Confused? Visit the Advanced Stats glossary here. Or just skip to the words. I won't be offended. (Okay, I'll only be a little offended.)
Nebraska twice lost fumbles pretty deep in its own territory. On average, those turnovers would have been worth about 8.5 equivalent points; after those turnovers, Michigan went three-and-out twice and attempted two field goals, missing one. Potential value of turnovers: 8.5 points. Actual result of turnovers: 3 points. In a four-point loss.
Oh, and Michigan? Your success rate isn't supposed to be higher on passing downs than standard downs. It's supposed to work the other way around. Stop giving away first down.
Actually, just stop running altogether. You can't do it, so just stop.
Worst single-game Line Yardage average in 2013:
1. Michigan (vs. Michigan State): -0.53
2. Oregon State (vs. SDSU): 0.11
3. Michigan (vs. Nebraska): 0.47
4. Miami (vs. Va. Tech): 0.57
5. North Texas (vs. Georgia): 0.58
Georgia State got a better push against Alabama than Michigan got against Nebraska. Again...
This Michigan offensive line is just…I don't understand...— Bill Connelly (@SBN_BillC) November 9, 2013
Nebraska 17, Michigan 13
|Close %||100.0%||STANDARD DOWNS|
|Field Position %||43.9%||38.1%||Success Rate||38.6%||27.0%|
|Close Success Rate||36.4%||30.2%||Success Rate||31.8%||34.6%|
|Close Success Rate||33.3%||6.9%||Turnover Pts||8.5||0.0|
|Close PPP||0.32||0.07||Turnover Pts Margin||-8.5||+8.5|
|Line Yards/carry||2.50||0.47||Q1 S&P||0.962||0.556|
|Close Success Rate||41.7%||50.0%|
|Close PPP||0.50||0.42||1st Down S&P||0.740||0.610|
|Close S&P||0.916||0.921||2nd Down S&P||0.662||0.641|
|SD/PD Sack Rate||26.7% / 15.8%||0.0% / 9.1%||3rd Down S&P||0.675||0.375|
|Projected Pt. Margin: Nebraska +0.4 | Actual Pt. Margin: Nebraska +4|