Study Hall: Oklahoma 33, Oklahoma State 24

Brett Deering

Advanced stats from Oklahoma's 33-24 upset of Oklahoma State in Stillwater on Saturday.

Confused? Visit the Advanced Stats glossary here. Or just skip to the words. I won't be offended. (Okay, I'll only be a little offended.)

From this week's Numerical:

Yards per play averaged by Oklahoma in an odd 33-24 Bedlam win over Oklahoma State. The Sooners scored on a punt return in the first quarter, a fake field goal (with the play clock down to :00) in the third, and a fumble recovery in the final seconds. Three Oklahoma quarterbacks combined to complete 15 of 32 passes for 185 yards, a touchdown and an interception and rushed for 46 yards in 13 carries. Running back Brennan Clay, fresh off of a 200-yard performance against Kansas State two weeks ago, carried 24 times for 70 yards. OU punted eight times, four times after three-and-outs. Their first four possessions of the second half: INT, three-and-out, three-and-out, three-and-out. And they scored 33 points and won.

In the end, this Oklahoma win was only marginally less fluky than Alabama's loss to Auburn a week and a half ago. And now the Sooners, ranked 23rd in the F/+ rankings (easily their worst ranking since 2005) will face the second-ranked Crimson Tide in what will probably be a big-name, low-drama Sugar Bowl.

Oklahoma 33, Oklahoma State 24

Oklahoma OSU Oklahoma OSU
Close % 100.0% STANDARD DOWNS
Field Position % 54.8% 45.7% Success Rate 44.2% 51.0%
Leverage % 58.9% 70.0% PPP 0.37 0.68
S&P 0.810 1.187
TOTAL
EqPts 32.8 37.0 PASSING DOWNS
Close Success Rate 37.0% 42.9% Success Rate 26.7% 23.8%
Close PPP 0.45 0.53 PPP 0.56 0.18
Close S&P 0.819 0.957 S&P 0.831 0.421
RUSHING TURNOVERS
EqPts 16.1 19.0 Number 1 2
Close Success Rate 37.5% 47.1% Turnover Pts 0.3 9.8
Close PPP 0.40 0.56 Turnover Pts Margin +9.5 -9.5
Close S&P 0.777 1.030
Line Yards/carry 2.59 3.60 Q1 S&P 0.655 1.044
Q2 S&P 0.899 1.031
PASSING Q3 S&P 0.560 0.894
EqPts 16.7 18.0 Q4 S&P 1.070 0.871
Close Success Rate 36.4% 38.9%
Close PPP 0.51 0.50 1st Down S&P 0.717 1.301
Close S&P 0.870 0.888 2nd Down S&P 1.036 0.970
SD/PD Sack Rate 0.0% / 0.0% 0.0% / 6.7% 3rd Down S&P 0.468 0.120
Projected Pt. Margin: Oklahoma +5.3 | Actual Pt. Margin: Oklahoma +9

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