2nd Down S&P 1.173 1.011
SD/PD Sack Rate 0.0% / 0.0% 0.0% / 0.0% 3rd Down S&P 0.844 0.564
Projected Pt. Margin: Duke +3.1 | Actual Pt. Margin: Duke +2

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