Study Hall: Iowa 24, Michigan 21

Matthew Holst

Advanced stats from Iowa's 24-21 win over Michigan on Saturday.

Confused? Visit the Advanced Stats glossary here. Or just skip to the words. I won't be offended. (Okay, I'll only be a little offended.)

This is a strange sentence to type, but Iowa beat Michigan because the Hawkeyes could pass and the Wolverines couldn't. Granted, Jake Rudock threw three picks, which kept Michigan in the game a while; and granted, most of the passing came on standard downs -- if Iowa fell behind schedule, the drive was typically over quickly -- but it all counts.

And I write this every week: How in the world can Michigan's running game be this consistently awful?

Iowa 24, Michigan 21

Iowa Michigan Iowa Michigan
Close % 100.0% STANDARD DOWNS
Field Position % 62.2% 38.6% Success Rate 51.0% 36.1%
Leverage % 68.9% 63.2% PPP 0.54 0.24
S&P 1.049 0.600
TOTAL
EqPts 38.3 15.5 PASSING DOWNS
Close Success Rate 40.5% 33.3% Success Rate 17.4% 28.6%
Close PPP 0.52 0.27 PPP 0.47 0.33
Close S&P 0.923 0.605 S&P 0.643 0.614
RUSHING TURNOVERS
EqPts 15.7 7.4 Number 4 1
Close Success Rate 34.9% 35.7% Turnover Pts 18.6 4.2
Close PPP 0.36 0.26 Turnover Pts Margin -14.4 +14.4
Close S&P 0.713 0.621
Line Yards/carry 2.50 2.09 Q1 S&P 0.980 0.410
Q2 S&P 0.487 0.965
PASSING Q3 S&P 1.102 0.130
EqPts 22.6 8.1 Q4 S&P 1.057 0.610
Close Success Rate 48.4% 31.0%
Close PPP 0.73 0.28 1st Down S&P 1.195 0.590
Close S&P 1.214 0.590 2nd Down S&P 0.851 0.649
SD/PD Sack Rate 0.0% / 8.3% 0.0% / 6.7% 3rd Down S&P 0.536 0.562
Projected Pt. Margin: Iowa +8.5 | Actual Pt. Margin: Iowa +3

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