College football F/+ picks: Week 14

Spruce Derden-US PRESSWIRE

Football Outsiders picks and projections for Week 14 of the 2013 college football season.

Bring on Rivalry Week and its silly trophies!

  • Week 1
    New: 37-38 (49%)
    Old: 30-15 (67%)
  • Week 2
    New: 41-32-2 (56%)
    Old: 16-25 (39%)
  • Week 3
    New: 28-30-2 (48%)
    Old: 20-23-2 (47%)
  • Week 4
    New: 25-33-1 (43%)
    Old: 23-20-1 (53%)
  • Week 5
    New: 22-24-2 (48%)
    Old: 27-19-2 (58%)
  • Week 6
    New: 29-26 (53%)
    Old: 27-28 (49%)
  • Week 7
    New: 27-23-1 (54%)
    Old: 25-24-1 (51%)
  • Week 8
    New: 21-25-1 (46%)
    Old: 24-22-1 (52%)
  • Week 9
    New: 26-24-4 (52%)
    Old: 25-24-4 (51%)
  • Week 10
    New: 22-27-1 (45%)
    Old: 24-24-1 (50%)
  • Week 11
    New: 32-20-1 (61%)
    Old: 31-20-1 (61%)
  • Week 12
    New: 24-27 (47%)
    Old: 23-27 (46%)
  • Week 13
    New: 31-26-2 (54%)
    Old: 32-22-1 (59%)
  • TOTAL
    New: 363-355-16 (50%)
    Old: 327-293-13 (53%)

Solid 55% for Old Method so far in November ... I'll take that.

NEW METHOD

Day Time (ET) TV Game Spread Prediction Favorite's
chance of
winning outright
Pick
Tue 7:00 PM ESPN2 Western Michigan at Northern Illinois -35 Northern Illinois by 30.2 (42.2 - 12.0) 99.0% Western Michigan
Thu 7:30 PM ESPN Ole Miss at Mississippi State 4.5 Ole Miss by 4.2 (26.3 - 22.1) 64.1% Mississippi State
Thu 7:30 PM FS1 Texas Tech at Texas -4.5 Texas by 5.4 (39.3 - 33.9) 66.8% Texas
Fri 12:00 PM CBSSN East Carolina at Marshall -3 East Carolina by 6.2 (40.9 - 34.7) 68.5% East Carolina
Fri 12:00 PM ABC Iowa at Nebraska -3 Iowa by 1.7 (26.2 - 24.4) 58.5% Iowa
Fri 12:00 PM ESPN2 SMU at Houston -9.5 Houston by 15.3 (39.6 - 24.3) 85.4% Houston
Fri 12:00 PM ESPN3 Toledo at Akron 7.5 Toledo by 14.2 (35.5 - 21.3) 83.6% Toledo
Fri 1:00 PM ESPN3 Miami-OH at Ball State -34.5 Ball State by 34.1 (44.0 - 9.9) 99.0% Miami-OH
Fri 1:30 PM ESPNU Bowling Green at Buffalo 1.5 Buffalo by 0.2 (31.1 - 30.9) 54.9% Buffalo
Fri 2:00 PM ESPN3 Eastern Michigan at Central Michigan -19 Central Michigan by 11.7 (37.4 - 25.7) 79.3% Eastern Michigan
Fri 2:00 PM ESPN3 Massachusetts at Ohio -16.5 Ohio by 11.5 (33.0 - 21.6) 78.9% Massachusetts
Fri 2:00 PM ESPN3 Texas State at Troy -7 Troy by 2.0 (30.2 - 28.2) 59.0% Texas State
Fri 2:30 PM CBS Arkansas at LSU -24.5 LSU by 28.8 (49.8 - 21.0) 99.0% LSU
Fri 3:00 PM FS1 Florida International at Florida Atlantic -28 Florida Atlantic by 31.8 (35.9 - 4.0) 99.0% Florida Atlantic
Fri 3:30 PM CBSSN Fresno State at San Jose State 7.5 Fresno State by 10.4 (41.7 - 31.4) 76.9% Fresno State
Fri 3:30 PM ABC Miami-FL at Pittsburgh 3 Miami-FL by 4.8 (34.1 - 29.3) 65.4% Miami-FL
Fri 3:30 PM Fox Washington State at Washington -16.5 Washington by 18.2 (38.5 - 20.2) 89.7% Washington
Fri 7:00 PM FS1 Oregon State at Oregon -21.5 Oregon by 26.0 (48.7 - 22.7) 98.7% Oregon
Fri 8:00 PM ESPN South Florida at Central Florida -27 Central Florida by 29.1 (40.0 - 10.9) 99.0% Central Florida
Sat 12:00 PM ESPN2 Duke at North Carolina -6 North Carolina by 2.4 (35.7 - 33.3) 60.1% Duke
Sat 12:00 PM ESPN Florida State at Florida 27 Florida State by 23.6 (30.0 - 6.5) 96.3% Florida
Sat 12:00 PM FS1 Kansas State at Kansas 16 Kansas State by 24.6 (37.8 - 13.2) 97.4% Kansas State
Sat 12:00 PM BTN Minnesota at Michigan State -14.5 Michigan State by 19.0 (28.1 - 9.1) 90.7% Michigan State
Sat 12:00 PM ABC Ohio State at Michigan 15 Ohio State by 13.5 (34.0 - 20.5) 82.4% Michigan
Sat 12:00 PM ESPNU Rutgers at Connecticut 3 Connecticut by 0.9 (19.0 - 18.1) 56.5% Connecticut
Sat 12:00 PM ESPN News Temple at Memphis -8.5 Memphis by 15.8 (30.7 - 14.9) 86.2% Memphis
Sat 12:21 PM SEC Network Wake Forest at Vanderbilt -14.5 Vanderbilt by 11.6 (26.0 - 14.4) 79.1% Wake Forest
Sat 12:30 PM ESPN3 Maryland at NC State 3 Maryland by 2.3 (25.6 - 23.3) 59.9% NC State
Sat 1:00 PM Southern Miss at UAB -14.5 UAB by 7.7 (35.0 - 27.4) 71.6% Southern Miss
Sat 2:00 PM ESPN3 Air Force at Colorado State -16 Colorado State by 15.8 (43.8 - 28.0) 86.2% Air Force
Sat 2:00 PM Pac-12 Colorado at Utah -17 Utah by 25.8 (41.3 - 15.6) 98.5% Utah
Sat 2:00 PM ESPN3 South Alabama at Georgia State 8 South Alabama by 14.7 (40.3 - 25.6) 84.4% South Alabama
Sat 2:00 PM Wyoming at Utah State -21 Utah State by 24.1 (36.8 - 12.7) 96.8% Utah State
Sat 2:30 PM North Texas at Tulsa 5 North Texas by 6.3 (23.5 - 17.1) 68.8% North Texas
Sat 3:00 PM CBSSN BYU at Nevada 14 BYU by 21.8 (45.7 - 23.9) 94.3% BYU
Sat 3:00 PM Tulane at Rice -11 Rice by 4.9 (25.1 - 20.2) 65.7% Tulane
Sat 3:30 PM CBS Alabama at Auburn 11 Alabama by 10.8 (27.8 - 16.9) 77.8% Auburn
Sat 3:30 PM ESPN2 Baylor at TCU 11.5 Baylor by 22.1 (36.1 - 14.0) 94.6% Baylor
Sat 3:30 PM ESPN3 Boston College at Syracuse 2 Boston College by 5.8 (31.1 - 25.3) 67.7% Boston College
Sat 3:30 PM ABC Georgia at Georgia Tech 3 Georgia by 1.9 (39.6 - 37.7) 58.9% Georgia Tech
Sat 3:30 PM Idaho at New Mexico State -3 New Mexico State by 2.1 (26.7 - 24.6) 59.4% Idaho
Sat 3:30 PM Louisiana Tech at UTSA -16.5 UTSA by 21.3 (41.7 - 20.3) 93.7% UTSA
Sat 3:30 PM BTN Northwestern at Illinois 3.5 Northwestern by 2.7 (33.5 - 30.7) 60.9% Illinois
Sat 3:30 PM ESPN Penn State at Wisconsin -24 Wisconsin by 31.8 (37.6 - 5.8) 99.0% Wisconsin
Sat 3:30 PM BTN Purdue at Indiana -21 Indiana by 23.4 (48.1 - 24.7) 96.1% Indiana
Sat 3:30 PM ESPNU Virginia Tech at Virginia 13 Virginia Tech by 20.2 (22.1 - 1.9) 92.4% Virginia Tech
Sat 3:45 PM UTEP at Middle Tennessee -23 Middle Tennessee by 21.1 (43.3 - 22.1) 93.5% UTEP
Sat 4:00 PM ESPN3 Arkansas State at Western Kentucky -6.5 Western Kentucky by 9.3 (30.2 - 20.9) 74.8% Western Kentucky
Sat 4:00 PM FS1 Iowa State at West Virginia -8 West Virginia by 4.6 (27.1 - 22.5) 65.1% Iowa State
Sat 7:00 PM ESPN2 Clemson at South Carolina -5 South Carolina by 2.4 (32.6 - 30.2) 60.2% Clemson
Sat 7:00 PM Fox Notre Dame at Stanford -14.5 Stanford by 16.4 (34.4 - 18.0) 87.1% Stanford
Sat 7:00 PM ESPNU Tennessee at Kentucky 4 Tennessee by 2.7 (30.2 - 27.5) 60.8% Kentucky
Sat 7:00 PM ESPN3 UL-Monroe at UL-Lafayette -15 UL-Lafayette by 17.4 (38.3 - 20.9) 88.6% UL-Lafayette
Sat 7:45 PM ESPN Texas A&M at Missouri -4.5 Missouri by 8.6 (41.7 - 33.1) 73.5% Missouri
Sat 8:00 PM ABC UCLA at USC -3.5 USC by 9.2 (25.8 - 16.6) 74.7% USC
Sat 9:30 PM Pac-12 Arizona at Arizona State -13 Arizona State by 16.8 (41.5 - 24.8) 87.6% Arizona State
Sat 10:15 PM ESPN2 New Mexico at Boise State -37 Boise State by 26.2 (53.7 - 27.5) 98.9% New Mexico
Sat 10:30 PM ESPNU San Diego State at UNLV 3.5 San Diego State by 1.5 (21.8 - 20.3) 57.9% UNLV
Sat 11:00 PM Army at Hawaii -7 Hawaii by 8.7 (35.5 - 26.9) 73.6% Hawaii

OLD METHOD

Day Time (ET) Game Spread OLD Prediction OLD Pick Different?
Tue 7:00 PM Western Michigan at Northern Illinois -35 Northern Illinois by 28.3 Western Michigan
Thu 7:30 PM Ole Miss at Mississippi State 4.5 Ole Miss by 4.1 Mississippi State
Thu 7:30 PM Texas Tech at Texas -4.5 Texas by 5.3 Texas
Fri 12:00 PM East Carolina at Marshall -3 East Carolina by 5.3 East Carolina
Fri 12:00 PM Iowa at Nebraska -3 Iowa by 1.6 Iowa
Fri 12:00 PM SMU at Houston -9.5 Houston by 14.4 Houston
Fri 12:00 PM Toledo at Akron 7.5 Toledo by 13.1 Toledo
Fri 1:00 PM Miami-OH at Ball State -34.5 Ball State by 32.4 Miami-OH
Fri 1:30 PM Bowling Green at Buffalo 1.5 Buffalo by 0.3 Buffalo
Fri 2:00 PM Eastern Michigan at Central Michigan -19 Central Michigan by 12.9 Eastern Michigan
Fri 2:00 PM Massachusetts at Ohio -16.5 Ohio by 10.9 Massachusetts
Fri 2:00 PM Texas State at Troy -7 Troy by 2.0 Texas State
Fri 2:30 PM Arkansas at LSU -24.5 LSU by 29.5 LSU
Fri 3:00 PM Florida International at Florida Atlantic -28 Florida Atlantic by 31.9 Florida Atlantic
Fri 3:30 PM Fresno State at San Jose State 7.5 Fresno State by 9.8 Fresno State
Fri 3:30 PM Miami-FL at Pittsburgh 3 Miami-FL by 4.8 Miami-FL
Fri 3:30 PM Washington State at Washington -16.5 Washington by 18.5 Washington
Fri 7:00 PM Oregon State at Oregon -21.5 Oregon by 23.5 Oregon
Fri 8:00 PM South Florida at Central Florida -27 Central Florida by 29.8 Central Florida
Sat 12:00 PM Duke at North Carolina -6 North Carolina by 2.3 Duke
Sat 12:00 PM Florida State at Florida 27 Florida State by 24.8 Florida
Sat 12:00 PM Kansas State at Kansas 16 Kansas State by 24.4 Kansas State
Sat 12:00 PM Minnesota at Michigan State -14.5 Michigan State by 19.1 Michigan State
Sat 12:00 PM Ohio State at Michigan 15 Ohio State by 13.8 Michigan
Sat 12:00 PM Rutgers at Connecticut 3 Connecticut by 1.1 Connecticut
Sat 12:00 PM Temple at Memphis -8.5 Memphis by 17.0 Memphis
Sat 12:21 PM Wake Forest at Vanderbilt -14.5 Vanderbilt by 11.9 Wake Forest
Sat 12:30 PM Maryland at NC State 3 Maryland by 2.2 NC State
Sat 1:00 PM Southern Miss at UAB -14.5 UAB by 7.7 Southern Miss
Sat 2:00 PM Air Force at Colorado State -16 Colorado State by 15.8 Air Force
Sat 2:00 PM Colorado at Utah -17 Utah by 26.7 Utah
Sat 2:00 PM South Alabama at Georgia State 8 South Alabama by 14.3 South Alabama
Sat 2:00 PM Wyoming at Utah State -21 Utah State by 24.2 Utah State
Sat 2:30 PM North Texas at Tulsa 5 North Texas by 5.6 North Texas
Sat 3:00 PM BYU at Nevada 14 BYU by 18.8 BYU
Sat 3:00 PM Tulane at Rice -11 Rice by 4.8 Tulane
Sat 3:30 PM Alabama at Auburn 11 Alabama by 12.1 Alabama XXX
Sat 3:30 PM Baylor at TCU 11.5 Baylor by 20.0 Baylor
Sat 3:30 PM Boston College at Syracuse 2 Boston College by 5.5 Boston College
Sat 3:30 PM Georgia at Georgia Tech 3 Georgia by 1.8 Georgia Tech
Sat 3:30 PM Idaho at New Mexico State -3 New Mexico State by 2.3 Idaho
Sat 3:30 PM Louisiana Tech at UTSA -16.5 UTSA by 19.2 UTSA
Sat 3:30 PM Northwestern at Illinois 3.5 Northwestern by 2.6 Illinois
Sat 3:30 PM Penn State at Wisconsin -24 Wisconsin by 30.6 Wisconsin
Sat 3:30 PM Purdue at Indiana -21 Indiana by 21.9 Indiana
Sat 3:30 PM Virginia Tech at Virginia 13 Virginia Tech by 19.3 Virginia Tech
Sat 3:45 PM UTEP at Middle Tennessee -23 Middle Tennessee by 21.5 UTEP
Sat 4:00 PM Arkansas State at Western Kentucky -6.5 Western Kentucky by 9.4 Western Kentucky
Sat 4:00 PM Iowa State at West Virginia -8 West Virginia by 4.4 Iowa State
Sat 7:00 PM Clemson at South Carolina -5 South Carolina by 2.4 Clemson
Sat 7:00 PM Notre Dame at Stanford -14.5 Stanford by 16.7 Stanford
Sat 7:00 PM Tennessee at Kentucky 4 Tennessee by 2.6 Kentucky
Sat 7:00 PM UL-Monroe at UL-Lafayette -15 UL-Lafayette by 17.1 UL-Lafayette
Sat 7:45 PM Texas A&M at Missouri -4.5 Missouri by 8.3 Missouri
Sat 8:00 PM UCLA at USC -3.5 USC by 9.1 USC
Sat 9:30 PM Arizona at Arizona State -13 Arizona State by 14.6 Arizona State
Sat 10:15 PM New Mexico at Boise State -37 Boise State by 26.9 New Mexico
Sat 10:30 PM San Diego State at UNLV 3.5 San Diego State by 1.4 UNLV
Sat 11:00 PM Army at Hawaii -7 Hawaii by 8.4 Hawaii

Trending Discussions

X
Log In Sign Up

forgot?
Log In Sign Up

Forgot password?

We'll email you a reset link.

If you signed up using a 3rd party account like Facebook or Twitter, please login with it instead.

Forgot password?

Try another email?

Almost done,

Join Football Study Hall

You must be a member of Football Study Hall to participate.

We have our own Community Guidelines at Football Study Hall. You should read them.

Join Football Study Hall

You must be a member of Football Study Hall to participate.

We have our own Community Guidelines at Football Study Hall. You should read them.

Spinner

Authenticating

Great!

Choose an available username to complete sign up.

In order to provide our users with a better overall experience, we ask for more information from Facebook when using it to login so that we can learn more about our audience and provide you with the best possible experience. We do not store specific user data and the sharing of it is not required to login with Facebook.

tracking_pixel_9341_tracker